• 제목/요약/키워드: probability trajectory

검색결과 86건 처리시간 0.026초

중·고령자 사회참여 변화 유형화와 결정요인에 관한 연구 (A study on the Typology and Determinants for Changes in the Social Participation of Middle-aged and Older Population)

  • 이민욱;정규형
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제10권7호
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    • pp.243-249
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 중 고령자의 사회참여 변화를 유형화 하고 각 변화에 대한 결정요인을 탐색하는 데 목적이 있다. 분석자료는 한국 고령화연구패널조사 1차(2006)부터 6차(2016)년까지의 자료를 활용하였고, 분석 대상은 패널조사의 응답자 중 남성 1,327명, 여성 1,520명인 총 2,847명이었다. SPSS 22.0, M-plus 8.0 통계 프로그램을 통해 성장혼합 모형을 실시한 결과, 중 고령자의 사회참여 변화는 '고수준 감소형', '중수준 증가형', '저수준 유지형'으로 유형화 되었다. 각 유형에 대한 결정요인을 분석한 결과, 교육수준이 높을수록 저수준 유지형보다 고수준 감소형과 중수준 증가형에 속할 확률이 높으며, 도시지역에 거주할수록 저수준 유지형보다 고수준 감소형에 속할 가능성이 높은 것으로 확인되었다. 또한 직업이 없을수록 저수준 유지형보다 중수준 증가형에 속할 확률이 높은 것으로 확인되었다. 이러한 분석 결과를 통해 중 고령자 사회참여 촉진에 관한 함의점을 논의하였다.

Vibrational Relaxation and Bond Dissociation of Excited Methylpyrazine in the Collision with HF

  • Oh, Hee-Gyun;Ree, Jong-Baik;Lee, Sang-Kwon;Kim, Yoo-Hang
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제27권10호
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    • pp.1641-1647
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    • 2006
  • Vibrational relaxation and competitive C-$H_{methyl}$ and C-$H_{ring}$ bond dissociations in vibrationally excited methylpyrazine in the collision with HF have been studied by use of classical trajectory procedures. The energy lost by the vibrationally excited methylpyrazine upon collision is not large and it increases slowly with increasing total vibrational energy content between 20,000 and 45,000 $cm^{-1}$. Above the energy content of 45,000 $cm^{-1}$, however, energy loss decreases. The temperature dependence of energy loss is negligible between 200 and 400 K, but above 45,000 $cm^{-1}$ the energy loss increases as the temperature is raised. Energy transfer to or from the excited methyl C-H bond occurs in strong collisions with HF, that is, relatively large amount of translational energy is transferred in a single step. On the other hand, energy transfer to the ring C-H bond occurs in a series of small steps. When the total energy content ET of methylpyrazine is sufficiently high, either or both C-H bonds can dissociate. The C-$H_{methyl}$ dissociation probability is higher than the C-$H_{ring}$ dissociation probability. The dissociation of the ring C-H bond is not the result of the direct intermolecular energy flow from the direct collision between the ring C-H and HF but the result of the intramolecular flow of energy from the methyl group to the ring C-H stretch.

저궤도 위성의 대기권 재진입 시 생존성 및 피해확률 분석 (Re-entry Survivability and On-Ground Risk Analysis of Low Earth Orbit Satellite)

  • 정순우;민찬오;이미현;이대우;조겸래
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2014
  • IADC의 '25년 규정'에 의해 미션종료 된 저궤도 인공위성은 25년 이내에 지구로 재진입, 소각 폐기되도록 권고하고 있다. 이때 인공위성의 부품일부 또는 다수가 살아남아 지상에 충돌할 경우 인명 및 재산피해를 낼 수 있다. 우리나라의 경우 저궤도 위성으로서 아리랑 인공위성과 과학기술위성을 운용 중에 있으며 임무종료 후에는 모두 대기권 재진입을 통한 폐기처리가 필수이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 ESA의 DRAMA내부의 SARA(Re-entry Survival and Risk Analysis)모듈을 이용하여 지상피해가 예측되는 크기인 가상위성의 추락궤적 및 생존부품을 분석하고 그에 따른 지상충돌확률, 피해확률을 분석하였다. 분석결과 198.831kg이 생존할 것으로 예상되며 추락지점이 한반도일 경우 전체 피해면적은 $15.2742m^2$, 피해확률은 5.9614E-03(2D)일 것으로 예상된다.

