• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction intelligence

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Accessing LSTM-based multi-step traffic prediction methods (LSTM 기반 멀티스텝 트래픽 예측 기법 평가)

  • Yeom, Sungwoong;Kim, Hyungtae;Kolekar, Shivani Sanjay;Kim, Kyungbaek
    • KNOM Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2021
  • Recently, as networks become more complex due to the activation of IoT devices, research on long-term traffic prediction beyond short-term traffic prediction is being activated to predict and prepare for network congestion in advance. The recursive strategy, which reuses short-term traffic prediction results as an input, has been extended to multi-step traffic prediction, but as the steps progress, errors accumulate and cause deterioration in prediction performance. In this paper, an LSTM-based multi-step traffic prediction method using a multi-output strategy is introduced and its performance is evaluated. As a result of experiments based on actual DNS request traffic, it was confirmed that the proposed LSTM-based multiple output strategy technique can reduce MAPE of traffic prediction performance for non-stationary traffic by 6% than the recursive strategy technique.

A Study on the Generation of Datasets for Applied AI to OLED Life Prediction

  • CHUNG, Myung-Ae;HAN, Dong Hun;AHN, Seongdeok;KANG, Min Soo
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.7-11
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    • 2022
  • OLED displays cannot be used permanently due to burn-in or generation of dark spots due to degradation. Therefore, the time when the display can operate normally is very important. It is close to impossible to physically measure the time when the display operates normally. Therefore, the time that works normally should be predicted in a way other than a physical way. Therefore, if you do computer simulations based on artificial intelligence, you can increase the accuracy of prediction by saving time and continuous learning. Therefore, if we do computer simulations based on artificial intelligence, we can increase the accuracy of prediction by saving time and continuous learning. In this paper, a dataset in the form of development from generation to diffusion of dark spots, which is one of the causes related to the life of OLED, was generated by applying the finite element method. The dark spots were generated in nine conditions, such as 0.1 to 2.0 ㎛ with the size of pinholes, the number was 10 to 100, and 50% with water content. The learning data created in this way may be a criterion for generating an artificial intelligence-based dataset.

Artificial Intelligence-based Leak Prediction using Pipeline Data (관망자료를 이용한 인공지능 기반의 누수 예측)

  • Lee, Hohyun;Hong, Sungtaek
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.963-971
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    • 2022
  • Water pipeline network in local and metropolitan area is buried underground, by which it is hard to know the degree of pipe aging and leakage. In this study, assuming various sensor combinations installed in the water pipeline network, the optimal algorithm was derived by predicting the water flow rate and pressure through artificial intelligence algorithms such as linear regression and neuro fuzzy analysis to examine the possibility of detecting pipe leakage according to the data combination. In the case of leakage detection through water supply pressure prediction, Neuro fuzzy algorithm was superior to linear regression analysis. In case of leakage detection through water supply flow prediction, flow rate prediction using neuro fuzzy algorithm should be considered first. If flow meter for prediction don't exists, linear regression algorithm should be considered instead for pressure estimation.

A Survey of Applications of Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in Eco-environmental Modelling

  • Kim, Kang-Suk;Park, Joon-Hong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2009
  • Application of artificial intelligence (AI) approaches in eco-environmental modeling has gradually increased for the last decade. Comprehensive understanding and evaluation on the applicability of this approach to eco-environmental modeling are needed. In this study, we reviewed the previous studies that used AI-techniques in eco-environmental modeling. Decision Tree (DT) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were found to be major AI algorithms preferred by researchers in ecological and environmental modeling areas. When the effect of the size of training data on model prediction accuracy was explored using the data from the previous studies, the prediction accuracy and the size of training data showed nonlinear correlation, which was best-described by hyperbolic saturation function among the tested nonlinear functions including power and logarithmic functions. The hyperbolic saturation equations were proposed to be used as a guideline for optimizing the size of training data set, which is critically important in designing the field experiments required for training AI-based eco-environmental modeling.

Current approaches of artificial intelligence in breakwaters - A review

  • Kundapura, Suman;Hegde, Arkal Vittal
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2017
  • A breakwater has always been an ideal option to prevent shoreline erosion due to wave action as well as to maintain the tranquility in the lagoon area. The effects of the impinging wave on the structure could be analyzed and evaluated by several physical and numerical methods. An alternate approach to the numerical methods in the prediction of performance of a breakwater is Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools. In the recent decade many researchers have implemented several Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools in the prediction of performance, stability number and scour of breakwaters. This paper is a comprehensive review which serves as a guide to the current state of the art knowledge in application of soft computing techniques in breakwaters. This study aims to provide a detailed review of different soft computing techniques used in the prediction of performance of different breakwaters considering various combinations of input and response variables.

