• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction path

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Study on the Improvement of Empirical Formula for Prediction of Ground Vibration Induced by Urban Rapid Transit (도시철도 지반진동 예측식 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Han-Chul;Cho, Sun-Kyu;Yang, Shin-Chu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.357-363
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, field measurements in the subway tunnel and adjacent building were performed to predict the pound vibration level induced by urban rapid transit (subway) in Seoul, Korea. From the results of the measurements, the measured ground vibration level induced by subway in Seoul is smaller than the empirical formula of New York, but it is bigger than the empirical formula of Tokyo which has been commonly used in Korea. We suggested the empirical formula for prediction of ground vibration level induced by subway in Seoul considering on the wave propagation path for soils or rocks, respectively.

Forecasting of Motorway Path Travel Time by Using DSRC and TCS Information (DSRC와 TCS 정보를 이용한 고속도로 경로통행시간 예측)

  • Chang, Hyun-ho;Yoon, Byoung-jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2017
  • Path travel time based on departure time (PTTDP) is key information in advanced traveler information systems (ATIS). Despite the necessity, forecasting PTTDP is still one of challenges which should be successfully conquered in the forecasting area of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). To address this problem effectively, a methodology to dynamically predict PTTDP between motorway interchanges is proposed in this paper. The method was developed based on the relationships between traffic demands at motorway tollgates and PTTDPs between TGs in the motorway network. Two different data were used as the input of the model: traffic demand data and path travel time data are collected by toll collection system (TCS) and dedicated short range communication (DSRC), respectively. The proposed model was developed based on k-nearest neighbor, one of data mining techniques, in order for the real applications of motorway information systems. In a feasible test with real-world data, the proposed method performed effectively by means of prediction reliability and computational running time to the level of real application of current ATIS.

Optimal Parameter Selection by Health Monitoring of Gas Turbine Engines using Gas Path Analysis (GPA를 이용한 가스터빈 엔진의 성능진단에 의한 최적 계측변수 선정에 관한 연구)

  • ;Riti Singh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.24-33
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    • 1999
  • For performance prediction and diagnostics of gas turbine engines, linear and non-linear gas path analysis are applied. In order to find optimal instrument parameters to detect the physical faults such as (outing, erosion and corrosion, non-linear gas path analysis is used. A typical industrial gas turbine engine, TB5000, is used to study the effect of physical faults on engine performance. Through comparison of RMS error between linear and non-linear gas path analysis, the optimal instrument parameters can be defined. As a result, it is found that the linear GPA has the level of error introduced by the assumption of the linear mode: can be of the same order of magnitude as the fault being soughtwhile the non-linear GPA can be solved the non-linear relationships between dependent and independent parameters using an iterative method such as the Newton-Raphson method with sufficient accuracy.

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A Study on the Propagation Model according to the Geometric Structures of Roads (도로의 기하구조에 따른 전파모델 연구)

  • Kim, Song-Min
    • 전자공학회논문지 IE
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2009
  • This study was to simulate it that the sending receiving vehicles run on the general national roads with the one-way two-lanes at 80[km/h] speed. This study was to select 280[m] radius of curvature based on the statistical data with high rate of traffic accidents, 140[m] length of direct roads considering the stopping stadia, 90[m] length of curve, and 8 points of curved roads at 11.25[m] intervals. As a result above, when the distance between the sending and receiving vehicles became more than 111[m], the propagation path of reflected wave by the adjacent vehicles became longer than the propagation path of reflected wave by the left/right reflectors because the number of repeated reflection increased. In this study, the repeated reflection for the propagation's reach to the receiving vehicles was about $1{\sim}2$[times] as it supposed it less than 111[m]. Accordingly, it found out that the propagation path of reflected wave received through the left/right reflectors was about $1{\sim}1.5[m]$ larger than the reflected wave produced by the adjacent vehicles regardless of lanes on which the sending and receiving vehicles were located.

Prediction of Highy Pathogenic Avian Influenza(HPAI) Diffusion Path Using LSTM (LSTM을 활용한 고위험성 조류인플루엔자(HPAI) 확산 경로 예측)

  • Choi, Dae-Woo;Lee, Won-Been;Song, Yu-Han;Kang, Tae-Hun;Han, Ye-Ji
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • The study was conducted with funding from the government (Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs) in 2018 with support from the Agricultural, Food, and Rural Affairs Agency, 318069-03-HD040, and in based on artificial intelligence-based HPAI spread analysis and patterning. The model that is actively used in time series and text mining recently is LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory Models) model utilizing deep learning model structure. The LSTM model is a model that emerged to resolve the Long-Term Dependency Problem that occurs during the Backpropagation Through Time (BPTT) process of RNN. LSTM models have resolved the problem of forecasting very well using variable sequence data, and are still widely used.In this paper study, we used the data of the Call Detailed Record (CDR) provided by KT to identify the migration path of people who are expected to be closely related to the virus. Introduce the results of predicting the path of movement by learning the LSTM model using the path of the person concerned. The results of this study could be used to predict the route of HPAI propagation and to select routes or areas to focus on quarantine and to reduce HPAI spread.

