• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive value

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생체 간이식 공여자에서 비알코올성 지방간 질환의 진단에 있어서 초음파검사의 타당도 연구 (Validity of Ultrasonography in the Diagnosis of Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Living Liver Donors)

  • 김연민;한동균
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.342-348
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    • 2011
  • 생체 간이식 공여자를 대상으로 시행되는 간생검 조직소견의 지방변성 정도와 복부초음파검사 결과를 분석하여, 지방간 질환의 진단에 있어서 초음파검사의 타당성을 알아보고자 하였다. 총 지방 함유량 10% 기준으로 범주화 하여 10% 이하를 음성, 10% 이상을 양성으로 하였을 때 초음파검사의 민감도는 64.6%이었고, 특이도는 68% 이었으며, 양성 예측도와 음성 예측도는 각각 76.8%, 54% 이었다. 초음파검사 결과 정상과 경증을 음성으로, 중등도를 양성으로 조작하였을 때 초음파검사의 민감도는 26.8% 이었고, 특이도는 100% 이었으며, 양성 예측도와 음성 예측도는 각각 100%, 45.5% 이었다. 총 지방 함유량 10% 이상을 상태변수(State variable)로 ROC curve 분석을 시행 하였을 때. 간/신장 명도비의 곡선하면적(Area under curve, AUC)은 0.859로 지방간을 예측하는데 좋은 지표로 나타났으며, 95% 신뢰구간(CI: 0.795~0.922)이 통계적으로 유의한 값을 보였다(p<0.001). 지방간진단에 있어서 복부초음파검사는 간생검 병리학적 결과를 예측하는데 높은 타당도를 보였다.

비소세포폐암 환자의 국소 림프절 전이 발견을 위한 FDG PET의 이용 (The Use of FDG PET for Nodal Staging of Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer)

  • 백희종;박종호;최창운;임상무;최두환;조경자;원경준;조재일
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제32권10호
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    • pp.910-915
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    • 1999
  • Background: Positron emission tomography(PEFT) using fluorine-18 deoxyglucose(FDG), showing increased FDG uptake and retention in malignant cells, has been proven to be useful in differentiating malignant from benign tissues. We indertook the prospective study to compare the accuracy of the whole-body FDG PET with that of the conventional chest computed tomography(CT) for nodal staging of non-small-cell lung cancers(NSCLC). Material and Method: FDG PET and contrast enhanced CT were performed in 36 patients with potentially resectable NSCLC. Each Imaging study was evaluated independently, and nodal stations were localized according to the AJCC regional lymph nodes mapping system. Extensive lymph node dissection(1101 nodes) of ipsi- and contralateral mediastinal nodal stations was performed at thoracotomy and/or mediastinoscopy. Image findings were compared with the histopathologic staging results and were analyzed with the McNema test(p) and Kappa value(k). Result: The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of CT for ipsilateral mediastinal nodal staging were 38%, 68%, 25%, 79%, and 61%, and those of PET were 88%, 71%, 47%, 95%, and 75%(p>0.05, K=0.29). When analyzed by individual nodal group(superior, aortopulmonary window, and inferior), the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of CT were 27%, 82%, 22%, 85%, and 73%, and those of PET were 60%, 87%, 92%, and 82%(p<0.05, k=0.27). Conclusion: FDG PET in addition to CT appears to be superior to CT alone for mediastinal staging of non-small cell lung cancers.

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An Improved Estimator of PPV from the Screening Test

  • Park, Sang-Gue;Choi, Ji-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.419-428
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    • 2005
  • The screening test is increasingly being used for predicting future disease in the person screened and has raised concerns about reliability of the result of its procedure. We propose an improved estimator of the confidence interval for the positive predictive value(PPV) in screening test by simply taking inverse sinh transformation comparing to Gastwirth(1987) estimator and show its efficiency through the simulation study.

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RELIABILITY PREDICTION BASED ON DEGRADATION DATA

  • Kim, Jae-Joo;Jeong, Hai-Sung;Na, Myung-Hwan
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 발표논문집
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2000
  • As monitoring, testing, and measuring techniques develop, predictive control of components and complete systems have become more practical and affordable. In this paper we develop a statistics-based approach assuming nonlinear degradation paths and time-dependent standard deviation. This approach can be extended to provide reliability estimates and limit value determination in the censoring case fur predictive maintenance policy.

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An integral square error-based model predictive controller for two area load frequency control

  • Kassem, Ahmed M.;Sayed, Khairy;El-Zohri, Emad H.;Ali, Hossam H.
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2017
  • The main objective of load frequency control (LFC) is to keep the frequency value at nominal value and force deviation of the frequency to zero in case of load change. This paper suggests LFC by using a model predictive control (MPC), based on Integral Square Error (ISE) method designed to optimize the damping of oscillations in a two-area power system. The MPC is designed and simulated with a model system in state space, for robust performance in the system response. The proposed MPC is tuned by ISE to achieve superior efficiency. Moreover, its performance has been assessed and compared with the PI and PID conventional controllers. The settling time and overshoot with MPC are extremely minimized as compared with conventional controllers.

