• 제목/요약/키워드: quantitative risk assessment

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GIS기반 산사태재해의 정량적 피해 산정을 위한 고려사항 분석 (Considerations for Quantitative Risk Assessment of Landslides using GIS)

  • 김정옥;김지영;김효중;김용일
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.645-648
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    • 2008
  • This study provides considerations for quantitative risk assessment of landslide on GIS technology. It shows how the landslide possibility analysis is linked by GIS modeling to provide loss estimation tools for landslide hazards in support of socio-economic loss reduction efforts. Those risk assessment results can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy making for the landslide damage mitigation.

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초도양산 군수품에 대한 정량적 위험등급평가 방안 연구 (A study on the quantitative risk grade assessment of initial mass production for weapon systems)

  • 정영탁;함영훈;노태주;안만기;고경와
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to study quantitative risk grade assessment for objective government quality assurance activities based on risk management in initial mass production for weapon systems. Methods: The Defense quality management regulations and foreign risk assessment documents are referred to analyze problems performing quality assurance actives. The failure rate data, maintainability and cost of products have been studied to quantify the risk Likelihood and impact. The analyzed data were classified as risk grade assessment through K-means Cluster Analysis method. Results: Results show that a proposed method can objectively evaluate risk grade. The analyzed results are clustered into three levels such as high, middle and low. Two products are allocated high, eleven low and seven middle. Conclusion: In this paper, quantitative risk grade assessment methods were presented by analyzing risk ratings based on objective data. The findings showed that the methods would be effective for initial mass production for weapon systems.

화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측 (Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants)

  • 송기욱;김범신;최우성;박명수
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제37권10호
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • 위험도 평가 기술은 주로 플랜트의 많은 운영설비 중 대형사고나 피해를 유발할 수 있는 위험설비를 선별하는 목적으로 개발되었다. 설비의 위험도를 평가하여 위험도의 크기에 따라 순위를 정하고 이 순위를 기준으로 정비자원을 투입하는 순서나 정비작업의 시급성을 판단한다. 위험도란 고장이 발생할 확률과 고장이 발생할 경우에 수반되는 파손피해의 곱으로 정의된다. 위험도 평가방법으로는 간단한 손상 및 고장 평가기법을 이용하여 기본적인 고장확률 데이터를 확보하고 정성적인 문진을 통해 이를 보완하는 준 정량적 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 준 정략적 평가를 이용하여 석탄화력발전소의 보일러설비에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하고 이를 기반으로 설비 별차기 정비주기를 선정하였다.

수소충전소 성능평가 장비 안전성 평가 연구 (Risk Assessment for Performance Evaluation System of Hydrogen Refueling Station)

  • 강승규;이동훈
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.232-239
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    • 2022
  • This study performed qualitative and quantitative risk assessment of equipment for evaluating the protocol of hydrogen refueling stations and suggested measures to improve safety. Hazard and operability study was performed for qualitative risk assessment, and Hy-KoRAM was used for quantitative risk assessment. Through a qualitative risk assessment, additional ventilation devices were installed, simultaneous venting of the storage container was prohibited, and the number of repeated refilling of the evaluation equipment was identified to manage the number of fillings of the container. Through quantitative risk assessment, the area around the device was set as a restricted area when evaluating the station, and measures were suggested to reduce the frequency of accidents.

CFD code를 이용한 철도터널 화재 위험도 평가 (The Quantitative Risk Assessment for Railroad-tunnel Fire Incidents by using CFD code)

  • 김학범;이덕희;장용준;정우성
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2011년 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 2011
  • Recently, railroad long tunnels are increasing and growing longer due to topological feathers like a lot of mountain in Korea. But fire disaster of a long tunnel cause many people to injury and death. For that reason, at the early design stage of a long tunnel, risk assessment and mitigation measure of risk for satisfying tunnel safety are required. According to the railroad facility safety standard (Korean MLTM Announcement No. 2006-395), risk assessment for railroad-tunnel fire should be performed when design stage. Therefore, various methods of risk assessment for tunnel fire have been studied and applied. In the paper, QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) for fire risk assessment by using CFD code is presented and the usefulness of CFD is discussed.

