• Title/Summary/Keyword: radar precipitation estimation

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Runoff assessment using radar rainfall and precipitation runoff modeling system model (레이더 강수량과 PRMS 모형을 이용한 유출량 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Sung-Ho;Kim, Chang-Sung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2020
  • The rainfall-runoff model has been generally adopted to obtain a consistent runoff sequence with the use of the long-term ground-gauged based precipitation data. The Thiessen polygon is a commonly applied approach for estimating the mean areal rainfall from the ground-gauged precipitation by assigning weight based on the relative areas delineated by a polygon. However, spatial bias is likely to increase due to a sparse network of the rain gauge. This study aims to generate continuous runoff sequences with the mean areal rainfall obtained from radar rainfall estimates through a PRMS rainfall-runoff model. Here, the systematic error of radar rainfall is corrected by applying the G/R Ratio. The results showed that the estimated runoff using the corrected radar rainfall estimates are largely similar and comparable to that of the Thiessen. More importantly, one can expect that the mean areal rainfall obtained from the radar rainfall estimates are more desirable than that of the ground in terms of representing rainfall patterns in space, which in turn leads to significant improvement in the estimation of runoff.

Development of Snowfall Retrieval Algorithm by Combining Measurements from CloudSat, AQUA and NOAA Satellites for the Korean Peninsula

  • Kim, Young-Seup;Kim, Na-Ri;Park, Kyung-Won
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2011
  • Cloudsat satellite data is sensitive to snowfall and collected during each month beginning with Dec 2007 and ending Feb 2008. In this study, we attempt to develop a snowfall retrieval algorithm using a combination of radiometer and cloud radar data. We trained data from the relation between brightness temperature measurements from NOAA's Advanced Microwave Sounder Unit-B(AMSU-B) and the radar reflectivity of the 2B-GEOPROF product from W-band(94 GHz) cloud radar onboard Cloudsat and applied it to the Korea peninsula. We use a principal components analysis to quantify the variations that are the result of the radiometric signatures of snowfall from those of the surface. Finally, we quantify the correlation between the higher principal component (orthogonal to surface variability) of the microwave radiances and the precipitation-sensitive CloudSat radar reflectivities. This work summarizes the results of applying this approach to observations over the East Sea during Feb. 2008. The retrieved data show reasonable estimation for snowfall rate compared with Cloudsat vertical image.

A Study of Quantitative Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) Estimation by Comparing the Snow Measurement Data (적설 관측자료 비교를 통한 정량적 SWE 산출에 관한 연구)

  • Ro, Yonghun;Chang, Ki-Ho;Cha, Joo-Wan;Chung, Gunhui;Choi, Jiwon;Ha, Jong-Chul
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.269-282
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    • 2019
  • While it is important to obtain the accurate information on snowfall data due to the increase in damage caused by the heavy snowfall in the winter season, it is not easy to observe the snowfall quantitatively. Recently, snow measurements using a weighing precipitation gauge have been carried out, but there is a problem that high snowfall intensity results in low accuracy. Also, the observed snowfall data are sensitive depending on wind speed, temperature, and humidity. In this study, a new process of quality control for snow water equivalent (SWE) data of the weighing precipitation gauge were proposed to cover the low accuracy of snow data and maximize the data utilization. Snowfall data (SWE) observed by Pluvio, Parsivel, snow-depth meter using laser or ultrasonic, and rainfall gauge in Cloud Physics Observation Site (CPOS) were compared and analyzed. Applying the QC algorithm including the use of number of hydrometeor particles as reference, the increased SWE per the unit time was determined and the data noise was removed and marked by flag. The SWE data converted by the number concentration of hydrometeor particles are tested as a method to restore the QC-removed data, and show good agreement with those of the weighing precipitation gauge, though requiring more case studies. The three events data for heavy snowfall disaster in Pyeongchang area was analyzed. The SWE data with improved quality was showed a good correlation with the eye-measured data ($R^2$ > 0.73).

RAINFALL FROM TRMM-RADAR AND RADIOMETER

  • Park, K.W.;Kim, Y.S.;Gairola, R.M.;Kwon, B.H.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.528-530
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    • 2003
  • We present here, some of the studies carried for estimation of rainfall over land and oceanic regions in and around South Korea. We use active and passive microwave measurements from TRMM ? TMI and Precipitation Radar (PR) respectively during a typhoon even named ? RUSA that took place during 30 Aug. 2002. We have followed due approach by Yao at. all (2002) and examined the performance of their algorithm using two main predictor variable, named as Scattering Index (SI) and Polarization Corrected Brightness Temperature (PCT) while using TMI data. The rainfall fnus estimated using PST and SI shows some Underestimation as compared to the 2A25 rainfall products from the PR in common area of overlap. A larger database thus would be used in future. To establish a new rain rate algorithm over Korean region based on the present case study.

