• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.585-592
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• 2017

도심 내 매설된 대다수의 하수관로는 노후가 심각하게 진행되어 파손의 가능성이 높다. 또한, 도시개발의 집중도가 높아 인구밀도나 통행량이 많으므로 하수관로가 붕괴되면 사회 경제적으로 막대한 피해를 입게 된다. 따라서 관로 파손에 의한 사고를 예방하기 위해 사전적인 유지관리가 필요하며, 한정된 재원의 효율적인 활용을 위해 파손의 가능성과 피해의 규모를 동시에 고려한 위험도 기반의 우선순위 결정방안이 제시되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는, 다양한 해외 연구사례를 검토하여 위험도 기반의 하수관로의 조사 우선순위 결정 방법을 도출하였고 도심지 배수분구에 적용 검토하였다. 우선, 서울시 하수관로 GIS DB를 통해 확보 가능한 영향인자를 도출하고, 각 영향인자들의 가중치, 구분항목, 영향점수를 결정하여 가중치 환산법으로 하수관로 파손결과를 산정하였다. 또한, 하수관로의 예상 내용연수 대비 사용연수를 계산하여 파손가능성을 도출하였으며, 내츄럴 브레이크 방법으로 파손결과와 파손가능성을 5등급으로 구분하였다. 위 방법을 서울시 내 위치한 소규모 배수분구에 적용하여 위험도 매트릭스와 위험도 등급을 도출하였으며, 그 결과 전체 대상의 26%가 위험도 4-5등급인 CCTV조사 우선대상으로 선정되었다. 따라서 위험도 기반의 CCTV 우선순위 결정방법을 활용하여 조사가 우선적으로 필요한 대상을 체계적으로 결정할 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제12권6호
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• pp.47-53
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• 2008

본 논문은 캘리포니아지역에 위치한 고속도로망을 대상으로 하여, 도로망내에 있는 교량의 내진보강 우선순위를 결정하는 방법에 관한 연구이다. 내진보강 우선순위 결정은 지진공학 분야에서 매우 중요한 이슈 중의 하나이며, 정부나 도로 관리청의 의사결정권자는 예산 배정 과정에서 이와 같은 문제에 항상 직면하게 된다. 본 연구는 특정지역의 고속도로망을 대상으로 어떻게 내진보강 우선순위를 결정할 것인가에 관한 방법론을 보여주고 있다. 우선순위 결정을 위하여 구조물의 지진 취약도, 도로망상에 위치한 각각 연결로의 중요도에 대한 개념이 먼저 소개되었다. 도로망상 각각의 교차로를 잇는 연결로를 지진 보강의 대상 단위로 하여 도로망의 내진 성능에 대한 시뮬레이션을 수행하였으며, 추가 소요되는 교통 지체시간을 각각의 시뮬레이션 경우에 대하여 측정함으로써 내진보강에 의한 효과를 평가하였다. 또한, 지진 위험도의 확률적인 특성을 반영하기 위하여 확률론적 시나리오 지진을 도입하였다. 본 연구의 결과에서 알 수 있듯이 우선순위의 의미는 이해관계자의 주요 관심 사항에 따라 다르게 정의될 수 있고, 각각 다른 우선순위 결과를 보여주게 된다. 본 연구는 교통망의 효과적인 내진보강을 위한 우선순위 결정 과정에 도움이 될 수 있는 일반적인 지침을 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회논문집
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• pp.295-302
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• 2003

A quantitative approach for the retrofit prioritization of bridges is developed based on the damage risk of seismic vulnerable components. In the developed approach, seismic damage risk is estimated in the probabilistic perspectives with an analytical bridge model, which can consider various phenomena found in the seismic behaviors of girder-type bridges and damage models of various vulnerable components. Based on the total cost due to failure of structural components, weighting factors are proposed. Finally, the ranking index and retrofit priority of bridges are estimated from the overall damage risk and weighting factors of bridges. As a result, the retrofit priority of four PSC girder bridges is evaluated by using the proposed approach. The vulnerable components in need of seismic retrofit are selected accordingly. From simulated results, the validity of the proposed approach is verified by comparison with the existing approach. In addition, the proposed approach is found to be appropriate in evaluating the priority of existing bridges.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.304-311
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• 2022

