• 국제학술발표논문집
• /
• The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
• /
• pp.451-458
• /
• 2013

This research documents the initial findings and recommendations for developing a risk management tool to assess and quantify the risks associated with the construction of the next generation of nuclear power plants. The proposed tool builds upon the Construction Industry Institute's International Project Risk Assessment (IPRA) Best Practice. This paper provides an overview of the investigation to assess the unique risk elements pertaining to nuclear power plant construction and documents the preliminary findings from historical project performance data to better understand the function and use of the IPRA's Relative Impact value.

• Journal of health informatics and statistics
• /
• 제43권4호
• /
• pp.318-328
• /
• 2018

Objectives: People are living longer, but often with diseases or chronic conditions. As a consequence, interest in resolving insurance blind spots is growing. This study provides substandard risk-relevant statistics to help substandard risks who are likely to fall in insurance blind spots obtain insurance coverage, such as the reimbursement of medical costs, as well as to stimulate insurance product development. Methods: This study uses National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) cohort data to determine the relevant statistics. The incidence rates of severe diseases are derived and compared against standard risks to establish a set of relative risk factors. These incidence rates of standard and substandard risks are then compared. Results: Currently, an individual's cancer history is used in the underwriting process for simplified issue insurance. However, underwriting focusing on hospitalization and procedures related to serious illnesses could lower premiums for substandard risks. Moreover, the statistical results could be used to expand the coverage of health insurance products. Conclusions: This study's relative risk factors can be used to derive simplified issue premium rates for substandard risks. They can also be used to implement discount and loading schemes for medical reimbursement insurance and help insurance companies implement proactive risk management.

• 한국독성학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국독성학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.58-58
• /
• 2003

Aflatoxins are metabolites of fungi Aspergillus spp. that world-widely contaminate diverse foodstuffs including com and peanuts. It is well known that aflatoxins are highly mutagenic, carcinogenic and possibly teratogenic. Although aflatoxins have received the great attention among the various mycotoxins due to their potent hepatocarcinogenicity in certain species, it is extremely crucial to elucidate the relative toxicity and carcinogenicity of the types (B$_1$, B$_2$, G$_1$ and G$_2$) of aflatoxins for the risk assessment.(omitted)

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제34권6호
• /
• pp.13-21
• /
• 2019

Leakage accidents in businesses dealing with hazardous chemicals can have a great impact on the workers inside the workplace, as well as residents outside the workplace. In fact, there were cases where hazardous chemicals leaked from many businesses. As a result, the Chemicals Control Act(CCA) was enacted in 2015, the Ministry of Environment introduced an Off-site Risk Assessment(ORA). The purpose of the ORA is to secure safety from the installation of the design of the workplace facilities so that chemical accidents of hazardous chemical handling facilities do not cause human or physical damage outside the workplace. In general, the ORA qualitatively determines where a protected facility is within the scope of the accident scenario. However, elderly who belong to the sensitive group is more sensitive than the general group under the same chemical accident effect, and the extent of the damage is serious. According to data from the Korea National Statistic Office, the number of elderly people is expected to increase steadily. Therefore, a quantitative risk analysis considering the elderly is necessary as a result of a chemical accident. In this study, accident scenarios for 14 locations were set up to perform emergency evacuation due to toxic gas leakage of Cl₂(Chlorine) and HF(Hydrogen Fluoride), and the effects of exposure were analyzed based on the evacuation velocity difference of age 20s and 60s. The ALOHA(Areal Locations of Hazardous Atmospheres) program was used to calculate the concentration for assessing the effects. The time of exposure to toxic gas was calculated based on the time it took for the evacuation to run from the start point to the desired point and a methodology was devised that could be applied to the risk calculation. As a result of the study, the relative risk of the elderly, the sensitive group, needs to be determined.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
• /
• 제33권6호
• /
• pp.63-71
• /
• 2019

본 연구에서는 화재발생 현황 및 용도별 건축물 통계데이터를 활용하여 전국의 용도별 건축물의 화재위험도를 정량적으로 분석하였다. 화재 및 건축물 통계는 최근 10년간(2008~2017) 데이터를 이용하였으며, 「건축법」과 「소방시설 설치유지 및 안전관리에 관한 법률 시행령」을 통해 용도를 분류하여 자연적 구분법(Natural breaks)으로 상대평가를 실시하여 리스크 매트릭스로 나타내었다. 또한, 본 연구에서 도출한 리스크 매트릭스의 적합성을 검증하기 위하여 2018년도 위험도 등급을 지난 10년 데이터와 비교·분석을 진행한 결과, 위락시설에서 위험도가 IV등급에서 II 등급으로 감소한 결과를 제외하고는 대부분의 시설이 유사한 위험도를 나타내고 있어 과거와 현재의 데이터 상관성이 유효한 것을 확인하여 분류방법이 적절한 것으로 판단하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 자연적 구분법을 이용한 화재위험도 평가방법은 화재예방에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 확인되었다.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
• /
• 제7권1호
• /
• pp.17-29
• /
• 1993

본 연구는 석유/화학공장에서의 위험성 평가에 관한 것으로써, 특히 물질과 공정의 위험에 관한 상대적 평가를 수행할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 즉, 물질의 위험과, 공정이 내포하고 있는 위험을 각각 고려하여 이를 종합화하였으며, 최종적으로 화재, 폭발 지수를 산정하였다. 물질계수는 인화성과 반응성으로 산정하였고, 공정 지수는 penalty라 부르는 경험적 수치를 사용하였다. 이 F&EI는 전 공정에 적용하여 위험의 상대적 평가를 실시할 수 있으며 현장에서의 직접 적용도 가능하다.