Bankruptcy Prediction with Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Early-Stage Business Models

  • Tuguldur Enkhtuya;Dae-Ki Kang
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 2023
  • Bankruptcy is a significant risk for start-up companies, but with the help of cutting-edge artificial intelligence technology, we can now predict bankruptcy with detailed explanations. In this paper, we implemented the Category Boosting algorithm following data cleaning and editing using OpenRefine. We further explained our model using the Shapash library, incorporating domain knowledge. By leveraging the 5C's credit domain knowledge, financial analysts in banks or investors can utilize the detailed results provided by our model to enhance their decision-making processes, even without extensive knowledge about AI. This empowers investors to identify potential bankruptcy risks in their business models, enabling them to make necessary improvements or reconsider their ventures before proceeding. As a result, our model serves as a "glass-box" model, allowing end-users to understand which specific financial indicators contribute to the prediction of bankruptcy. This transparency enhances trust and provides valuable insights for decision-makers in mitigating bankruptcy risks.

Cryptocurrency automatic trading research by using facebook deep learning algorithm (페이스북 딥러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 암호화폐 자동 매매 연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2021
  • Recently, research on predictive systems using deep learning and machine learning of artificial intelligence is being actively conducted. Due to the development of artificial intelligence, the role of the investment manager is being replaced by artificial intelligence, and due to the higher rate of return than the investment manager, algorithmic trading using artificial intelligence is becoming more common. Algorithmic trading excludes human emotions and trades mechanically according to conditions, so it comes out higher than human trading yields when approached in the long term. The deep learning technique of artificial intelligence learns past time series data and predicts the future, so it learns like a human and can respond to changing strategies. In particular, the LSTM technique is used to predict the future by increasing the weight of recent data by remembering or forgetting part of past data. fbprophet, an artificial intelligence algorithm recently developed by Facebook, boasts high prediction accuracy and is used to predict stock prices and cryptocurrency prices. Therefore, this study intends to establish a sound investment culture by providing a new algorithm for automatic cryptocurrency trading by analyzing the actual value and difference using fbprophet and presenting conditions for accurate prediction.

A Study on the Prediction of Major Prices in the Shipbuilding Industry Using Time Series Analysis Model (시계열 분석 모델을 이용한 조선 산업 주요물가의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ham, Juh-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.281-293
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    • 2021
  • Oil and steel prices, which are major pricescosts in the shipbuilding industry, were predicted. Firstly, the error of the moving average line (N=3-5) was examined, and in all three error analyses, the moving average line (N=3) was small. Secondly, in the linear prediction of data through existing theory, oil prices rise slightly, and steel prices rise sharply, but in reality, linear prediction using existing data was not satisfactory. Thirdly, we identified the limitations of linear prediction methods and confirmed that oil and steel price prediction was somewhat similar to actual moving average line prediction methods. Due to the high volatility of major price flows, large errors were inevitable in the forecast section. Through the time series analysis method at the end of this paper, we were able to achieve not bad results in all analysis items relative to artificial intelligence (Prophet). Predictive data through predictive analysis using eight predictive models are expected to serve as a good research foundation for developing unique tools or establishing evaluation systems in the future. This study compares the basic settings of artificial intelligence programs with the results of core price prediction in the shipbuilding industry through time series prediction theory, and further studies the various hyper-parameters and event effects of Prophet in the future, leaving room for improvement of predictability.

A Study on the Analysis Method of Artificial Intelligence for Real-Time Data Prediction. (실시간 데이터 예측을 위한 인공지능 분석 방법 연구)

  • Hong, Phil-Doo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.547-549
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    • 2021
  • In Artificial Intelligence analysis, the process of creating a model and verifying it is a task that requires computational processing time because it is Batch Processing performed with already generated data. We need to model, validate, and predict real-time data, such as stocks and defense information, with data generated directly in front of us. As a solution to this, we solve it by applying techniques to segment the data required for artificial intelligence modeling tasks in order of time processing and distribute the data across multiple processes.

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LSTM-based Fire and Odor Prediction Model for Edge System (엣지 시스템을 위한 LSTM 기반 화재 및 악취 예측 모델)

  • Youn, Joosang;Lee, TaeJin
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2022
  • Recently, various intelligent application services using artificial intelligence are being actively developed. In particular, research on artificial intelligence-based real-time prediction services is being actively conducted in the manufacturing industry, and the demand for artificial intelligence services that can detect and predict fire and odors is very high. However, most of the existing detection and prediction systems do not predict the occurrence of fires and odors, but rather provide detection services after occurrence. This is because AI-based prediction service technology is not applied in existing systems. In addition, fire prediction, odor detection and odor level prediction services are services with ultra-low delay characteristics. Therefore, in order to provide ultra-low-latency prediction service, edge computing technology is combined with artificial intelligence models, so that faster inference results can be applied to the field faster than the cloud is being developed. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an LSTM algorithm-based learning model that can be used for fire prediction and odor detection/prediction, which are most required in the manufacturing industry. In addition, the proposed learning model is designed to be implemented in edge devices, and it is proposed to receive real-time sensor data from the IoT terminal and apply this data to the inference model to predict fire and odor conditions in real time. The proposed model evaluated the prediction accuracy of the learning model through three performance indicators, and the evaluation result showed an average performance of over 90%.