• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic study

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Constructing Database and Probabilistic Analysis for Ultimate Bearing Capacity of Aggregate Pier (쇄석다짐말뚝의 극한지지력 데이터베이스 구축 및 통계학적 분석)

  • Park, Joon-Mo;Kim, Bum-Joo;Jang, Yeon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2014
  • In load and resistance factor design (LRFD) method, resistance factors are typically calibrated using resistance bias factors obtained from either only the data within ${\pm}2{\sigma}$ or the data except the tail values of an assumed probability distribution to increase the reliability of the database. However, the data selection approach has a shortcoming that any low-quality data inadvertently included in the database may not be removed. In this study, a data quality evaluation method, developed based on the quality of static load test results, the engineering characteristics of in-situ soil, and the dimension of aggregate piers, is proposed for use in constructing database. For the evaluation of the method, a total 65 static load test results collected from various literatures, including static load test reports, were analyzed. Depending on the quality of the database, the comparison between bias factors, coefficients of variation, and resistance factors showed that uncertainty in estimating bias factors can be reduced by using the proposed data quality evaluation method when constructing database.

A study on the ordering of PIM family similarity measures without marginal probability (주변 확률을 고려하지 않는 확률적 흥미도 측도 계열 유사성 측도의 서열화)

  • Park, Hee Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2015
  • Today, big data has become a hot keyword in that big data may be defined as collection of data sets so huge and complex that it becomes difficult to process by traditional methods. Clustering method is to identify the information in a big database by assigning a set of objects into the clusters so that the objects in the same cluster are more similar to each other clusters. The similarity measures being used in the cluster analysis may be classified into various types depending on the nature of the data. In this paper, we computed upper and lower limits for probability interestingness measure based similarity measures without marginal probability such as Yule I and II, Michael, Digby, Baulieu, and Dispersion measure. And we compared these measures by real data and simulated experiment. By Warrens (2008), Coefficients with the same quantities in the numerator and denominator, that are bounded, and are close to each other in the ordering, are likely to be more similar. Thus, results on bounds provide means of classifying various measures. Also, knowing which coefficients are similar provides insight into the stability of a given algorithm.

Multiple SVM Classifier for Pattern Classification in Data Mining (데이터 마이닝에서 패턴 분류를 위한 다중 SVM 분류기)

  • Kim Man-Sun;Lee Sang-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.289-293
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    • 2005
  • Pattern classification extracts various types of pattern information expressing objects in the real world and decides their class. The top priority of pattern classification technologies is to improve the performance of classification and, for this, many researches have tried various approaches for the last 40 years. Classification methods used in pattern classification include base classifier based on the probabilistic inference of patterns, decision tree, method based on distance function, neural network and clustering but they are not efficient in analyzing a large amount of multi-dimensional data. Thus, there are active researches on multiple classifier systems, which improve the performance of classification by combining problems using a number of mutually compensatory classifiers. The present study identifies problems in previous researches on multiple SVM classifiers, and proposes BORSE, a model that, based on 1:M policy in order to expand SVM to a multiple class classifier, regards each SVM output as a signal with non-linear pattern, trains the neural network for the pattern and combine the final results of classification performance.

A Study on the Feasibility of Evaluating the Complexity of KTX Driving Tasks (KTX 운전직무에 대한 복잡도 평가 - 타당성 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Kyun;Jung, Won-Dea;Jang, Seung-Cheol;Ko, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.744-750
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    • 2009
  • According to the result of related studies, the degradation of human performance has been revealed as one of the most significant causes resulting in the safety of any human-involved system. This means that preventing the occurrence of accidents/incidents through avoiding the degradation of human performance is prerequisite for their successive operation. To this end, it is necessary to develop a plausible tool to evaluate the complexity of a task, which has been known as one of the decisive factors affecting the human performance. For this reason, in this paper, the complexity of tasks to be conducted by KTX drivers was quantified by TACOM measure that is enable to quantify the complexity of proceduralized tasks being used in nuclear power plants. After that, TACOM scores about the tasks of KTX drivers were compared with NASA-TLX scores that are responsible for the level of a subjective workload to be felt by KTX drivers.

Experimental Validation of Crack Growth Prognosis under Variable Amplitude Loads (변동진폭하중 하에서 균열성장 예측의 실험적 검증)

  • Leem, Sang-Hyuck;An, Dawn;Lim, Che-Kyu;Hwang, Woongki;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2012
  • In this study, crack growth in a center-cracked plate is predicted under mode I variable amplitude loading, and the result is validated by experiment. Huang's model is employed to describe crack growth with acceleration and retardation due to the variable loading effect. Experiment is conducted with Al6016-T6 plate, in which the load is applied, and crack length is measured periodically. Particle Filter algorithm, which is based on the Bayesian approach, is used to estimate model parameters from the experimental data, and predict the crack growth of the future in the probabilistic way. The prediction is validated by the run-to-failure results, from which it is observed that the method predicts well the unique behavior of crack retardation and the more data are used, the closer prediction we get to the actual run-to-failure data.

