• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.2893-2900
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• 2014

Background: Statistical methods are very important to precisely measure breast cancer patient survival times for healthcare management. Previous studies considered basic statistics to measure survival times without incorporating statistical modeling strategies. The objective of this study was to develop a data-based statistical probability model from the female breast cancer patients' survival times by using the Bayesian approach to predict future inferences of survival times. Materials and Methods: A random sample of 500 female patients was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results cancer registry database. For goodness of fit, the standard model building criteria were used. The Bayesian approach is used to obtain the predictive survival times from the data-based Exponentiated Exponential Model. Markov Chain Monte Carlo method was used to obtain the summary results for predictive inference. Results: The highest number of female breast cancer patients was found in California and the lowest in New Mexico. The majority of them were married. The mean (SD) age at diagnosis (in years) was 60.92 (14.92). The mean (SD) survival time (in months) for female patients was 90.33 (83.10). The Exponentiated Exponential Model found better fits for the female survival times compared to the Exponentiated Weibull Model. The Bayesian method is used to obtain predictive inference for future survival times. Conclusions: The findings with the proposed modeling strategy will assist healthcare researchers and providers to precisely predict future survival estimates as the recent growing challenges of analyzing healthcare data have created new demand for model-based survival estimates. The application of Bayesian will produce precise estimates of future survival times.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.20 no.9
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• pp.900-907
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• 2014

This paper proposes a MPC (Model Predictive Control) method for the torque and flux controls of induction motor. The proposed MPC method selects the optimized voltage vector for the matrix converter control using the predictive modeling equation of the induction motor and cost function. Hence, the reference voltage vector that minimizes the cost function of the torque and flux error within the control period is selected and applied to the actual system. As a result, it is possible to perform the torque and flux control of induction motor using only the MPC controller without a PI (Proportional-Integral) or hysteresis controller. Even though the proposed control algorithm is more complicated and has lots of computations compared with the conventional MPC, it can perform torque ripple reduction by synthesizing voltage vectors of various magnitude. This feature provides the reduction of amount of calculations and the improvement of the control performance through the adjustment of the number of the unit vectors n. The proposed control method is validated through the PSIM simulation.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.663-669
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• 2014

Background: With recent progress in health science administration, a huge amount of data has been collected from thousands of subjects. Statistical and computational techniques are very necessary to understand such data and to make valid scientific conclusions. The purpose of this paper was to develop a statistical probability model and to predict future survival times for male breast cancer patients who were diagnosed in the USA during 1973-2009. Materials and Methods: A random sample of 500 male patients was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The survival times for the male patients were used to derive the statistical probability model. To measure the goodness of fit tests, the model building criterions: Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were employed. A novel Bayesian method was used to derive the posterior density function for the parameters and the predictive inference for future survival times from the exponentiated Weibull model, assuming that the observed breast cancer survival data follow such type of model. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method was used to determine the inference for the parameters. Results: The summary results of certain demographic and socio-economic variables are reported. It was found that the exponentiated Weibull model fits the male survival data. Statistical inferences of the posterior parameters are presented. Mean predictive survival times, 95% predictive intervals, predictive skewness and kurtosis were obtained. Conclusions: The findings will hopefully be useful in treatment planning, healthcare resource allocation, and may motivate future research on breast cancer related survival issues.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.187-198
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• 2023

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an advanced control approach that uses the current states of the system model to predict its future behavior. In this article, according to the seismic dynamics of structural systems, the Predictive Functional Control (PFC) method is used to solve the control problem. Although conventional PFC is an efficient control method, its performance may be impaired due to problems such as uncertainty in the structure of state sensors and process equations, as well as actuator saturation. Therefore, it requires the utilization of appropriate estimation algorithms in order to accurately evaluate responses and implement actuator saturation. Accordingly, an extended PFC is presented based on the H-ifinity (H∞) filter (HPFC) while considering simultaneously the saturation actuator. Accordingly, an extended PFC is presented based on the H-ifinity (H∞) filter (HPFC) while considering the saturation actuator. Thus, the structural responses are formulated by two estimation models using the H∞ filter. First, the H∞ filter estimates responses using a performance bound (𝜃). Second, the H∞ filter is converted into a Kalman filter in a special case by considering the 𝜃 equal to zero. Therefore, the scheme based on the Kalman filter (KPFC) is considered a comparative model. The proposed method is evaluated through numerical studies on a building equipped with an Active Tuned Mass Damper (ATMD) under near and far-field earthquakes. Finally, HPFC is compared with classical (CPFC) and comparative (KPFC) schemes. The results show that HPFC has an acceptable efficiency in boosting the accuracy of CPFC and KPFC approaches under earthquakes, as well as maintaining a descending trend in structural responses.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.63 no.4
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• pp.526-533
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• 2014