퍼지 신경 회로망을 이용한 혼돈 비선형 시스템의 예측 제어기 설계 (Design of Predictive Controller for Chaotic Nonlinear Systems using Fuzzy Neural Networks)

  • 최종태;박진배;최윤호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 D
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    • pp.621-623
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, the effective design method of the predictive controller using fuzzy neural networks(FNNs) is presented for the Intelligent control of chaotic nonlinear systems. In our design method of controller, predictor parameters are tuned by the error value between the actual output of a chaotic nonlinear system and that of a fuzzy neural network model. And the parameters of predictive controller using fuzzy neural network are tuned by the gradient descent method which uses control error value between the actual output of a chaotic nonlinear system and the reference signal. In order to evaluate the performance of our controller, it is applied to the Duffing system which are the representative continuous-time chaotic nonlinear systems and the Henon system which are representative discrete-time chaotic nonlinear systems.

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Positive and negative predictive values by the TOC curve

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Choi, So Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.211-224
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    • 2020
  • Sensitivity and specificity are popular measures described by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. There are also two other measures such as the positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV); however, the PPV and NPV cannot be represented by the ROC curve. Based on the total operating characteristic (TOC) curve suggested by Pontius and Si (International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 97, 570-583, 2014), explanatory methods are proposed to geometrically describe the PPV and NPV by the TOC curve. It is found that the PPV can be regarded as the slope of the right-angled triangle connecting the origin to a certain point on the TOC curve, while 1 - NPV can be represented as the slope of the right-angled triangle connecting a certain point to the top right corner of the TOC curve. When the neutral zone exists, the PPV and 1-NPV can be described as the slopes of two other right-angled triangles of the TOC curve. Therefore, both the PPV and NPV can be estimated using the TOC curve, whether or not the neutral zone is present.

SVPWM을 이용한 PMLSM의 전류 제어 분석과 새로운 예측 전류 제어 (Analysis and Novel Predictive Control of current control for Permanent Magnet Linear Synchronous Motor using SVPWM)

  • 선정원;이진우;서진호;이영진;이권순
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.236-238
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a new discrete-time predictive current controller for a PMLSM(permanent magnet linear synchronous motor). The main objectives of the current controllers are that the measured stator current is tracked the command current value accurately and the transient interval is shorten as much as possible, in order to obtain high-performance of ac drive system. The conventional predictive current controller is hard to implement in full digital current controller since a finite calculation time causes a delay between the current sensing time and the time that take to apply the voltage to motor. A new control strategy is the schema that gets the fast adaptation of transient current change, the fast transient response tracking. Moreover, the simulation results will be verified the improvements of Predictive controller and accuracy of the current controller.

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자각증상 평가를 위한 예측치공식의 이용성에 대한 연구 -모 공장 유기용제 취급자를 중심으로- (Study on Applicability of Predictive Equations of Subjective Symptoms of Workers Using Organic Solvents in Certain Factory)

  • 천용희;문영한;오대규
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.31-34
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    • 1983
  • For the study of the applicability of predictive equation of subjective symptoms of workers using organic solvents, 67 male workers using organic solvents were selected. The predictive equation was quotated from previous Cheon's study. All the datas of necessary variables were gained. The predictive values and observed values were compared. The results were summarized as below; 1. The difference between predictive values and observed values were characteristically large. The coefficient of determination between the two values was 0.0024. 2. The $R^2$ value of multiple stepwise regression equation derived from present study was 0.2827.

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Preoperative prediction of the location of parotid gland tumors using radiographic anatomical landmarks

  • Lee, Chung-O;Ahn, Chang-Hyun;Kwon, Tae-Geon;Kim, Chin-Soo;Kim, Jin-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2012
  • Introduction: The location of parotid gland tumors in the superficial or deep lobes can affect the time and difficulty of operations. Therefore, accurate preoperative evaluation of the tumor location is important for surgical outcomes. Materials and Methods: A total of 16 patients with parotid gland tumors and who underwent a parotidectomy between April 2003 and March 2011 were retrospectively reviewed in terms of demographic background, tumor location, surgical treatment, and treatment outcomes. Tumor location was estimated by four landmarks on contrast enhanced computerized tomography scans, which were Conn's arc, the facial nerve (FN) line, the Utrecht line, and the retromandibular vein. Tumor location was confirmed by relative position depending on the facial nerve during surgery. It was assumed positive since the tumor lies in the superficial lobe of the parotid gland, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and efficiency of each landmark were evaluated. Results: Our result revealed that the facial nerve line had a sensitivity of 83.3%, specificity of 100%, positive predictive value of 100%, negative predictive value of 71.4%, and efficiency of 87.5%. Some would be more efficient preoperative evaluation methods of the relationship of parotid gland tumors to the facial nerve than others. Conclusion: In our study, the FN line was found to be the most reliable analysis method.