• Title/Summary/Keyword: resources circulation

Search Result 408, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

LSTM model predictions of inflow considering climate change and climate variability (기후변화 및 기후변동성을 고려한 LSTM 모형 기반 유입량 예측)

  • Kwon, jihwan;Kim, Jongho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.348-348
    • /
    • 2022
  • 미래에 대한 기후는 과거와 비교하여 변동성이 더 크고 불확실성 또한 더 크기 때문에 미래의 기후변화를 예측하기 위해서는 기후변화의 절대적인 크기뿐 아니라 불확실한 정도도 함께 고려되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP6(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) DB에서 제공된 일 단위 18개의 GCMs(General Circulation Models)의 결과를 분석하였으며 또한 3개의SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathway)시나리오와 3개의 미래 구간에 대하여 100개의 앙상블을 각각 생성하였다. 불확실성을 초래하는 원인을 3가지로 구분하고, 각각의 원인에 대한 불확실성의 정도를 앙상블 시나리오에 반영하고자 한다. 현재 기간 및 미래 기간에 대해 100개의 20년 시계열 날씨변수 앙상블을 생성하여 LSTM(Long short-term memory)의 입력자료로 사용하여 댐유입량, 저수위, 방류량을 산정하였다. 댐 유입량 및 방류량의 예측성능을 향상시키기 위해 Input predictor의 종류를 선정하는 방법과 그 변수들의 lag time을 결정하는 방법, 입력자료들을 재구성하는 방법, 하이퍼 매개변수를 효율적으로 최적화하는 방법, 목적함수 설정 방법들을 제시하여 댐 유입량 및 방류량의 예측을 크게 향상시키고자 하였다. 본 연구에서 예측된 미래의 댐유입량 및 방류량 정보는 홍수 또는 가뭄 등 다양한 수자원 관련 문제의 전략을 수립하는 데 있어서 적절한 도움이 될 것이다.

  • PDF

A Study on Statistical Characteristics for Extreme Rainfall based on CMIP6 SSP scenario - Focused on Busan Metropolitan City (CMIP6 SSP 시나리오 극한 강우량의 통계적 특성 연구 - 부산광역시를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sunghun;Kim, Heechul;Kim, Gyobeom;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.410-410
    • /
    • 2022
  • 기후변화에 관한 정부간 협의체(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC)에서는 지난해부터 제6차 평가보고서(Sixth Assessment Report, AR6)를 준비하고 있으며, 최근 Working Group II에서 수행한 기후변화 영향, 적응 및 취약성(Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability) 보고서를 공개하였다. 보고서는 기존의 Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 시나리오에 사회경제적 조건을 추가로 고려한 Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 시나리오를 제시하였고, 세계기후연구프로그램(World Climate Research Programme, WCRP)의 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)에서 제공하는 6단계(Phase 6) 미래 전망 자료를 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화로 인한 미래 극한 강우량의 통계적 특성을 파악하기 위하여 CMIP6에서 제공하는 General Circulation Models (GCMs) 기반 미래 강우자료를 수집하여 부산광역시를 중심으로 분석하였다. 4개의 SSP (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, SSP585) 시나리오별로 10개 GCMs의 모의 결과를 사용하였다. Gumbel 분포형과 확률가중모멘트법을 이용하여 미래 극한 강우량을 산정하였고, 현재 모의기간(S0, 1983-2014) 대비 미래 전망기간(S1, 2015-2044; S2, 2041-2070; S3, 2071-2100)의 변화를 재현기간(return period, T)별로 분석하여 제시하였다.

  • PDF

Review of Policy Direction and Coupled Model Development between Groundwater Recharge Quantity and Climate Change (기후변화 연동 지하수 함양량 산정 모델 개발 및 정책방향 고찰)

  • Lee, Moung-Jin;Lee, Joung-Ho;Jeon, Seong-Woo;Houng, Hyun-Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.157-184
    • /
    • 2010
  • Global climate change is destroying the water circulation balance by changing rates of precipitation, recharge and discharge, and evapotranspiration. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2007) makes "changes in rainfall pattern due to climate system changes and consequent shortage of available water resource" a high priority as the weakest part among the effects of human environment caused by future climate changes. Groundwater, which occupies a considerable portion of the world's water resources, is related to climate change via surface water such as rivers, lakes, and marshes, and "direct" interactions, being indirectly affected through recharge. Therefore, in order to quantify the effects of climate change on groundwater resources, it is necessary to not only predict the main variables of climate change but to also accurately predict the underground rainfall recharge quantity. In this paper, the authors selected a relevant climate change scenario, In this context, the authors selected A1B from the Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) which is distributed at Korea Meteorological Administration. By using data on temperature, rainfall, soil, and land use, the groundwater recharge rate for the research area was estimated by period and embodied as geographic information system (GIS). In order to calculate the groundwater recharge quantity, Visual HELP3 was used as main model for groundwater recharge, and the physical properties of weather, temperature, and soil layers were used as main input data. General changes to water circulation due to climate change have already been predicted. In order to systematically solve problems associated with how the groundwater resource circulation system should be reflected in future policies pertaining to groundwater resources, it may be urgent to recalculate the groundwater recharge quantity and consequent quantity for using via prediction of climate change in Korea in the future and then reflection of the results. The space-time calculation of changes to the groundwater recharge quantity in the study area may serve as a foundation to present additional measures for the improved management of domestic groundwater resources.

