• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability of success

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On the Data Features for Neighbor Path Selection in Computer Network with Regional Failure

  • Yong-Jin Lee
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2023
  • This paper aims to investigate data features for neighbor path selection (NPS) in computer network with regional failures. It is necessary to find an available alternate communication path in advance when regional failures due to earthquakes or forest fires occur simultaneously. We describe previous general heuristics and simulation heuristic to solve the NPS problem in the regional fault network. The data features of general heuristics using proximity and sharing factor and the data features of simulation heuristic using machine learning are explained through examples. Simulation heuristic may be better than general heuristics in terms of communication success. However, additional data features are necessary in order to apply the simulation heuristic to the real environment. We propose novel data features for NPS in computer network with regional failures and Keras modeling for computing the communication success probability of candidate neighbor path.

On the use of time-dependent success criteria within risk-informed analyses. Application to LONF-ATWS sequences in PWR reactors

  • Jorge Sanchez-Torrijos;Cesar Queral;Carlos Paris;Maria Jose Rebollo;Miguel Sanchez-Perea;Jose Maria Posada
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.4601-4619
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    • 2022
  • The classical Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA) does not include any time dependence explicitly. However, the success criteria (SC) could evolve during the cycle for some initiating events. In that sense, there is a type of sequence in which this time-dependency is quite important, the family of Anticipated Transient without Scram (ATWS) sequences in Pressurized Water Reactors. Therefore, a new risk-informed approach is proposed in this paper, which makes it possible to obtain the time-dependent SC evolution of the safety functions affected by the Moderator Temperature Coefficient (MTC) value. Then, the evolution of the ATWS conditional core damage probability (CCDP) could be obtained using a PSA model. To quantify the CCDP, the average values of the time-dependent failure probabilities must be computed. Finally, the comparison between the CCDP obtained through the application of the classical PSA approach and the new one makes it possible to quantify the impact of time-dependence on the SC of the headers that this new risk-informed ATWS approach can provide.

A Research on the Core Functions and Management Level of the PMO to Improve IS Project Performance (정보시스템 개발 프로젝트 성과 향상을 위한 PMO 핵심 기능과 관리수준에 관한 연구: 금융권 차세대 프로젝트 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sang-Yeoul;Chang, Yun-Hi
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2006
  • Nowadays, IS projects are getting more complicated and large-scaled. Therefore, many researchers and practitioners have been interested in the IS development methodologies, automated tools, techniques, and TQM to improve IS performance. Latest Standish Group's research reported that after the PMO introduction, project scale became bulkier than 1 or 2 year ago, and that IS development project success probability was increased sharply by 62 percents from 37. The previous researches listed just various PMO functions. This research is to seize the core functions and management level of the PMO affecting on the IS project performance with banks which are the leading industry to accept the PMO in Korea. The activities in the categories of implementation management technology support management infrastructure management are the core functions of the PMO to affect the IS performance including schedule management quality management user and stakeholders' satisfaction. Also, the PMO management level is important for IS project success. Among the 5 levels PMI suggested, PMO can implement the project effectively at least at the third level. Korean companies which are about to introduce the PMO have to consider the PMO core functions and management level to increase the IS maturity.

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New Contention Window Control Algorithm for TCP Performance Enhancement in IEEE 802.11 based Wireless Multi-hop Networks (IEEE 802.11 기반 무선 멀티홉 망에서 TCP의 성능향상을 위한 새로운 경쟁 윈도우 제어 알고리즘)

  • Gi In-Huh;Lee Gi-Ra;Lee Jae-Yong;Kim Byung-Chul
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.43 no.9 s.351
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose a new contention window control algorithm to increase TCP performance in wireless multi-hop networks. The new contention window control algorithm is suggested to reduce the hidden and exposed terminal problems of wireless multi-hop networks. Most of packet drops in wireless multi-hop networks results from hidden and exposed terminal problems, not from collisions. However, in normal DCF algorithm a failed user increases its contention window exponentially, thus it reduces the success probability of fined nodes. This phenomenon causes burst data transmissions in a particular node that already was successful in packet transmission, because the success probability increases due to short contention window. However, other nodes that fail to transmit packet data until maximum retransmission attempts try to set up new routing path configuration in network layer, which cause TCP performance degradation and restrain seamless data transmission. To solve these problems, the proposed algorithm increases the number of back-of retransmissions to increase the success probability of MAC transmission, and fixes the contention window at a predetermined value. By using ns-2 simulation for the chain and grid topology, we show that the proposed algorithm enhances the TCP performance.

On the Interval Estimation of the Difference between Independent Proportions with Rare Events

  • im, Yongdai;Choi, Daewoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.481-487
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    • 2000
  • When we construct an interval estimate of two independent proportions with rare events, the standard approach based on the normal approximation behaves badly in many cases. The problem becomes more severe when no success observations are observed on both groups. In this paper, we compare two alternative methods of constructing a confidence interval of the difference of two independent proportions by use of simulation. One is based on the profile likelihood and the other is the Bayesian probability interval. It is shown in this paper that the Bayesian interval estimator is easy to be implemented and performs almost identical to the best frequentist's method -the profile likelihood approach.

