• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk assessment method

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Corrosion Assessment by Using Risk-Based Inspection Method for Petrochemical Plant - Practical Experience

  • Choi, Song-Chun;Song, Ki-Hun
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2009
  • Corrosion assessment has a number of uses but the use considered here is as a precursor to Risk-Based Inspection (RBI) planning. Systematic methods consisting of technical modules of RBI program were used to assess the effect of specific corrosion mechanism on the probability of failure in equipments of petrochemical plants. Especially in part of the damage and corrosion assessment, screening step involved evaluating the combinations of process conditions and construction materials for each equipment item in order to determine which damage mechanisms are potentially active. For general internal corrosion, either API 510 or API 570 was applied as the damage rate in the calculation to determine the remaining life and inspection frequency. In some cases, a measured rate of corrosion may not be available. The technical modules of RBI program employ default values for corrosion, typically derived from published data or from experience with similar processes, for use until inspection results are available. This paper describes the case study of corrosion and damage assessment by using RBI methodology in petrochemical plant. Specifically, this paper reports the methodology and the results of its application to the petrochemical units using the $KGS-RBI^{TM}$ program, developed by the Korea Gas Safety Corporation to suit Korean situation in conformity with API 581 Codes.

Risk assessment of heavy metals in tuna from Japanese restaurants in the Republic of Korea

  • Seong-Jin Bae;Kyu-Sik Shin;Chulyong Park;Kiook Baek;So-Young Son;Joon Sakong
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • 제35권
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    • pp.3.1-3.11
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    • 2023
  • Background: Studies on the risk of mercury (Hg) in Korean fishery products focus primarily on total Hg levels as opposed to methylmercury (MeHg) levels. None of the few studies on MeHg in tuna investigated tuna from Japanese restaurants. Few have evaluated lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd) and arsenic (As) in tuna. Thus, this study aimed to conduct a risk assessment by evaluating heavy metal concentrations in tuna from Japanese restaurants. Methods: Thirty-one tuna samples were collected from Japanese restaurants in the Republic of Korea. They were classified according to region and species. The concentration of heavy metals in the samples was analyzed using the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety Food Code method. The rate of exceedance of maximum residue levels (MRLs) and the risk compared to the provisional tolerable weekly intake (PTWI) set by the Joint Food and Agriculture Organization/World Health Organization Expert Committee on Food Additives (%PTWI) were evaluated for risk assessment. Results: The mean of MeHg, Pb, Cd and As concentrations were 0.56 ± 1.47 mg/kg, 33.95 ± 3.74 ㎍/kg, 14.25 ± 2.19 ㎍/kg and 1.46 ± 1.89 mg/kg, respectively. No sample exceeded the MRLs of Pb and Cd, but 9.7% of the samples exceeded the MRL of MeHg. The %PTWIs of MeHg, Pb, Cd and As were 4.2037, 0.0162, 0.0244 and 1.1627, respectively. The %PTWI of MeHg by age group and sex was highest among men aged 19-29 years (10.6494), followed by men aged 30-49 years (7.2458) and women aged 19-29 years (4.8307). Conclusions: We found that 3 out of 31 samples exceeded the MRL of MeHg. The %PTWI of MeHg showed significant differences based on age and sex, and the value was likely to exceed a safe level depending on individuals' eating behaviors. Therefore, improved risk management for MeHg is required.

복합시스템 장비의 위험성 평가체계 개발 및 적용 (Risk Assessment System and its Application for Complex Equipment)

  • 김종걸;정진호
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.137-144
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    • 2004
  • Consumers require various quality characteristics including safety. The reduction of risk concerned on product safety becomes urgent issue in leading companies. The strategy for customer satisfaction by choosing attractive quality characteristic is not enough for risk reduction in view of producer. This paper presents a method for choosing quality characteristics and risk characteristics by integrating QFD based on quality requirements and AHP based on safety requirements, also shows its application for complex equipment.

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열차운행선 지장공사에 대한 위험도 평가 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment for Works on/near Operating Line)

  • 정도현;왕종배;이수룡
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1515-1524
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    • 2008
  • In this study, railway accidents from constructing or maintaining works on/near operating line were reviewed during 2005-2007 years. Causes and hazards analysis of these accidents was performed to make an accident scenario for risk assessments. And the risk of worker casualty on/near operating line was quantitatively assessed. Also a constitution method of Risk Matrix for manage tolerable risk level was proposed.

