• Title/Summary/Keyword: residual control chart

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Residual-based Robust CUSUM Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes (자기상관 공정 적용을 위한 잔차 기반 강건 누적합 관리도)

  • Lee, Hyun-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.52-61
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    • 2012
  • The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which is intractable in mathematical derivations, and thus any modification on the statistic can not be favorably made. We propose residual-based robust CUSUM control charts for monitoring autocorrelated processes. In order to incorporate the effects of ARMA modeling errors into the design method, we modify parameters (reference value and decision interval) of CUSUM control charts using the approximate expected variance of residuals generated in model uncertainty, rather than directly modify the form of the CUSUM statistic. The expected variance of residuals is derived using a second-order Taylor approximation and the general form is represented using the order of ARMA models with the sample size for ARMA modeling. Based on the Monte carlo simulation, we demonstrate that the proposed method can be effectively used for statistical process control (SPC) charts, which are robust to ARMA modeling errors.

Effects of Parameter Estimation in Phase I on Phase II Control Limits for Monitoring Autocorrelated Data (자기상관 데이터 모니터링에서 일단계 모수 추정이 이단계 관리한계선에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Lee, Sungim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1025-1034
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    • 2015
  • Traditional Shewhart control charts assume that the observations are independent over time. Current progress in measurement and data collection technology lead to the presence of autocorrelated process data that may affect poor performance in statistical process control. One of the most popular charts for autocorrelated data is to model a correlative structure with an appropriate time series model and apply control chart to the sequence of residuals. Model parameters are estimated by an in-control Phase I reference sample since they are usually unknown in practice. This paper deals with the effects of parameter estimation on Phase II control limits to monitor autocorrelated data.

Estimation of the Change Point in Monitoring the Mean of Autocorrelated Processes

  • Lee, Jae-Heon;Han, Jung-Hee;Jung, Sang-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2007
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the process change point when a control chart is used in monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as an AR(1) process plus an additional random error. The performance of the proposed MLE is compared to the performance of the built-in estimator when they are used in EWMA charts based on the residuals. The results show that the proposed MLE provides good performance in terms of both accuracy and precision of the estimator.

Change point estimators in monitoring the parameters of an IMA(1,1) model (누적이동평균(1,1) 모형에서 공정 변화시점의 추정)

  • Lee, Ho-Yun;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.435-443
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    • 2009
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the process change point when a control chart is used in monitoring the parameters of a process in which the observations can be modeled as a IMA(1,1).

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Antisymmetric S-curve Profile for Fast and Vibrationless Motion (고속 저진동 운동을 위한 비대칭 S-커브 프로파일)

  • Rew Keun-Ho;Kwon Jeong-Tae;Park Kyoung-Woo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.1012-1017
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    • 2006
  • By breaking the symmetry of the velocity profile in the S-curve, we developed a fast starting and smooth ending motion profile, named asymmetric S-curve(AS-curve). The problem for generating motion profile is formulated, and the algorithm for the AS-curve is derived and the flow chart of the AS-curve is illustrated. By various simulations, the derived algorithm is tested and shows the validity. This AS-curve can be applied to the high precision machines where fast and vibrationless motion is required in the near future.

A change point estimator in monitoring the parameters of a multivariate IMA(1, 1) model

  • Sohn, Sun-Yoel;Cho, Gyo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2015
  • Modern production process is a very complex structure combined observations which are correlated with several factors. When the error signal occurs in the process, it is very difficult to know the root causes of an out-of-control signal because of insufficient information. However, if we know the time of the change, the system can be controlled more easily. To know it, we derive a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the change point in a process when observations are from a multivariate IMA(1,1) process by monitoring residual vectors of the model. In this paper, numerical results show that the MLE of change point is effective in detecting changes in a process.

Procedure for monitoring autocorrelated processes using LSTM Autoencoder (LSTM Autoencoder를 이용한 자기상관 공정의 모니터링 절차)

  • Pyoungjin Ji;Jaeheon Lee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.191-207
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    • 2024
  • Many studies have been conducted to quickly detect out-of-control situations in autocorrelated processes. The most traditionally used method is a residual control chart, which uses residuals calculated from a fitted time series model. However, many procedures for monitoring autocorrelated processes using statistical learning methods have recently been proposed. In this paper, we propose a monitoring procedure using the latent vector of LSTM Autoencoder, a deep learning-based unsupervised learning method. We compare the performance of this procedure with the LSTM Autoencoder procedure based on the reconstruction error, the RNN classification procedure, and the residual charting procedure through simulation studies. Simulation results show that the performance of the proposed procedure and the RNN classification procedure are similar, but the proposed procedure has the advantage of being useful in processes where sufficient out-of-control data cannot be obtained, because it does not require out-of-control data for training.

Characteristics of Meteorological Parameters and Ionic Components in PM2.5 during Asian Dust Events on November 28 and 30, 2018 at Busan (부산지역 2018년 11월 28일과 11월 30일 황사 발생 시의 기상과 PM2.5 중의 이온성분 특성)

  • Jeon, Byung-Il
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.515-524
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    • 2022
  • This study investigated characteristics of meteorological parameters and ionic components of PM2.5 during Asian dust events on November 28 and 30, 2018 at Busan, Korea. The seasonal occurrence frequencies of Asian dust during 1960~2019 (60 years) were 81.7% in spring, 12.2% in winter, and 6.1% in autumn. Recently, autumn Asian dust occurrence in Busan has shown an increasing trend. The result of AWS (automatic weather station), surface weather chart, and backward trajectory analyses showed that the first Asian dust of Nov. 28, 2018, in Busan came with rapid speed through inner China and Bohai Bay from Mongolia. The second Asian dust of Nov. 30, 2018, in Busan seems to have resulted from advection and deposition of proximal residual materials. These results indicated that understanding the characteristics of meteorological parameters and ionic components of PM2.5 during Asian dust events could provide insights into establishing a control strategy for urban air quality.