• Title/Summary/Keyword: rcp

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Impact of IPCC RCP Scenarios on Streamflow and Sediment in the Hoeya River Basin (대표농도경로 (RCP) 시나리오에 따른 회야강 유역의 미래 유출 및 유사 변화 분석)

  • Hwang, Chang Su;Choi, Chul Uong;Choi, Ji Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2014
  • This study is analyze future climate and land cover change affects behaviors for amount of streamflow and sediment discharge within basin. We used the climate forecast data in RCP 4.5 and 8.5 (2011-2100) which is opposite view for each other among RCP scenarios that are discussed for 5th report for IPCC. Land cover map built based on a social economic storyline in RCP 4.5/8.5 using Logistic Regression model. In this study we set three scenarios: one scenario for climate change only, one for land cover change only, one for Last both climate change and land cover change. It simulated amount of streamflow and sediment discharge and the result showed a very definite change in the seasonal variation both of them. For climate change, spring and winter increased the amount of streamflow while summer and fall decreased them. Sediment showed the same pattern of change steamflow. Land cover change increases the amount of streamflow while it decreases the amount of sediment discharge, which is believed to be caused by increase of impervious Surface due to urbanization. Although land cover change less affects the amount of streamflow than climate change, it may maximize problems related to the amount of streamflow caused by climate change. Therefore, it's required to address potential influence from climate change for effective water resource management and prepare suitable measurement for water resource.

Hydro-meteorological Characteristics in Season and Solar Term According to RCP Climate Change Scenarios (RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 우리나라 계절 및 절기의 수문기상학적 특성 분석)

  • Oh, Miju;Kim, Jieun;Lee, Baesung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.288-300
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    • 2022
  • As industrialization and urbanization progress extensively, climate change is intensifying due to greenhouse gas emissions. In Korea, the average temperature increased, and the annual precipitation also increased due to climate change. In addition, the meaning of the solar term, which expresses seasons according to the movement of the sun, is also being overshadowed. Therefore, this study investigated the seasonal changes and solar-term changes of average temperature and precipitation observed in the past as well as simulated for future RCP climate change scenarios for five major regions (Capital Region, Gyeongsang, Chungcheong, Jeolla, and Gangwon). For the seasonal length, the length of summer became longer, the length of winter became shorter nationwide, and the precipitation in summer generally increased compared to the past. In the Chungcheong area, under the RCP 8.5 scenario, the length of summer increased by 46%, precipitation increased by 16.2%, and the length of winter decreased by 31.8% compared to the past. For the solar term, the temperature rose in all seasons. In the Chungcheong area, under the RCP 8.5 scenario, the temperature of major heat increased by 15.5%, and the temperature of major cold increased by 75.7% compared to the past. The overall results showed that the hydrological characteristics of the season and solar term were identified by region, which can be used as basic data to prepare policies to respond to climate change.

Foaming Capacity and Foaming Stability of Protein Recovered from Red Crab Processing Water (홍게 가공회수 단백질의 거품 형성력 및 안정성)

  • Kim, Yong-Jin;Sin, Tae-Seon;O, Hun-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Food And Nutrition
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 1996
  • Foaming capacity (FC) and stability (FS) of protein recovered from red crab (Chitinonecetes opilio) processing in water and soybean protein isolate were determined at pH 2.0~10.0 in water and NaCl solution. The FC values for both proteins showed the lowest values at the isoelectric point (pH 4.0) and increased nth an increase in pH above the isoelectric point. FC of RCP was higher than that of SPI at pH 10.0 in water and both NaCl solutions. FC of SPI increased with an increase in NaCl concentration at pH 4.0 and 6.0, but FC of RCP was not affected. The highest FS values for both proteins were obtained at pH 4.0 in water. At pH 2.0, FC of RCP decreased with NaCl concentration increase, but FS increased. NaCl concentration had little effect on FS of RCP at pH 4.0 and 6.0, but the FS decreased at pH 10.0. FS of SPI was similar to that of RCP at pH 2.0 and increased with NaCl concentration Increase from 0.1 to 0.5M NaCl at pH 10.0.

