• 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국대기환경학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.251-253
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• 2000

본 연구는 대전 1,2 공단 지역을 대상으로 발암 금속 6종(As Be, Cd, Cr, Ni 및 Pb)을 포함한 15종의 독성 금속을 선정하여 유도결합 플라스마 분광법(ICP-MS)을 이용하여 3년간 분석하고 이 농도 자료에 근거하여 각 금속의 확률론적 농도를 평가하고자 한다. 대기중 부유분진은 대전시 대화동(대전 1,2 공단내 대화동 동사무소 건물 옥상)에 high-volume air sampler(Graseby Andersen : SAUB-10H Model, USA)를 약 0.85$\textrm{m}^3$/min으로 운전하여 시료당 공기량이 약 1,200 $\textrm{m}^3$가 유지되도록 포집하였다. (중략)

• Architectural research
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.27-36
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• 2006

Structural uncertainties are generally modeled using probabilistic approaches in order to quantify uncertainties in behaviors of structures. This uncertainty results from the uncertainties of structural parameters. Monte Carlo methods have been usually carried out for analyses of uncertainty problems where no analytical expression is available for the forward relationship between data and model parameters. In such cases any direct mathematical treatment is impossible, however the forward relation materializes itself as an algorithm allowing data to be calculated for any given model. This study addresses a new method which is utilized as a basis for the uncertainty estimates of structural responses. It applies double uniform random numbers (i.e. DURN technique) to conventional Monte Carlo algorithm. In DURN method, the scenarios of uncertainties are sequentially selected and executed in its simulation. Numerical examples demonstrate the beneficial effect that the technique can increase uncertainty degree of structural properties with maintaining structural stability and safety up to the limit point of a breakdown of structural systems.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.185-193
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• 2004

현재의 교량의 유지관리 시에 적절한 보수 시기나 최적화된 유지관리 정책을 결정하기 위하여 교량의 성능저하를 정확히 예측하는 것은 가장 중요한 일이다 이률 위해 제안된 방법은 정량적 평가, 마르코프체인, 베이시안 추정법 등으로 구성되었다. 제안된 방법에 따라 국내의 콘크리트 슬래브 교량을 예로서 예측을 하여는데, 기존의 전문가 의견조사 빛 외관조사에 의한 예측보다 좀 더 합리적인 결과를 보여주었다.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제46권2호
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• pp.159-164
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• 2006

A stochastic simulation model incorporated with Reed-Frost approach was derived for evaluating diagnostic performance of a test used for a screening program of an infectious disease. The Reed-Frost model was used to characterize the within-herd spread of the disease using a hypothetical example. Specifically, simulation model was aimed to estimate the number infected animals in an infected herd, in which imperfect serologic tests are performed on samples taken from herds and to illustrate better interpreting survey results at herd-level when uncertainty inevitably exists. From a risk analysis point of view, model output could be appropriate in developing economic impact assessment models requiring probabilistic estimates of herd-level performance in susceptible populations. The authors emphasize the importance of knowing the herd-level diagnostic performance, especially in performing emergency surveys in which immediate control measures should be taken following the survey. In this context this model could be used in evaluating efficacy of a survey program and monitoring infection status in the area concerned.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2010년도 정기 학술발표대회
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• pp.16-24
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• 2010

This paper introduces the applications of Taiwan Earthquake Loss Estimation System (TELES), which is developed by the National Center for Research on Earthquake Engineering (NCREE). Seismic disaster simulation technology (SDST) integrates geographical information system to assess the distribution of ground shaking intensity, ground failure probability, building damages, casualties, post-quake fires, debris, lifeline interruptions, economic losses, etc. given any set of seismic source parameters. The SDST may integrate with Taiwan Rapid Earthquake Information Release System (TREIRS) developed by Central Weather Bureau (CWB) to obtain valuable information soon after large earthquakes and to assist in decision-making processes to dispatch rescue and medical resources more efficiently. The SDST may also integrate with probabilistic seismic source model to evaluate various kinds of risk estimates, such as average annual loss, probable maximum loss in one event, and exceeding probability curves of various kinds of losses, to help proposing feasible countermeasures and risk management strategies.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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• 제2권5호
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• pp.72-78
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• 1997

This paper presents a fuzzy relaxation algorithm, which is based on the possibility and FAM instead of he probability and compatibility coefficients used in most of existing probabilistic relaxation algorithms, Because of eliminating stages for estimating of compatibility coefficients and normalization of the probability estimates, the proposed fuzzy relaxation algorithms increases the parallelism and has a simple iteration scheme. The construction of fuzzy relaxation scheme consists of the following three tasks: (1) definition of in/output linguistic variables, their term sets, and possibility. (2) Definition of FAM rule bases for relaxation using fuzzy compound relations. (3) Construction of the iteration scheme for calculating the new possibility estimate. Applications to region segmentation an ege detectiojn algorithms show that he proposed method can be used for not only reducing the image ambiguity and segmentation errors, but also enhancing the raw edge iteratively.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.3-16
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• 1997

