• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic study

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A Study on the Document Topic Extraction System Based on Big Data (빅데이터 기반 문서 토픽 추출 시스템 연구)

  • Hwang, Seung-Yeon;An, Yoon-Bin;Shin, Dong-Jin;Oh, Jae-Kon;Moon, Jin Yong;Kim, Jeong-Joon
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.207-214
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    • 2020
  • Nowadays, the use of smart phones and various electronic devices is increasing, the Internet and SNS are activated, and we live in the flood of information. The amount of information has grown exponentially, making it difficult to look at a lot of information, and more and more people want to see only key keywords in a document, and the importance of research to extract topics that are the core of information is increasing. In addition, it is also an important issue to extract the topic and compare it with the past to infer the current trend. Topic modeling techniques can be used to extract topics from a large volume of documents, and these extracted topics can be used in various fields such as trend prediction and data analysis. In this paper, we inquire the topic of the three-year papers of 2016, 2017, and 2018 in the field of computing using the LDA algorithm, one of Probabilistic Topic Model Techniques, in order to analyze the rapidly changing trends and keep pace with the times. Then we analyze trends and flows of research.

A Synchronized Job Assignment Model for Manual Assembly Lines Using Multi-Objective Simulation Integrated Hybrid Genetic Algorithm (MO-SHGA) (다목적 시뮬레이션 통합 하이브리드 유전자 알고리즘을 사용한 수동 조립라인의 동기 작업 모델)

  • Imran, Muhammad;Kang, Changwook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.211-220
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    • 2017
  • The application of the theoretical model to real assembly lines has been one of the biggest challenges for researchers and industrial engineers. There should be some realistic approach to achieve the conflicting objectives on real systems. Therefore, in this paper, a model is developed to synchronize a real system (A discrete event simulation model) with a theoretical model (An optimization model). This synchronization will enable the realistic optimization of systems. A job assignment model of the assembly line is formulated for the evaluation of proposed realistic optimization to achieve multiple conflicting objectives. The objectives, fluctuation in cycle time, throughput, labor cost, energy cost, teamwork and deviation in the skill level of operators have been modeled mathematically. To solve the formulated mathematical model, a multi-objective simulation integrated hybrid genetic algorithm (MO-SHGA) is proposed. In MO-SHGA each individual in each population acts as an input scenario of simulation. Also, it is very difficult to assign weights to the objective function in the traditional multi-objective GA because of pareto fronts. Therefore, we have proposed a probabilistic based linearization and multi-objective to single objective conversion method at population evolution phase. The performance of MO-SHGA is evaluated with the standard multi-objective genetic algorithm (MO-GA) with both deterministic and stochastic data settings. A case study of the goalkeeping gloves assembly line is also presented as a numerical example which is solved using MO-SHGA and MO-GA. The proposed research is useful for the development of synchronized human based assembly lines for real time monitoring, optimization, and control.

Study on Structural Safety of Car Securing Equipment of Coastal Carferry: Part II Assessment of Lashing Safety according to Acceleration Prediction Approaches (국내 연안 카페리 차량 고박 장치 안전성에 관한 연구: 제2부 가속도 예측 방법에 따른 고박 안전도 비교 연구)