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ESTIMATION RAIN RATE FROM MICROWAVE RADIOMETER

  • Park K. W.;Kim Y. S.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.201-203
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    • 2004
  • We present here, some of the studies carried for estimation of rainfall over land and oceanic regions in and around South Korea. We use active and passive microwave measurements from TRMM - TMI and Precipitation Radar (PR) respectively during a typhoon even named - RUSA that took place during 30 Aug. 2002. We have followed due approach by Yao at. all (2002) and examined the performance of their algorithm using two main predictor variable, named as Scattering Index (SI) and Polarization Corrected Brightness Temperature (PCT) while using TMI data. The rainfall rate estimated using PCT and SI shows some under-estimation as compared to the AWS rainfall products from the PR in common area of overlap. A larger database thus would be used in future. To establish a new rain rate algorithm over Korean region based on the present case study.

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Analysis of Clutter Effects in a Weather Radar (기상 레이다에서의 클러터 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jonggil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.1641-1648
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    • 2016
  • A weather radar estimates Doppler frequency and width of Doppler spectrum from the received weather signal which represents the return echoes from rain or dust particles in a corresponding area. These estimates are very important parameters since they are directly related to precipitation, wind velocity and degree of turbulence. Therefore, these estimated values should be highly reliable to obtain accurate weather information. However, the echoes of a weather radar include both the weather signal and the clutter which occurred from ground reflection or moving objects, etc. The existence of the clutter in the echoes may cause serious errors in the estimation of weather-related parameters. Therefore, in this paper, models are developed to represent the weather signal and the clutter for the purpose of analyzing estimation errors caused by the strong clutter echoes. Using these models, various return echoes according to the weather signal and clutter power are simulated to analyze the effects of the clutter.

Development of Radar QPF Model based on high-resolution gridded precipitation (고해상도 격자 강수자료를 활용한 레이더 QPF 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Ho-Jun;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Jung, Min-kyu;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.442-442
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    • 2022
  • 고해상도 시공간적 격자 형태의 레이더 강수는 돌발홍수(flash flood)와 같은 기상재해에 대비하기 위하여 실시간 예측정보로 활용된다. 그러나 대부분의 레이더 강수는 과소 추정되는 경향이 있어 정량적인 보정 과정인 QPE (Quantitative Precipitation Estimation)가 필요하다. 일반적으로 레이더 강수자료 보정은 지점 관측자료를 활용하지만, 본 연구에서는 지상 강수량 기반의 고해상도 격자 강수자료를 생산하여 레이더 강수자료와 직접적으로 비교하고자 한다. 이에 고도와 지형적 특성을 고려한 PRISM(Precipitation-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) 방법을 사용하여 고해상도 격자기반의 자료를 생성하였다. PRISM 방법은 고도와 지리정보를 독립변수로 갖는 회귀모형 기반의 기후인자 추정 모형이다. 생산된 고해상도 격자 강수자료와 레이더 강수자료를 QPF (Quantitative Precipitation Forecast) 모델의 입력자료로 사용하여 예측결과를 비교하였다. 해당 QPF 모델은 이류(advection)와 확률론적 섭동(stochastic perturbation)을 기반으로 하며, 강수 앙상블 자료를 생산한다. QPF 모델에 대해 투 트랙(two-track) 방법으로 생산된 예측정보를 통해 레이더 강수자료의 격자별 후처리 보정이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Uncertainty investigation and mitigation in flood forecasting