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Development of an Expert System (ESRCP) for Failure Diagnosis of Reactor Coolant Pumps (원자로냉각재펌프 고장진단을 위한 전문가시스템의 개발)

  • Cheon, Se-Woo;Chang, Soon-Heung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.128-138
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    • 1990
  • This paper presents a prototype expert system (ESRCP) for Reactor Coolant Pumps. The purpose of this system is to diagnose RCP failures and to offer corrective operational guides to plant operators. The first symptoms for the diagnosis are the alarms which are related to the RCP domain. Alarm processing is required to find a primary causal alarm when multiple alarms occur. The system performs the alarm processing by rule-based deduction or priority factor operation. To diagnose the RCP failure, the system performs rule-based deduction or Bayesian inference. Various sensor readings are required as symptoms to infer a root cause. When the symptoms are insufficient or uncertain to diagnose accurately, Bayesian inference is performed.

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Assessment of Anti-Drought Capacity for Agricultural Reservoirs using RCP Scenarios (RCP 시나리오 기반 농업용 저수지의 내한능력 평가)

  • Park, Na-Young;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2013
  • Agriculture is affected directly by climate conditions and changes, and it is necessary to understand the impact of climate change on agricultural reservoirs which are the main water resources for paddy fields in Korea. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of climate change on the anti-drought capacity including water supply capability (WSC) and drought response ability (DRA) of agricultural reservoirs based on RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios of CanESM2 (The Second Generation Earth System Model) provided by CCCma (Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis). The WSC and DRA were estimated using frequency analysis and runs theory. The six reservoirs (Yooshin, Nogok, Kumsung, Songgok, Gapyung, Seoma) were selected considering geographical characteristics and design criteria of reservoir capacity. In case of Seoma reservoir, more than 10 year drought return period (DRP), the variation of the WSC was estimated larger than the others. In case of Yooshin reservior (2~5 DRP) DRC was decreased in 2025s under RCP8.5. These results could be utilized for agricultural reservoirs management and future design criteria considering climate change impacts on paddy irrigation.

Development of a Rapid Control Prototyping System Based on Matlab and USB DAQ boards (Matlab과 USB DAQ 장치를 이용한 Rapid Control Prototyping System 개발)

  • Lee, Young-Sam;Yang, Ji-Hyuk;Kim, Seuk-Yun;Kim, Won-Sik;Kwon, Oh-Kyu
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.912-920
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a new and cost-effective RCP (Rapid Control Prototyping) system based on Matlab/Simulink and a DAQ (Data Acquisition) unit with the high speed USB communication interface. The proposed RCP system has a feature that a computer on which Simulink is running acts as a realtime controller and a DAQ unit performs data acquisition, transmission of the data to and from a computer, and the application of control data received from the computer. For its implementation, we develop 10 communication blocks each of which is constructed by using S-function. In order to increase the data communication speed and thus to reduce the sampling period of the overall control system, we propose to use a batch transfer strategy through the USB interface. The proposed RCP system has several advantages over existing methods such as good maintainability, portability due to the USB interface, low cost, and no necessity for C-code generation even though it can only be applied to control systems with moderate sampling rates. It is expected that the proposed RCP system can be useful in teaching control-related topics to undergraduate and graduate students.

Alarm Diagnosis of RCP Monitoring System using Self Dynamic Neural Networks (자기 동적 신경망을 이용한 RCP 감시 시스템의 경보진단)

  • Yu, Dong-Wan;Kim, Dong-Hun;Seong, Seung-Hwan;Gu, In-Su;Park, Seong-Uk;Seo, Bo-Hyeok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.49 no.9
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    • pp.512-519
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    • 2000
  • A Neural networks has been used for a expert system and fault diagnosis system. It is possible to nonlinear function mapping and parallel processing. Therefore It has been developing for a Diagnosis system of nuclear plower plant. In general Neural Networks is a static mapping but Dynamic Neural Network(DNN) is dynamic mapping.쪼두 a fault occur in system a state of system is changed with transient state. Because of a previous state signal is considered as a information DNN is better suited for diagnosis systems than static neural network. But a DNN has many weights so a real time implementation of diagnosis system is in need of a rapid network architecture. This paper presents a algorithm for RCP monitoring Alarm diagnosis system using Self Dynamic Neural Network(SDNN). SDNN has considerably fewer weights than a general DNN. Since there is no interlink among the hidden layer. The effectiveness of Alarm diagnosis system using the proposed algorithm is demonstrated by applying to RCP monitoring in Nuclear power plant.

