• ETRI Journal
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.418-428
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• 2014

In social network services, such as Facebook, Google+, Twitter, and certain postings attract more people than others. In this paper, we propose a novel method for predicting the lifespan and retweet times of tweets, the latter being a proxy for measuring the popularity of a tweet. We extract information from retweet graphs, such as posting times; and social, local, and content features, so as to construct prediction knowledge bases. Tweets with a similar topic, retweet pattern, and properties are sequentially extracted from the knowledge base and then used to make a prediction. To evaluate the performance of our model, we collected tweets on Twitter from June 2012 to October 2012. We compared our model with conventional models according to the prediction goal. For the lifespan prediction of a tweet, our model can reduce the time tolerance of a tweet lifespan by about four hours, compared with conventional models. In terms of prediction of the retweet times, our model achieved a significantly outstanding precision of about 50%, which is much higher than two of the conventional models showing a precision of around 30% and 20%, respectively.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.69-78
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• 2000

Creep of concrete is the most dominating factor affecting time-dependent deformations of concrete structures. Especially, creep deformation for design and construction in prestressed concrete structures should be predicted accurately because of its close relation with the loss in prestree of prestressed concrete structures. Existing creep-prediction models for special applications contain several impractical factors such as the lack ok accuracy, the requirement of long-term test and the lack of versatility for change in material properties, ets., which should be improved. In order to improve those drawbacks, a methodology to modify the creep-prediction equation specified in current Korean concrete structures design standard (KCI-99), which underestimates creep of concrete and does not consider change of condition in mixture design, is proposed. In this study, short-term creep tests were carried out for early-age concrete within 28 days after loading and their test results on influencing factors in the equation are analysed. Then, the prediction equation was modified by using the early-age creep test results. The modified prediction equation was verified by comparing their results with results obtained from long-term creep test.

• Composites Research
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.270-278
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• 2019

In this study, the transverse mechanical properties of the unidirectional fiber reinforced composite modeled with fiber, matrix, and interphase is predicted with the representative volume elements and is calibrated by adjusting the properties and thickness of the interphase by referring to the test results. While the conventional representative volume elements modeled with fiber and matrix shows high predictive accuracy for the longitudinal mechanical properties, but it shows some deviations in the transverse mechanical properties. In order to compensate such gaps, the interphase region is employed, and its mechanical properties are adjusted to improve the prediction accuracy according to various elastic modulus, thickness, and strength parameters. As a result, the deviation of the transverse elastic modulus and strength is reduced significantly similar to the test results of the unidirectional composites with the accuracy of the longitudinal mechanical properties preserved.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.97-115
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• 2024

In this paper, a database consisting of the dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio test data of clay obtained from 406 groups of triaxial tests is constructed with the starting area of Xiong'an New Area as the research background. The aim is to study the nonlinear dynamic properties of clay in this area under cyclic loading. The study found that the effective confining pressure and plasticity index have certain influences on the dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio of clay in this area. Through data analysis, it was found that there was a certain correlation between effective confining pressure and plasticity index and dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio, with fitting degree values greater than 0.1263 for both. However, other physical indices such as the void ratio, natural density, water content and specific gravity have only a small effect on the dynamic shear modulus ratio and the damping ratio, with fitting degree values of less than 0.1 for all of them. This indicates that it is important to consider the influence of effective confining pressure and plasticity index when studying the nonlinear dynamic properties of clays in this area. Based on the above, prediction models for the dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio in this area were constructed separately. The results showed that the model that considered the combined effect of effective confining pressure and plasticity index performed best. The predicted dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio closely matched the actual curves, with approximately 88% of the data falling within ±1.3 times the measured dynamic shear modulus ratio and approximately 85.1% of the data falling within ±1.3 times the measured damping ratio. In contrast, the prediction models that considered only a single influence deviated from the actual values, particularly the model that considered only the plasticity index, which predicted the dynamic shear modulus ratio and the damping ratio within a small distribution range close to the average of the test values. When compared with existing prediction models, it was found that the predicted dynamic shear modulus ratio in this paper was slightly higher, which was due to the overall hardness of the clay in this area, leading to a slightly higher determination of the dynamic shear modulus ratio by the prediction model. Finally, for the dynamic shear modulus ratio and damping ratio of the engineering site in the starting area of Xiong'an New Area, we confirm that the prediction formulas established in this paper have high reliability and provide the applicable range of the prediction model.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.11 no.6
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• pp.550-557
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• 2005

