• 제목/요약/키워드: quantitative risk analysis

검색결과 673건 처리시간 0.031초

Assessing Web Browser Security Vulnerabilities with respect to CVSS

  • Joh, HyunChul
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2015
  • Since security vulnerabilities newly discovered in a popular Web browser immediately put a number of users at risk, urgent attention from developers is required to address those vulnerabilities. Analysis of characteristics in the Web browser vulnerabilities can be used to assess security risks and to determine the resources needed to develop patches quickly to handle vulnerabilities discovered. So far, being a new research area, the quantitative aspects of the Web browser vulnerabilities and risk assessments have not been fully investigated. However, due to the importance of Web browser software systems, further detailed studies are required related to the Web browser risk assessment, using rigorous analysis of actual data which can assist decision makers to maximize the returns on their security related efforts. In this paper, quantitative software vulnerability analysis has been presented for major Web browsers with respect to the Common Vulnerability Scoring System. Further, vulnerability discovery trends in the Web browsers are also investigated. The results show that, almost all the time, vulnerabilities are compromised from remote networks with no authentication required systems. It is also found that a vulnerability discovery model which was originally introduced for operating systems is also applicable to the Web browsers.

Benchmark Dose Modeling of In Vitro Genotoxicity Data: a Reanalysis

  • Guo, Xiaoqing;Mei, Nan
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.303-310
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    • 2018
  • The methods of applied genetic toxicology are changing from qualitative hazard identification to quantitative risk assessment. Recently, quantitative analysis with point of departure (PoD) metrics and benchmark dose (BMD) modeling have been applied to in vitro genotoxicity data. Two software packages are commonly used for BMD analysis. In previous studies, we performed quantitative dose-response analysis by using the PROAST software to quantitatively evaluate the mutagenicity of four piperidine nitroxides with various substituent groups on the 4-position of the piperidine ring and six cigarette whole smoke solutions (WSSs) prepared by bubbling machine-generated whole smoke. In the present study, we reanalyzed the obtained genotoxicity data by using the EPA's BMD software (BMDS) to evaluate the inter-platform quantitative agreement of the estimates of genotoxic potency. We calculated the BMDs for 10%, 50%, and 100% (i.e., a two-fold increase), and 200% increases over the concurrent vehicle controls to achieve better discrimination of the dose-responses, along with their BMDLs (the lower 95% confidence interval of the BMD) and BMDUs (the upper 95% confidence interval of the BMD). The BMD values and rankings estimated in this study by using the EPA's BMDS were reasonably similar to those calculated in our previous studies by using PROAST. These results indicated that both software packages were suitable for dose-response analysis using the mouse lymphoma assay and that the BMD modeling results from these software packages produced comparable rank orders of the mutagenic potency.

액화염소 누출의 위험도 분석 및 위험경감조치에 대한 연구 (A Study on Risk Assessment and Risk Mitigation Measures of Liquefied Chlorine Leak)

  • 이주연;천영우;황용우;이익모
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • As the chemical industry becomes more advanced, the awareness of chemical accidents is rising, and legal systems for chemical safety management are strengthened. In this study, quantitative risk assessment of liquid chlorine leak was conducted. Risk assessment was performed in the order of frequency analysis, consequence analysis, and risk calculation. The individual risk was presented in the form of contour lines. The social risk was expressed by the FN curve. The risk of day and night was in an unacceptable area, so it was required to mitigate risk. Therefore in-building, which could trap the pool, was selected as a risk mitigation measure. As a result of the cost benefit analysis, it was concluded that this measure should be reasonably implemented.

식품제조업체에 대한 PL 대응체제로서 HACCP 시스템의 고찰 (Review for HACCP system to PL infrastructure in Food Manufacturing)

  • 김주홍;이승정;임현교
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2002
  • As the life standard has enhanced, food products has incomparably advanced both in quality and variety to meet the consumer's choice. Despite of high quality and variety, appropriate food safety system has not been established yet in food manufacturing. With Product Liability issuance effective on July 2002, consumers are demanding far higher food safety level than what it used to be. The food manufacturers are seeking food safety assurance system. HACCP system is a pivotal product safety system providing the infrastructure to PL. By the time in the early 1970 when HACCP was developed suitable for food, it comprised the category of Risk, in fact it was quantitative sequence system. In a preparatory phase of HACCP, decision mostly depends on the quantitative analysis. In a recent study, the introduction of Risk Analysis is being reviewed for Food Safety system. In this study, FTA, FMEA are also reviewed in comparison with HACCP which have been utilized in Safety Engineering.