  • Choung, Joonmo;Jo, Huisang;Lee, Kyunghoon;Lee, Young Woo
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.451-457
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    • 2016
  • For a carferry with a displacement of 1,633 tonf, a seakeeping analysis-based direct load approach (DLA) was used in Part I of these series, where the final deliverable was the long-term probabilistic acceleration components. In Part II of these series, the tangential acceleration components are explained based on two approaches: a standard called the IMO CSS code and simple formulas with the probable maximum roll and pitch rotations. The subsequent tangential acceleration-induced external force components are also introduced for these two approaches. The lashing strength components were selected from the IMO CSS code. It was assumed that two different vehicles (a car and a truck) were stowed at the most distant locations on the main deck to assume the largest tangential acceleration components and were secured with four steel wires with longitudinal and transverse lashing angles of $45^{\circ}$. Four cases were considered, with different methods for predicting the acceleration components and different tools for the external loads and lashing strengths involved: cases Rule-LS (rule-based maximum probable roll and pitch angles for predicting the acceleration components in conjunction with LashingSafety), DLA-LS (seakeeping-based long-term acceleration components with LashingSafety), CSS-LC (IMO CSS code-based acceleration components using LashCon), and CSS-LS (IMO CSS code-based acceleration components using LashingSafety). In terms of the acceleration and external force components, the CSS-LC and CSS-LS results are more than two times the results of Rule-LS. Thus, when the external forces and lashing strengths are evaluated using CSS-LC and CSS-LS, the truck needs more lashing wires, while Rule-LS and DLA-LS predict that the present lashing configuration is on the safe side.

Development of Multi-hazard Fragility Surface for Liquefaction of Levee Considering Earthquake Magnitude and Water Level (수위와 지진을 고려한 제방의 액상화에 대한 복합재해 취약도 곡면 작성)

  • Hwang, Ji-Min;Cho, Sung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2018
  • Soil liquefaction is one of the types of major seismic damage. Soil liquefaction is a phenomenon that can cause enormous human and economic damages, and it must be examined before designing geotechnical structures. In this study, we proposed a practical method of developing a multi-hazard fragility surface for liquefaction of levee considering earthquake magnitude and water level. Limit state for liquefaction of levee was defined by liquefaction potential index (LPI), which is frequently used to assess the liquefaction susceptibility of soils. In order to consider the uncertainty of soil properties, Monte Carlo Simulation based probabilistic analysis was performed. Based on the analysis results, a 3D fragility surface representing the probability of failure by soil liquefaction as a function of the ground motion and water level has been established. The prepared multi-hazard fragility surface can be used to evaluate the safety of levees against liquefaction and to assess the risk in earthquake and flood prone areas.

A Study of Efficient Viterbi Equalizer in FTN Channel (FTN 채널에서의 효율적인 비터비 등화기 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Hun;Lee, In-Ki;Jung, Ji-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1323-1329
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we analyzed efficient decoding scheme with FTN (Faster than Nyquist) method that is transmission method faster than Nyquist theory and increase the throughput. we proposed viterbi equalizer model to minimize ISI (Inter-Symbol Interference) when FTN signal is transmitted. the proposed model utilized interference as branch information. In this paper, to decode FTN singal, we used turbo equalization algorithms that iteratively exchange probabilistic information between soft Viterbi equalizer (BCJR method) and LDPC decoder. By changing the trellis diagram in order to maximize Euclidean distance, we confirmed that performance was improved compared to conventional methods as increasing throughput of FTN signal.

A Study on Prediction of Mass SQL Injection Worm Propagation Using The Markov Chain (마코브 체인을 이용한 Mass SQL Injection 웜 확산 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Won-Hyung;Kim, Young-Jin;Lee, Dong-Hwi;Kim, Kui-Nam J.
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2008
  • Recently, Worm epidemic models have been developed in response to the cyber threats posed by worms in order to analyze their propagation and predict their spread. Some of the most important ones involve mathematical model techniques such as Epidemic(SI), KM (Kermack-MeKendrick), Two-Factor and AAWP(Analytical Active Worm Propagation). However, most models have several inherent limitations. For instance, they target worms that employ random scanning in the network such as CodeRed worm and it was able to be applied to the specified threats. Therefore, we propose the probabilistic of worm propagation based on the Markov Chain, which can be applied to cyber threats such as Mass SQL Injection worm. Using the proposed method in this paper, we can predict the occurrence probability and occurrence frequency for each threats in the entire system.