VMS에 대한 운전자 반응특성 분석 (DGPS를 이용한 가속도 자료 분석을 중심으로) (Analysis of Driver's Responsive Behavior to Variable Message Signs Using In-vehicle DGPS Data)

  • 홍승표;박준형;오철;장명순
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 DGPS 장비를 장착한 개별 차량으로부터 얻어진 주행궤적자료를 활용하여 VMS영향권에서의 운전자 반응특성을 분석하였다. 실험 대상 구간은 서울도시고속도로(올림픽대로)상의 직선부 도로의 VMS를 대상으로 설정하였다. ANOVA TEST를 통하여 VMS 접근거리에 대한 운전자 반응특성(가속도, 속도)을 분석하였으며, 접근 거리에 따른 가속도의 확률밀도함수를 도출하였다. 본 연구의 분석결과는 VMS 설치로 인해 운전자가 체험하는 작업부하가 교통류패턴에 미치는 영향을 도출하는데 활용 될 수 있으며 나아가 이러한 운전자의 반응행태분석은 보다 현실적인 미시적 교통류 모의실험을 위한 기초자료로도 유용하게 사용될 것으로 기대된다.

Intramolecular Energy Flow and Bond Dissociation in the Collision between Vibrationally Excited Toluene and HF

  • Ree, Jong-baik;Kim, Sung-Hee;Lee, Taeck-Hong;Kim, Yu-Hang
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.495-502
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    • 2006
  • Intramolecular energy flow and C-$H_{methyl}$ and C-$H_{ring}$ bond dissociations in vibrationally excited toluene in the collision with HF have been studied by use of classical trajectory procedures. The energy lost by the vibrationally excited toluene upon collision is not large and it increases slowly with increasing total vibrational energy content between 20,000 and 45,000 $cm ^{-1}$. Above the energy content of 45,000 $cm ^{-1}$, however, energy loss decreases. Furthermore, in the highly excited toluene, toluene gains energy from incident HF. The temperature dependence of energy loss is negligible between 200 and 400 K. Energy transfer to or from the excited methyl C-H bond occurs in strong collisions with HF transferring relatively large amount of its translational energy (>> $k_BT$) in a single step, whereas energy transfer to the ring C-H bond occurs in a series of small steps. When the total energy content $E_T$ of toluene is sufficiently high, either C-H bond can dissociate. The C-$H_{methyl}$ dissociation probability is higher than the C-$H_{ring}$ dissociation probability. The dissociation of the ring C-H bond is not the result of the intermolecular energy flow from the direct collision between the ring C-H and HF but the intramolecular flow of energy from the methyl group to the ring C-H stretch. The C-$H_{ring}$${\cdot}{\cdot}{\cdot}$HF interaction is not important in transferring energy and in turn bond dissociation.

Vibrational Relaxation and Bond Dissociation in Methylpyrazine on Collision with N2 and O2

  • Young-Jin Yu;Sang Kwon Lee;Jongbaik Ree
    • 대한화학회지
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    • 제67권6호
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    • pp.407-414
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    • 2023
  • The present study uses quasi-classical trajectory procedures to examine the vibrational relaxation and dissociation of the methyl and ring C-H bonds in excited methylpyrazine (MP) during collision with either N2 or O2. The energy-loss (-ΔE) of the excited MP is calculated as the total vibrational energy (ET) of MP is increased in the range of 5,000 to 40,000cm-1. The results indicate that the collision-induced vibrational relaxation of MP is not large, increasing gradually with increasing ET between 5,000 and 30,000 cm-1, but then decreasing with the further increase in ET. In both N2 and O2 collisions, the vibrational relaxation of MP occurs mainly via the vibration-to-translation (V→T) and vibration-to-vibration (V→V) energy transfer pathways, while the vibration-to-rotation (V→R) energy transfer pathway is negligible. In both collision systems, the V→T transfer shows a similar pattern and amount of energy loss in the ET range of 5,000 to 40,000cm-1, whereas the pattern and amount of energy transfer via the V→V pathway differs significantly between two collision systems. The collision-induced dissociation of the C-Hmethyl or C-Hring bond occurs when highly excited MP (65,000-72,000 cm-1) interacts with the ground-state N2 or O2. Here, the dissociation probability is low (10-4-10-1), but increases exponentially with increasing vibrational excitation. This can be interpreted as the intermolecular interaction below ET = 71,000 cm-1. By contrast, the bond dissociation above ET = 71,000 cm-1 is due to the intramolecular energy flow between the excited C-H bonds. The probability of C-Hmethyl dissociation is higher than that of C-Hring dissociation.