가스용기 운반 중 누출된 LPG의 정량적 위험 분석 (A Quantitative Risk Analysis of LPG Leaked During Cylinder Delivery)

  • 김병직;박기창;이근원
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2003
  • LPG는 사용, 저장, 생산 과정뿐만 아니라 이송 중에도 많은 잠재위험(Hazard)을 갖고있다. 소규모의 수요처일 경우, LPG 용기를 적재한 차량에 의해 지역 사업자에 의하여 배달된다. 만약 도심지역에 가스용기를 적재한 차량에 폭발사고가 발생한다면 주변지역에 재산 피해뿐 아니라 상당한 인명피해를 초래할 것이다 본 연구에서는 LPG 누출 사례연구를 통하여 가스용기를 이용한 LPG의 운반 중에 사고의 원인이 되는 잠재위험을 확인한 후 사고발생 시나리오를 작성하고 발생 가능성과 피해결과를 예측하는 위험성(risk)의 정량적 분석을 하였다. 본 연구에서는 위험분석 프로그램을 Excel과 Visual Basic으로 프로그래밍 하여, ETA(Event Tree Analysis)법으로 LPG 운반도중 발생할 수 있는 사고의 빈도수를 구한 뒤, 이를 바탕으로 폭발로 인한 피해 범위 및 피해정도를 도출하였다. UVCE의 경우, 가스용기에서 누출되어 증발된 LPG에 대하여 사고현장주변에서 10m 이내에서는 심각한 구조적 손상을 보이며, 150m 이상에서도 유리가 파열되는 심각한 손상확률을 보였다. 그리고 TNT 상당법으로 Probit 결과, 10분간 누출되었을 때 40m 지점에서 유리창의 $75\%$가 깨졌으며, 20m 지점에서 $16\%$, 40m 지점에서는 $10\%$의 구조적 손상을 보였다.

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글로벌 금융위기 이후 한국 주식유통시장의 위험가격에 관한 연구 (The Price of Risk in the Korean Stock Distribution Market after the Global Financial Crisis)

  • 손경우;유원석
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate risk price implied from the pricing kernel of Korean stock distribution market. Recently, it is considered that the quantitative easing programs of major developed countries are contributing to a reduction in global uncertainty caused by the 2007~2009 financial crisis. If true, the risk premium as compensation for global systemic risk or economic uncertainty should show a decrease. We examine whether the risk price in the Korean stock distribution market has declined in recent years, and attempt to provide practical implications for investors to manage their portfolios more efficiently, as well as academic implications. Research design, data and methodology - To estimate the risk price, we adopt a non-parametric method; the minimum norm pricing kernel method under the LOP (Law of One Price) constraint. For the estimation, we use 17 industry sorted portfolios provided by the KRX (Korea Exchange). Additionally, the monthly returns of the 17 industry sorted portfolios, from July 2000 to June 2014, are utilized as data samples. We set 120 months (10 years) as the estimation window, and estimate the risk prices from July 2010 to June 2014 by month. Moreover, we analyze correlation between any of the two industry portfolios within the 17 industry portfolios to suggest further economic implications of the risk price we estimate. Results - According to our results, the risk price in the Korean stock distribution market shows a decline over the period of July 2010 to June 2014 with statistical significance. During the period of the declining risk price, the average correlation level between any of the two industry portfolios also shows a decrease, whereas the standard deviation of the average correlation shows an increase. The results imply that the amount of systematic risk in the Korea stock distribution market has decreased, whereas the amount of industry-specific risk has increased. It is one of the well known empirical results that correlation and uncertainty are positively correlated, therefore, the declining correlation may be the result of decreased global economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, less asset correlation enables investors to build portfolios with less systematic risk, therefore the investors require lower risk premiums for the efficient portfolio, resulting in the declining risk price. Conclusions - Our results may provide evidence of reduction in global systemic risk or economic uncertainty in the Korean stock distribution market. However, to defend the argument, further analysis should be done. For instance, the change of global uncertainty could be measured with funding costs in the global money market; subsequently, the relation between global uncertainty and the price of risk might be directly observable. In addition, as time goes by, observations of the risk price could be extended, enabling us to confirm the relation between the global uncertainty and the effect of quantitative easing. These topics are beyond our scope here, therefore we reserve them for future research.

