• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.77-84
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• 2016

본 논문은 시스템에 대한 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 수행하기 위한 모델링 방법론을 제안한다. 신뢰도 예측에 대한 다양한 기존 연구들이 있지만, 이 연구들의 공통점은 하드웨어 중심으로 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였다는 점이다. 신뢰성이 제품이 주어진 사용 조건 아래서 의도하는 기간 동안 정해진 기능을 성공적으로 수행하는 능력이라고 정의되는 점에서 보았을 때, 하드웨어 중심의 신뢰도는 논리적 모순을 가진다. 본 논문에서는 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 위해 4-단계 모델링 절차(four-phase modeling procedure)를 제안하였다. 제안되는 모델링 방법론은 네 개의 모델로 구성된다; 1) 구조적 블록 모델(structure block model), 2) 기능 블록 모델 (function block model), 3) 장치 모델 (device model), 그리고 4) 신뢰성 예측 모델 (reliability prediction model). 본 논문에서는 제안하는 모델링 방법론을 이용하여 전자식 안정기에 대한 기능 중심의 신뢰도 예측을 수행하였으며, 하드웨어의 신뢰도를 결정하기 위해 신뢰도 예측 규격 중 하나인 MIL-HDBK-217F를 이용하였다.

• 재활복지공학회논문지
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.209-214
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• 2015

본 연구의 목적은 (1) 구어로 의사소통을 하는데 어려움을 가지고 있는 뇌병변장애인을 대상으로 보완대체의사소통 글자판의 단어예측기능이 문장산출 속도에 미치는 영향 및 (2) 단어예측기능의 필요성, 편의성, 만족도 등을 조사하는 것이다. 총 10명의 성인 뇌병변장애인들이 평가에 참여하였고, 한국형 하이테크 AAC 기기인 마이토키스마트의 글자판에 탑재된 단어예측기능이 평가도구로 사용되었다. 참가자들은 제시되는 문장을 단어예측기능과 낱글자 직접입력방식을 각각 사용하여 음성출력한 후에, 단어예측기능의 필요성, 사용 편의성 및 만족도를 5점 척도로 평가하도록 요청되었고, 자유 피드백을 통해 기타 의견들을 조사하였다. 연구결과, 문장예측기능을 사용했을 때의 문장생성속도가 낱글자입력방식을 사용했을 때보다 평균적으로 빠르게 나타났으나 통계적으로 유의한 차이는 나타나지 않았다. 이는 참가자들이 새로운 실험도구를 충분히 연습하고 학습할 적응기간이 부족했기 때문인 것으로 보인다. 참가자들의 문장예측기능에 대한 필요성, 편의성, 만족도 등은 전반적으로 긍정적인 응답을 나타냈다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제55권4호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2013

Unsaturated hydraulic conductivity function is one of key parameters to solve the flow phenomena in problems of landslide. Prediction models for hydraulic conductivity function related to soil-water retention curve equations in many geotechnical applications have been still used instead of direct measurement of the hydraulic conductivity function since prediction models from soil-water retention curve equations are attractive for their fast and easy use and low cost. However, many researchers found that prediction models for the hydraulic conductivity function can not predict the hydraulic conductivity exactly in comparison with experimental outputs. This research introduced an inverse analysis to evaluate the hydraulic conductivity function corresponding to experimental output from the flow pump system. Optimisation process was carried out to obtain the hydraulic conductivity function. This research showed that the inverse analysis with flow pump system was suitable to assess the hydraulic conductivity in unsaturated soil, and the prediction models for the hydraulic conductivity were led to the significant discrepancy from actual experimental outputs.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.343-351
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• 2008

By supervised learning with p predictors, we frequently obtain a prediction function of the form $y\;=\;f(x_1,...,x_p)$. When $p\;{\geq}\;3$, it is not easy to understand the inner structure of f, except for the case the function is formulated as additive. In this study, we propose to use p simple graphs for visual understanding of complex prediction functions produced by several supervised learning engines such as LOESS, neural networks, support vector machines and random forests.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.637-653
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• 1999

In this study well-known burned rate expressions of Weibe function and double Wiebe function have been adopted for the combustion analysis of large two stroke marine diesel engine. A cycle simulation program was also developed to predict the performance and pressure waves in pipes using validated burned rate function,. Levenberg-Marquardt iteration method was applied to cali-brate the shape coefficients included in double Wiebe function for the performance prediction of two-stroke marine diesel engine. As a result the performance prediction using double Wiebe func-tion is well correlated withexperimental dta with the accuracy of 5% and pressure waves in intake and transport pipe are well predicted. From the results of this study it can be confirmed that the shape coefficients of burned rate function should be modified using the numerical method suggested for the accurated prediction and double Wiebe function is more suitable than Wiebe func-tion for combustion analysis of large two stroke marine engine.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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• pp.315-315
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• 2000

