• Title/Summary/Keyword: real-time recurrent neural network

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Linkage of Hydrological Model and Machine Learning for Real-time Prediction of River Flood (수문모형과 기계학습을 연계한 실시간 하천홍수 예측)

  • Lee, Jae Yeong;Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2020
  • The hydrological characteristics of watersheds and hydraulic systems of urban and river floods are highly nonlinear and contain uncertain variables. Therefore, the predicted time series of rainfall-runoff data in flood analysis is not suitable for existing neural networks. To overcome the challenge of prediction, a NARX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Exogenous Model), which is a kind of recurrent dynamic neural network that maximizes the learning ability of a neural network, was applied to forecast a flood in real-time. At the same time, NARX has the characteristics of a time-delay neural network. In this study, a hydrological model was constructed for the Taehwa river basin, and the NARX time-delay parameter was adjusted 10 to 120 minutes. As a result, we found that precise prediction is possible as the time-delay parameter was increased by confirming that the NSE increased from 0.530 to 0.988 and the RMSE decreased from 379.9 ㎥/s to 16.1 ㎥/s. The machine learning technique with NARX will contribute to the accurate prediction of flow rate with an unexpected extreme flood condition.

Prediction of Baltic Dry Index by Applications of Long Short-Term Memory (Long Short-Term Memory를 활용한 건화물운임지수 예측)

  • HAN, Minsoo;YU, Song-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.497-508
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to overcome limitations of conventional studies that to predict Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The study proposed applications of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) named Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to predict BDI. Methods: The BDI time-series prediction was carried out through eight variables related to the dry bulk market. The prediction was conducted in two steps. First, identifying the goodness of fitness for the BDI time-series of specific ANN models and determining the network structures to be used in the next step. While using ANN's generalization capability, the structures determined in the previous steps were used in the empirical prediction step, and the sliding-window method was applied to make a daily (one-day ahead) prediction. Results: At the empirical prediction step, it was possible to predict variable y(BDI time series) at point of time t by 8 variables (related to the dry bulk market) of x at point of time (t-1). LSTM, known to be good at learning over a long period of time, showed the best performance with higher predictive accuracy compared to Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). Conclusion: Applying this study to real business would require long-term predictions by applying more detailed forecasting techniques. I hope that the research can provide a point of reference in the dry bulk market, and furthermore in the decision-making and investment in the future of the shipping business as a whole.

Parameter Estimation of Recurrent Neural Networks Using A Unscented Kalman Filter Training Algorithm and Its Applications to Nonlinear Channel Equalization (언센티드 칼만필터 훈련 알고리즘에 의한 순환신경망의 파라미터 추정 및 비선형 채널 등화에의 응용)

  • Kwon Oh-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.552-559
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    • 2005
  • Recurrent neural networks(RNNs) trained with gradient based such as real time recurrent learning(RTRL) has a drawback of slor convergence rate. This algorithm also needs the derivative calculation which is not trivialized in error back propagation process. In this paper a derivative free Kalman filter, so called the unscented Kalman filter(UKF), for training a fully connected RNN is presented in a state space formulation of the system. A derivative free Kalman filler learning algorithm makes the RNN have fast convergence speed and good tracking performance without the derivative computation. Through experiments of nonlinear channel equalization, performance of the RNNs with a derivative free Kalman filter teaming algorithm is evaluated.

River streamflow prediction using a deep neural network: a case study on the Red River, Vietnam

  • Le, Xuan-Hien;Ho, Hung Viet;Lee, Giha
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.843-856
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    • 2019
  • Real-time flood prediction has an important role in significantly reducing potential damage caused by floods for urban residential areas located downstream of river basins. This paper presents an effective approach for flood forecasting based on the construction of a deep neural network (DNN) model. In addition, this research depends closely on the open-source software library, TensorFlow, which was developed by Google for machine and deep learning applications and research. The proposed model was applied to forecast the flowrate one, two, and three days in advance at the Son Tay hydrological station on the Red River, Vietnam. The input data of the model was a series of discharge data observed at five gauge stations on the Red River system, without requiring rainfall data, water levels and topographic characteristics. The research results indicate that the DNN model achieved a high performance for flood forecasting even though only a modest amount of data is required. When forecasting one and two days in advance, the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) reached 0.993 and 0.938, respectively. The findings of this study suggest that the DNN model can be used to construct a real-time flood warning system on the Red River and for other river basins in Vietnam.

Recognition of Characters Printed on PCB Components Using Deep Neural Networks (심층신경망을 이용한 PCB 부품의 인쇄문자 인식)

  • Cho, Tai-Hoon
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2021
  • Recognition of characters printed or marked on the PCB components from images captured using cameras is an important task in PCB components inspection systems. Previous optical character recognition (OCR) of PCB components typically consists of two stages: character segmentation and classification of each segmented character. However, character segmentation often fails due to corrupted characters, low image contrast, etc. Thus, OCR without character segmentation is desirable and increasingly used via deep neural networks. Typical implementation based on deep neural nets without character segmentation includes convolutional neural network followed by recurrent neural network (RNN). However, one disadvantage of this approach is slow execution due to RNN layers. LPRNet is a segmentation-free character recognition network with excellent accuracy proved in license plate recognition. LPRNet uses a wide convolution instead of RNN, thus enabling fast inference. In this paper, LPRNet was adapted for recognizing characters printed on PCB components with fast execution and high accuracy. Initial training with synthetic images followed by fine-tuning on real text images yielded accurate recognition. This net can be further optimized on Intel CPU using OpenVINO tool kit. The optimized version of the network can be run in real-time faster than even GPU.

