• 제목/요약/키워드: prediction method

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초고온가스로 압력용기용 Gr. 91 강의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측 방법 개선 (Improvement of Long-term Creep Life Prediction Method of Gr. 91 steel for VHTR Pressure Vessel)

  • 박재영;김우곤;;김선진;김민환
    • 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.64-69
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    • 2014
  • Gr. 91 steel is used for the major structural components of Generation-IV reactor systems, such as a very high temperature reactor(VHTR) and sodium-cooled fast reactor(SFR). Since these structures are designed for up to 60 years at elevated temperatures, the prediction of long-term creep life is important for a design application of Gr. 91 steel. In this study, a number of creep rupture data were collected through world-wide literature surveys, and using these data, the long-term creep life was predicted in terms of three methods: the single-C method in Larson-Miller(L-M) parameter, multi-C constant method in the L-M parameter, and a modified method("sinh" equation) in the L-M parameter. The results of the creep-life prediction were compared using the standard deviation of error value, respectively. Modified method proposed by the "sinh" equation revealed better agreement in creep life prediction than the single-C L-M method.

녹섹(NOGSEC): A NOnparametric method for Genome SEquence Clustering (NOGSEC: A NOnparametric method for Genome SEquence Clustering)

  • 이영복;김판규;조환규
    • 미생물학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2003
  • 비교유전체학의 주요 주제 중 유전자서열을 분류하고 단백질기능을 예측하는 연구가 있으며, 이를 위해 단백질 구조, 공통서열 및 바인딩 위치 예측등의 방법과 함께, 전유전체 서열에서 구해지는 유사도 그래프를 분석해 상동유전자를 검색하는 계산학적인 접근방법이 있다. 유사도그래프를 사용한 방법은 서열에 대한 기존 지식에 의존하지 않는 장점이 있지만 유사도 하한값과 같은 주관적인 임계값이 필요한 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 반복적으로 그래프를 분해하는 이전의 방법을 일반화시켜, 유사도 그래프에 기반한 유전자 서열군집분석 방법론과 객관적이고 안정적인 파라미터 임계값 계산 방법을 제안한다. 제시된 방법으로 알려진 미생물 유전체 서 열을 분석하여 이전의 방법인 BAG 알고리즘 결과와 비교했다.

평 블록 구조의 용접변형 예측 및 제어 (Prediction and Control of Welding Deformation for Panel Block Structure)

  • 김상일
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.95-99
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    • 2008
  • The block assembly of ship consists of a certain type of heat processes such as cutting, bending welding residual stress relaxation and fairing. The residual deformation due to welding is inevitable at each assembly stage. The geometric inaccuracy caused by the welding deformation tends to preclude the introduction of automation and mechanization and needs the additional man-hours for the adjusting work at the following assembly stage. To overcome this problem, a distortion control method should be applied. For this purpose, it is necessary to develop an accurate prediction method which can explicitly account for the influence of various factors on the welding deformation. The validity of the prediction method must be also clarified through experiments. This paper proposes a simplified analysis method to predict the welding deformation of panel block structure. For this purpose, a simple prediction model for fillet welding deformations has been derived based on numerical and experimental results through the regression analysis. On the basis of these results, the simplified analysis method has been applied to some examples to show its validity.

H.263 Annex I 기반 화면내 부호화 기법의 성능개선 (Improved Intraframe Coding Method based on H.263 Annex I)

  • 유국열
    • 융합신호처리학회 학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신호처리시스템학회 2001년도 하계 학술대회 논문집(KISPS SUMMER CONFERENCE 2001
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    • pp.213-216
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    • 2001
  • H.263부호기의 화면내 부호화(intraframe coding)를 위한 부가 부호기법인 Annex I는 기존의 JPEG, MPEG-1, -2 부호기들의 화면내 부호방법들과는 달리 부호화하고자 하는 현재 블록의DCT 계수를 기부호화된 블록들의 DCT 계수들을 이용하여 예측부호화 (Differential Pulse Coded Modulation; DPCM)를 행하고, 이를 통한 부호화 이득의 향상을 얻고 있다. 본 논문에서는 이런 H.263 Annex I의 예측기법을 공간영역에서의 물리적인 의미를 유도한다. 이를 통해서 H.263 Annex I의 예측기법의 비효율성을 지적하고, 영상신호의 통계적 특성에 맞게 예측방식을 수정한다. 제안된 DCT 계수 예측 방식과 기존의 H:263 Annex I 방식의 이론적인 예측성능을 평가하고, H.263 부호기에 적용하여 제안방식의 효율성을 검증한다.

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Estimation of Smart Election System data

  • Park, Hyun-Sook;Hong, You-Sik
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2018
  • On the internal based search, the big data inference, which is failed in the president's election in the United States of America in 2016, is failed, because the prediction method is used on the base of the searching numerical value of a candidate for the presidency. Also the Flu Trend service is opened by the Google in 2008. But the Google was embarrassed for the fame's failure for the killing flu prediction system in 2011 and the prediction of presidential election in 2016. In this paper, using the virtual vote algorithm for virtual election and data mining method, the election prediction algorithm is proposed and unpacked. And also the WEKA DB is unpacked. Especially in this paper, using the K means algorithm and XEDOS tools, the prediction of election results is unpacked efficiently. Also using the analysis of the WEKA DB, the smart election prediction system is proposed in this paper.

