• 한국심리학회지 : 문화 및 사회문제
• /
• 제9권spc호
• /
• pp.123-147
• /
• 2003

이 연구에서는 토착 문화심리학을 토대로 사고와 안전에 대한 확률론적인 시각과 결정론적인 시각을 비교 분석하였다. 한국뿐만 아니라 대부분의 선진국이나 개발도상국에서 사고로 인한 사망과 재해는 예방이 가능하다. 이 연구의 첫 번째 부분에서는 사회과학과 응용과학에서 채택되어온 선형의 결정론적인 모형의 한계에 대해 설명하였다. 가정 직장과 사회에서 발생하는 사고와 안전의 확률론적인 속성에 대한 이해를 위해, 토착 문화심리학에서 주장되어온 상호작용 모형이 제안되었다. 두 번째로는 사고와 안전에 관련된 요소들을 검토하였다. 세 번째로는 한국사회에서 사고를 예방하고 안전을 증진하기 위해 확률론적 모형의 활용에 대해 설명하였다.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국정밀공학회 2013년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.703-704
• /
• 2013

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제11권4호
• /
• pp.373-392
• /
• 2001

The main idea behind the paper is to present two alternative methods of homogenization of the heat conduction problem in composite materials, where the heat conductivity coefficients are assumed to be random variables. These two methods are the Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) technique and the second order perturbation second probabilistic moment method, with its computational implementation known as the Stochastic Finite Element Method (SFEM). From the mathematical point of view, the deterministic homogenization method, being extended to probabilistic spaces, is based on the effective modules approach. Numerical results obtained in the paper allow to compare MCS against the SFEM and, on the other hand, to verify the sensitivity of effective heat conductivity probabilistic moments to the reinforcement ratio. These computational studies are provided in the range of up to fourth order probabilistic moments of effective conductivity coefficient and compared with probabilistic characteristics of the Voigt-Reuss bounds.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제58권4호
• /
• pp.700-707
• /
• 2009

The application of renewable energy in electric power systems is growing rapidly in order to make provision for the inequality of the climate, the dwindling supplies of coal, oil and natural gas and a further rise in oil prices. Solar cell generators(SCG) is one of the fastest growing renewable energy. This paper presents a methodology on probabilistic production cost simulation of a power system including SCGs. The generated power by SCGs is variable due to the random variation of solar radiation. In order to solve this problem, the SCGs is modeled as multi-state operational model in this paper. Probabilistic production cost of a power system can be calculated by proposed method considering SCGs with multi-state. The results show that the impacts of SCGs added to a power system can be analyzed in view point of production cost using the proposed method.

• 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국방송공학회 1999년도 KOBA 방송기술 워크샵 KOBA Broadcasting Technology Workshop
• /
• pp.49-56
• /
• 1999

In this paper, the general formula of disparity estimation based on Bayesian Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) algorithm is derived. The generalized formula is implemented with the plane configuration model and applied to multiple baselined stereograms. The probabilistic plane configuration model consists of independence and similarity among the neighboring disparities in the configuration. The independence probabilistic model reduces the computation and guarantees the discontinuity at the object boundary region. The similarity model preserves the continuity or the high correlation of disparity distribution. In addition, we propose a hierarchical scheme of disparity compensation in the application to multiple-view stereo images. According to the experiments, the derived formula and the proposed estimation algorithm outperformed other ones. The proposed probabilistic models are reasonable and approximate the pure joint probability distribution very well with decreasing the computations to O(n(D)) from O(n(D)4) of the generalized formula. And, the hierarchical scheme of disparity compensation with multiple-view stereos improves the performance without any additional overhead to the decoder.

• 산업기술연구
• /
• 제22권B호
• /
• pp.231-240
• /
• 2002

The rational method of estimating peak flow is used largely for the simplicity. But the accuracy of rational method is not easy to estimate, because the rational method is analyzed by the deterministic point or view and the runoff coefficients of the rational method are proposed from other countries. In this study the rational method is analyzed by the probabilistic way to be a more reliable method. The runoff coefficient is regarded to parameter that changes the probabilistic rainfall to the peak flow. The runoff coeffient for each return period is analyzed to be a reliable index which is used to estimate the peak flow of ungauged natural catchments.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제21권5호
• /
• pp.507-518
• /
• 2005

In the shear-lag analysis of structures deterministic procedure is insufficient to provide complete information. Probabilistic analysis is a holistic approach for analyzing shear-lag effects considering uncertainties in structural parameters. This paper proposes an efficient and accurate algorithm to analyze shear-lag effects of structures with parameter uncertainties. The proposed algorithm integrated the advantages of the response surface method (RSM), finite element method (FEM) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Uncertainties in the structural parameters can be taken into account in this algorithm. The algorithm is verified using independently generated finite element data. The proposed algorithm is then used to analyze the shear-lag effects of a simply supported beam with parameter uncertainties. The results show that the proposed algorithm based on the central composite design is the most promising one in view of its accuracy and efficiency. Finally, a parametric study was conducted to investigate the effect of each of the random variables on the statistical moment of structural stress response.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제57권12호
• /
• pp.2153-2160
• /
• 2008

This paper develops an algorithm for probabilistic production cost credit evaluation of wind turbine generators(WTG) with multi-state. Renewable energy resources such as wind, wave, solar, micro hydro, tidal and biomass etc. are becoming importance stage by stage because of considering effect of the environment. Wind energy is one of the most successful sources of renewable energy for the production of electrical energy. Case study demonstrates that the wind speed credit in view point of economics can be assessed by using the proposed methodology.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
• /
• pp.275-278
• /
• 2006

This paper describes a probabilistic annual congestion cost assessment of a grid at a composite power system derived from a model. This probabilistic congestion cost assessment simulation model includes capacity limitation and uncertainties of the generators and transmission lines. In this paper, the proposed probabilistic congestion cost assessment model is focused on an annualized simulation methodology for solving long-term grid expansion planning issues. It emphasizes the questions of "how should the uncertainties of system elements (generators, lines and transformers, etc.) be considered for annual congestion cost assessment from the macro economic view point"? This simulation methodology comes essentially from a probabilistic production cost simulation model of composite power systems. This type of model comes from a nodal equivalent load duration curve based on a new effective load model at load points. The characteristics and effectiveness of this new simulation model are illustrated by several case studies of a test system.

• 정보과학회 논문지
• /
• 제41권11호
• /
• pp.927-934
• /
• 2014

본 논문에서는 Kinect와 같은 RGB-D 센서를 이용하여 사람의 3차원 신체 포즈 스트림 데이터를 생성하고, 이로부터 사람의 일상 행위를 효과적으로 인식하는 방법을 제안한다. Kinect SDK나 OpenNI에서 제공하는 실시간 신체 포즈 데이터는 Kinect 중심의 3차원 데카르트 좌표계로 표현되기 때문에, 시점 변화 문제와 크기 변화 문제를 겪을 가능성이 높다. 이러한 문제를 해결하고 시점 및 크기 불변인 특징을 얻기 위해, 본 논문에서는 신체 포즈 데이터를 실험자의 골반을 원점으로 하는 구면 좌표계로 변환하고 실험자의 팔 길이를 이용한 크기 정규화를 수행한다. 또한, 본 논문에서는 확률 그래프 모델 중 하나인 은닉 조건부 랜덤 필드를 이용하여, 고수준의 일상 행위들이 내포하는 다양한 내부 구조를 효과적으로 표현한다. 두 가지 데이터 집합 KAD-70과 CAD-60을 이용한 실험을 통해, 본 논문에서 제안한 행위 인식 방법과 구현 시스템의 높은 인식 성능을 확인하였다.