• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability distributions

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Parametric Effects of Elastic Property Extraction System of Polycrystalline Thin-Films for Micro-Electro-Mechanical System Devices (MEMS 부품을 위한 다결정 박막의 탄성 물성치 추출 시스템의 매개변수의 영향)

  • 정향남;최재환;정희택;이준기
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.50-54
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    • 2004
  • A numerical system to extract effective elastic properties of polycrystalline thin-films for MEMS devices is already developed. In this system, the statistical model based on lattice system is used for modeling the microstructure evolution simulation and the key kinetics parameters of given micrograph, grain distributions and deposition process can be extracted by inverse method proposed in the system. In this work, the effects of kinetics parameters on the extraction of effective elastic properties of polycrystalline thin-films are studied by using statistical method. The effects of the fraction of the potential site( $f_{P}$ ) and the nucleation probability( $P_{N}$ ) among the parameters for deposition process of microstructure on the extraction of effective elastic properties of polycrystalline thin-films are studied.d.d.

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Statistical Analysis of Transverse Load Effects in Girder Bridges (거더교량의 횡방향 하중효과의 확률론적 분석)

  • Oh, Byung-Hwan;Lew, Young;Choi, Young-Chul;Lee, Jun-Hyuk;Kim, Kwang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.859-864
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    • 2001
  • An effective live load model for analyzing probable maximum live load effects such as moment and shear in transverse direction was developed. The main procedure of this live load model is composed of four parts, i.e., firstly, determination of the appropriate influence lines in longitudinal direction, secondly, application of the characteristics of vehicles and traffic patterns in longitudinal direction, thirdly, determination of the appropriate influence lines in transverse direction, and fourthly, application of the characteristics of vehicles and traffic patterns in transverse direction. Through this procedure, the probabilistic distributions of maximum probable load effects are deduced in the form of probability density function (PDF) and/or cumulative density function(CDF). This live load model is able to consider local or global deterioration of bridges in the structural analysis.

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Statistical Analysis of Longitudinal Load Effects in Girder Bridges (거더교량의 종방향 하중효과의 확률론적 분석)

  • Oh, Byung-Hwan;Lew, Young;Choi, Young-Chul;Lee, Jun-Hyuk;Kim, Kwang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.865-870
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    • 2001
  • An effective live load model for analyzing probable maximum live load effects in longitudinal direction such as moment and shear was developed. The main procedure of this live load model is composed of two parts. Firstly, determination of the appropriate influence lines, and secondly, application of the characteristics of vehicles and traffic patterns. Through this procedure, probabilistic distributions of maximum probable load effects are deduced in the form of probability density function (PDF) or cumulative density function (CDF). The proposed live load model is not limited by bridge types(number of spans or girders) and can consider local or global deterioration of bridges in the analysis. Besides, load effects can be determined at any section without restrictions.

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Control of G/MX/1 Queueing System with N-Policy and Customer Impatience

  • Lim, Si-Yeong;Hur, Sun
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2016
  • We introduce a queueing system with general arrival stream and exponential service time under the N-policy, where customers may renege during idle period and arrival rates may vary according to the server's status. Probability distributions of the lengths of idle period and busy period are derived using absorbing Markov chain approach and a method to obtain the optimal control policy that minimizes long-run expected operating cost per unit time is provided. Numerical analysis is done to illustrate and characterize the method.

Some New Results on Uncertain Age Replacement Policy

  • Zhang, Chunxiao;Guo, Congrong
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2013
  • Age replacement policy is a commonly policy in maintenance management of spare part. It means that a spare part is always replaced at failure or fixed time after its installation, whichever occurs first. An optimal age replacement policy of spare parts concerns with finding the optimal replacement time determined by minimizing the expected cost per unit time. The age of the part was generally assumed to be a random variable in the past literatures, but in many situations, there are few or even no observed data to estimate the probability distribution of part's lifetime. In order to solve this phenomenon, a new uncertain age replacement policy has been proposed recently, in which the age of the part was assumed to be an uncertain variable. This paper discusses the optimal age replacement policies by dealing with the parts' lifetimes as different distributed uncertain variables. Several results on the optimal age replacement time are provided when the lifetimes are described by the uncertain linear, zigzag and lognormal distributions.

