• Title/Summary/Keyword: rank analysis

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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Deformation in Prestressed Concrete Box Girder Bridges (프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스 거더 교량의 시간에 따른 변형의 확률 해석 및 민감도 해석)

  • 오병환;양인환
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 1998
  • The reasonable prediction of time-dependent deformation of prestressed concrete(PSC) box girder bridges is very important for accurate construction as well as good serviceability. The long-term behavior is mostly influenced by the probabilistic characteristic of creep and shrinkage. This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box been taken into account - model uncertainty, parameter variation and environmental condition. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measure are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs of each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partical rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardiozed rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Three creep and shrinkage models - i. e., ACI model. CEB-FIP model and the model in Korea Highway Bridge Specification - are studied. The creep model uncertainy factor and the relative humidity appear to be the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

The Impact of Opening Day Box Office Performance on a Movie's Final Box Office: Focusing on a Movie's Box Office Rank on an Opening Day (영화의 개봉일 흥행성과가 영화의 최종 흥행에 미치는 영향: 개봉일 흥행순위를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Sung-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to find out predictors of a movie's eventual box office, focusing on a movie's box office rank on an opening day. For an empirical analysis, I use data of 794 commercial movies released in the Korean theatrical exhibition market during the recent five years(2013~2017). The regression analysis shows that being box office number one on an opening day has statistically significant impact on a movie's final box office. A movie's quality, measured by audience's review, does not give significant impact on top1 movie's final success. Indexes such as increase of showing number on Sunday are strongly related to a movie's economic success. The additional analysis on box office number one movie on an opening day, totally 158 movies, finds that box office growth rate on a second week is strongly related to a movie's final success. Lastly, correlation coefficient of a movie's opening day box office and final box office does not show consistent growth when the coefficient is compared yearly. This study might have meaning in that it proposes new box office predictors and shows the relation of the indexes and a movie's final performance empirically.

A Study on the Change of Knowledge Structure through Keyword Network Analysis : Focus on Business Model Research (키워드 네트워크 분석을 통한 지식구조 변화 연구 : 비즈니스 모델 연구를 중심으로)

  • Ryu, Jae Hong;Choi, Jinho
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.143-163
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    • 2018
  • The business models has a great impact on the successful management of enterprises. Business environment has been shifting from industrial economy to knowledge-based economy. Enterprises go through numerous trials for successful management in the changing environment. Along with trial tests, research areas have been growing simultaneously. Although many researches have been conducted with regard to business models, it is very insufficient to systematically analyze the knowledge flow of research. Accordingly, successive researchers who want to study the business model may find it difficult to establish the orientation of future application research based on understanding the process of changing the knowledge structure that have accumulated so far. This study is intended to determine the current state of the business model research and to understand the process of knowledge structure changes in keywords that appear in 2,667 business model articles in the SCOPUS database. Identifying the knowledge structure has been completed through social network analysis, a methodology based on the 'relationship', and the changes in the knowledge structure were identified by classifying them into four different periods. The analysis showed that, first, the number of business model co-author increases over time with the need for academic diversity. Second, the 'innovation' keyword has the biggest center in the network, and over time, the lower-rank keyword which was in the former period has emerged as the top-rank keyword. Third, the cohesiveness group decreased from 12 before 2000 to 5 in 2015 and also the modularity decreased as well. Finally, examining characteristics of study area through a cognitive map showed that the relationships between domains increased gradually over time. The study has provided a systematic basis for understanding the current state of the business model research and the process of changing knowledge structure. In addition, considering that no research has ever systematically analyzed the knowledge structure accumulated by individual researches, it is considered as a significant study.