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Seismic Performance of Transportation Networks (지진으로 인한 교통망 피해추정 기법)

  • Kim, Sang-Hoon;Massanobu, Shinozuka;Kim, Jong-In
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2004
  • This paper describes a method of evaluating seismic system performance of highway transportation network in California. The basic element that plays a crucial role in this study is the fragility information of highway bridges in Caltrans' (California Department of Transportation) freeway network. The bridge fragility information is expressed as a function of the ground motion intensity, such as peak ground acceleration (PGA) or peak ground velocity (PGV). Network damage was evaluated under the 1994 Northridge earthquake and scenario earthquakes. A probabilistic model was developed to determine the effect of repair of bridge damage on the improvement of the network performance as days passed after the event. As an example, the system performance degradation measured in terms of an index, “Drivers Delay”, is calculated for the Los Angeles area transportation system, and losses due to Drivers Delay with and without retrofit were estimated.

Bivariate Drought Frequency Analysis to Evaluate Water Supply Capacity of Multi-Purpose Dams (이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 통한 다목적댐의 용수공급능력 평가)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Shin, Ji Yae;Kwon, Minsung;Kim, Tea-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2017
  • Water supply safety index plays an important role on assessing the water supply capacity of hydrologic system. Due to the absence of consistent guidance, however, practical problems have been brought up on data period used for dam design and performance evaluation. Therefore, this study employed bivariate drought frequency analysis which is able to consider drought severity and duration simultaneously, in order to evaluate water supply capacity of multi-purpose dams. Drought characteristics were analyzed based on the probabilistic approach, and water supply capacity of five multi-purpose dams in Korea (Soyang River, Chungju, Andong, Daecheong, Seomjin River) were evaluated under the specific drought conditions. As a result, it would be possible to have stable water supply with their own inflow during summer and fall, whereas water shortage would occur even under the 1-year return period drought event during spring and winter due to low rainfall.

Assessment of modal parameters considering measurement and modeling errors

  • Huang, Qindan;Gardoni, Paolo;Hurlebaus, Stefan
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.717-733
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    • 2015
  • Modal parameters of a structure are commonly used quantities for system identification and damage detection. With a limited number of studies on the statistics assessment of modal parameters, this paper presents procedures to properly account for the uncertainties present in the process of extracting modal parameters. Particularly, this paper focuses on how to deal with the measurement error in an ambient vibration test and the modeling error resulting from a modal parameter extraction process. A bootstrap approach is adopted, when an ensemble of a limited number of noised time-history response recordings is available. To estimate the modeling error associated with the extraction process, a model prediction expansion approach is adopted where the modeling error is considered as an "adjustment" to the prediction obtained from the extraction process. The proposed procedures can be further incorporated into the probabilistic analysis of applications where the modal parameters are used. This study considers the effects of the measurement and modeling errors and can provide guidance in allocating resources to improve the estimation accuracy of the modal data. As an illustration, the proposed procedures are applied to extract the modal data of a damaged beam, and the extracted modal data are used to detect potential damage locations using a damage detection method. It is shown that the variability in the modal parameters can be considered to be quite low due to the measurement and modeling errors; however, this low variability has a significant impact on the damage detection results for the studied beam.

Development of Ground Motion Response Spectrum for Seismic Risk Assessment of Low and Intermediate Level Radioactive Waste Repositories (중·저준위 방사성 폐기물 처분장의 지진위험도 평가를 위한 지반운동스펙트럼 산정)

  • Kim, Min-Kyu;Rhee, Hyun-Me;Lee, Kyoung-Mi
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a ground motion response spectrum for the seismic risk assessment of low and intermediate level radioactive waste repositories was developed. For the development of the ground motion response spectrum, a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) was performed. Through the performance of a PSHA, a seismic hazard curve which was based on a seismic bed rock was developed. A uniform hazard spectrum was determined by using a developed seismic hazard curve. Artificial seismic motions were developed based on the uniform hazard spectrum. A seismic response analysis was performed on the developed artificial seismic motion. Finally, an evaluation response spectrum for the seismic risk assessment analysis of low and intermediate level radioactive waste repositories was developed.