In modern high performance engineering applications, the structural integrity of materials and structures are quite often evaluated using fracture mechanics. This evaluation in turn requires information on the flaw geometry (location, type, shape, size, and orientation). The ultrasonic nondestructive evaluation (NDE) method is one technique that is commonly used to provide such information. Flaw classification (determination of the flaw type ) and flaw sizing (prediction of the flaw shape, orientation and sizing parameters) are very important issues for quantitative ultrasonic NDE. In this paper new approaches to both classification and sizing of flaws are described together with extensive review of previous works on both topics. In the area of flaw classification, a methodology is developed which can solve classification problems using probabilistic neural networks, and in the area of flaw sizing, a time-of-flight equivalent (TOFE) sizing method is presented. The techniques proposed here are in a form that can be used directly in many practical applications to quantitative estimates of the flaw's significance.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.497-507
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• 2011

This research studied human health risk assessment of benzene from industrial complexes of Chungcheong Province (Seosan industrial complex) and Jeonla Province (Iksan industrial complex and Yeosoo industrial complex). The residents near the industrial complexes areas can be often exposed to volatile organic compounds (e.g., benzene, toluene, xylenes) through a number of exposure pathways, including inhalation of the organic pollutant via various environmental matrices (air, water and soil), contaminated water, and soil intake. Benzene is well known to be a common carcinogenic and toxic compound that is produced from industrial and oil refinery complexes. In this study, a number of samples from water, air, and soil were taken from the residential settings and public school zones located near the industrial complex sites. Based on the carcinogenic risk assessment, the risk estimates were slightly above $10{\times}10^{-6}$ at all three industrial sites. According to deterministic risk assessment, inhalation was the most important route. The distribution of benzene in the environment would be dependent on vapor pressure, and the physical property influencing the extent of the potential risks. Non-carcinogenic risk assessment of benzene shows that the values of Hazard Index(HI) were much lower than 1.0 at all industrial complexes. Therefore, benzene was not a cause of concern in terms of non-carcinogenic risk posed to the residents near the sites. When compared to probabilistic risk assessment, the CTE(central tendency exposure) cancer risk values of deterministic risk assessment were close to the mean values predicted by the probabilistic risk assessment. The RME(reasonable maximum exposure) values fell within the range of 95% to 99.9% estimated by the probabilistic risk assessment. Since the values of carcinogenic risk assessment were higher than $10{\times}10^{-6}$, further detailed monitoring and refined risk assessment for benzene may be warranted to estimate more reliable and potential inhalation risks to receptors near the industrial complexes.

• 한국지반공학회지:지반
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.33-44
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• 1989

본 논문에서는 지진하중시에 원자력구조물에 발생되는 지반-원자력 구조물의 확률론적 동적상호작용에 대하여 연구하였다. 상호작용 해석에는 주파수 영역에서 해석하는 Complex Response Method 를 사용하였으며, 지반의 Near Field 해석에는 유한요소법을 또한 Far Field의 고려에는 여러 전달 경계방법중 무한요소를 형성하여 해석을 수행하였다. 특히 구조들 하부의 지반의 무작위성을고려하 기 위하여 비확정론적 해석방법을 수행하였다. 지반의 제반 Parameter들의 불확정성이 구조물의 거 동에 미치는 영향을 조사하기 위하여 민감도 해석을 수행하였으며, 비확정론적 해석방법으로는 Perturbation 방법과 Rosenblueth의 Tlvo-point Estimate 방법 각각을 이용하여 프로그램을 개발하 였으며 두 방법의 결과에 대한 비교 검토를 하였다. 민감도 해석 결과 지반의 불확정성이 구조물의 거동에 상당히 큰 영향을 미치게 됨을 알 수 있었으며, 상기한 두 방법에 의한 예제해석 결과가 만 족할 만큼 일치하는 결과를 보임을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.294-300
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• 2005

지금까지 근거리 다중 표적에 대한 위치 추적은 2차원 MUSIC (MUltiple Signal Classification) 기법 등으로 표적 의 위치를 추정하여 JPDA (Joint Probabilistic Data Association) 필터 등의 순차적 상태 추정 알고리즘을 적용해 왔다. 그러나 이러한 방법은 데이터 연관 과정을 해결해야할 뿐 아니라 샘플 기간마다 표적의 위치를 추정하기 위해 많은 격자를 탐색해야 하므로 연산량 부하가 가중된다 또한 다수의 표적이 근접하여 위치할 경우 각 표적에 대한 위치 추정 오차가 크게 되어 위치 추적 성능이 저하되는 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 근거 리 음장 (near field)에서의 선배열 센서 출력 신호 공분산 행렬로부터 위치 변위를 추정하여 근거리 다중 표적에 대한 위치 추적이 가능한 알고리즘을 제안하였으며, 근접 및 교차 표적에 대한 모의실험을 수행하여 그 성능의 우수함을 확인하였다.