• Smart Structures and Systems
• /
• 제26권2호
• /
• pp.175-184
• /
• 2020

Conventional Monte Carlo simulation-based methods for seismic risk assessment of water networks often require excessive computational time costs due to the hydraulic analysis. In this study, an Artificial Neural Network-based surrogate model was proposed to efficiently evaluate the flow-based system reliability of water distribution networks. The surrogate model was constructed with appropriate training parameters through trial-and-error procedures. Furthermore, a deep neural network with hidden layers and neurons was composed for the high-dimensional network. For network training, the input of the neural network was defined as the damage states of the k-dimensional network facilities, and the output was defined as the network system performance. To generate training data, random sampling was performed between earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and 7.5, and hydraulic analyses were conducted to evaluate network performance. For a hydraulic simulation, EPANET-based MATLAB code was developed, and a pressure-driven analysis approach was adopted to represent an unsteady-state network. To demonstrate the constructed surrogate model, the actual water distribution network of A-city, South Korea, was adopted, and the network map was reconstructed from the geographic information system data. The surrogate model was able to predict network performance within a 3% relative error at trained epicenters in drastically reduced time. In addition, the accuracy of the surrogate model was estimated to within 3% relative error (5% for network performance lower than 0.2) at different epicenters to verify the robustness of the epicenter location. Therefore, it is concluded that ANN-based surrogate model can be utilized as an alternative model for efficient seismic risk assessment to within 5% of relative error.

• Toxicological Research
• /
• 제30권1호
• /
• pp.39-44
• /
• 2014

Bisphenol A (BPA) is widely used in the production of polycarbonate plastics, epoxy resins, and food and beverage containers. In the present study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between urinary concentrations of BPA and waist circumference in Korean adults. A total of 1,030 Korean adults (mean age, $44.3{\pm}14.6$ years) were enrolled in the study on the integrated exposure to hazardous materials for safety control, conducted by the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety from 2010 to 2012. Abdominal obesity was defined as having a waist circumference of at least 90 cm and 85 cm for men and women, respectively. The participants were divided into 4 groups according to the urinary BPA concentration quartile. Waist circumference was significantly higher among subjects with a urinary BPA concentration in the highest quartile relative to those in the lowest quartile (p = 0.0071). Linear regression analysis revealed a significant positive association between urinary BPA concentrations and body mass index, body fat, after adjusting for potential confounders. Moreover, subjects with urinary BPA concentrations in the fourth quartile were more likely to be obese compared to those with urinary BPA concentrations in the first quartile (odds ratio, 1.938; 95% CI: 1.314~2.857; p for trend = 0.0106). These findings provide evidence for a positive association between urinary BPA concentration and waist circumference in Korean adults.

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제35권6호
• /
• pp.78-84
• /
• 2020

The F&EI technique is one of the risk assessments with many advantages. It can save time and effort compared to quantitative risk assessment (QRA). By using the evaluation result of this technique, it is possible to check the effectiveness of the investment cost. In addition, a relative risk ranking can be created and used to establish the facility management cycle and to prioritize investment. However, evaluating the target process can be evaluated more than the actual risk since the LCCF, a loss prevention measure, is too limited. In addition, calculating premiums via this method can result in excessive premiums, making it difficult to evaluate the risk precisely. Therefore, new safety guard was added to the LCCF of the F&EI risk assessment with reference to HAZOP and LOPA techniques. Newly added LCCFs are Deflagration arrester, Check valve, SIS, and Vacuum beaker, etc. As a case study, F&EI risk assessment was performed on Acetone storage tank of a API (Active pharmaceutical ingredient) plant to compare actual MPPD. The estimated loss amount was 592,558$ for the existing technique and 563,571$ for the improved technique, which was reduced by about 5% compared to the previous one.This proved that a more precise evaluation is possible and that the efforts for safety at the workplace are reflected in the evaluation results.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
• /
• 제17권4호
• /
• pp.20-27
• /
• 2003

화학공장은 위험한 물리 화학적 특성을 가진 많은 물질들을 다루기 때문에 다른 어떤 공장보다 더 사고의 위험성이 크다. 띠라서 화학공장에서의 각 장치에 대한 위험성 평가는 반드시 필요하다. 현재 사용되고 있는 위험성 평가 방법은 정성적 또는 정량적인 방법으로 각각 개별적으로 적용되는데 정성적, 정량적의 통합된 방법을 적용하면 빠르고 쉽게 적용할 수 있다는 정성적인 방법의 장점과 정밀하게 평가될 수 있다는 정량적인 방법의 장점을 모두 갖출 수 있다. 이러한 통합된 위험성 평가방법을 적용하고 자동화한 ASCA(Automated System for Hazard Screening & Analysis)라는 S/W를 개발하여 실제 공정에 적용하였다. 본 연구에서는 방향족 긍정 중 H.T.U(Hydrotreating Unit)에 대하여 ASCA를 적용하여 각 장치의 상대 순위를 알아보고 D-101이라는 저장탱크에서 단열 실패로 온도 상승이 일어난 경우의 장치고장으로 인한 변수 이상과 발생 가능한 사고의 영향을 알아보았다. 이러한 통합 위험성 평가 시스템을 화학공장에 적용하여 봄으로써 사고 시나리오를 세워서 사고에 대한 비상사태를 대처할 수 있는 능력을 키울 수 있으며 사고를 예방할 수 있을 것이다.