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The Analysis of Design Flood According to Climate Change in Han River Basin (기후변화를 고려한 한강유역의 설계홍수량 분석)

  • Kim, Sunghun;Kim, Sooyoung;Jang, Hanjin;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.95-95
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    • 2015
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화에 따른 영향을 전망하고 분석하는 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으며, 우리나라 역시 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 영향평가를 실시하고 증가하는 위험에 대처하기 위한 다양한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 2013년부터 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 배포하는 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathway) 시나리오에 의하면 우리나라의 연평균 강수량과 호우일수는 뚜렷하게 증가할 것으로 전망되고 있다. 하지만, 수공구조물을 설계하는데 있어서 기후변화의 영향을 고려한 설계기준은 미흡한 실정으로 본 연구에서는 우리나라 한강 유역을 대상으로 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 설계홍수량을 분석하였다. 유출량은 실무에서 널리 사용하고 있는 HEC-1을 이용하여 산정하였고, 입력매개변수 중 강수인자는 RCP 시나리오 기반의 확률강우량을 적용하였다. 또한, 한강유역종합치수계획(2008)을 참조하여 나머지 매개변수를 사용하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 RCP 기후변화 시나리오 기반의 확률홍수량을 산정하여 점차 증가하는 홍수위험도에 능동적으로 대처할 수 있도록 기존 하천시설물의 설계 기준의 타당성을 분석하고자 한다.

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Prospects for changing in hydrological cycle components in North Korea basins by RCP8.5 climate change scenario (RCP8.5 기후변화시나리오에 따른 북한지역의 수문순환요소 변화 전망)

  • Jeung, Se Jin;Kwon, Bo Ra;Kim, Tae Hyung;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.30-30
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    • 2017
  • 한반도의 기후변화는 전 세계 평균보다도 빠르게 진행되고 있다. 최근 빈발하고 있는 태풍 및 극한 강우, 폭설과 한파, 온난화 현상 등이 그 예이다. 특히 북한지역은 오랜 식량난과 에너지난으로 산림생태계가 훼손되어 홍수 및 이수와 같은 기후변화 관련 자연재해에 매우 취약하다. 이렇게 예상되는 대규모 자연재해를 대비하고 기후변화에 효율적으로 대처하기 위해서는 체계적이고 과학적인 기상 및 기후 예측 정보의 활용이 매우 중요하다. 하지만 북한지역은 우리가 수문자료를 구하기가 힘들고, 직접 측정을 할 수 없으므로 수문자료의 수집에 한계가 있기 때문에 기후변화관련 수문연구에 한계점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 WMO에서 제공하고 있는 북한의 27개 기상관측소의 강수량, 기온자료와 기상청의 RCP8.5기후변화시나리오를 제공 받아 각 관측소별 미래 잠재증발산량을 산정하였다. 또한 lumped conceptual model인 WASMOD 모형을 이용하여 북한의 대표유역(금야강, 대동강, 두만강, 압록강, 예성강, 임진강, 장연남대천)에 적용하여 부족한 수문시계열자료를 산정하였다. 이렇게 산정된 북한의 미래 수문순환요소의 시계열자료를 이용하여 통계분석, 변화점분석, 유황분석등 시계열 분석 등을 통해 RCP8.5기후변화시나리오 기반의 기후변화가 북한지역의 수문순환과정에 미치는 영향을 분석하고, 이를 통해 유역규모의 수자원에 미치는 영향을 전망하였다.

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Emergence of Anthropogenic Warming over South Korea in CMIP5 Projections (CMIP5 자료를 활용한 미래 우리나라의 인위적 영향에 의한 온난화 발현 시기 분석)

  • Boo, Kyung-On;Shim, Sungbo;Kim, Jee-Eun;Byun, Young-Hwa;Cho, Chun Ho
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.421-426
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    • 2016
  • Significant warming by anthropogenic influences over Korea is analyzed using CMIP5 projections (monthly mean, maximum and minimum temperatures) from RCP 8.5, 4.5, and 2.6 scenarios. Time of emergence (TOE) in JJA and DJF is chosen as the year when the magnitude of warming against the natural climate variability satisfies S/N>2 in 80% of the models in this study. Significant emergence in JJA is expected to appear in 2030s in three RCP scenarios, earlier than TOE in DJF. In DJF, TOE is expected to be 2040s in RCP 8.5 and is delayed in 2060s, 2080s in RCP 4.5, 2.6, respectively. Later emergence in low emission scenarios implies an importance of climate change mitigation consistent with previous studies. Maximum and minimum temperatures show similar results to the case of mean temperature. ToE is found to be affected by the amplitude of natural variability by season, variables and model spread, which requires further understanding.