• Title/Summary/Keyword: properties prediction

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Comparative Analysis for Real-Estate Price Index Prediction Models using Machine Learning Algorithms: LIME's Interpretability Evaluation (기계학습 알고리즘을 활용한 지역 별 아파트 실거래가격지수 예측모델 비교: LIME 해석력 검증)

  • Jo, Bo-Geun;Park, Kyung-Bae;Ha, Sung-Ho
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.119-144
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Real estate usually takes charge of the highest proportion of physical properties which individual, organizations, and government hold and instability of real estate market affects the economic condition seriously for each economic subject. Consequently, practices for predicting the real estate market have attention for various reasons, such as financial investment, administrative convenience, and wealth management. Additionally, development of machine learning algorithms and computing hardware enhances the expectation for more precise and useful prediction models in real estate market. Design/methodology/approach In response to the demand, this paper aims to provide a framework for forecasting the real estate market with machine learning algorithms. The framework consists of demonstrating the prediction efficiency of each machine learning algorithm, interpreting the interior feature effects of prediction model with a state-of-art algorithm, LIME(Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation), and comparing the results in different cities. Findings This research could not only enhance the academic base for information system and real estate fields, but also resolve information asymmetry on real estate market among economic subjects. This research revealed that macroeconomic indicators, real estate-related indicators, and Google Trends search indexes can predict real-estate prices quite well.

Evaluation of the applicability of TBM performance prediction models based on field data (현장 굴진자료 분석에 의한 TBM 성능예측모델의 적용성 평가)

  • Oh, Ki-Youl;Chang, Soo-Ho;Kim, Sang-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.803-812
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    • 2008
  • Along with the increasing demand for automatic and mechanical tunnel excavation methods in Korea, the Tunnel Boring Machine (TBM) method of tunnel excavation has become increasingly popular. However, in spite of this rising demand, few studies have been performed on the TBM method, in Korea. For this reason, this study focused on evaluation of the applicability of TBM performance prediction models based on field data in order to contribute to the basic and essential parts of TBM designation and the TBM method of tunnel excavation in Korea. These rock properties can be defined as the mechanical and physical factors of rock that have an influence on a disc cutter's ability to cut rock, and provide information for the evaluation of the applicability of field data. Based on outcomes from these tests, applicability of the prediction model was evaluated and the predicted performance of a TBM was compared with real field data obtained from four different TBM construction sites in Korea.

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Lifetime Prediction of Rubber Pad for High Speed Railway Vehicle (고속철도용 레일패드 노후화 정량화 방안 연구)

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Choe, Byeong-Ik;Park, Hyun-Sung;Yang, Shin-Chu;Jang, Sung-Yep;Kim, Eun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.739-744
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    • 2009
  • Rail-pad is an important and readily replaceable component of a railway track, as it is the elastic layer between the rail and the sleeper. Characteristics and useful lifetime prediction of rail-pad was very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability. In this paper, the degradation of rail pad properties as a function of their in-service life is studied with a view of developing a technique for predicting the optimum period of track maintenance with regard to pad replacement. In order to investigate the useful lifetime, the accelerate test were carried out. Accelerated test results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. By using the acceleration test, several useful lifetime prediction for rail-pads were proposed.

Prediction Model for the Microstructure and Properties in Weld Heat Affected Zone: II. Prediction Model for the Austenitization Kinetics and Austenite Grain Size Considering the Effect of Ferrite Grain Size in Fe-C-Mn Steel (용접 열영향부 미세조직 및 재질예측 모델링: II. Fe-C-Mn 강에서 페라이트 결정립크기의 영향을 고려한 Austenitization kinetics 및 오스테나이트 결정립크기 예측모델)

  • Ryu, Jong-Geun;Moon, Joon-Oh;Lee, Chang-Hee;Uhm, Sang-Ho;Lee, Jong-Bong;Chang, Woong-Sung
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2006
  • Considering ferrite grain size in the base metal, the prediction model for $A_{c3}$ temperature and prior austenite grain size at just above $A_{c3}$ temperature was proposed. In order to predict $A_{c3}$ temperature, the Avrami equation was modified with the variation of ferrite grain size, and its kinetic parameters were measured from non-isothermal data during continuous heating. From calculation using a proposed model, $A_{c3}$ temperatures increased with increasing ferrite grain size and heating rate. Meanwhile, by converting the phase transformation kinetic model that predicts the ferrite grain size from austenite grain size during cooling, a prediction model for prior austenite grain size at just above the $A_{c3}$ temperature during heating was developed.

Fatigue Life Prediction Model of 12% Cr Rotor Steel (12% 크롬 로터강의 피로수명 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • 장윤석;오세욱;오세규
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1349-1355
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    • 1990
  • By examining the fatigue deformation properties of 12% Cr rotor steel which has been proved to have high fatigue and creep rupture strength around 600deg. C, authors reviewed major fatigue life prediction models such as Manson, Langer and Morrow equations, and following results were obtained. (1) A simple life prediction model for 12% Cr rotor steel was obtained as follows : DELTA..epsilon.$_{t}$ =2.18+.sigma.$_{u}$ /E+ $N^{-0.065}$+ $e^{0.6}$ $N^{-0.025}$ This equation shows that fatigue life, N, can be easily determined when total strain range, DELTA..epsilon.$_{t}$ and ultimate tensile strength, .sigma.$_{u}$ are known by simple tension test on the given test conditions. (2) Life prediction equation with equivalent maximum stress, DELTA..sigma./2, corresponding maximum strain in one cycle at room temperature is as follows: DELTA..sigma./w=-7.01logN+96.69+96.69