Survival Analysis of Patients with Breast Cancer using Weibull Parametric Model

  • Baghestani, Ahmad Reza;Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi;Majd, Hamid Alavi;Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil;Nafissi, Nahid;Gohari, Kimiya
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.18
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    • pp.8567-8571
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    • 2016
  • Background: The Cox model is known as one of the most frequently-used methods for analyzing survival data. However, in some situations parametric methods may provide better estimates. In this study, a Weibull parametric model was employed to assess possible prognostic factors that may affect the survival of patients with breast cancer. Materials and Methods: We studied 438 patients with breast cancer who visited and were treated at the Cancer Research Center in Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences during 1992 to 2012; the patients were followed up until October 2014. Patients or family members were contacted via telephone calls to confirm whether they were still alive. Clinical, pathological, and biological variables as potential prognostic factors were entered in univariate and multivariate analyses. The log-rank test and the Weibull parametric model with a forward approach, respectively, were used for univariate and multivariate analyses. All analyses were performed using STATA version 11. A P-value lower than 0.05 was defined as significant. Results: On univariate analysis, age at diagnosis, level of education, type of surgery, lymph node status, tumor size, stage, histologic grade, estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and lymphovascular invasion had a statistically significant effect on survival time. On multivariate analysis, lymph node status, stage, histologic grade, and lymphovascular invasion were statistically significant. The one-year overall survival rate was 98%. Conclusions: Based on these data and using Weibull parametric model with a forward approach, we found out that patients with lymphovascular invasion were at 2.13 times greater risk of death due to breast cancer.

Analysis of the Effectiveness of Controlling the Number of Ecosystem Disturbance Fish Species Using the Native Carnivorous Fish Species of Korea

  • Lee, Kwang Yeol;Lee, Han Kyu;Lee, Jae Yong;Choi, Jae Seok
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.66-70
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    • 2018
  • Preliminary investigation and analysis of the effectiveness of controlling the number of ecosystem disturbance fishes residing in Togyo reservoir using the native carnivorous fish species were performed. The data were collected from August 2011 to November 2016. The release of native carnivorous fish species was carried out from the end of May, 2012 to the end of July, 2016, considering fishing ban period of Siniperca scherzeri. The comparative abundance of Lepomis macrochirus was found to be 12.8% in the first year and increased a little bit after releasing the native carnivorous fish. However, it decreased to 3.9% in the last year showing a value of less than 5%. On the other hand, the Micropterus salmoides populations tended to increase after the release of native carnivorous fish species. This seems to be the result of the segregation of habitat by interspecific competition with S. scherzeri. The M. salmoides moved from inside of the lake to edges, and to influent tributaries. Stable isotope analysis showed that Channa argus had the highest levels of nutrition, S. scherzeri and M. salmoides were in competition, and L. macrochirus was used as a feed source for released species. Changes of the fish community in the Togyo reservoir was represented by the rank abundance curves based on the results of the fish fauna. As a result, the fish group in incoming tributaries are somewhat disturbed after the release of the native carnivorous species. Similarly, the fish group in the reservoir were disturbed as well but it's gradually stabilizing afterwards. Therefore, the control of the ecosystem disturbance species using the native carnivorous fish of Korea is effective and helps to stabilize the fish community in the lake.

Relative Efficiency of Taxi Services by Data Envelopment Analysis among Cities and Counties in Gyeonggi Province (DEA를 이용한 경기도내 시·군별 택시서비스 효율성 분석)

  • Kim, Dae Hoon;Jang, Tae Youn;Song, Je Ryong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1571-1580
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzes the relative efficiences through satisfaction on taxi services of thirty-one cities and counties in Gyeonggi Province. The DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) is used to measure efficiencies on the privately owned taxies and the corporate taxies respectively. Efficiency in the DEA is measured relative to the highest observed performance rather than against some average. Pyeongtaek, Pocheon, Osan, Yangpyeong, and Gapyeong have the highest efficiency in the private owned taxies. And Pyeongtaek, Pocheon, Osan, and Gapyeong have the highest one in the corporate taxies. These cities and counties have the ability to use less resources for equal efficiency relative to others. Rank-sum test proves that there is no statistical difference in efficiency between the privately owned taxies and the corporation owned taxies.