  • Nguyen, Hoang-Minh;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.155-155
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    • 2018
  • Uncertainty in flood forecasting using a coupled meteorological and hydrological model is arisen from various sources, especially the uncertainty comes from the inaccuracy of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs). In order to improve the capability of flood forecast, the uncertainty estimation and mitigation are required to perform. This study is conducted to investigate and reduce such uncertainty. First, ensemble QPFs are generated by using Monte - Carlo simulation, then each ensemble member is forced as input for a hydrological model to obtain ensemble streamflow prediction. Likelihood measures are evaluated to identify feasible member. These members are retained to define upper and lower limits of the uncertainty interval and assess the uncertainty. To mitigate the uncertainty for very short lead time, a blending method, which merges the ensemble QPFs with radar-based rainfall prediction considering both qualitative and quantitative skills, is proposed. Finally, blending bias ratios, which are estimated from previous time step, are used to update the members over total lead time. The proposed method is verified for the two flood events in 2013 and 2016 in the Yeonguol and Soyang watersheds that are located in the Han River basin, South Korea. The uncertainty in flood forecasting using a coupled Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) and Sejong University Rainfall - Runoff (SURR) model is investigated and then mitigated by blending the generated ensemble LDAPS members with radar-based rainfall prediction that uses McGill algorithm for precipitation nowcasting by Lagrangian extrapolation (MAPLE). The results show that the uncertainty of flood forecasting using the coupled model increases when the lead time is longer. The mitigation method indicates its effectiveness for mitigating the uncertainty with the increases of the percentage of feasible member (POFM) and the ratio of the number of observations that fall into the uncertainty interval (p-factor).

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Evaluation of GPM satellite and S-band radar rain data for flood simulation using conditional merging method and KIMSTORM2 distributed model (조건부합성 기법과 KIMSTORM2 분포형 수문모형을 이용한 GPM 위성 강우자료 및 Radar 강우자료의 홍수모의 평가)

  • Kim, Se Hoon;Jung, Chung Gil;Jang, Won Jin;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2019
  • This study performed to simulate the watershed storm runoff using data of S-band dual-polarization radar rain, GPM (Global Precipitation Mission) satellite rain, and observed rainfall at 21 ground stations operated by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) respectively. For the 3 water level gauge stations (Sancheong, Changchon, and Namgang) of NamgangDam watershed ($2,293km^2$), the KIMSTORM2 (KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model2) was applied and calibrated with parameters of initial soil moisture contents, Manning's roughness of overland and stream to the event of typhoon CHABA (82 mm in watershed aveprage) in $5^{th}$ October 2016. The radar and GPM data was corrected with CM (Conditional Merging) method such as CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM. The CM has been used for accurate rainfall estimation in water resources and meteorological field and the method combined measured ground rainfall and spatial data such as radar and satellite images by the kriging interpolation technique. For the CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM data application, the determination coefficient ($R^2$) was 0.96 respectively. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.96 and the Volume Conservation Index (VCI) was 1.03 respectively. The CM-corrected data of Radar and GPM showed good results for the CHABA peak runoff and runoff volume simulation and improved all of $R^2$, NSE, and VCI comparing with the original data application. Thus, we need to use and apply the radar and satellite data to monitor the flood within the watershed.

돌발홍수 모니터링 및 예측 모형을 이용한 예측(F2MAP)태풍 루사에 의한 양양남대천 유역의 돌발홍수 모니터링

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Hong, Jun-Bum;Choi, Kyu-Hyun;Yoon, Seok-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1145-1149
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    • 2006
  • The typhoon Rusa passed through the Korean peninsula from the west-southern part to the east-northern part in the summer season of 2002. The flash flood due to the Rusa was occurred over the Korean peninsula and especially the damage was concentrated in Kangnung, Yangyang, Kosung, and Jeongsun areas of Kangwon-Do. Since the latter half of the 1990s the flash flood has became one of the frequently occurred natural disasters in Korea. Flash floods are a significant threat to lives and properties. The government has prepared against the flood disaster with the structural and nonstructural measures such as dams, levees, and flood forecasting systems. However, since the flood forecasting system requires the rainfall observations as the input data of a rainfall-runoff model, it is not a realistic system for the flash flood which is occurred in the small basins with the short travel time of flood flow. Therefore, the flash flood forecasting system should be constructed for providing the realistic alternative plan for the flash flood. To do so, firstly, Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) Model must be developed suitable to Korea terrain. In this paper, We develop the FFMP model which is based on GIS, Radar techniques and hydro-geomorphologic approaches. We call it the F2MAP model. F2MAP model has three main components (1) radar rainfall estimation module for the Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF), (2) GIS Module for the Digital terrain analysis, called TOPAZ(Topographic PArametiZation), (3) hydrological module for the estimation of threshold runoff and Flash Flood Guidance(FFG). For the performance test of the model developed in this paper, F2MAP model applied to the Kangwon-Do, Korea, where had a severe damage by the Typhoon Rusa in August, 2002. The result shown that F2MAP model is suitable for the monitoring and the prediction of flash flood.

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