Dissimilar Friction Welding of Engine Exhaustive Valve and High Temperature Creep Prediction and Their Real-Time Evaluation by AE (엔진배기밸브의 내열강 이종재 마찰용접의 최적화와 고온 크리프의 실시간 예측 및 AE에 의한 실시간 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Guk;Oh, Jung-Hwan;Oh, Sae-Kyoo
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1 s.31
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1999
  • The engine exhaustive valve became essential as the important element. The dissimmilar welding method of exhaustive valve head to stem was asked for manufacturing the engine exhaustive valve, for which the electric resistance are welding has been conventionally used, resulting in poor quality of the welded joint. In this paper, not only the development of optimizing of friction welding with more reliability and more applicability but also the development of in-process real-time weld qudlity(such as strength and toughness) evaluation technique by acoustic emission for friction welding of the engine exhaustive valve(SUH3-SUH35 dissimilar steels) were perfomed. The high temperature(500, 500, 600$^{circ}$C) creep properties prediction of the friction welded joint of SUH3-SUH35 was investigated relating to the initial strain meethod(ISM) as a new approach, resulting in obtaining an experimental equation of creep life prediction.

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A Similitude Study of Soil-Wheel System for Inentifying the Dimension of Pertinent Soil Parameter (II) -Sinkage Prediction Analysis- (구동륜(驅動輪)의 성능예측(性能豫測)에 적합한 토양변수(土壤變數)의 차원해석(次元解析)을 위한 차륜(車輪)-토양(土壤) 시스템의 상사성(相似性) 연구(硏究)(II) -침하량(沈下量) 예측(豫測) 분석(分析)-)

  • Lee, K.S.;Chung, C.J.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.158-167
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    • 1989
  • This study was conducted to investigate the applicability of true model theory in a powered lugged wheel-soil system and to examine the possibility of using principles of similitude in investigating the dimensions of soil parameters pertinent to a powered lugged wheel-soil system concerning the sinkage prediction. The following conclusions were derived from the study; 1) The sinkage of prototype wheels proved to be predicted by those of the model wheels for the range of the dynamic weight tested. 2) A conditional equation which can be used for the prediction of sinkage of prototype by model test was derived as $n_f=n{_\ell}{^{-b}}$. The range of the numerical value of b, which is the exponent on the length dimension of the soil property ${\alpha}$, was found to be -1.48~-2.54. 3) Considering a relatively wide variation of b values, it was concluded that there are several soil properties which are pertinent to the powered lugged-wheel soil system concerning the sinkage prediction.

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A Development of Flash Fire Prediction Program for Combat System (전투 시스템의 순간 화재 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Lee, Jang-Se;Lee, Seung-Chul;Park, Young-Ju;Lee, Hae-Pyeong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.255-261
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we developed and tested a program for prediction flash fire in a combat system. Purposes of the program are flash fire prediction of combat system for analysis vulnerability and survivability, and visualization for fire-related information. To do this, we defined critical components of the combat system which has probabilities of flash fire occurrence, and proposed Flash Fire Probability Tree which is based on Fault Tree Analysis(FTA). The program visualizes positions of critical components in combat system, positions of penetrated components, selected Flash Fire Probability Tree, temperature profile, and tables for properties of matters.

Prediction of phosphorylation sites using multiple kernel learning (다중 커널 학습을 이용한 단백질의 인산화 부위 예측)

  • Kim, Jong-Kyoung;Choi, Seung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.10b
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2007
  • Phosphorylation is one of the most important post translational modifications which regulate the activity of proteins. The problem of predicting phosphorylation sites is the first step of understanding various biological processes that initiate the actual function of proteins in each signaling pathway. Although many prediction methods using single or multiple features extracted from protein sequences have been proposed, systematic data integration approach has not been applied in order to improve the accuracy of predicting general phosphorylation sites. In this paper, we propose an optimal way of integrating multiple features in the framework of multiple kernel learning. We optimally combine seven kernels extracted from sequence, physico-chemical properties, pairwise alignment, and structural information. Using the data set of Phospho. ELM, the accuracy evaluated by 5-fold cross-validation reaches 85% for serine, 85% for threonine, and 81% for tyrosine. Our computational experiments show significant improvement in the performance of prediction relative to a single feature, or to the combined feature with equal weights. Moreover, our systematic integration method significantly improves the prediction preformance compared with the previous well-known methods.

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Application of black box model for height prediction of the fractured zone in coal mining

  • Zhang, Shichuan;Li, Yangyang;Xu, Cuicui
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.997-1010
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    • 2017
  • The black box model is a relatively new option for nonlinear dynamic system identification. It can be used for prediction problems just based on analyzing the input and output data without considering the changes of the internal structure. In this paper, a black box model was presented to solve unconstrained overlying strata movement problems in coal mine production. Based on the black box theory, the overlying strata regional system was viewed as a "black box", and the black box model on overburden strata movement was established. Then, the rock mechanical properties and the mining thickness and mined-out section area were selected as the subject and object respectively, and the influences of coal mining on the overburden regional system were discussed. Finally, a corrected method for height prediction of the fractured zone was obtained. According to actual mine geological conditions, the measured geological data were introduced into the black box model of overlying strata movement for height calculation, and the fractured zone height was determined as 40.36 m, which was comparable to the actual height value (43.91 m) of the fractured zone detected by Double-block Leak Hunting in Drill. By comparing the calculation result and actual surface subsidence value, it can be concluded that the proposed model is adaptable for height prediction of the fractured zone.