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Policy Diagnoses and Prescriptions of Crisis on Industrial Regions in the Republic of Korea (한국 산업위기지역에 대한 정책적 진단과 처방)

  • Jung, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.237-245
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    • 2019
  • The aim of this article is to introduce articles of the special issue on 'Revitalization Conditions on Crisis on Industrial Regions: Experience from Europe and the Republic of Korea, and to explore policy alternatives to crisis on industrial regions on the basis of policy diagnoses and prescriptions. In the existing research, diagnoses of such Korean regions are quantitatively focused upon industry, employment, plant, consumption, investment, real estate, and labour market, and are qualitatively based upon external environment and functional, structural and spatial characteristics. Prescriptions of such regions emphasize the establishment of a law and an institutional fix, financial supports, jobs' creation, industrial diversification, the intensification of urban foundation throughout the urban revitalizaion. In the policy development for these regions, it is required to link the industrial sector to social, educational, political and welfare sectors, and furthermore the collaboration of inter- and intra-ministry and the active participation of provincial and local governments are needed.

An Economic Evaluation Study of Office Remodeling and Green-remodeling Projects : A Simulation Approach to a Rental Office in GBD, Seoul (생애주기를 고려한 오피스 건물의 리모델링과 그린리모델링의 경제성 평가 연구 : 서울시 강남업무지구의 임대오피스 사례)

  • Lee, Seong-Ho;Lee, Jae-Su
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2018
  • Due to a waste of energy in korea, about 525,000 which are 75 percent of total buildings are at least 15 years old buildings that need remodeling. There are two current remodeling systems. One is a remodeling system to reduce a waste of resources from the reconstruction. The other is a green-remodeling system aimed to energy savings and reducing environmental costs. This study is to analyze quantitatively these current systems with respect to the cost-benefit caused by the life cycle and suggests the political and institutional implications through the interpretation of the results. For a quantitative analysis, we analyzed reducing maintenance costs and rent benefits with simulation by using opportunity costs, construction costs, plan costs and supervision costs as expense variables and using the reduced floor area ratio, institutional incentives, energy, water resources and certified emission reduction(CER) as benefit variables. As a result of the empirical study, the green-modeling was more beneficial in the field of environment such as the energy savings, however, the final benefits of remodeling which has no green building certification costs but more floor area ratio incentives were more economical. The green-remodeling system focused on reducing environmental costs and energy savings needs a equatable institutional incentive system.

A Study on the Need to Introduce Super-Long-Term Mortgage to Expand Freedom of Housing Choice (주거선택 자유 확대를 위한 초장기 모기지 도입 필요성에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Sung-Hyun;Hong, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to find a reasonable solution that is compatible with the government's policy on calming the overheated housing market and the needs of prospective home buyers. For this purpose, this study analyzed the current state of the housing market and looked at the root cause of the people's desire to purchase housing. And this study suggested the need to introduce a super-long-term mortgage system that can help people choose whether to own or rent a house in accordance with individual preferences. The super-long-term mortgage system would be useful in that the majority of people who currently use mortgages prefer long-term loan products and that it could provide a chance to "get their own homes" by easing the monthly repayment burden for those who want to have homes. If the system is introduced in the future, it is necessary to make efforts for stable operation such as risk-hedge. In particular, the government should apply a limited application to end-users so that they can curb rising housing prices and contribute to stabilizing housing prices.

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Public Health: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh

  • SIDDIQUE, Fahimul Kader;HASAN, K.B.M. Rajibul;CHOWDHURY, Shanjida;RAHMAN, Mahfujur;RAISA, Tahsin Sharmila;ZAYED, Nurul Mohammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2021
  • Health is an outset of psychological, social, financial, and physical state. Several macroeconomic factors are entangled with health and mortality. Infant mortality and life expectancy are two keyguard on demographic research context on last few decades. On the other hand, foreign inflows play an unprecedent role for raising economic circulation and providing more opportunities to build a better society. The study aims to investigate the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, and Bangladesh's health. This study employs time-series data from 1980 to 2018. Results show, with Auto-regressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) model, that there is significant cointegration among variables. Foreign investment and economic output relate significantly and positively to health. On the contrary, education is quasi-linked with a different sign-on different model. For model validation, pitfalls of time-series multicollinearity, heteroscedasiticy, and autocorrelation are not present. Also, CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests are validating the model as stable and fit for future prediction. Medical assessment and education need more attention from the government as well as the private sector. FDI can play a catalyst role for improving the health sector, raising opportunity in educating and creating a better lifestyle. In order to optimize foreign investment, the government should implement necessary reforms and policies.