The multivariate statistical analysis methods, using both multiple linear regression(MLR) and partial least square(PLS), have been applied to predict the reactor properties and the product quality of a direct esterification reactor for polyethylene terephthalate(PET) synthesis. On the basis of the set of data including the flow rate of water vapor, the flow rate of EG vapor, the concentration of acid end groups of a product and other operating conditions such as temperature, pressure, reaction times and feed monomer mole ratio, two multi-variable analysis methods have been applied. Their regression and prediction abilities also have been compared. The prediction results are critically compared with the actual plant data and the other mathematical model based results in reliability. This paper shows that PLS method approach can be used for the reasonably accurate prediction of a product quality of a direct esterification reactor in PET synthesis process.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.409-415
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• 2009

Kozeny-Carman equation has been generally applied to prediction of permeability for soil. The Kozeny-Carman equation has indicated fairly good results in prediction of sandy soils, but it is known that the equation is not appropriate for fine-grained soils such as cohesive soils. Therefore, a theoretical equation based on Kozeny-Carman equation is proposed to predict of permeability for cohesive soils in this paper. To develop the theoretical equation, soil properties of cohesive soil existed in the coastal areas and compacted cohesive soil used for the core of a dam were investigated and analyzed. As the results of this limited study, the most related factors between soil properties and permeability were #200 passing percentage for compacted cohesive soil, and clay content for cohesive soil at the coast areas.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.21-29
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• 2008

In this study, the thermal properties of peeled chestnuts were measured, and the mathematical prediction model of freezing time was also developed for various interior positions from center to rind (surface). The measured thermal properties were showed that heat conductivity is $0.43W/m^{\circ}C$, specific heat is $2.7206J/m^3^{\circ}C$, latent heat is $216.9{\times}10^6J/m^3$ and freezing point is $-2.8^{\circ}C$. The entire process about reaching to the freezing time of peeled chestnuts was analyzed with its each regular depth position using the finite difference method (FDM) based on computer simulation. In case of regular freezing temperature, it was showed an that surface (rind) position is more rapidly reached into the freezing point rather than the center position, and also reaching time to the freezing point is more fast at the lower freezing temperature. Comparison results between simulation and experiments showed linear relationship. In regularly varying condition for freezing temperature, this method would give an information to predict a freezing time of the interior points for peeled chestnuts and more similar agricultural products.

• Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.99-107
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• 1999

In this paper, the prediction method of the differential column shortening for cracked reinforced concrete tall buildings due to the construction sequence is presented. The cracked sectional properties from the strain and curvature of the sectional centroid is directly used. And the stiffness matrix of concrete elements considering the axial strain-curvature interaction effect is adopted. The creep and shrinkage properties used in the predictions were calculated in accordance with ACI 209, CEB-FIP 1990, and B3 model code. In order to demonstrate the validity of this algorithm, the prediction by the proposed method are compared with both the results of the in-situ test and the results by other simplified method. The proposed method is in good agreement with experimental results, and better than the simplified method.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• v.37 no.8
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• pp.869-876
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• 2013

In order to estimate the fatigue life of mufflers at the early stage of researches and designs, the new prediction process was developed by the artificial neural network, which has the algorism of weldment properties. Bending fatigue test was carried out for defining the characteristics of muffler weldment fatigue life and damage. For considering and predicting mechanical and fatigue properties of the muffler, the maximum stress of weldment was adapted as the variable of artificial neural network training. Also, it was compared with the fatigue life predicting results using fatigue notch factors, for proving the newly developed process of the artificial neural network.

• International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.179-192
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• 2013

The lack of systematic validation for the design process supporting tall buildings motivated the authors' research groups and their collaborators to found the Chicago Full-Scale Monitoring Program over a decade ago. This project has allowed the sustained in-situ observation of a collection of tall buildings now spanning worldwide. This paper overviews this program and the lessons learned in the process, ranging from appropriate technologies for response measurements to the factors influencing accurate prediction of dynamic properties all the way to how these properties then influence the prediction of response using wind tunnel testing and whether this response does indeed correlate with in-situ observations. Through this paper, these wide ranging subjects are addressed in a manner that demonstrates the importance of continued promotion and expansion of full-scale monitoring efforts and the ways in which these programs can provide true value-added to building owners and managers.