  • PDF

A study about flat mirror type solar thermal generation system to independently supply electricity on water resources management system (수자원 관리 시스템 독립 전력공급을 위한 평판형 태양열 발전 시스템 기초구현방안 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hun;Seo, Tae-Il;Jung, Seung-Kwon;Gwon, Yong-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.8
    • /
    • pp.5067-5073
    • /
    • 2015
  • Recently, various researches about water resources management system have been conducted in order to handle many problems, for example, climate change can provoke rapid change of water circulation, continuous population increase, population concentration phenomenon and so on. For population concentration region, many researches about water resources management system have been carried out, but many regions far away from civilization have not been handled as research topics. Especially these regions always need electricity supply infra, but significant costs will be required to construct the infra. Therefore this paper presents a methodology in order to generate the electricity from new renewable energy resources and supply the electricity into these region. For this, solar thermal generation system was experimentally studied. Moreover, this solar power generation system was considered as an important component to establish an ESS (Energy Storage System).

Effect and Safety of Oxygen Chamber Therapy on Cold Hypersensitivity: A Randomized, Controlled Trial (냉증에 대한 산소챔버의 임상 효능 및 안전성 연구)

  • Ha, Hun-Yong;Yoon, Dal-Hwan;Go, Ho-Yeon;Han, Yong-Dae;Kim, Nam-Sik;Nam, Eun-Young;Kim, Hyung-Jun
    • The Journal of Korean Obstetrics and Gynecology
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.123-139
    • /
    • 2013
  • Purpose: Cold hypersensitivity is regarded to be associated with blood circulation. This study is aims to evaluate the effects and safety of oxygen chamber therapy on cold hypersensitivity by comparing the temperature and Visual Analogue Scale. Methods: 42 outpatients who visited ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ University Oriental Hospital from July 11th, 2013 to August 28th, 2013 were analyzed. Patients were subjected to thermometer, and those with thermal difference greater than $0.3^{\circ}C$ between upper arm and palm and also with more than VAS 4 of cold hypersensitivity were diagnosed with cold hypersensitivity. 42 outpatients diagnosed with cold hypersensitivity are divided into two groups, one is the experimental group consisted of 21 patients and other was control group consisted of 21 patients. The experimental group had oxygen chamber therapy 10 times for 4 weeks. Thereafter the effects of oxygen chamber therapy on cold hypersensitivity was analyzed with t-text using SPSS for Windows version 21. Results: After the oxygen chamber therapy, experimental group had considerable improvement on cold hypersensitivity, in consequence of decreasing rate of thermal difference and VAS of cold hypersensitivity. Ear deafness and hand numbness were reported as an adverse effects in experimental group, but there was no serious adverse effects. Conclusions: This clinical trial showed oxygen chamber therapy could be effective and safe to reduce cold hypersensitivity.

Numerical Investigation on Experiment for Passive Containment Cooling System (피동 원자로건물 냉각계통 실험에 관한 수치적 연구)

  • Ha, Hui Un;Suh, Jung Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.35 no.3
    • /
    • pp.96-104
    • /
    • 2020
  • The numerical simulations were conducted to investigate the thermal-fluid phenomena occurred inside the experimental apparatus during a PCCS, used to remove heat released in accidents from a containment of light water nuclear power plant, operation. Numerical simulations of the flow and heat transfer caused by wall condensation inside the containment simulation vessel (CSV), which equipped with 18 vertical heat exchanger tubes, were conducted using the commercial computational fluid dynamics (CFD) software ANSYS-CFX. Shear stress transport (SST) and the wall condensation model were used for turbulence closure and wall condensation, respectively. The simulation using the actual size of the apparatus. However, rather than simulating the whole experimental apparatus in consideration of the experimental cases, calculation resources, and calculation time, the simulation model was prepared only in CSV. Selective simulation was conducted to verify the effects of non-condensable gas(NC gas) concentration, CSV internal pressure, and wall sub-cooling conditions. First, as a result of the internal flow of CSV, it was observed that downward flow due to condensation occurred surface of the vertical tube and upward flow occurred in the distant place. Natural convection occurred actively around the heat exchanger tube. Due to this rising and falling internal flow, natural circulation occurred actively around the heat exchanger tubes. Next, in order to check the performance of built-in condensation model using according to the non-condensable gas concentration, CSV internal flow and wall sub-cooling, the heat flux values were compared with the experimental results. On average, the results were underestimated with and error of about 25%. In addition, the influence of CSV internal pressure and wall sub-cooling was small, but when the condensate was highly generated due to the low non-condensable gas concentration, the error was large compared to the experimental values. This is considered to be due to the nature of the condensation model of the CFX code. However, in spite of the limitations of CFD, it is valid to use the built-in condensation model of CFD for PCCS performance prediction from a conservative perspective.