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고속도로 교통안전시설물의 정성적 및 정량적 위험도분석 연구 (A Study of Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Assessment for Highway Safety Facilities)

  • 지동한;오영태;최현호
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2007
  • 교통시설물의 위험요소는 안전피해의 규모 및 종류 등 복잡한 제반요소에 영향을 받기 때문에 안전개념에 기초한 분석이 요구된다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 교통안전시설에 대한 정성적 및 정량적 위험도분석 방법을 제시하고 이를 가치평가에 도입할 수 있는 절차를 제안하였다. 또한 정량적 분석을 위해 교통사고 데이터 및 이를 분석한 EPDO(Equivalent Property Damage Only)를 이용하여 사고빈도와 피해정도 및 사고요인별로 Event Tree를 작성하여 제시하였으며 이를 이용하여 중앙분리대 비교 1안(140cm) 및 비교 2안(127cm)에 대한 위험지수를 산정하였다.

환경오염물질의 건강위해성 평가 (Health Risk Assessment on Environmental Pollutants)

  • 신동천
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 1993
  • Methodology for health risk assessment has been developed by governmental agencies and research institutions in the United States concerning environmental and industrial health such as Environmental Protection Agency, Pood and Drug Administration, and Occupational Safety and Health Administration. The basic concept, process, and scientific rational of the health risk assessment are discussed in order to introduce this field of research for future application to risk assessment and management in Korea. As environmental criteria for most of the environmental carcinogens and nonfarcinogens are set based on the quantitative risk assessment, this quantitative methodology should be emphasized and studied in Korean situation.

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도시가스 고압배관의 정량적 위험평가 절차에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Procedure of Quantitative Risk Assessment for High Pressure Natural Gas Pipeline)

  • 이경식;조영도;류영돈;고재욱
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2008
  • 최근 들어 도시가스사업자들이 안전관리의 수준을 더욱 향상시키기 위하여 정량적 평가(Quantitative assessment)에 기초한 위험 관리(risk management)를 많이 고려하고 있는 상황이다. 이 논문은 천연가스 배관의 정량적 위험평가의 절차에 초점을 맞췄으며, 이를 위하여 European Gas Pipeline Incident Data Group과 BG Transco의 자료를 사용한 사고발생빈도의 계산방법, 화재에 의한 사고피해영향 분석방법, 개인적 위험(Individual Risk)과 사회적 위험(Societal Risk)의 계산 방법을 체계적으로 제시하였다. 또한 국내 집단 에너지공급사업용 고압배관의 시범적용을 통하여 개인적 위험과 사회적 위험 기준을 제시하였다. 제시된 정량적 위험평가 절차는 고압배관 설계, 시공 및 변경 등의 위험관리에 유용할 것으로 판단된다.

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Analysis of Marine Vessel Collision Risk based on Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Koo, Bon Guk
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2018
  • The collision problem is one of the design factors that must be carefully considered for the risk of collision occurring during the operation of ships and offshore structures. This paper presents the main results of the ship collision study, and its main goal is to analyze potential crash scenarios that may occur in the FLNG (Floating Liquefied Natural Gas) considering the likelihood and outcome. Consideration being given to vessels visiting the FLNG and surrounding vessels navigating around, such as functionally supported vessels and offloading carriers. The scope includes vessels visiting the FLNG facility such as in-field support vessels and off-loading carriers, as well as third party passing vessels. In this study, based on QRA (quantitative risk assessment), basic research methods and information on collision are provided. Based on the assumptions and methodologies documented in this study, it has been possible to clarify the frequency of collision and the damage category according to the type of visiting ship. Based on these results, the risk assessment results related to the collision have been derived.

Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Ryzin John Van
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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    • pp.469-475
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    • 1994
  • This paper presents a brief survey of current methodology available for quantitative risk assessment of environmental carcinogens. Four current models for low-dose extrapolation are reviewed. Current problems and controversies and possible options in doing quantitative risk assessments based on chronic animal studies are discussed.

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