Quantitative Assessment the Relationship between p21 rs1059234 Polymorphism and Cancer Risk

  • Huang, Yong-Sheng;Fan, Qian-Qian;Li, Chuang;Nie, Meng;Quan, Hong-Yang;Wang, Lin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.4435-4438
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    • 2015
  • p21 is a cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor, which can arrest cell proliferation and serve as a tumor suppressor. Though many studies were published to assess the relationship between p21 rs1059234 polymorphism and various cancer risks, there was no definite conclusion on this association. To derive a more precise quantitative assessment of the relationship, a large scale meta-analysis of 5,963 cases and 8,405 controls from 16 eligible published case-control studies was performed. Our analysis suggested that rs1059234 was not associated with the integral cancer risk for both dominant model [(T/T+C/T) vs C/C, OR=1.00, 95% CI: 0.84-1.18] and recessive model [T/T vs (C/C+C/T), OR=1.03, 95% CI: 0.93-1.15)]. However, further stratified analysis showed rs1059234 was greatly associated with the risk of squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck (SCCHN). Thus, larger scale primary studies are still required to further evaluate the interaction of p21 rs1059234 polymorphism and cancer risk in specific cancer subtypes.

화학공정의 사고 빈도 분석 S/W 개발 (Development of Accident Frequency Analysis S/W for Chemical Processes)

  • 서재민;신동일;고재욱
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 정량적 위험 평가의 기반 조성을 위해서 다양한 위험 평가 기법 중에서 이상 트리 분석(Fault Tree Analysis) 방법을 이용하여 빈도 분석 프로그램을 개발하였다. 빈도 분석 프로그램을 구축하기 위하여 계산 과정에서는 gate-by-gate 방법과 부울 대수 (Boolean algebra) 방법을 이용하였고, minimal cut set 방법을 이용하여 사고 발생 경로를 정량적으로 표현하였다 결론적으로 본 연구에서 개발한 빈도 분석 프로그램을 이용하여 사고 발생 빈도를 낮출 수 있다면 공정 전체의 안전성을 높이는데 큰 도움이 될 것이며, 기존에 사용되고 있는 외국의 S/W를 대체할 수 있을 것이라고 사료된다.

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결핵 환자의 초치료 중단위험 사정도구 개발 (The Development of a Scale Assessing the Risk of Discontinuation of Tuberculosis Treatment)

  • 최진옥;성경미
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.156-169
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study identified the reasons why tuberculosis (TB) patients withhold treatment in a bid to develop a assessment scale to select patients who needs nursing intervention in the early stage and decrease the risk of discontinuation of treatment. Sample: There were two samples. A sample of 191 patients with TB and having primary treatment and a second sample of N who were under re-treatment Methods: The study design included qualitative and quantitative methods. Qualitative data were collected from in-depth interviews of TB patients under re-treatment. The quantitative data were collected from 191 patients with TB under primary treatment. Results: Exploratory factor analysis revealed 11 factors explaining 69.6% of total variance. These factors were categorized into four subgroups. A depression scale was used to establish concurrent validity. The depression scale had a positive relationship (r=54) with the discontinuing of primary treatment. The internal consistency reliability for the four subgroups was over .84. The confidence coefficient was Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ .95. The final scale was a self-reported four Likert scale including 50 items. Conclusion: Reliability and validity was established for the scale and the scale can be used to examine the risk of treatment discontinuation for TB. The scale is an important resource for nursing interventions in identifying and treating high risk clients.

위험물질 수송 시 위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on Risk Assessment in Transporting Hazardous Material)

  • 류병태;고재욱
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구에서는 지금까지의 고정설비에 대한 정량적 위험성 평가에서 벗어나 위험물질 수송 시 고려되는 여러 가지 요소들을 확인하여 발생할 수 있는 잠재위험성을 확인하였다. 수송 시 발생할 수 있는 잠재위험성을 확인하였다. 또한 수송 시 발생할 수 있는 최악의 사고 시나리오와 대안적인 사고 시나리오를 통하여 피해 영향 범위에 대한 개인적 위험성 및 사회적 위험성을 평가하였으며 최적의 경로를 선정하였다. 이러한 평가를 기반으로 수송 시 중대사고의 피해 영향 범위에 대한 효율적인 위험성 감소 대책과 지역사회, 공공기관, 산업체들과의 연계를 통한 사고에 따른 피해를 최소화 할 수 있는 체계적인 비상대응 시스템을 구축할 수 있을 것이다.

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