• Title/Summary/Keyword: promising future technologies

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A Study on the Extracting ICT Development Trend and Promising Technologies by Utilizing Patent Information in Gyeongbuk Province (특허정보를 활용한 경북지역 ICT 개발동향 분석 및 유망기술 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Jang-Hyup;Kim, Chae-Bogk
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.236-264
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the trend of the patent applications and the future direction of ICT in Gyeongbuk Province by employing patent portfolio analysis, one of the methodology of map analyses for industry-related ICT issues. Thus, this study aims to investigate the ICT development trend based on ICT patent information in Gyeongbuk Province. The promising technologies in ICT industry are extracted by applying patent portfolio analysis, one of the patent map analyses. The analysis results can be applied to the establishment of research and development strategies. This study extracts ICT trend by applying International Patent Classification to the patents registered in Gyeongbuk. For promising technologies, this study analyzed the patents based on the ICT Classification Code. Based on the analysis results, this study presents the trend of patent application, technology share, patent activity status, the trend of patent application by each technology according to ICT classification, the growth stages of ICT market, registration parties for patents, joint researches of research parties, and primary parties of patent applications. After drawing promising technologies, this study provides the future progress direction of ICT industry in Gyeongbuk Province. The research results also can be applied to securing technology competence and developing strategy of technology policy.

Technology Development Strategy of Piggyback Transportation System Using Topic Modeling Based on LDA Algorithm

  • Jun, Sung-Chan;Han, Seong-Ho;Kim, Sang-Baek
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we identify promising technologies for Piggyback transportation system by analyzing the relevant patent information. In order for this, we first develop the patent database by extracting relevant technology keywords from the pioneering research papers for the Piggyback flactcar system. We then employed textmining to identify the frequently referred words from the patent database, and using these words, we applied the LDA (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) algorithm in order to identify "topics" that are corresponding to "key" technologies for the Piggyback system. Finally, we employ the ARIMA model to forecast the trends of these "key" technologies for technology forecasting, and identify the promising technologies for the Piggyback system. with keyword search method the patent analysis. The results show that data-driven integrated management system, operation planning system and special cargo (especially fluid and gas) handling/storage technologies are identified to be the "key" promising technolgies for the future of the Piggyback system, and data reception/analysis techniques must be developed in order to improve the system performance. The proposed procedure and analysis method provides useful insights to develop the R&D strategy and the technology roadmap for the Piggyback system.

A Study of Agenda Mining for Humanities-Based Convergence Research (인문사회기반 융합연구 의제 도출 연구)

  • Park, Minsu;Noh, Younghee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.62-76
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we analyzed future emerging technologies from the perspective of convergence research and arranged them into mega-trends, trends, and issues, to carry out predictions of the future environment and search for technologies that are expected to be closely related to human life, and ultimately to achieve convergence research agenda that can predict various social problems. First, we investigated and analyzed the literature mentioned about various promising technologies and analyzed them to analyze key words and summarize the most frequently used core key words to infer trends. Then, an agenda was drawn that emphasized connectivity with the humanities-based convergence research by stratifying and organizing the inferred trends and classifying them as core and derived trends. The necessity, innovation, convergence, feasibility, future-oriented, and acceptability of these derived agendas were investigated through a survey. The analysis showed that researchers conducting convergence research showed a high interest in agenda items that deal closely with daily life with feasible technologies in the near future, while they showed a rather low interest in issues such as technology that can be realized in the distant future, terrorism or international conflicts.

An Intelligent Decision Support System for Selecting Promising Technologies for R&D based on Time-series Patent Analysis (R&D 기술 선정을 위한 시계열 특허 분석 기반 지능형 의사결정지원시스템)