Response Variability of Laminated Composite Plates with Random Elastic Modulus (탄성계수의 불확실성에 의한 복합적층판 구조의 응답변화도)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we suggest a stochastic finite element scheme for the probabilistic analysis of the composite laminated plates, which have been applied to variety of mechanical structures due to their high strength to weight ratios. The applied concept in the formulation is the weighted integral method, which has been shown to give the most accurate results among others. We take into account the elastic modulus and in-plane shear modulus as random. For individual random parameters, independent stochastic field functions are assumed, and the effect of these random parameters on the response are estimated based on the exponentially varying auto- and cross-correlation functions. Based on example analyses, we suggest that composite plates show a less coefficient of variation than plates of isotropic and orthotropic materials. For the validation of the proposed scheme, Monte Carlo analysis is also performed, and the results are compared with each other.

Return Period Estimation of Droughts Using Drought Variables from Standardized Precipitation Index (표준강수지수 시계열의 가뭄특성치를 이용한 가뭄 재현기간 산정)

  • Kwak, Jae Won;Lee, Sung Dae;Kim, Yon Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.8
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    • pp.795-805
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    • 2013
  • Drought is one of the severe natural disasters and it can profoundly affect our society and ecosystem. Also, it is a very important variable for water resources planning and management. Therefore, the drought is analyzed in this study to understand the drought distribution and trend. The Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) is estimated using precipitation data obtained from 55 rain gauge stations in South Korea and the SPI based drought variables such as drought duration and drought severity were defined. Drought occurrence and joint probabilistic analysis for SPI based drought variables were performed with run theory and copula functions. And then the return period and spatial distribution of droughts on the South Korea was estimated. As the results, we have shown that Gongju and Chungju in Chungcheong-do and Wonju, Inje, Jeongseon, Taebeak in Gangwon-do have vulnerability to droughts.

EMQT : A Study on Enhanced M-ary Query Tree Algorithm for Sequential Tag IDs (연속적인 태그 ID들을 위한 M-ary 쿼리 트리 알고리즘의 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Dongmin;Shin, Jongmin
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38B no.6
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    • pp.435-445
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    • 2013
  • One of the most challenging issues in radio frequency identification (RFID) and near field communications (NFC) is to correctly and quickly recognize a number of tag IDs in the reader's field. Unlike the probabilistic anti-collision schemes, a query tree based protocol guarantees to identify all the tags, where the distribution of tag IDs is assumed to be uniform. However, in real implements, the prefix of tag ID is uniquely assigned by the EPCglobal and the remaining part is sequentially given by a company or manufacturer. In this paper, we propose an enhanced M-ary query tree protocol (EMQT), which effectively reduces unnecessary query-response cycles between similar tag IDs using m-bit arbitration and tag expectation. The theoretical analysis and simulation results show that the EMQT significantly outperforms other schemes in terms of identification time, identification efficiency and communications overhead.

Error Minimization of Angular Velocity using Encoders and Gyro (엔코더와 자이로를 이용한 각속도 오차 최소화)

  • Kim, Jung-Min;Do, Joo-Cheol;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.814-819
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    • 2010
  • This paper is presented to study the error minimization of angular velocity for AGV(autonomous ground vehicle). The error minimization of angular velocity is related to localization technique which is the most important technique for autonomous vehicle. Accelerometer, yaw gyro and electronic compass have been used to measure angular velocity. And methods for error minimization of angular velocity have been actively studied through probabilistic methods and sensor fusion for AGVs. However, those sensors still occure accumulated error by mathematical error, system characters of each sensor, and computational cost are increased greatly when several sensor are used to correct accumulated error. Therefore, this paper studies about error minimization of angular velocity that just uses encoder and gyro. To experiment, we use autonomous vehicle which is made by ourselves. In experimental result, we verified that the localization error of proposed method has even less than the localization errors which we just used encoder and gyro respectively.

Seismic Characteristics of Tectonic Provinces of the Korean Peninsula (한반도 주요 지체구조구별 지진학적 특성)

  • Lee, Kie-Hwa;Kim, Jung-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2000
  • The seismicity of the Korean Peninsula shows a very irregular pattern of strain release typical of the intraplate seismicity. The Korean Peninsula may be divided into several tectonic provinces of differing tectonics. In this analysis, seismicity parameters for each tectonic province are evaluated from historical as well as instrumental earthquake data of the Korean Peninsula to examine the differences in seismic characteristics among tectonic provinces. Statistical analysis of the earthquake data made of incomplete data before the Choseon Dynasty and complete data afterwards reveals that there exist no significant differences in seismic characteristics between the tectonic provinces. It turns out the b-value in the intensity-frequency relation for the whole peninsula is about 0.6 and the maximum earthquake is about MMI X. The results of this study may be used in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of the Korean Peninsula and in estimating the design earthquake in earthquake engineering.

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