• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.71-80
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• 2012

This paper introduces a new approach for evaluating reliability of a complex system in terms of distributional parameters where analytical determination of reliability is intractable. The concept of discrete approximation, reported in the literature so far, fails to meet the latter requirement in terms of distributional parameters. The current work aims at offering a bound based approach where reliability planners not only get a clear idea about the extent of error but also can manipulate in terms of distributional parameters. This reliability approximation has been under taken under the Weibull frame work which is the most widely used model for reliability analysis. Numerical study has been carried out to examine the strength of our proposed reliability approximation via closeness between the two reliability bounds. This approach will be very useful during the early stages of product design as the distributional parameters can be adjusted.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.389-399
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• 2007

In this paper, Bayes estimates for the parameters k, c and reliability function of the Burr type XII model based on a type II censored samples under asymmetric loss functions viz., LINEX and SQUAREX loss functions are obtained. An approximation based on the Laplace approximation method (Tierney and Kadane, 1986) is used for obtaining the Bayes estimators of the parameters and reliability function. In order to compare the Bayes estimators under squared error loss, LINEX and SQUAREX loss functions respectively and the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters and reliability function, Monte Carlo simulations are used.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산유체공학회 2005년도 추계 학술대회논문집
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• pp.99-104
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• 2005

For the efficient reliability analysis, Bi-direction two-point approximation(BTPA) method is developed which solves shortcomings of conventional two-point approximation(TPA) methods that generate an approximate surface with low accuracy or sometimes do an unstable approximate surface. The conventional reliability based design optimization(RBDO) methods require high computational cost compared with the deterministic design optimization(DO) methods. To overcome the computational inefficiency of RBDO, the approximate reliability analysis approaches on the TPA surface are proposed. Using these FORM and SORM analysis strategies, multi-point aerodynamic-structure interacted shape design optimizations with uncertainty are performed very efficiently.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제37권E호
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• pp.31-39
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• 1995

Weight minimization for the steel bridge girders using an approximation based optimization technique is presented. To accomplish this, an optimization oriented finite element program is used to achieve continuous weight reduction until the optimum is reached. To reduce computational cost, approximation techniques are adopted during the optimization process. Constraint deletion as well as intermediate design variables and responses are also used for higher qualitv of approximations and for a better convergence rate. Both the reliability and the effectiveness of the underlying optimization method are reviewed.

• 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.243-248
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• 2013

Reliability evaluation is important task in embedded system. It can avoid potential failures and manage the vulnerable components of embedded system effectively. Dynamic fault tree analysis is one of the reliability evaluation methods. It can represent dynamic characteristics of a system such as fault & error recovery, sequence-dependent failures. In this paper, the steering system, which is embedded system in vehicles, is represented using dynamic fault tree. We evaluate the steering system using approximation algorithm based on Simpson's rule. A set of simulation results shows that proposed method overcomes the low accuracy of classic approximation method without requiring no excessive calculation time of the Markov chain method.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.201-213
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• 1995

At present Level 2 and importance sampling methods are the main tools used to estimate reliability of structural systems. But sometimes application of these techniques to realistic problems involves certain difficulties. In order to overcome the difficulties it is suggested to use Monte Carlo simulation in combination with two other techniques-extreme value and tail entropy approximations; an appropriate Pearson's curve is fit to represent simulation results. On the basis of this approach an algorithm and computer program for structural reliability estimation are developed. A number of specially chosen numerical examples are considered with the aim of checking the accuracy of the approach and comparing it with the Level 2 and importance sampling methods. The field of application of the approach is revealed.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.51-63
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• 2016

Stress function of ball bearing is function of multiple stochastic factors and this system is so complex that analytical expression for reliability is difficult to obtain. To address this pressing problem, in this article, we have made an attempt to approximate system reliability of this important item based on reliability bounds under the stress strength setup. This article also provides level of error of this item. Numerical analysis has been adopted to show the closeness between the upper and lower bounds of this item.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.163-168
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• 2011

설계단계에서 시스템의 불확실성을 반영하려는 노력이 다양하게 이루어지고 있으며, 강건 최적설계 혹은 신뢰도 기반 최적설계는 이에 대한 대표적인 설계 방법론이다. 실제 문제에 이러한 방법론을 적용하기 위해서는 성능함수의 통계적 모멘트와 손상확률에 대한 정확하고 효율적인 추정 방법이 필요하고, 더불어 최적화를 위한 방향탐색과정에서 요구되는 민감도 해석의 정확성 및 효율성이 확보되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 함수근사모멘트 방법을 기존에 유도된 적분 형태의 민감도 해석 식에 적용하여 그 민감도 해석 결과의 정확성을 확인하고, 이를 대표적인 신뢰도 기반 최적설계 문제에 적용하고자 한다. 민감도 해석 결과 및 신뢰도 기반 최적설계 결과를 타방법의 결과와 비교하여 함수근사모멘트 방법의 타당성을 입증하고자 한다. 활용된 적분 형태의 민감도 해석은 손상확률 혹은 통계적 모멘트가 계산된 경우 추가적인 함수 계산 없이 민감도를 얻을 수 있는 효율적인 방법이다.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제67권4호
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• pp.505-511
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• 2018

Long term capacity expansion planning has to be carried out to satisfy pre-defined system reliability criterion. For purpose of assessing system reliability, probabilistic simulation technique has been widely adopted. However, the way how to approximate generator outage, especially maintenance outage, in probabilistic simulation scheme can significantly influence on reliability assessment. Therefore, in this paper, 3 different maintenance approximation methods are applied to investigate the quantitative impact of maintenance approximation method on long term capacity expansion planning.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1993년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문 및 초록집; 계명대학교, 대구; 30 Apr.-1 May 1993
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• pp.136-145
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• 1993

This paper considers a reliability problem as a special type of flow problem and presents an algorithm to evaluate the exact 2-terminal reliability of networks by using a backtracking technique. It employs a polygon-to-chain reduction in addition to series and parallel reduction techniques to reduce execution time. In comparisons, it presents a much better performance than other algorithms known to us. We also propose a methodology to apply the algorithm for approximation of the system reliability.