• Title/Summary/Keyword: quantile estimation

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M-quantile kernel regression for small area estimation (소지역 추정을 위한 M-분위수 커널회귀)

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.749-756
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    • 2012
  • An approach widely used for small area estimation is based on linear mixed models. However, when the functional form of the relationship between the response and the input variables is not linear, it may lead to biased estimators of the small area parameters. In this paper we propose M-quantile kernel regression for small area mean estimation allowing nonlinearities in the relationship between the response and the input variables. Numerical studies are presented that show the sample properties of the proposed estimation method.

지자기 전달함수의 로버스트 추정

  • Yang, Jun-Mo;O, Seok-Hun;Lee, Deok-Gi;Yun, Yong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2002
  • Geomagnetic transfer function is generally estimated by choosing transfer to minimize the square sum of differences between observed values. If the error structure sccords to the Gaussian distribution, standard least square(LS) can be the estimation. However, for non-Gaussian error distribution, the LS estimation can be severely biased and distorted. In this paper, the Gaussian error assumption was tested by Q-Q(Quantile-Quantile) plot which provided information of real error structure. Therefore, robust estimation such as regression M-estimate that does not allow a few bad points to dominate the estimate was applied for error structure with non-Gaussian distribution. The results indicate that the performance of robust estimation is similar to the one of LS estimation for Gaussian error distribution, whereas the robust estimation yields more reliable and smooth transfer function estimates than standard LS for non-Gaussian error distribution.

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Robust extreme quantile estimation for Pareto-type tails through an exponential regression model

  • Richard Minkah;Tertius de Wet;Abhik Ghosh;Haitham M. Yousof
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.531-550
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    • 2023
  • The estimation of extreme quantiles is one of the main objectives of statistics of extremes (which deals with the estimation of rare events). In this paper, a robust estimator of extreme quantile of a heavy-tailed distribution is considered. The estimator is obtained through the minimum density power divergence criterion on an exponential regression model. The proposed estimator was compared with two estimators of extreme quantiles in the literature in a simulation study. The results show that the proposed estimator is stable to the choice of the number of top order statistics and show lesser bias and mean square error compared to the existing extreme quantile estimators. Practical application of the proposed estimator is illustrated with data from the pedochemical and insurance industries.

Support vector quantile regression for autoregressive data

  • Hwang, Hyungtae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1539-1547
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we apply the autoregressive process to the nonlinear quantile regression in order to infer nonlinear quantile regression models for the autocorrelated data. We propose a kernel method for the autoregressive data which estimates the nonlinear quantile regression function by kernel machines. Artificial and real examples are provided to indicate the usefulness of the proposed method for the estimation of quantile regression function in the presence of autocorrelation between data.

Regression Quantile Estimations on Censored Survival Data

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2002
  • In the case of multiple survival times which might be censored at each covariate vector, we study the regression quantile estimations in this paper. The estimations are based on the empirical distribution functions of the censored times and the sample quantiles of the observed survival times at each covariate vector and the weighted least square method is applied for the estimation of the regression quantile. The estimators are shown to be asymptotically normally distributed under some regularity conditions.

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Quantile regression with errors in variables

  • Shim, Jooyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2014
  • Quantile regression models with errors in variables have received a great deal of attention in the social and natural sciences. Some eorts have been devoted to develop eective estimation methods for such quantile regression models. In this paper we propose an orthogonal distance quantile regression model that eectively considers the errors on both input and response variables. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated through simulation studies.

Iterative Support Vector Quantile Regression for Censored Data

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Hong, Dug-Hun;Kim, Dal-Ho;Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2007
  • In this paper we propose support vector quantile regression (SVQR) for randomly right censored data. The proposed procedure basically utilizes iterative method based on the empirical distribution functions of the censored times and the sample quantiles of the observed variables, and applies support vector regression for the estimation of the quantile function. Experimental results we then presented to indicate the performance of the proposed procedure.

Value at Risk Forecasting Based on Quantile Regression for GARCH Models

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol;Noh, Jung-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.669-681
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    • 2010
  • Value-at-Risk(VaR) is an important part of risk management in the financial industry. This paper present a VaR forecasting for financial time series based on the quantile regression for GARCH models recently developed by Lee and Noh (2009). The proposed VaR forecasting features the direct conditional quantile estimation for GARCH models that is well connected with the model parameters. Empirical performance is measured by several backtesting procedures, and is reported in comparison with existing methods using sample quantiles.

Partially linear support vector orthogonal quantile regression with measurement errors

  • Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2015
  • Quantile regression models with covariate measurement errors have received a great deal of attention in both the theoretical and the applied statistical literature. A lot of effort has been devoted to develop effective estimation methods for such quantile regression models. In this paper we propose the partially linear support vector orthogonal quantile regression model in the presence of covariate measurement errors. We also provide a generalized approximate cross-validation method for choosing the hyperparameters and the ratios of the error variances which affect the performance of the proposed model. The proposed model is evaluated through simulations.

Stepwise Estimation for Multiple Non-Crossing Quantile Regression using Kernel Constraints (커널 제약식을 이용한 다중 비교차 분위수 함수의 순차적 추정법)

  • Bang, Sungwan;Jhun, Myoungshic;Cho, HyungJun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.915-922
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    • 2013
  • Quantile regression can estimate multiple conditional quantile functions of the response, and as a result, it provide comprehensive information of the relationship between the response and the predictors. However, when estimating several conditional quantile functions separately, two or more estimated quantile functions may cross or overlap and consequently violate the basic properties of quantiles. In this paper, we propose a new stepwise method to estimate multiple non-crossing quantile functions using constraints on the kernel coefficients. A simulation study are presented to demonstrate satisfactory performance of the proposed method.