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RFID Distance Bounding Protocol to Secure Against Relay Attack by Using Full-Response (Full response를 사용하여 중계 공격에 안전한 RFID 거리제한 프로토콜)

  • Kwon, Hye Jin;Kim, Soon Ja
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.298-300
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    • 2016
  • We propose a RFID distance bounding protocol that RFID tag still responds when reader sends a void challenge in order to reduce the probability of a relay attack. We analyze the success probability of relay attack depending on the full challenge ratio. Our experimental results show that our protocol is secure to relay attack.

Cryptanalysis of the Authentication in ACORN

  • Shi, Tairong;Guan, Jie
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.4060-4075
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    • 2019
  • ACORN is an authenticated encryption algorithm proposed as a candidate in the currently ongoing CAESAR competition. ACORN has a good performance on security and efficiency which has been a third-round candidate. This paper mainly concentrates on the security of ACORN under the forgery attack and the non-repudiation of ACORN. Firstly, we analyze the differential properties of the feedback function in ACRON are analyzed. By taking advantage of these properties, the forgery attacks on round-reduced ACORN are proposed with a success probability higher than $2^{-128}$ when the number of finalization rounds is less than 87. Moreover, the non-repudiation of ACRON in the nonce-reuse setting is analyzed. The known collision can be used to deny the authenticated message with probability $2^{-120}$. This paper demonstrates that ACORN cannot generate the non-repudiation completely. We believe it is an undesirable property indeed.

Successful Motor Evoked Potential Monitoring in Cervical Myelopathy : Related Factors and the Effect of Increased Stimulation Intensity

  • Shim, Hyok Ki;Lee, Jae Meen;Kim, Dong Hwan;Nam, Kyoung Hyup;Choi, Byung Kwan;Han, In Ho
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.78-87
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    • 2021
  • Objective : Intraoperative neurophysiological monitoring (IONM) has been widely used during spine surgery to reduce or prevent neurologic deficits, however, its application to the surgical management for cervical myelopathy remains controversial. This study aimed to assess the success rate of IONM in patients with cervical myelopathy and to investigate the factors associated with successful baseline monitoring and the effect of increasing the stimulation intensity by focusing on motor evoked potentials (MEPs). Methods : The data of 88 patients who underwent surgery for cervical myelopathy with IONM between January 2016 and June 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. The success rate of baseline MEP monitoring at the initial stimulation of 400 V was investigated. In unmonitorable cases, the stimulation intensity was increased to 999 V, and the success rate final MEP monitoring was reinvestigated. In addition, factors related to the success rate of baseline MEP monitoring were investigated using independent t-test, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, chi-squared test, and Fisher's exact probability test for statistical analysis. The factors included age, sex, body mass index, diabetes mellitus, smoking history, symptom duration, Torg-Pavlov ratio, space available for the cord (SAC), cord compression ratio (CCR), intramedullary increased signal intensity (SI) on magnetic resonance imaging, SI length, SI ratio, the Medical Research Council (MRC) grade, the preoperative modified Nurick grade and Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) score. Results : The overall success rate for reliable MEP response was 52.3% after increasing the stimulation intensity. No complications were observed to be associated with increased intensity. The factors related to the success rate of final MEP monitoring were found to be SAC (p<0.001), CCR (p<0.001), MRC grade (p<0.001), preoperative modified Nurick grade (p<0.001), and JOA score (p<0.001). The cut-off score for successful MEP monitoring was 5.67 mm for SAC, 47.33% for the CCR, 3 points for MRC grade, 2 points for the modified Nurick grade, and 12 points for the JOA score. Conclusion : Increasing the stimulation intensity could significantly improve the success rate of baseline MEP monitoring for unmonitorable cases at the initial stimulation in cervical myelopathy. In particular, the SAC, CCR, MRC grade, preoperative Nurick grade and JOA score may be considered as the more important related factors associated with the success rate of MEP monitoring. Therefore, the degree of preoperative neurological functional deficits and the presence of spinal cord compression on imaging could be used as new detailed criteria for the application of IONM in patients with cervical myelopathy.

Consistency Check of a House of Quality Chart by Limiting Probability Concept and Median Rank (극한확률의 개념과 Median Rank를 이용한 HOQ 도표의 일관성 검정)

  • Won, Yu-Woong;Kim, Ki-Young;Yun, Deok-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.22-29
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    • 2010
  • Six sigma has been the most influential management innovation tool in order to achieve the customer's satisfaction and keep the competition in the age of limitless competition. The success in six sigma is to find the correct CTQ (Critical to Quality). QFD (Quality function deployment) is the efficient too ever created to tie product and service design decisions directly to customer wants and needs. One of the mistakes in QFD is to analyze using an inconsistent HOQ (House of quality) chart. An inconsistent HOQ chart is one in which the information from the correlation matrix is inconsistent with that from the relationship matrix. This study presents the consistency check and inconsistency check in case of failing the consistency check. Also we propose the procedures using the Limiting Probability in correlation matrix and the Median Rank in relationship matrix in order to be consistent in HOQ chart.

RECURRENCE RELATIONS FOR HIGHER ORDER MOMENTS OF A COMPOUND BINOMIAL RANDOM VARIABLE

  • Kim, Donghyun;Kim, Yoora
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2018
  • We present new recurrence formulas for the raw and central moments of a compound binomial random variable. Our approach involves relating two compound binomial random variables that have parameters with a difference of 1 for the number of trials, but which have the same parameters for the success probability for each trial. As a consequence of our recursions, the raw and central moments of a binomial random variable are obtained in a recursive manner without the use of Stirling numbers.