  • Lee, Choongseok;Lee, Suk Joo;Choi, Byounggu
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.79-96
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    • 2012
  • As the pace of competition dramatically accelerates and the complexity of change grows, a variety of research have been conducted to improve firms' short-term performance and to enhance firms' long-term survival. In particular, researchers and practitioners have paid their attention to identify promising technologies that lead competitive advantage to a firm. Discovery of promising technology depends on how a firm evaluates the value of technologies, thus many evaluating methods have been proposed. Experts' opinion based approaches have been widely accepted to predict the value of technologies. Whereas this approach provides in-depth analysis and ensures validity of analysis results, it is usually cost-and time-ineffective and is limited to qualitative evaluation. Considerable studies attempt to forecast the value of technology by using patent information to overcome the limitation of experts' opinion based approach. Patent based technology evaluation has served as a valuable assessment approach of the technological forecasting because it contains a full and practical description of technology with uniform structure. Furthermore, it provides information that is not divulged in any other sources. Although patent information based approach has contributed to our understanding of prediction of promising technologies, it has some limitations because prediction has been made based on the past patent information, and the interpretations of patent analyses are not consistent. In order to fill this gap, this study proposes a technology forecasting methodology by integrating patent information approach and artificial intelligence method. The methodology consists of three modules : evaluation of technologies promising, implementation of technologies value prediction model, and recommendation of promising technologies. In the first module, technologies promising is evaluated from three different and complementary dimensions; impact, fusion, and diffusion perspectives. The impact of technologies refers to their influence on future technologies development and improvement, and is also clearly associated with their monetary value. The fusion of technologies denotes the extent to which a technology fuses different technologies, and represents the breadth of search underlying the technology. The fusion of technologies can be calculated based on technology or patent, thus this study measures two types of fusion index; fusion index per technology and fusion index per patent. Finally, the diffusion of technologies denotes their degree of applicability across scientific and technological fields. In the same vein, diffusion index per technology and diffusion index per patent are considered respectively. In the second module, technologies value prediction model is implemented using artificial intelligence method. This studies use the values of five indexes (i.e., impact index, fusion index per technology, fusion index per patent, diffusion index per technology and diffusion index per patent) at different time (e.g., t-n, t-n-1, t-n-2, ${\cdots}$) as input variables. The out variables are values of five indexes at time t, which is used for learning. The learning method adopted in this study is backpropagation algorithm. In the third module, this study recommends final promising technologies based on analytic hierarchy process. AHP provides relative importance of each index, leading to final promising index for technology. Applicability of the proposed methodology is tested by using U.S. patents in international patent class G06F (i.e., electronic digital data processing) from 2000 to 2008. The results show that mean absolute error value for prediction produced by the proposed methodology is lower than the value produced by multiple regression analysis in cases of fusion indexes. However, mean absolute error value of the proposed methodology is slightly higher than the value of multiple regression analysis. These unexpected results may be explained, in part, by small number of patents. Since this study only uses patent data in class G06F, number of sample patent data is relatively small, leading to incomplete learning to satisfy complex artificial intelligence structure. In addition, fusion index per technology and impact index are found to be important criteria to predict promising technology. This study attempts to extend the existing knowledge by proposing a new methodology for prediction technology value by integrating patent information analysis and artificial intelligence network. It helps managers who want to technology develop planning and policy maker who want to implement technology policy by providing quantitative prediction methodology. In addition, this study could help other researchers by proving a deeper understanding of the complex technological forecasting field.

A Study on the Analyzing International Cooperation Using Bibliometrics : Focused on LED (계량서지분석을 통한 국가간 협력도 분석에 관한 연구 : LED분야를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Woo-Hyoung;Yeo, Woon-Dong;Park, Jun-Cheul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.111-127
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    • 2011
  • This study is intended for international cooperation in the field of LED were analyzed. The results, LED wide coverage areas, and a promising future is expected to grow fast enough to occupancy for a major national technology is a competitive situation. Chip Scale Package, including our country, such as LED manufacturing technology that might be competitive in parts, but new technologies such as renal substrate R&D and technology development still active preemption is not the situation. Renal substrate, particularly, large-diameter sapphire, large size/large LED manufacturers, such as a promising area for future research and development support will be needed. To do this, previous research in this area and the U.S., Japan cooperation in such studies also will need to expand. Bibliometrics way through this study, analytical techniques and analytical tools used in the integrated analysis of the usefulness and necessity of the system development were found.

A Study on 2040 Technology Forecasting using Delphi Survey in Korean Medicine (한의약 분야의 2040년 델파이 기술예측조사 연구)

  • Kwon, Soo Hyun;Kim, Dongsu;Chung, Keun Ha;Koo, Ki Hoon;Kim, Dongjoon;Woo, Jong-Min;Ahn, Mi Young;Heo, Shin Hee;Kwon, Young Kyu
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2016
  • Objectives : This is a study for technological forecasting, aiming to find out the promising future technologies in KM(Korean Medicine) and deduce implications for the research and development of KM. Methods : The first pool of 145 technological tasks related to KM were composed by reviewing the existing data related to technological forecasting. The steering committee for the research set 99 final technological tasks. With the deduced technological tasks, mini-Delphi(2-round) method was conducted and 6 research items were used-the importance, realization time, urgency, technological competitiveness, the main agent that will push forward the task, and obstacles. Results : As a result on the time when the technology will be realized, 58 out of 99 technologies(59%) were predicted to be realized in the same year domestically and globally. The average of the importance of the 99 technological tasks was 72.9. Among them. As for the main agent to push forward the research and development of future technologies, 'industry-academic cooperation' took the highest portion at 58.7%, and regarding the obstacles to realize technological tasks, the lack of infrastructure(research funds) was the highest at 33.6%. Conclusions : This study shows that the development of basic technologies in the technologies of Korean medicine is insufficient and it is believed that the development of basic technologies is urgent to promote the development of application technologies.