A Study on Development of Embedded System for Speech Recognition using Multi-layer Recurrent Neural Prediction Models & HMM (다층회귀신경예측 모델 및 HMM 를 이용한 임베디드 음성인식 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jung hoon;Jang, Won il;Kim, Young tak;Lee, Sang bae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.273-278
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, the recurrent neural networks (RNN) is applied to compensate for HMM recognition algorithm, which is commonly used as main recognizer. Among these recurrent neural networks, the multi-layer recurrent neural prediction model (MRNPM), which allows operating in real-time, is used to implement learning and recognition, and HMM and MRNPM are used to design a hybrid-type main recognizer. After testing the designed speech recognition algorithm with Korean number pronunciations (13 words), which are hardly distinct, for its speech-independent recognition ratio, about 5% improvement was obtained comparing with existing HMM recognizers. Based on this result, only optimal (recognition) codes were extracted in the actual DSP (TMS320C6711) environment, and the embedded speech recognition system was implemented. Similarly, the implementation result of the embedded system showed more improved recognition system implementation than existing solid HMM recognition systems.

Gated Recurrent Unit Architecture for Context-Aware Recommendations with improved Similarity Measures

  • Kala, K.U.;Nandhini, M.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.538-561
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    • 2020
  • Recommender Systems (RecSys) have a major role in e-commerce for recommending products, which they may like for every user and thus improve their business aspects. Although many types of RecSyss are there in the research field, the state of the art RecSys has focused on finding the user similarity based on sequence (e.g. purchase history, movie-watching history) analyzing and prediction techniques like Recurrent Neural Network in Deep learning. That is RecSys has considered as a sequence prediction problem. However, evaluation of similarities among the customers is challenging while considering temporal aspects, context and multi-component ratings of the item-records in the customer sequences. For addressing this issue, we are proposing a Deep Learning based model which learns customer similarity directly from the sequence to sequence similarity as well as item to item similarity by considering all features of the item, contexts, and rating components using Dynamic Temporal Warping(DTW) distance measure for dynamic temporal matching and 2D-GRU (Two Dimensional-Gated Recurrent Unit) architecture. This will overcome the limitation of non-linearity in the time dimension while measuring the similarity, and the find patterns more accurately and speedily from temporal and spatial contexts. Experiment on the real world movie data set LDOS-CoMoDa demonstrates the efficacy and promising utility of the proposed personalized RecSys architecture.

DR-LSTM: Dimension reduction based deep learning approach to predict stock price

  • Ah-ram Lee;Jae Youn Ahn;Ji Eun Choi;Kyongwon Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.213-234
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    • 2024
  • In recent decades, increasing research attention has been directed toward predicting the price of stocks in financial markets using deep learning methods. For instance, recurrent neural network (RNN) is known to be competitive for datasets with time-series data. Long short term memory (LSTM) further improves RNN by providing an alternative approach to the gradient loss problem. LSTM has its own advantage in predictive accuracy by retaining memory for a longer time. In this paper, we combine both supervised and unsupervised dimension reduction methods with LSTM to enhance the forecasting performance and refer to this as a dimension reduction based LSTM (DR-LSTM) approach. For a supervised dimension reduction method, we use methods such as sliced inverse regression (SIR), sparse SIR, and kernel SIR. Furthermore, principal component analysis (PCA), sparse PCA, and kernel PCA are used as unsupervised dimension reduction methods. Using datasets of real stock market index (S&P 500, STOXX Europe 600, and KOSPI), we present a comparative study on predictive accuracy between six DR-LSTM methods and time series modeling.

Ship Motion-Based Prediction of Damage Locations Using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory

  • Son, Hye-young;Kim, Gi-yong;Kang, Hee-jin;Choi, Jin;Lee, Dong-kon;Shin, Sung-chul
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.295-302
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    • 2022
  • The initial response to a marine accident can play a key role to minimize the accident. Therefore, various decision support systems have been developed using sensors, simulations, and active response equipment. In this study, we developed an algorithm to predict damage locations using ship motion data with bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM), a type of recurrent neural network. To reflect the low frequency ship motion characteristics, 200 time-series data collected for 100 s were considered as input values. Heave, roll, and pitch were used as features for the prediction model. The F1-score of the BiLSTM model was 0.92; this was an improvement over the F1-score of 0.90 of a prior model. Furthermore, 53 of 75 locations of damage had an F1-score above 0.90. The model predicted the damage location with high accuracy, allowing for a quick initial response even if the ship did not have flood sensors. The model can be used as input data with high accuracy for a real-time progressive flooding simulator on board.

Social Media based Real-time Event Detection by using Deep Learning Methods

  • Nguyen, Van Quan;Yang, Hyung-Jeong;Kim, Young-chul;Kim, Soo-hyung;Kim, Kyungbaek
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2017
  • Event detection using social media has been widespread since social network services have been an active communication channel for connecting with others, diffusing news message. Especially, the real-time characteristic of social media has created the opportunity for supporting for real-time applications/systems. Social network such as Twitter is the potential data source to explore useful information by mining messages posted by the user community. This paper proposed a novel system for temporal event detection by analyzing social data. As a result, this information can be used by first responders, decision makers, or news agents to gain insight of the situation. The proposed approach takes advantages of deep learning methods that play core techniques on the main tasks including informative data identifying from a noisy environment and temporal event detection. The former is the responsibility of Convolutional Neural Network model trained from labeled Twitter data. The latter is for event detection supported by Recurrent Neural Network module. We demonstrated our approach and experimental results on the case study of earthquake situations. Our system is more adaptive than other systems used traditional methods since deep learning enables to extract the features of data without spending lots of time constructing feature by hand. This benefit makes our approach adaptive to extend to a new context of practice. Moreover, the proposed system promised to respond to acceptable delay within several minutes that will helpful mean for supporting news channel agents or belief plan in case of disaster events.