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Developing a New Risk Assessment Methodology for Distribution System Operators Regulated by Quality Regulation Considering Reclosing Time

  • Saboorideilami, S.;Abdi, Hamdi
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.1154-1162
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    • 2014
  • In the restructured electricity market, Performance-Based Regulation (PBR) regime has been introduced to the distribution network. To ensure the network stability, this regime is used along with quality regulations. Quality regulation impose new financial risks on distribution system operators (DSOs). The poor quality of the network will result in reduced revenues for DSOs. The mentioned financial risks depend on the quality indices of the system. Based on annual variation of these indices, the cost of quality regulation will also vary. In this paper with regard to reclosing fault in distribution network, we develop a risk-based method to assess the financial risks caused by quality regulation for DSOs. Furthermore, in order to take the stochastic behavior of the distribution network and quality indices variations into account, time-sequential Monte Carlo simulation method is used. Using the proposed risk method, the effect of taking reclosing time into account will be examined on system quality indicators and the cost of quality regulation in Swedish rural reliability test system (SRRTS). The results show that taking reclosing fault into consideration, affects the system quality indicators, particularly annual average interruption frequency index of the system (SAIFI). Moreover taking reclosing fault into consideration also affects the quality regulations cost. Therefore, considering reclosing time provides a more realistic viewpoint about the financial risks arising from quality regulation for DSOs.

Time-dependent seismic risk analysis of high-speed railway bridges considering material durability effects

  • Yan Liang;Ying-Ying Wei;Ming-Na Tong;Yu-Kun Cui
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.275-288
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    • 2023
  • Based on the crucial role of high-speed railway bridges (HSRBs) in the safety of high-speed railway operations, it is an important approach to mitigate earthquake hazards by proceeding with seismic risk assessments in their whole life. Bridge seismic risk assessment, which usually evaluates the seismic performance of bridges from a probabilistic perspective, provides technical support for bridge risk management. The seismic performance of bridges is greatly affected by the degradation of material properties, therefore, material damage plays a nonnegligible role in the seismic risk assessment of the bridge. The effect of material damage is not considered in most current studies on seismic risk analysis of bridges, nevertheless. To fill the gap in this area, in this paper, a nonlinear dynamic time-history analysis has been carried out by establishing OpenSees finite element model, and a seismic vulnerability analysis is carried out based on the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method. On this basis, combined with the site risk analysis, the time-dependent seismic risk analysis of an offshore three-span HSRB in the whole life cycle has been conducted. The results showed that the seismic risk probabilities of both components and system of the bridge increase with the service time, and their seismic risk probabilities increase significantly in the last service period due to the degradation of the material strength, which demonstrates that the impact of durability damage should be considered when evaluating the seismic performance of bridges in the design and service period.

교량 공사 프로젝트의 정량적 리스크 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Quantitative Risk Assessment of Bridge Construction Projects)

  • 안성진
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2020
  • 최근의 교량 건설 프로젝트는 교량 건설의 증가추세에 따라 위험 손실에 대비하기 위해 보다 정교한 리스크 관리 조치와 손실 예측을 요구하고 있다. 본 연구는 교량 건설 사업에 대한 국내 주요 보험사의 과거 보험료 지급 실적을 토대로 실제 교량 건설에서 목적물의 손실을 유발하는 위험 요인을 분석하고, 정량화된 예측 손실 모델을 개발하고자 하였다. 정량적 교량건설 손실모형 개발을 위해 사고 건당 보험지급액을 총공사비로 나눈 손실비율을 종속변수로 선정하였고, 독립변수로는 1)기술적 요인: 상부 구조 유형, 하부 구조 유형, 상부 가설방법, 교량 길이 2) 자연재해요인 : 태풍, 홍수 3) 프로젝트 정보: 공사기간, 총공사비를 채택하였다. 선정된 독립변수 중 상부구조, 가설방법 및 프로젝트 기간이 교량건설 손실 비율에 영향을 미치는 지표로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과로 도출된 리스크 지표와 손실예측 함수는 정부 관련기관, 교량 건설 설계 및 시공사, 보험회사에 정량적 피해 예측 및 위험 평가 서비스를 제공하며, 향후 기초 교량 리스크 평가 개발 연구의 가이드라인으로 활용할 수 있다.