Bayesian Analysis for the Error Variance in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects ANOVA Model Using Noninformative Priors (무정보 사전분포를 이용한 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 오차분산에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • 장인홍;김병휘
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2002
  • We consider the problem of estimating the error variance of in a two-way mixed-effects ANOVA model using noninformative priors. First, we derive Jeffreys' prior, a reference prior, and matching priors. We then provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide graphs of marginal posterior densities of the error variance and credible intervals for the error variance in two real data set and compare these credible intervals.

An One-for-One Ordering Inventory Policy with Poisson Demands and Losses with Order Dependent Leadtimes

  • Choi, Jin-Yeong;Kim, Man-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 1987
  • A stochastic model for an inventory system in which depletion of stock takes place due to random demand as well as random loss of items is studied under the assumption that the intervals between cussessive unit demands as well as those between cussessive unit losses, are independently and identically distributed random variables having negative exponential distributions with respective parameters .mu. and .lambda. It is further assumed that leadtime for each order is an outstanding-order-dependent random variable. The steady state probability distribution of the net inventory level is derived under the continuous review (S -1, S) inventory policy, from which the total expected coast expression is formulated.

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A Study on FMEDA Process for SIL Certification : A Case Study of a Flame Scanner (SIL 인증을 위한 FMEDA 프로세스 연구 : 화염검출기 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sung Kyu;Kim, Yong Soo
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.422-430
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    • 2012
  • In this article, we introduced the estimation method by 'Safety Integrity Level'(SIL) for the criterion of safety assurance and performed a case study on a flame scanner. SIL requires probabilistic evaluation of each set of equipment used to reduce risk in a safety related system. FMEDA(Failure Modes, Effects and Diagnostic Analysis) method is widely used to evaluate the safety levels and provides information on the failure rates and failure mode distributions necessary to calculate a diagnostic coverage factor for a part or a component. Basically, two parameters resulting from FMEDA are used for SIL classification of the device : SFF(Safe Failure Fraction) and PFD(Probability of Failure on Demand). In this case study, it is concluded that the flame scanner is designed to fulfill the condition of SIL 3 in the aspect of SFF and PFD.

MISCLASSIFICATION IN SIZE-BIASED MODIFIED POWER SERIES DISTRIBUTION AND ITS APPLICATIONS

  • Hassan, Anwar;Ahmad, Peer Bilal
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.55-72
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    • 2009
  • A misclassified size-biased modified power series distribution (MSBMPSD) where some of the observations corresponding to x = c + 1 are misclassified as x = c with probability $\alpha$, is defined. We obtain its recurrence relations among the raw moments, the central moments and the factorial moments. Discussion of the effect of the misclassification on the variance is considered. To illustrate the situation under consideration some of its particular cases like the size-biased generalized negative binomial (SBGNB), the size-biased generalized Poisson (SBGP) and sizebiased Borel distributions are included. Finally, an example is presented for the size-biased generalized Poisson distribution to illustrate the results.

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ON ESTIMATION OF NEGATIVE POLYA-EGGENBERGER DISTRIBUTION AND ITS APPLICATIONS

  • Hassan, Anwar;Bilal, Sheikh
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.81-95
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the negative Polya-Eggenberger distribution has been introduced by compounding negative binomial distribution with beta distribution of I-kind which generates a number of univariate contagious or compound (or mixture of) distributions as its particular cases. The distribution is unimode, over dispersed and all of its positive and negative integer moments exist. The difference equation of the proposed model shows that it is a member of the Ord's family of distribution. Some of its interesting properties have been explored besides different methods of estimation been discussed. Finally, the parameters of the proposed model have been estimated by using a computer programme in R-software. Application of the proposed model to some data, available in the literature, has been given and its goodness of fit demonstrated.

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