• Title/Summary/Keyword: reentry prediction analysis

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Analysis of Reentry Prediction of CZ-5B Rocket Body (창정 5B호 발사체의 재진입 시점 예측 분석)

  • Seong, Jaedong;Jung, Okchul;Jung, Youeyun;Chung, Daewon
    • Journal of Space Technology and Applications
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2021
  • This paper represents a reentry time prediction analysis of CZ-5B rocket-body in China, subject to analysis of the Inter-Agency Space Debris Coordination Committee Reentry (IADC) reentry test campaign conducted in May 2021. Predicting the reentry of space objects is difficult to accurately predict due to the lack of accurate physical information about target, and uncertainty in atmospheric density. Therefore, IADC conducts annual re-entry campaigns to verify analysis techniques by each agency, and the Korea Aerospace Research Institute has also participated in them since 2015. Ballistic coefficient estimation method proposed to predict target reentry time and the result confirmed the difference of 73 seconds, which confirms the accuracy of the proposed method.

A Study on Re-entry Predictions of Uncontrolled Space Objects for Space Situational Awareness

  • Choi, Eun-Jung;Cho, Sungki;Lee, Deok-Jin;Kim, Siwoo;Jo, Jung Hyun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2017
  • The key risk analysis technologies for the re-entry of space objects into Earth's atmosphere are divided into four categories: cataloguing and databases of the re-entry of space objects, lifetime and re-entry trajectory predictions, break-up models after re-entry and multiple debris distribution predictions, and ground impact probability models. In this study, we focused on reentry prediction, including orbital lifetime assessments, for space situational awareness systems. Re-entry predictions are very difficult and are affected by various sources of uncertainty. In particular, during uncontrolled re-entry, large spacecraft may break into several pieces of debris, and the surviving fragments can be a significant hazard for persons and properties on the ground. In recent years, specific methods and procedures have been developed to provide clear information for predicting and analyzing the re-entry of space objects and for ground-risk assessments. Representative tools include object reentry survival analysis tool (ORSAT) and debris assessment software (DAS) developed by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), spacecraft atmospheric re-entry and aerothermal break-up (SCARAB) and debris risk assessment and mitigation analysis (DRAMA) developed by European Space Agency (ESA), and semi-analytic tool for end of life analysis (STELA) developed by Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES). In this study, various surveys of existing re-entry space objects are reviewed, and an efficient re-entry prediction technique is suggested based on STELA, the life-cycle analysis tool for satellites, and DRAMA, a re-entry analysis tool. To verify the proposed method, the re-entry of the Tiangong-1 Space Lab, which is expected to re-enter Earth's atmosphere shortly, was simulated. Eventually, these results will provide a basis for space situational awareness risk analyses of the re-entry of space objects.

Analysis of payload compartment venting of satellite launch vehicle

  • Mehta, R.C.
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.437-448
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    • 2017
  • The problem of flow through the vent is formulated as an unsteady, nonlinear, ordinary differential equation and solved using Runge-Kutta method to obtain pressure inside payload faring. An inverse problem for prediction of the discharge coefficient is presented employing measured internal pressure of the payload fairing during the ascent phase of a satellite launch vehicle. A controlled random search method is used to estimate the discharge coefficient from the measured transient pressure history during the ascent period of the launch vehicle. The algorithm predicts the discharge coefficient stepwise with function of Mach number. The estimated values of the discharge coefficients are in good agreement with differential pressure measured during the flight of typical satellite launch vehicle.

공력가열 시험설비 설계

  • Ok, Ho-Nam;Kim, In-Sun;Ra, Seung-Ho;Kim, Seong-Lyong;Cho, Gwang-Rae
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.155-169
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    • 2004
  • Space launch vehicles and reentry vehicles are exposed to extreme heating conditions due to high aerodynamic heating while flying at high Mach numbers in the atmosphere. To protect the vehicle itself or the payload from the aerodynamic heating, the thermal load imposed on the surface should be exactly predicted and proper thermal protection should be applied based on the prediction results. But this requires rigorous thermal analysis and testing to prevent loss of payload capacity caused by excessive heat shielding, and the amount of thermal protection material to be applied is determined through aerodynamic heating tests. Various design points to be considered to upgrade the prototype aerodynamic thermal simulation facility(ATSF) used for the KSR-series sounding rocket development to the one suitable for the KSLV(Korean Space Launch Vehicle)-series launch vehicle are considered in this research. The need and limitation for the facility are first considered, and the functions required for KSLV testing are determined. The specifications of the upgraded facility are briefly suggested and these results will be used for the future fabrication and installation of the facility.

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Business Failure: Overview and Research Trend (사업실패에 관한 국내외 연구동향)

  • Bae, Tae Jun;Choi, Yun Hyeong
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.43-75
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    • 2020
  • The main purpose of this study is to analyze research trend of 'business failure' from academic papers published in Asia Pacific Journal of Small Business. In this review, first, we reviewed research trend of failure, published in academic journals at abroad, explored the major topics, and set forth the framework of classification. Second, we selected and analyzed 16 Korean articles in a refined search from total 1,060 articles published in Asia Pacific Journal of Small Business from 1979 to 2019. Third, in order to understand overall research trend in Korea, additional publication search was done by online database system using keywords, and 24 other articles were selected. As a result, five research themes were identified and analyzed: (1) bankruptcy prediction, (2) emotion before and after failure, (3) costs of failure, (4) causes of failure, and (5) reentry determinants. We believe that this purposed review will offer future research issues regarding business failure.