일 지역 여성의 유방암 위험요인과 유방암 조기검진 행위 분포 (Risk Factors and Early Screening Behavior for Breast Cancer in Rural Women)

  • 허혜경;박소미;김기연
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.46-51
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for breast cancer and early screening behavior in women in the community. Method: The participants were 125 women residing in W city. Data was collected using an instrument developed by the researchers. Analysis was done using descriptive statistics, and the $x^2$ test. Result: For risk based on the Gail Model, age (above 50 years) had a distribution of 24.8%, first degree family history, 4.9%, age at first full term pregnancy, 13.8%, and benign breast cancer history, 4.9%. For risk based on other common risk factors, menopause had a distribution of 20.7%, did not breast feed, 15.4%, history of HRT, 7.3%, meat preference, 35.0%, and history of smoking or drinking, 2.4% and 43.5%, respectively. There was a significant difference in BSE and mammography screening behavior ($x^2=22.5$, p<.00), but no difference in distribution of risk factors and screening behavior. Conclusion: For effective prevention of breast cancer, it is necessary to develop an instrument for risk assessment and, through assessment, select women at high risk. It is also necessary to provide education and appropriate recommendations on screening behavior.

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심층혼합처리공법이 적용된 항만 구조물의 파괴확률과 위험도 평가에 관한 사례 연구 (The Case Study on Risk Assessment and Probability of Failure for Port Structure Reinforced by DCM Method)

  • 김병일;박언상
    • 한국지반신소재학회논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 안정성과 위험도 평가의 중요성이 증대되고 있는 DCM(Deep Cement Mixing, 이하 DCM) 보강 지반상의 항만 구조물에 대하여 위험도 평가를 위한 파괴확률을 산정하였다. DCM 개량 지반의 위험도에 영향을 미치는 확률변수로 개량체의 설계기준강도와 시공중첩, 원지반의 강도 및 내부마찰각, 개량지반의 단위중량을 선정하고 관련 통계치를 산정하여 적용하였다. 또한, 상시 조건과 지진시 조건에서의 전체 시스템에 대한 파괴확률을 분석하였다. 본 연구를 통해 DCM 개량지반의 위험도 평가를 위한 확률변수에서 변동계수가 가장 큰 것은 설계기준강도이나 안전율의 변동성 즉, 시스템의 위험도에는 큰 영향을 미치지는 않는 것을 알 수 있었다. DCM 보강 지반에 대한 시스템의 파괴확률 영향인자 즉, 주된 위험요소는 상시 및 지진시 모두 외적안정의 경우 수평활동, 내적안정의 경우 압축파괴인 것으로 평가되었다. 또한, 수평활동에 대해서는 상시 파괴확률이 지진시 파괴확률보다 높고 압축파괴에 대해서는 상시 파괴확률이 지진시 파괴확률보다 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 전체 시스템의 상시 파괴확률과 지진시 파괴확률은 유사하지만, 본 사례의 경우 지진시 위험도가 다소 높은 것으로 나타났다.

수소충전소의 경영안전성 강화를 위한 위험성평가 추가 항목 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment for Strengthening Management Safety of Hydrogen Fueling Station)

  • 이장원;김창수
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.520-531
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    • 2022
  • 연구목적: 본 연구는 수소충전소의 위험성 평가를 바탕으로, 운영주의 주요 관심 사항인 수익성과 경영 위험성을 고찰함으로써 경영안전성 강화를 위한 방안을 찾고자 한다. 연구방법: 위험성 평가를 수소충전소의 설치단계부터 시간의 흐름에 따라 '수용 가능한 위험성'과 '허용 가능한 위험성'으로 구분하여 기존의 연구결과와 비교, 분석하였다. 연구결과: 수소충전소 설치단계에 실행하는 위험성 평가는 현재 기존의 연구가 적절하게 적용되고 있었다. 그러나 운영단계에서 발생 가능한 위험을 찾을 수 있었다. 즉 경영위험성에 대한 평가도 필요함을 도출하였다. 그리고 이를 통해 수소충전소의 안전성이 강화됨을 확인했다. 결론: 수소충전소 설치단계에 선행되는 위험성평가는 '수용 가능한 위험성' 평가로 모두 유의미한 결과가 도출되어 적절하게 활용되고 있다. 그러나 운영주는 운영단계에서 발생 가능한 위험, 즉 '허용 가능한 위험성' 평가와 대응방안 마련이 필요하다. 따라서 보다 안전한 수소충전소 구축과 운영을 위하여 경영위험성 평가 항목 추가를 제안한다.