Estimating the Behavior Path of Seafarer Involved in Marine Accidents by Hidden Markov Model (은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용한 해양사고에 개입된 선원의 행동경로 추정)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2019
  • The conduct of seafarer is major cause of marine accidents. This study models the behavior of the seafarer based on the Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Additionally, through the path analysis of the behavior estimated by the model, the kind of situations, procedures and errors that may have caused the marine accidents were interpreted. To successfully implement the model, the seafarer behaviors were observed by means of the summarized verdict reports issued by the Korean Maritime Safety Tribunal, and the observed results converted into behavior data suitable for HMM learning through the behavior classification framework based on the SRKBB (Skill-, Rule-, and Knowledge-Based Behavior). As a result of modeling the seafarer behaviors by the type of vessels, it was established that there was a difference between the models, and the possibility of identifying the preferred path of the seafarer behaviors. Through these results, it is expected that the model implementation technique proposed in this study can be applied to the prediction of the behavior of the seafarer as well as contribute to the prioritization of the behavior correction among seafarers, which is necessary for the prevention of marine accidents.

Naval Ship Evacuation Path Search Using Deep Learning (딥러닝을 이용한 함정 대피 경로 탐색)

  • Ju-hun, Park;Won-sun, Ruy;In-seok, Lee;Won-cheol, Choi
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.385-392
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    • 2022
  • Naval ship could face a variety of threats in isolated seas. In particular, fires and flooding are defined as disasters that are very likely to cause irreparable damage to ships. These disasters have a very high risk of personal injury as well. Therefore, when a disaster occurs, it must be quickly suppressed, but if there are people in the disaster area, the protection of life must be given priority. In order to quickly evacuate the ship crew in case of a disaster, we would like to propose a plan to quickly explore the evacuation route even in urgent situations. Using commercial escape simulation software, we obtain the data for deep neural network learning with simulations according to aisle characteristics and the properties and number of evacuation person. Using the obtained data, the passage prediction model is trained with a deep learning, and the passage time is predicted through the learned model. Construct a numerical map of a naval ship and construct a distance matrix of the vessel using predicted passage time data. The distance matrix configured in one of the path search algorithms, the Dijkstra algorithm, is applied to explore the evacuation path of naval ship.

The Landslide Probability Analysis using Logistic Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Network Methods in Jeju (로지스틱회귀분석기법과 인공신경망기법을 이용한 제주지역 산사태가능성분석)

  • Quan, He Chun;Lee, Byung-Gul;Lee, Chang-Sun;Ko, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the prediction and evaluation of landslide using LRA(logistic regression analysis) and ANN (Artificial Neural Network) methods. In order to assess the landslide, we selected Sarabong, Byeoldobong area and Mt. Song-ak in Jeju Island. Five factors which affect the landslide were selected as: slope angle, elevation, porosity, dry density, permeability. So as to predict and evaluate the landslide, firstly the weight value of each factor was analyzed by LRA(logistic regression analysis) and ANN(Artificial Neural Network) methods. Then we got two prediction maps using AcrView software through GIS(Geographic Information System) method. The comparative analysis reveals that the slope angle and porosity play important roles in landslide. Prediction map generated by LRA method is more accurate than ANN method in Jeju. From the prediction map, we found that the most dangerous area is distributed around the road and path.

Interference-Prediction based Online Routing Aglorithm for MPLS Traffic Engineering (MPLS 트래픽 엔지니어링을 위한 간섭 예측 기반의 online 라우팅 알고리듬)

  • Lee, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Sung-Chang;Ye, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.42 no.12
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2005
  • A new online routing algerian is proposed in this paper, which use the interference-prediction to solve the network congestion originated from extension of Internet scope and increasing amount of traffic. The end-to-end QoS has to be guaranteed in order to satisfy service level agreements (SLAs) in the integrated networks of next generation. For this purpose, bandwidth is allocated dynamically and effectively, moreover the path selection algorithm is required while considering the network performance. The proposed algorithm predicts the level of how much the amount of current demand interferes the future potential traffic, and then minimizes it. The proposed algorithm considers the bandwidth on demand, link state, and the information about ingress-egress pairs to maximize the network performance and to prevent the waste of the limited resources. In addition, the interference-prediction supports the bandwidth guarantee in dynamic network to accept more requests. In the result, the proposed algorithm performs the effective admission control and QoS routing. In this paper, we analyze the required conditions of routing algorithms, the aspect of recent research, and the representative algorithms to propose the optimized path selection algorithm adequate to Internet franc engineering. Based on these results, we analyze the problems of existing algorithms and propose our algorithm. The simulation shows improved performance by comparing with other algorithms and analyzing them.

Characteristics of Stress-Strain Behavior for Lade's Single Work-Hardening Constitutive Model with Stress Path of Sands (모래의 응력경로에 따른 Lade의 단일항복면 구성모델의 응력-변형거동 특성)

  • Kim, Chan-Kee;Lee, Jong-Cheon;Cho, Won-Beom;Park, Wook-Geun;Kim, Hwan-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • In order to review the utility of Lade's single hardening constitutive model, a series of isotropic compression-expansion tests and consolidated drained triaxial tests including as CTC, TC, RTC, and OSP were performed by Baekma river sand with various of stress path. Parameters required in model were determined using these tests. The accuracy of analysis was reviewed by back analysis of test results used to determine the 11 parameters of soil property through the test of each stress path. Also. for verifying the accuracy of prediction for the stress-strain behavior using failure criterion related 9 parameters with correlational equation and constant and yield criterion related parameters h, ${\alpha}$ and ${\eta}_1$, when stress path is different with each other, it has been obtained in the review result of stress path dependent characteristics of the constitutional model through the analyzing results of CTC, TC, RTC, OSP, and fine silica sand tests.