UC Model with ARIMA Trend and Forecasting U.S. GDP (ARIMA 추세의 비관측요인 모형과 미국 GDP에 대한 예측력)

  • Lee, Young Soo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 2017
  • In a typical trend-cycle decomposition of GDP, the trend component is usually assumed to follow a random walk process. This paper considers an ARIMA trend and assesses the validity of the ARIMA trend model. I construct univariate and bivariate unobserved-components(UC) models, allowing the ARIMA trend. Estimation results using U.S. data are favorable to the ARIMA trend models. I, also, compare the forecasting performance of the UC models. Dynamic pseudo-out-of-sample forecasting exercises are implemented with recursive estimations. I find that the bivariate model outperforms the univariate model, the smoothed estimates of trend and cycle components deliver smaller forecasting errors compared to the filtered estimates, and, most importantly, allowing for the ARIMA trend can lead to statistically significant gains in forecast accuracy, providing support for the ARIMA trend model. It is worthy of notice that trend shocks play the main source of the output fluctuation if the ARIMA trend is allowed in the UC model.

Demand Prediction of Furniture Component Order Using Deep Learning Techniques (딥러닝 기법을 활용한 가구 부자재 주문 수요예측)

  • Kim, Jae-Sung;Yang, Yeo-Jin;Oh, Min-Ji;Lee, Sung-Woong;Kwon, Sun-dong;Cho, Wan-Sup
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2020
  • Despite the recent economic contraction caused by the Corona 19 incident, interest in the residential environment is growing as more people live at home due to the increase in telecommuting, thereby increasing demand for remodeling. In addition, the government's real estate policy is also expected to have a visible impact on the sales of the interior and furniture industries as it shifts from regulatory policy to the expansion of housing supply. Accurate demand forecasting is a problem directly related to inventory management, and a good demand forecast can reduce logistics and inventory costs due to overproduction by eliminating the need to have unnecessary inventory. However, it is a difficult problem to predict accurate demand because external factors such as constantly changing economic trends, market trends, and social issues must be taken into account. In this study, LSTM model and 1D-CNN model were compared and analyzed by artificial intelligence-based time series analysis method to produce reliable results for manufacturers producing furniture components.

Urban Tissue, Zoning and Achieved Floor Area Ratio (A-FAR) - Focused on Developed Floor Area Ratio (D-FAR) Compared to the Legal Floor Area Ratio (L-FAR) in Residential Area and Commercial Area in Seoul - (용적실현비(A-FAR)에 영향을 미치는 용도지역별 대지특성에 대한 분석 - 서울시 주거지역 및 상업지역에서 법정용적률(L-FAR) 대비 실현된 용적률(D-FAR)을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Soo Hyun;Choi, Chang Gyu
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.33-45
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    • 2019
  • The Legal Floor Area Ratio (L-FAR) has been used as a major urban planning tool for efficient management of land use, landscape, and density. The Developed Floor Area Ratio (D-FAR) in each parcel is realized by such physical and institutional factors as urban tissue, local characteristics, and zoning with the L-FAR. The Achieved Floor Area Ratio (A-FAR), the ratio of the D-FAR to the L-FAR, is the relationship between realized density and the intended/desired outcomes of the regulations. The A-FAR informs the efficiency of L-FAR and its effect on parcels, and is an indicator of the demands of real estate developments under the zoning regulation. This study used detailed data of each parcel's characteristics, including parcel size, road width, and the number of roads bordered by a parcel, to identify the influencing factors on A-FAR. This analysis confirmed that the parcel size has a non-linear negative effect in the residential zone but a linear positive effect on A-FAR in the commercial zone. The width of the parcel's frontage in the commercial zone has a positive effect on the value, while in the residential zone the narrower width has higher A-FAR. In Seoul, the residential zone has higher A-FAR than the commercial zone, which means that the former has a relatively higher development pressure but a lower designated L-FAR. This result reflects that Seoul's residential zone absorbs the demand of commercial uses because of the significant permitting of mixed land use and has high-density residential buildings.