In this paper, we perform the time series prediction using the SVM(Support Vector Machine). We make use of two different loss functions and two different kernel functions; i) Quadratic and $\varepsilon$-insensitive loss function are used; ii) GRBF(Gaussian Radial Basis Function) and ERBF(Exponential Radial Basis Function) are used. Mackey-Glass time series are used for prediction. For both cases, we compare the results by the SVM to those by ANN(Artificial Neural Network) and show the better performance by SVM than that by ANN.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.137-146
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• 2023

The dropout of university freshmen is a very important issue in the financial problems of universities. Moreover, the dropout rate is one of the important indicators among the external evaluation items of universities. Therefore, universities need to predict dropout students in advance and apply various dropout prevention programs targeting them. This paper proposes a method to predict such dropout students in advance. This paper is about a method for predicting dropout students. It proposes a method to select dropouts by applying logistic regression using a shift sigmoid classification function using only quantitative data from the first semester of the first year, which most universities have. It is based on logistic regression and can select the number of prediction subjects and prediction accuracy by using the shift sigmoid function as an classification function. As a result of the experiment, when the proposed algorithm was applied, the number of predicted dropout subjects varied from 100% to 20% compared to the actual number of dropout subjects, and it was found to have a prediction accuracy of 75% to 98%.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.168-175
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• 1999

In this paper, a modified RBF(Radial Basis Function) network structure is suggested for the prediction of a time-series with non-linear, non-stationary characteristics. Coventional RBF network predicting time series by using past outputs sense the trajectory of the time series and react when there exists strong relation between input and hidden activation function's RBF center. But this response is highly sensitive to level and trend of time serieses. In order to overcome such dependencies, hidden activation functions are modified to react to the increments of input variable and multiplied by increment(or dectement) for prediction. When the suggested structure is applied to prediction of Macyey-Glass chaotic time series, Lorenz equation, and Rossler equation, improved performances are obtained.

• 방송공학회논문지
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.756-764
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• 2012

HEVC의 화면내 예측은 AIP와 화면내 평할화를 사용하여 예측 화소의 값을 결정하는데, 최종적으로 예측 화소값은 참조 화소들 사이에서 1차 방정식의 형태를 가지고 계산된다. 이는 참조 화소들의 값의 차이가 큰 경우 성능을 기대하기 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 현재 HEVC의 화면내 예측에서 사용되는 1차 함수 형태의 보간 방법 외에 DCT-IF 및 3차 함수를 사용하는 적응적 예측 방법을 제안한다. 2개 이상의 참조 화소들의 주파수 성분을 이용하는 DCT-IF를 사용하고, 또한 3차 함수의 형태를 이용하여 보간하므로 기존의 1차 함수를 이용하는 것보다 예측 화소값을 정확하게 결정한다. 3차함수는 1차함수보다 기울기가 더 크다. 따라서, 3차 함수는 예측 단위내의 에지에서 활용되어진다. HM6.0에서 부호화 시간은 3%, 복호화 시간은 1%의 증가를 보였고, 평균 BD-rate가 휘도 신호 Y에서 0.4%, 색차 신호 U, V에서 0.3%, 0.3% 감소되었다. 이를 통해 DCT-IF와 3차 함수, 그리고 기존의 방법을 적응적으로 사용할 경우 부호화 성능이 향상됨을 알 수 있다.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1994년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 창원대학교; 08월 09일 Apr. 1994
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• pp.561-568
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• 1994

A man model can be used as an effective tool to design ergonomically sound products and workplaces, and subsequently evaluate them properly. For a man model to be truly useful, it must be integrated with a posture prediction model which should be capable of representing the human arm reach posture in the context of equipments and workspaces. Since the human movement possesses redundant degrees of freedom, accurate representation or prediction of human movement was known to be a difficult problem. To solve this redundancy problem, a psychophysical cost function was suggested in this study which defines a cost value for each joint movement angle. The psychophysical cost function developed integrates the psychophysical discomfort of joints and the joint range availability concept which has been used for redundant arm manipulation in robotics to predict the arm reach posture. To properly predict an arm reach posture, an arm reach posture prediction model was then developed in which a posture configuration that provides the minimum total cost is chosen. The predictivity of the psychophysical cost function was compared with that of the biomechanical cost function which is based on the minimization of joint torque. Here, the human body is regarded as a two-dimensional multi-link system which consists of four links ; trunk, upper arm, lower arm and hand. Real reach postures were photographed from the subjects and were compared to the postures predicted by the model. Results showed that the postures predicted by the psychophysical cost function closely simulated human reach postures and the predictivity was more accurate than that by the biomechanical cost function.