In this study, we introduce design methodology to develop a guidance for issuing heavy rainfall warning by using both RBFNNs(Radial basis function neural networks) and SVR(Support vector regression) model, and then carry out the comparative studies between two pattern classifiers. Individual classifiers are designed as architecture realized with the aid of optimization and pre-processing algorithm. Because the predictive performance of the existing heavy rainfall forecast system is commonly affected from diverse processing techniques of meteorological data, under-sampling method as the pre-processing method of input data is used, and also data discretization and feature extraction method for SVR and FCM clustering and PSO method for RBFNNs are exploited respectively. The observed data, AWS(Automatic weather wtation), supplied from KMA(korea meteorological administration), is used for training and testing of the proposed classifiers. The proposed classifiers offer the related information to issue a heavy rain warning in advance before 1 to 3 hours by using the selected meteorological data and the cumulated precipitation amount accumulated for 1 to 12 hours from AWS data. For performance evaluation of each classifier, ETS(Equitable Threat Score) method is used as standard verification method for predictive ability. Through the comparative studies of two classifiers, neuro-fuzzy method is effectively used for improved performance and to show stable predictive result of guidance to issue heavy rainfall warning.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.2612-2616
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• 2003

Method for performance monitoring and diagnosis of a MIMO control system has been studied aiming at application to model predictive control (MPC) for industrial processes. The performance monitoring part is designed on the basis of the traditional SPC/SQC method. To meet the underlying premise of Schwart chart observation that the observed variable should be univariate and independent, the process variables are decorrelated temporally as well as spatially before monitoring. The diagnosis part was designed to identify the root of performance degradation among the controller, process, and disturbance. For this, a method to estimate the model-error and disturbance signal has been devised. The proposed methods were evaluated through numerical examples.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.626-641
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• 2015

Conventional case-based reasoning (CBR) does not perform efficiently for high-volume datasets because of case retrieval time. To overcome this problem, previous research suggested clustering a case base into several small groups and retrieving neighbors within a corresponding group to a target case. However, this approach generally produces less accurate predictive performance than the conventional CBR. This paper proposes a new case-based reasoning method called the clustering-merging CBR (CM-CBR). The CM-CBR method dynamically indexes a search pool to retrieve neighbors considering the distance between a target case and the centroid of a corresponding cluster. This method is applied to three real-life medical datasets. Results show that the proposed CM-CBR method produces similar or better predictive performance than the conventional CBR and clustering-CBR methods in numerous cases with significantly less computational cost.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.172.4-172
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• 2001

In this paper, the Generalized Predictive Control(GPC) method based on Fuzzy Neural Networks(FNNs) is presented for the control of chaotic nonlinear systems without precise mathematical models. In our method, FNNs is used as the predictor whose parameters are tuned by the error between the actual output of nonlinear chaotic system and that of FNNs model. The parameters of GPC controller are adjusted via the gradient descent method where the difference between the actual output and the reference signal is used as a control error. Finally, computer simulation on the representative continuous-time chaotic system(Duffing system) is presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of our chaos control method.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1989.10a
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• pp.331-336
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• 1989

Under the condition of stable inverse a billinear model predictive control method for SISO and MIMO system with time delay is derived. For processes subject to a bounded disturbance the proposed control method with a classical recursive adaptation algorithm was shown to be stable in the sense of the convergence of parameter estimates and the boundedness of the control error. Several simulation results demonstrate the characteristics of the proposed bilinear model predictive control method.

• The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.359-364
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• 2022

This study presents a nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC)-based obstacle avoidance and whole-body motion planning method for the mobile manipulators. For the whole-body motion control, the mobile manipulator with an omnidirectional mobile base was modeled as a nine degrees-of-freedom (DoFs) serial open chain with the PPR (base) plus 6R (arm) joints, and a swept sphere volume (SSV) was applied to define a convex hull for collision avoidance. The proposed receding horizon control scheme can generate a trajectory to track the end-effector pose while avoiding the self-collision and obstacle in the task space. The proposed method could be calculated using an interior-point (IP) method solver with 100[ms] sampling time and ten samples of horizon size, and the validation of the method was conducted in the environment of Pybullet simulation.