진화적 비선형 보정 및 SVM 분류에 의한 강풍 특보 예측 기법 (Evolutionary Nonlinear Compensation and Support Vector Machine Based Prediction of Windstorm Advisory)

  • 서기성
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권12호
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    • pp.1799-1803
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces the prediction methods of windstorm advisory using GP nonlinear compensation and SVM. The existing special report prediction is not specialized for strong wind, such as windstorm, because it is based on the wide range of predicted values for wind speed from low to high. In order to improve the performance of strong wind reporting prediction, a method that can efficiently classify boundaries of strong wind is necessary. First, evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation technique is applied to obtain more accurate values of prediction for wind speed using UM data. Based on the prediction wind speed, the windstorm advisory is determined. Second, SVM method is applied to classify directly using the data of UM predictors and windstorm advisory. Above two methods are compared to evaluate of the performances for the windstorm data in Jeju Island in South Korea. The data of 2007-2009, 2011 year is used for training, and 2012 year is used for test.

Joint streaming model for backchannel prediction and automatic speech recognition

  • Yong-Seok Choi;Jeong-Uk Bang;Seung Hi Kim
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.118-126
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    • 2024
  • In human conversations, listeners often utilize brief backchannels such as "uh-huh" or "yeah." Timely backchannels are crucial to understanding and increasing trust among conversational partners. In human-machine conversation systems, users can engage in natural conversations when a conversational agent generates backchannels like a human listener. We propose a method that simultaneously predicts backchannels and recognizes speech in real time. We use a streaming transformer and adopt multitask learning for concurrent backchannel prediction and speech recognition. The experimental results demonstrate the superior performance of our method compared with previous works while maintaining a similar single-task speech recognition performance. Owing to the extremely imbalanced training data distribution, the single-task backchannel prediction model fails to predict any of the backchannel categories, and the proposed multitask approach substantially enhances the backchannel prediction performance. Notably, in the streaming prediction scenario, the performance of backchannel prediction improves by up to 18.7% compared with existing methods.

Optimized Neural Network Weights and Biases Using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Prediction Applications

  • Ahmadzadeh, Ezat;Lee, Jieun;Moon, Inkyu
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제20권8호
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    • pp.1406-1420
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    • 2017
  • Artificial neural networks (ANNs) play an important role in the fields of function approximation, prediction, and classification. ANN performance is critically dependent on the input parameters, including the number of neurons in each layer, and the optimal values of weights and biases assigned to each neuron. In this study, we apply the particle swarm optimization method, a popular optimization algorithm for determining the optimal values of weights and biases for every neuron in different layers of the ANN. Several regression models, including general linear regression, Fourier regression, smoothing spline, and polynomial regression, are conducted to evaluate the proposed method's prediction power compared to multiple linear regression (MLR) methods. In addition, residual analysis is conducted to evaluate the optimized ANN accuracy for both training and test datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively determine optimal values for neuron weights and biases, and high accuracy results are obtained for prediction applications. Evaluations of the proposed method reveal that it can be used for prediction and estimation purposes, with a high accuracy ratio, and the designed model provides a reliable technique for optimization. The simulation results show that the optimized ANN exhibits superior performance to MLR for prediction purposes.

다양한 영상의 밝기 효과에 대해 효과적으로 적응하는 H.264/AVC의 가중치 예측 생략 방법 (An Efficient Skipping Method of H.264/AVC Weighted Prediction for Various Illuminating Effects)

  • 최지호;선우명훈
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SP
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.206-211
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    • 2010
  • 이 논문은 영상내의 다양한 발광 효과를 선택적으로 다루기 위한 가중치 예측 생략 방법을 다루고 있다. 가중치 예측은 부호화 효율과 영상의 화질을 개선시키는 데에 지대한 역할을 하고 있으나, 방대한 연산 량으로 인해 실제로 구현하기 어려운 제점이 있다. 제안한 기술은 JM 표준의 가중치 예측에 비해 약 15%의 비트 율을 감소시키면서 지역적인 가중치 예측에 비해 30%의 연산 량을 감소시켰다.

Prediction of Time Histories of Seismic Ground Motion using Genetic Programming

  • YOSHIHARA, Ikuo;Inaba, Masaaki;AOYAMA, Tomoo;Yasunaga, Moritoshi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1999년도 제14차 학술회의논문집
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    • pp.226-229
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    • 1999
  • We have been developing a method to build models for time series using Genetic Programming. The proposed method has been applied to various kinds of time series e.g. computer-generated chaos, natural phenomena, and financial market indices etc. Now we apply the prediction method to time histories of seismic ground motion i.e. one-step-ahead prediction of seismographic amplitude. Waves of earthquakes are composed of P-waves and S-waves. They propagate in different speeds and have different characteristics. It is believed that P-waves arrive firstly and S-waves arrive secondly. Simulations were performed based on real data of Hyuganada earthquake which broke out at southern part of Kyushuu Island in Japan. To our surprise, prediction model built using the earthquake waves in early time can enough precisely predict main huge waves in later time. Lots of experiments lead us to conclude that every slice of data involves P-wave and S-wave. The simulation results suggest the GP-based prediction method can be utilized in alarm systems or dispatch systems in an emergency.

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