A Study on the Environmental Enhancement of the Development Restricted Zone(DRZ) Management Plan (개발제한구역관리계획의 환경성 강화방안 연구 - 수도권 개발제한구역관리계획을 대상으로 -)

  • Sung, Hyun-Chan;Jeon, Seong-Woo;Lee, Eun-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • Under the 「National Land Planning and Utilization Act」, Development Restriction Zones(DRZ) is one of the designated use district where the Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transport deems it necessary to control urban development in order to prevent urban sprawl and conurbation and ensure a healthy living environment for citizens by conserving the natural environment surrounding metropolitan cities. DRZ was first designated around the Seoul Metropolitan city in 1971, and had been expanded to the 14 metropolitan areas across the country since 1977. The designated areas were accounted for about 5.4% of the total national land and its importance was demonstrated by contributing to control urban sprawl, curbing real estate speculation, and providing green space to citizens. However, DRZ has been repeatedly relaxed its regulations and allowed development under government. As a result, much of the green areas was damaged and several cities were merged and extended(conurbation). In particular, deregulation implemented for the purpose of securing land as part of national projects and local outstanding business(i.g. constructions of national rental housing, industrial complex, and international stadium) have caused continuous environmental damage around the metropolitan cities. In addition, the habitat fragmentation is in serious situation. Thus, the systematic plans for managing DRZ are necessary, since it is concerned that urban environment become deteriorate in the mid- to long-term. This study aims to continuously protect the urban environment from lifting DRZ. Therefore, firstly, we examined the environmental status through analyzing DRZ Management Plan which shall be drawn up by the Special Metropolitan City Mayor, the Metropolitan City Mayor or the Mayer/Do governor having jurisdiction, every five years to collectively manage DRZ. Secondly, we investigated the actual condition in DRZ based on the case study of Management Plan in Metropolitan areas(i.e. Seoul Metropolis, Gyeonggi-do, and Incheon Metropolis). Finally, we suggested the seven feasible improved political plan for managing DRZ.

A Study on the Role and Improvement Direction of Empty Homes Policy in Korea (빈집제도의 역할과 개선 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Ji-Wan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to improve the "empty house problem" in Korea. The direction of improvement of systems in Korea was considered and compared with empty house systems in the United Kingdom, France, Germany, the United States, and Japan. Korea's system is based on comprehensive regulations centered on the demolition of empty houses. To actively solve the problem of unoccupied houses, detailed guidelines are needed, which must consider the current status and surrounding environment of empty houses. There should be institutional grounds for local governments to actively intervene in the issue of empty houses, and there should be a system that enables tax and cost support for the reuse of such houses. An information sharing system is also needed for sharing empty house information among local governments. To utilize empty houses as resources for the housing market, it is necessary to establish a consultative system consisting of residents, urban and architectural experts, and private businesses.

Analysis of Driving Characteristics of Elderly Drivers on Roads Using Vehicle Simulator (차량 시뮬레이터를 이용한 연속류 도로의 고령운전자 주행특성 분석)

  • LEE, GEUN-HEE;BAE, GI-MOK
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.146-159
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    • 2021
  • vehicle simulator as part of an empirical analysis the driving characteristics of elderly drivers. To this end, the driving characteristics of the elderly driver from previous study review. he driving characteristics of the elderly the driving elderly driver and general driverIn summarizing these experimental results, the -test showed different driving characteristics from general drivers in all items except for one side of the lane, such as driving speed and driving operation (brake, throttle, steering operation) at a significance level of 95%. Second, when changing lanes, it was difficult for elderly driver to maintain speed and secure an appropriate distance between carslderly driver changed lanes even in inappropriate situations (short distances between cars). Third, in unexpected situation, elderly drivers needed more distance and time.