Detection of Emerging Technology by Using Highly Cited Papers (고피인용 논문을 활용한 유망기술 발굴)

  • Lee, June-Young;Kim, Do-Hyun;Ahn, Se-Jung;Noh, Kyung-Ran;Kwon, Oh-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.1655-1664
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    • 2013
  • Recently, it becomes essential to forecast the future and identify emerging technologies in order to improve R&D efficiency and gain a competitive advantage under rapidly changing environment of science and technology. Therefore this research aims to identify the future and emerging technologies especially for the industry and applied it to list top ten emerging technologies. In this study, we identify research fronts across all areas of science and technology through verifying and comparing the 2008 and the 2012 surge in research activities. Finally we detect rapidly increasing 10 promising technology areas. This research results are expected to provide valuable information to support stragegic and policy decision making.

Prospects on AgroMeteorological Information for Agricultural Applications (농업기상 정보의 활용 전망)

  • Lee Byong-Lyol
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.24-30
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    • 2000
  • This paper is to introduce distinctive trends in Agrometeorological Information(AgMI) these days, as well as newly emerging technologies from advanced sciences that are promising to enhance production and dissemination of AgMI in the future. The basic concept and important characteristics of AgMI were described either in general or in technical terms. Then AgMI was rather arbitrarily classified here into several groups, simply to show the diversity of AgMI resources available and technologies employed. The production, management, dissemination and communication of AgMI are envisaged to some extent together with the introduction of current status of AgMI production in Korea. Finally a couple of personal prospects on AgMI for agricultural applications are listed in terms of applicable subjects in Agricultural activities, current practicing cases in Korea and future perspectives for sustainable agriculture.

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CORE DESIGN CONCEPTS FOR HIGH PERFORMANCE LIGHT WATER REACTORS

  • Schulenberg, T.;Starflinger, J.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.249-256
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    • 2007
  • Light water reactors operated under supercritical pressure conditions have been selected as one of the promising future reactor concepts to be studied by the Generation IV International Forum. Whereas the steam cycle of such reactors can be derived from modem fossil fired power plants, the reactor itself, and in particular the reactor core, still need to be developed. Different core design concepts shall be described here to outline the strategy. A first option for near future applications is a pressurized water reactor with $380^{\circ}C$ core exit temperature, having a closed primary loop and achieving 2% pts. higher net efficiency and 24% higher specific turbine power than latest pressurized water reactors. More efficiency and turbine power can be gained from core exit temperatures around $500^{\circ}C$, which require a multi step heat up process in the core with intermediate coolant mixing, achieving up to 44% net efficiency. The paper summarizes different core and assembly design approaches which have been studied recently for such High Performance Light Water Reactors.

ICT-oriented Training of Future HEI Teachers: a Forecast of Educational Trends 2022-2024

  • Olena, Politova;Dariia, Pustovoichenko;Hrechanyk, Nataliia;Kateryna, Yaroshchuk;Serhii, Nenko
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.387-393
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    • 2022
  • The article reflects short-term perspectives on the use of information and communication technologies in the training of teachers for higher education. Education is characterized by conservatism, so aspects of systematic development of the industry are relevant to this cluster of social activity. Therefore, forecasting the introduction of innovative elements of ICT training is in demand for the educational environment. Forecasting educational trends are most relevant exactly in the issues of training future teachers of higher education because these specialists are actually the first to implement the acquired professional skills in pedagogical activities. The article aims to consider the existing potential of ICT-based learning, its implementation in the coming years, and promising innovative educational elements that may become relevant for the educational space in the future. The tasks of scientific exploration are to show the optimal formats of synergy between traditional and innovative models of learning. Based on already existing experience, extrapolation of conditions of educational process organization with modeling realities of using information and communication technologies in various learning dimensions should be carried out. Educational trends for the next 3 years are a rather tentative forecast because, as demonstrated by the events associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, the socio-cultural space is very changeable. Consequently, the dynamism of the educational environment dictates the need for a value-based awareness of the information society and the practical use of technological advances. Thus, information and communication technologies are a manifestation of innovative educational strategies of today and become an important component along with traditional aspects of educational process organization. Future higher education teachers should develop a training strategy taking into account the expediency of the ICT component.