Construction inspection is a crucial stage that ensures that all contractual requirements of a construction project are verified. The construction inspection capabilities among state highway agencies have been greatly affected due to budget reduction. As a result, efficient inspection practices such as risk-based inspection are required to optimize the use of limited resources without compromising inspection quality. Automated prioritization of textual requirements according to their criticality would be extremely helpful since contractual requirements are typically presented in an unstructured natural language in voluminous text documents. The current study introduces a novel model for predicting the risk level of requirements using machine learning (ML) algorithms. The ML algorithms tested in this study included naïve Bayes, support vector machines, logistic regression, and random forest. The training data includes sequences of requirement texts which were labeled with risk levels (such as very low, low, medium, high, very high) using the fuzzy logic systems. The fuzzy model treats the three risk factors (severity, probability, detectability) as fuzzy input variables, and implements the fuzzy inference rules to determine the labels of requirements. The performance of the model was examined on labeled dataset created by fuzzy inference rules and three different membership functions. The developed requirement risk prediction model yielded a precision, recall, and f-score of 78.18%, 77.75%, and 75.82%, respectively. The proposed model is expected to provide construction inspectors with a means for the automated prioritization of voluminous requirements by their importance, thus help to maximize the effectiveness of inspection activities under resource constraints.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.149-154
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• 2018

Risk Based Oversight is a way of performing oversight, where planning is driven by the combination of risk profile and safety performance. Risk Based Oversight enables prioritization and allocation of State's safety management resources commensurate with the safety risk profile of each service provider. This paper presents the concept of Risk Based Oversight and applies it to the current Korean aviation safety oversight process. In particular, this study presents a method for generating operating profiles, one of the key concepts of Risk Based Oversight. Operations Specifications of Part 121 Airlines can generate operating profiles. In this study, a practical study was conducted to generate the operating profile and scoped DCTs using Part 121 Airlines's Operations Specifications.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.598-603
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• 2003

During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBI for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed and a quantitative analysis was performed for over 500 equipments in a domestic plant whose operating time reaches about 13 years. Current risks for each equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a conclusion.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제32권A호
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• pp.125-128
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• 2012

In this paper, we proposed a prioritization method of test cases using a value estimation model of test sets, that are key elements for highly effective software testings as well as involve a large cost factor in software developments and maintenances. Based on previous studies, our idea includes introducing some practical factors of the test case prioritization which critically influence the value of a test case: Relative values of test sets before and after the test running, Average value of these two relative values, Severity of the defect, Risks that are covered, Frequency of use, Change related values, Systematic elicitations, etc. Finally we discussed the usefulness and the expected effects of the proposed scheme.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.416-423
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• 2003

During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBl for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed. This software has modules for evaluating qualitative and semi-quantitative risk level, analyzing quantitative risks using the potential consequences of a failure of the pressure boundary, and assessing the likelihood of failure. A quantitative analysis was performed for 16 columns in a domestic NCC (Naphtha Cracking Center) plant whose operating time reaches about 12 years. Each column was considered as two equipment parts by dividing into top and bottom. Generic column failure frequencies were adjusted based on likelihood data. After determining release rate, release duration and release mass for each failure scenario, flammable/explosive and toxic consequences were assessed. Current risks for 32 equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a final result.

• Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.15-25
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• 2017

The existence of material price volatility in construction projects puts forward substantial risks for all parties involved. Depending on the parties involved in the project, type of contracts, and state of the market various risk management strategies are practiced by contracting parties to manage project risks related to price volatility. Unfortunately, in many cases companies fail to select an adequate approach to better manage volatilities of material prices due to the lack of a decision support system to aid in the selection of an appropriate strategy based on the project characteristics. The aim of this study is to identify critical project factors and align them to documented strategies to manage price volatility based on an extensive literature review and industry interviews. This study found Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) as the ideal strategy with respect to project duration; quantitative risk management methods with respect to the cost; and Price Adjustment Clauses (PAC) with respect to the risk allocation, as the top price volatility management strategies.

• 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보처리학회 2009년도 추계학술발표대회
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• pp.837-838
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• 2009

기존에 위험기반 테스팅(Risk-based Testing) 방법은 널리 알려져 있다. 또한 가치기반의 소프트웨어 공학(Value-based SW engineering)이 고전적인 방법론과 더불어 대두되고 있다. 요구공학을 기반으로 하면서 소프트웨어의 생산절차를 가치(Value)를 기반으로 구성하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 위험기반 테스팅 기법을 Value-based Testing과 접목하여, 테스트케이스에 우선순위를 부여하고, 우선순위별로 적절한 테스트 기법을 도출, 적용하여 그 효과를 검증하고자 한다. 검증의 방법은 적용 전/후의 품질비용을 기준으로 한다.