• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability plot

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Prediction of Extreme Sloshing Pressure Using Different Statistical Models

  • Cetin, Ekin Ceyda;Lee, Jeoungkyu;Kim, Sangyeob;Kim, Yonghwan
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the extreme sloshing pressure was predicted using various statistical models: three-parameter Weibull distribution, generalized Pareto distribution, generalized extreme value distribution, and three-parameter log-logistic distribution. The estimation of sloshing impact pressure is important in design of liquid cargo tank in severe sea state. In order to get the extreme values of local impact pressures, a lot of model tests have been carried out and statistical analysis has been performed. Three-parameter Weibull distribution and generalized Pareto distribution are widely used as the statistical analysis method in sloshing phenomenon, but generalized extreme value distribution and three-parameter log-logistic distribution are added in this study. Additionally, statistical distributions are fitted to peak pressure data using three different parameter estimation methods. The data were obtained from a three-dimensional sloshing model text conducted at Seoul National University. The loading conditions were 20%, 50%, and 95% of tank height, and the analysis was performed based on the measured impact pressure on four significant panels with large sloshing impacts. These fittings were compared by observing probability of exceedance diagrams and probability plot correlation coefficient test for goodness-of-fit.

Infrared Multiphoton Dissociation of $CHCl_2F$: Reaction Mechanisms and Product Ratio Dependence on Pressure and Laser Pulse Energy

  • Song, Nam-Woong;Lee, Won-Chul;Kim, Hyong-Ha
    • Journal of Photoscience
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2005
  • Infrared multiphoton dissociation of $CHCl_2F$ was studied using $CO_2$ laser excitation. Three products, $C_2Cl_2F_2$, $C_2ClF_3$, and $C_2HClF_2$, were identified by the analysis of the gas mixture from the photoreaction of $CHCl_2F$. The dependence of the reaction probability on added Ar gas pressure and excitation laser pulse energy was investigated. At low pressure (< 10 torr), the reaction probability increased as Ar pressure increased due to the rotational hole-filling effect, while it diminished with the increase of Ar pressure at high pressure (> > 20 torr) due to the collisional deactivation. The ratio of two products $(C_2ClF_3/C_2Cl_2F_2)$ decreased at low pressure (< 10 torr) and increased at high pressure (> 20 torr) with the increase of Ar pressure. The log-log plot of the reaction probability vs. laser pulse energy (${\\phi}$) was found to have a linear relationship, and its slope decreased as the added Ar pressure was increased. The reaction mechanisms for product formation have been suggested and validated by experimental evidences and considering the energetics. Fluorine-chlorine exchange reaction in the intermediate complex has been suggested to explain the formation of $C_2ClF_3$.

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Thermal shock behavior of alumina ceramics by ball-on-3 ball test (Ball-on-3 ball test에 의한 알루미나 세라믹스의 열충격 거동)

  • 이중현;박성은;한봉석;이홍림
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.1062-1068
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    • 1999
  • The flexural strength distribution of alumina ceramics was observed using ball-on-3 ball test after thermal shock into the distilled water of 25$^{\circ}C$ Crack distribution was also observed by dye-penetration after thermal shock test. Fracture probability of alumina ceramics by ball-on-3 ball test was studied and compared with that by 3-point bending test. The crack distance from the center of thespecimen showed the stronger effect on the flexural strength by ball-on-3 ball test than the crack density.

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Fluorescence quenching of 5-methyl-3-phenyl-2-[s-oxadiazol-2'-thione-5'-yl] indole by $CCl_4$ and aniline in different solvents

  • H M, Suresh-Kumar;R S, Kunabenchi;J S, Biradar;N N, Math;J S, Kadadevaramath
    • Journal of Photoscience
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.225-229
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    • 2003
  • The fluorescence quenching of 5-methyl-3-phenyl-2-[s-oxadiazol-2'-thionen5'-yl] indole by carbon tetrachloride ($CCl_4$) and aniline in different solvents viz., dioxane, benzene, toluene, methanol, propanol has been carried out at room temperature to understand the role of quenching mechanisms. The Stern-Volmer plots have been found to be linear. As probability of quenching per encounter 'p' is less than unity, and the activation energy for quenching 'E$_{a}$' is greater than the activation energy of diffusion 'E$_{d}$', it is inferred that the fluorescence of quenching mechanism is not due to material diffusion alone.e.e.