Short-term Reactive Power Reserve Optimization Based on Trajectory Sensitivity

  • Sun, Quancai;Cheng, Haozhong;Zhang, Jian;Li, Baiqing;Song, Yue
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.541-548
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    • 2017
  • An increasing concern is paid to short-term voltage stability with the growth of penetration of induction motor loads. Reactive power reserve(RPR) of power system is critical to improve voltage stability. A definition of short-term voltage stability-related RPR(SVRPR) is proposed. Generators vary their contributions to voltage stability with their location and system condition, etc. Voltage support coefficient based on the second-order trace sensitivity method is proposed to evaluate SVRPR's contribution to short-term voltage stability. The evaluation method can account for the generator's reactive support in transient process and the contingency severity. Then an optimization model to improve short-term voltage stability is built. To deal with multiple contingencies, contingency weight taking into account both its probability and severity is proposed. The optimization problem is solved by primal dual interior point method. Testing on IEEE_39 bus system, it is indicated that the method proposed is effective. Short-term voltage stability is improved significantly by the way of SVRPR optimization. Hence, the approach can be used to prevent the happening of voltage collapse during system's contingency.

A NEW CHANNEL TO SEARCH FOR EXTRA-SOLAR SYSTEMS WITH MULTIPLE PLANETS VIA GRAVITATIONAL MICROLENSING

  • HAN CHEONGHO;PARK MYEONG-GU
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2002
  • Gaudi, Naber & Sackett pointed out that if an event is caused by a lens system containing more than two planets, all planets will affect the central region of the magnification pattern, and thus the existence of the multiple planets can be inferred by detecting additionally deformed anomalies from intensive monitoring of high magnification microlensing events. Unfortunately, this method has important limitations in identifying the existence of multiple planets and determining their parameters (the mass ratio and the instantaneous projected separation) due to the degeneracy of the resulting light curve anomalies from those induced by a single planet and the complexity of multiple planet lensing models. In this paper, we propose a new channel to search for multiple planets via microlensing. The method is based on the fact that the lensing light curve anomalies induced by multiple planets are well approximated by the superposition of those of the single planet systems where the individual planet-primary pairs act as independent lens systems. Then, if the source trajectory passes both of the outer deviation regions induced by the individual planets, one can unambiguously identify the existence of the multiple planets. We illustrate that the probability of successively detecting light curve anomalies induced by two Jovian-mass planets located in the lensing zone through this channel will be substantial. Since the individual anomalies can be well described by much simpler single planet lensing models, the proposed method has an important advantage of allowing one to accurately determine the parameters of the individual planets.

유방암 환자의 치료 전 경험 (The Patients' Experiences of the Diagnosis and Pre-Treatment Period of Breast Cancer)

  • 서은영;박연환;김성재
    • 기본간호학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.495-503
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: To date most research related to patients with breast cancer has discriminately investigated the status within or after the treatment although the patients demand holistic nursing care from the time of diagnosis. Thus, the purpose of this study was to investigate the trajectory of breast cancer diagnosis and patients' experiences in the pre-treatment period. Method: This qualitative study used qualitative thematic analysis. Nineteen Korean women who were diagnosed with breast cancer within the last 6 month participated in the study. Individualized interviews were conducted with each participant in a cancer center in K city. The interviews were tape-recorded, transcribed, and analyzed using the thematic analysis process. Results: The overriding theme was "the scattered life in an unforeseen swirl", which illustrates the participants' unexpected crisis with confusion and emotional distress. Two subthemes included "falling into an unavoidable journey", and "staggering in a muddle with urgency". The categories were "unexpected probability", "nagging nodularity", "ominous presentiment", "emotional upheaval", "bad thought intrusion", and "a sense of urgency". Conclusion: Patients in the pre-treatment period encountered utter emotional distress and a sense of urgency after being diagnosed breast cancer. Strategies to develop nursing care for patients in this period and nursing implications are discussed.

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PROJECTION OF TRAJECTORY FOR SUPPORTING UNCERTAINTY FUTURE TIME OF MOVING OBJECT

  • Won Ho-Gyeong;Jung Young Jin;Lee Yang Koo;Park Mi;Kim Hak-cheol;Ryu Keun Ho
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2005년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2005
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    • pp.72-75
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    • 2005
  • Uncertainty of objects in Moving Object Database is a coherent property. It has been discussed in a lot of researches on modelling and query processing. The previous studies assume that uncertain future time is determined through utilizing recent speed and direction of vehicles. This method is simple and useful for estimating the time of the near future location. However, it is not appropriate when we estimate the time of the far future location. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a concept of planned route. It is used to estimate uncertain future time, which has to be located at a given point. If the route of an object is planned beforehand its locations are uncertainly distributed near that route. By a simple projection operation, the probability that a location lies in the planned route is increased. Moreover, we identify the future time of an object based on the speed for passing the route, which is offered via a website.

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