REL License Edit tool development for right integration use of multimedia resources (멀티미디어 자원의 저작권 통합 운용을 위한 REL 라이선스 저작 툴 개발)

  • 송병규;임산송;최종근;정회경
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05b
    • /
    • pp.221-224
    • /
    • 2004
  • By effect of infinity internet market copyright connection skills for extent extension of digital contents and profit rescue through this impoliticly research and develop. Contents protection techniques, management techniques, circulation techniques etc. are becoming development by contents circulation company and developers but that there is no standard as problem advances soul between copyright managerial system by development competition and in reciprocity compatibility tell. ISO MPEG commission arrived that develop MPEG-21 framework to solve problem that do that is to copyright management's opacity province that non efficiency and standard of contents distribution structure that do that is by redundancy investment are not. Data structure in Framework interior is doing and propose copyright expression language of XML base of REL to establish copyright connection data standard and normalized based on no XML. But, a tool that can be easy as must understand whole framework and can have problem in to edit REL and create copyright document fast was required. In this paper, research about method that edit REL document and develop and spend a edit tool that tan be that expressing intuitionally.

  • PDF

The Study on Knowledge Management Methodology Through the Reference Services, the Core of the Special Libraries (전문도서관 기반의 지식경영 방법론 연구 - 특히 참고 정보봉사를 중심으로 -)

  • Roh, Jeong-Ran
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
    • /
    • v.37 no.2
    • /
    • pp.343-364
    • /
    • 2003
  • The importance of Knowledge Management (KM) can be easily recognized in many diverse aspects of the theory studies and in KM's efforts to help implement the government's policy to innovate corporation management. The core of KM is to improve the circulation of knowledge by generation, accumulation, sharing, utilization and acquisition by learning. The improvement of knowledge circulation would result in high quality and quantity of intellectual assets in corporations and make decision-making more efficient. This, too, is the operational philosophy of the special libraries. The primary objective of this study is to promote KM by presenting KM methodology and by explaining a theoretical background and cases, based on the existing special libraries. I cite an example of a case wherein merging intellectual assets and human resources activated the company culture. The reference service system, which is the core of the special library, was used in this merging.

Development of Lashing Analysis Simulator for Container Vessel (컨테이너선의 래싱 어낼러시스 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Hwang Jin Wook;Yang Sung Ku;Hong Chung You;Park Jae Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05a
    • /
    • pp.90-95
    • /
    • 2004
  • Ail of the world, unification and extension of market enlarged scale of international commerce. Thus, not only production but also circulation of goods is brought into relief and transportation of most freights is performed using container. Container vessels are equipped with marry kinds of securing equipments such as Lashing, twistlock. Lashing is installed mainly in container vessel for the container stack with more than 3 containers. Damage of containers often arise from irrelevant lashing arrangement and bring economical loss. Much time and cost is requested for the Calculation of forces on container and determination of lashing arrangement In this study, We developed lashing analysis simulator which performs calculation and presenst relevant lashing arrangement. It will provide more convenient and efficient environment for lashing analysis.

  • PDF

A Study of the Use of Online Public Access Catalogs (온라인목록(Online Public Access Catalog : OPAC) 이용의 편이도에 관한 연구)

  • Ro Moon Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
    • /
    • v.19
    • /
    • pp.151-188
    • /
    • 1990
  • The aims of automation efforts in libraries are the rationalization of interval work and improvement of user services. After a period of exclusive internal computer utilization, later voluntary contact with the computer (e.g., circulation control with self services), patrons of American libraries now have to go to a computer terminal if they want certain information. Online public access catalogs(OPAC) have been used in American libraries since the end of the seventies. But OP AC are accepted by patron only if they have a useful and flexible user interface. This paper briefly describes the use of online catalogs in different type of libraries, categories of user (user, non-user), aspect of catalog use in context with computer experience etc. The disscussion then focuses on the characteristics of the final report of online catalog use study of Council on Library Resources and user problems in searching, as reported in many other catalog use studies.

  • PDF