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A Study on the Construction and Analysis of Fractional Designs by Using Arrays for Factorial Experiments (배열을 이용한 효과적인 일부실시법의 설계 및 분석방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2012
  • For the construction of fractional factorial designs, the various arrays can be widely used. In this paper we review the statistical properties of fractional designs constructed by two arrays such as orthogonal array and partially balanced array, and develop a quick and easy method for analyzing unreplicated saturated designs. The proposed method can be characterized that we control the error rate by experiment-wise way and exploit the multivariate Student $t$-distribution. Especially the proposed method can be used efficiently together with some exploratory analysis methods, such as half normal probability plot method.

A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Power Distribution System Equipment (배전기기 고장률 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Kim, Jae-Chul;Lee, Hee-Tae;Chu, Cheol-Min;Ahn, Jae-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.366-368
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

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Prediction of Future Sea Surface Temperature around the Korean Peninsular based on Statistical Downscaling (통계적 축소법을 이용한 한반도 인근해역의 미래 표층수온 추정)

  • Ham, Hee-Jung;Kim, Sang-Su;Yoon, Woo-Seok
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.31 no.B
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2011
  • Recently, climate change around the world due to global warming has became an important issue and damages by climate change have a bad effect on human life. Changes of Sea Surface Temperature(SST) is associated with natural disaster such as Typhoon and El Nino. So we predicted daily future SST using Statistical Downscaling Method and CGCM 3.1 A1B scenario. 9 points of around Korea peninsular were selected to predict future SST and built up a regression model using Multiple Linear Regression. CGCM 3.1 was simulated with regression model, and that comparing Probability Density Function, Box-Plot, and statistical data to evaluate suitability of regression models, it was validated that regression models were built up properly.

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Development of a Portable Device based on PDA for Vibration Signal Analysis (PDA 기반 포터블 진동 신호 분석기 개발)

  • 김동준;박광호;기창두
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.179-184
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    • 2002
  • In this study, we developed a portable device which can monitor and analyze vibration signals from machines. This system consists a PDA loading the program for vibration analysis and A/D board for vibration acquisition. A PDA is smaller than the palm of the hand, but it has a powerful computing ability as much as an IBM compatible PC with a Pentium 100MHz CPU. The A/D board developed in this study supports LAN interface using TCP/IP communication protocol. The application program for vibration analysis includes signal processing module, fault diagnosis module, data store module, and plot display module. MS visual embedded C++ 3.0 was used to developed the program.

Nomogram for screening the risk of developing metabolic syndrome using naïve Bayesian classifier

  • Minseok Shin;Jeayoung Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 2023
  • Metabolic syndrome is a serious disease that can eventually lead to various complications, such as stroke and cardiovascular disease. In this study, we aimed to identify the risk factors related to metabolic syndrome for its prevention and recognition and propose a nomogram that visualizes and predicts the probability of the incidence of metabolic syndrome. We conducted an analysis using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey (KNHANES VII) and identified 10 risk factors affecting metabolic syndrome by using the Rao-Scott chi-squared test, considering the characteristics of the complex sample. A naïve Bayesian classifier was used to build a nomogram for metabolic syndrome. We then predicted the incidence of metabolic syndrome using the nomogram. Finally, we verified the nomogram using a receiver operating characteristic curve and a calibration plot.

Seedling Plug and Cutting Method for Multi-propagation of Ornamental Miscanthus Spp. (조경용 억새의 대량번식을 위한 플러그묘와 삽목번식법)

  • Hwang, Kyung Sik;Joo, Song Tak;Ha, Soo Sung;Kim, Ki Dong;Joo, Young Kyoo
    • Weed & Turfgrass Science
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 2018
  • Miscanthus species are known as a genus of eco-friendly and low-maintenance cost ornamental grasses. Plug and cutting methods were tested for multi-propagation of most promising ornamental Miscanthus species in greenhouse and field plot. The plug formation period with three different cell sizes with four cultivars (M. sinensis 'Andersson', 'Strictus', 'Gracillimus', 'Variegatus') were evaluated the seedling development stages with two irrigation types of the over-head and the bottom watering in greenhouse and field plot afterward during 2015-2016 season. In seedling plug test, the size of tray cell affected the plug formation. Bottom irrigation resulted positively on plant height, weight, root and tiller development compared with the over-head irrigation. Plug cell size affected the plant growth in the field after transplanting. All of the 3 Miscanthus species showed higher rates of successful propagation at the lower nodes before inflorescence formation (vegetative growth stage). To analyze the survival factors of M. xgiganteus cutting, the cutting time, node part, and culm diameter were tested as independent variables with the binary logistic model. The survival probability was influenced by node part and culm diameter significantly. The third and fifth node parts showed 0.12 (8X higher failure probability) and 0.02 (50X higher failure probability) times less survival probability. It means the survival probability will be increased by using older and lower part of cuttings during a vegetative growth stage before inflorescences of M. xgiganteus.