Conservative Neck Dissection in Oral Cancer Patients: a 5 Year Retrospective Study in Malaysia

  • Balasundram, Sathesh;Mustafa, Wan Mahadzir Wan;Ip, Jolene;Adnan, Tassha Hilda;Supramaniam, Premaa
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.4045-4050
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The impact of ablative oral cancer surgery was studied, with particular reference to recurrence and nodal metastasis, to assess survival probability and prognostic indicators and to elucidate if ethnicity influences the survival of patients. Methods: Patients who underwent major ablative surgery of the head and neck region with neck dissection were identified and clinical records were assessed. Inclusion criteria were stage I-IV oral and oropharyngeal malignancies necessitating resection with or without radiotherapy from 2004 to 2009. All individuals had a pre-operative assessment prior to the surgery. The post operative assessment period ranged from 1 year to 5 years. Survival distributions were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: 87 patients (males:38%; females:62%) were included in this study, with an age range of 21-85 years. Some 78% underwent neck dissections while 63% had surgery and radiotherapy. Nodal recurrence was detected in 5.7% while 20.5% had primary site recurrence within the study period. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that the median survival time was 57 months. One year overall survival (OS) rate was 72.7% and three year overall survival rate dropped to 61.5%. On OS analysis, the log-rank test showed a significant difference of survival between Malay and Chinese patients (Bonferroni correction p=0.033). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) analysis revealed that 25% of the patients have reached the event of recurrence at 46 months. One year RFS rate was 85.2% and the three year survival rate was 76.1%. In the RFS analysis, the log-rank test showed a significant difference in the event of recurrence and nodal metastasis (p<0.001). Conclusion: Conservative neck is effective, in conjunction with postoperative radiotherapy, for control of neck metastases. Ethnicity appears to influence the survival of the patients, but a prospective trial is required to validate this.

A Numerical Analysis Approach for Design of Cable Dome Structures (케이블 돔 구조물 설계를 위한 수치해석 방법)

  • Kim, Jae-Yeol;Jang, Dong-Woo
    • Proceeding of KASS Symposium
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2008
  • This paper deals with the method of self-equilibrium stress mode analysis of cable dome structures. From the point of view of analysis, cable dome structure is a kind of unstable truss structure which is stabilized by means of introduction of prestressing. The prestress must be introduced according to a specific proportion among different structural member and it is determined by an analysis called self-equilibrium stress mode analysis. The mathematical equation involved in the self-equilibrium stress mode analysis is a system of linear equations which can be solved numerically by adopting the concept of Moore-Penrose generalized inverse. The calculation of the generalized inverse is carried out by rank factorization method. This method involves a parameter called epsilon which plays a critical role in self-equilibrium stress mode analysis. It is thus of interest to investigate the range of epsilon which produces consistent solution during the analysis of self-equilibrium stress mode.

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Delays and its Analysis: Indian Residential Construction Projects

  • Metha, Rakesh L.;Gaikwad, Suraj V.
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2017
  • In almost every construction project, delay is an inevitable yet controllable phenomenon. The Indian construction industry encounters an enormous amount of delays in projects. Delay affects both time and money in the forms of schedule and cost overruns, respectively. Due to impressive and dynamic growth in the Indian construction sector, planned efforts are essential to limit these undesirable delays. On account of the surge in the rate of residential building construction, the task of identification and analysis of the delays in residential projects in India has been attempted by the authors. A questionnaire survey was conducted involving 100 stakeholders. Further analysis included an Importance Index to rank the identified delays, Principle Component Analysis for advanced statistical analysis, and Correlation Analysis to check the extent of agreement amongst stakeholders. Conclusions drawn with reference to the analysed data eventually reflected finance-related issues, as well as labour related problems as the dominating causes of delays. The aim of the research is to provide insight to the construction stakeholders and researchers, on an international scale, with the obtained results.

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Two-Compartment Model for the Indoor Radon Pollution (실내 라돈오염 해석을 위한 2구역 모델의 민감도 및 불확실성 분석)

  • 유동한;이한수;김상준;양지원
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.327-334
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    • 2002
  • The work presents sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of 2-compartment model for the evaluation of indoor radon pollution in a house. Effort on the development of such model is directed towards the prediction of the generation and transfer of radon in indoor air released from groundwater. The model is used to estimate a quantitative daily human exposure through inhalation of such radon based on exposure scenarios. However, prediction from the model has uncertainty propagated from uncertainties in model parameters. In order to assess how model predictions are affected by the uncertainties of model inputs, the study performs a quantitative uncertainty analysis in conjunction with the developed model. An importance analysis is performed to rank input parameters with respect to their contribution to model prediction based on the uncertainty analysis. The results obtained from this study would be used to the evaluation of human risk by inhalation associated with the indoor pollution by radon released from groundwater.