• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction estimator

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Design of current estimator for reducing of current ripple in BLDC motor (BLDC 전동기의 전류맥동 보상을 위한 전류추정기 설계)

  • Kim, Myung-Dong;Oh, Tae-Seok;Kim, Il-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.10c
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    • pp.339-341
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a new method on controller design of brushless dc motors. In such drives the current ripples are generated by motor inductance in stator windings and the back EMF. To suppress the current ripples the current controller is generally used. To minimize the size and the cost of the drives it is desirable to control motors without the current controller and the current sensing circuits. To estimate the motor current it is modeled by a neural network that is configured as an output-error dynamic system. The identified model is essentially a one step ahead prediction structure in which fast inputs and outputs are used to calculate the current output. Using the model, effective estimator to compensate the effects of disturbance has been designed. The effectiveness of the proposed current estimator is verified through experiments.

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Optimal fractions in terms of a prediction-oriented measure

  • Lee, Won-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 1993
  • The multicollinearity problem in a multiple linear regression model may present deleterious effects on predictions. Thus, its is desirable to consider the optimal fractions with respect to the unbiased estimate of the mean squares errors of the predicted values. Interstingly, the optimal fractions can be also illuminated by the Bayesian inerpretation of the general James-Stein estimators.

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Design of target state estimator and predictor using multiple model method (다중모델기법을 이용한 표적 상태추정 및 예측기 설계연구)

  • Jung, Sang-Geun;Lee, Sang-Gook;Yoo, Jun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.478-481
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    • 1996
  • Tracking a target of versatile maneuver recently demands a stable adaptation of tracker, and the multiple model techniques are being developed because of its ability to produce useful information of target maneuver. This paper presents the way to apply the multiple model method in a moving-target and moving-platform scenario, and the estimation and prediction results better than those of single Kalman filter.

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Prediction of Spectral Acceleration Response Based on the Statistical Analyses of Earthquake Records in Korea (국내 지진기록의 통계적 분석에 기반한 스펙트럴 가속도 응답 예측기법)

  • Shin, Dong-Hyeon;Hong, Suk-Jae;Kim, Hyung-Joon
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2016
  • This study suggests a prediction model of ground motion spectral shape considering characteristics of earthquake records in Korea. Based on the Graizer and Kalkan's prediction procedure, a spectral shape model is defined as a continuous function of period in order to improve the complex problems of the conventional models. The approximate spectral shape function is then developed with parameters such as moment magnitude, fault distance, and average shear velocity of independent variables. This paper finally determines estimator coefficients of subfunctions which explain the corelation among the independent variables using the nonlinear optimization. As a result of generating the prediction model of ground motion spectral shape, the ground motion spectral shape well estimates the response spectrum of earthquake recordings in Korea.

Joint Blind Data/Channel Estimation Based on Linear Prediction

  • Ahn, Kyung-Seung;Byun, Eul-Chool;Baik, Heung-Ki
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.869-872
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    • 2001
  • Blind identification and equalization of communication channel is important because it does not need training sequence, nor does it require a priori channel information. So, we can increase the bandwidth efficiency. The linear prediction error method is perhaps the most attractive in practice due to the insensitive to blind channel estimator and equalizer length mismatch as well as for its simple adaptive algorithms. In this paper, we propose method for fractionally spaced blind equalizer with arbitrary delay using one-step forward prediction error filter from second-order statistics of the received signals for SIMO channel. Our algorithm utilizes the forward prediction error as training sequences for data estimation and desired signal for channel estimation.

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Prediction Equation of Spectral Acceleration Responses in Low-to-Moderate Seismic Regions using Domestic and Overseas Earthquake Records (국내·외 계기지진 정보를 활용한 중·약진 지역의 스펙트럴 가속도 응답 예측식)

  • Shin, Dong Hyeon;Kim, Hyung Joon
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2018
  • This study develops an empirical prediction equation of spectral acceleration responses of earthquakes which can induce structural damages. Ground motion records representing hazards of low-to-moderate seismic regions were selected and organized with several influential factors affecting the response spectra. The empirical equation and estimator coefficients for acceleration response spectra were then proposed using a robust nonlinear optimization coupled with a regression analysis. For analytical verification of the prediction equation, response spectra used for low-to-moderate seismic regions were estimated and the predicted results were comparatively evaluated with measured response spectra. As a result, the predicted shapes of response spectra can simulate the graphical shapes of measured data with high accuracy and most of predicted results are distributed inside range of correlation of variation (COV) of 30% from perfectly correlated lines.

Application of In-direct Estimation for Small Area Statistics (소지역 통계 생산을 위한 추정방법)

  • Kim, Young-Won;Sung, Na-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2000
  • Small area estimation is becoming important in survey sampling due to a growing demand for reliable small area statistics. In estimating means, totals, and other parameters for small areas of a finite population, samplie sizes for small areas are typically small because the overall sample size is usually determined to provide specific accuracy at a much higher level of aggregation than that of small area. The usual direct estimators that use the only information which is gotten from the sample in a given small area provide unreliable estimates. However, indirect estimators utilize the information from the areas related with a given small area, that is, borrow strength from other related areas, and so give more accurate estimates than direct estimators. In this paper we investigate small area estimation methods such as synthetic, composite and empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator, and apply them to real domestic data which is from the Survey of Hotels and Restaurants in In-Chon as of 1996 and then evaluate the performance of these methods by measuring average squared errors. This evaluation shows that indirect estimators, which are small area estimation methods, are more efficient than direct estimator.

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Development of Algorithm for Prediction of Bead Height on GMA Welding (GMA 용접의 최적 비드 높이 예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • 김인수;박창언;김일수;손준식;안영호;김동규;오영생
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.40-46
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    • 1999
  • The sensors employed in the robotic are welding system must detect the changes in weld characteristics and produce the output that is in some way related to the change being detected. Such adaptive systems, which synchronise the robot arm and eyes using a primitive brain will form the basis for the development of robotic GMA(Gas Metal Arc) welding which increasingly higher levels of artificial intelligence. The objective of this paper is to realize the mapping characteristics of bead height through learning. After learning, the neural estimation can estimate the bead height desired from the learning mapping characteristic. The design parameters of the neural network estimator(the number of hidden layers and the number of nodes in a layer) are chosen from an estimation error analysis. A series of bead of bead-on-plate GMA welding experiments was carried out in order to verify the performance of the neural network estimator. The experimental results show that the proposed neural network estimator can predict the bead height with reasonable accuracy and guarantee the uniform weld quality.

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A New Technology for Optimization of Bead Height Using ANN

  • Kim, Ill-Soo;Son, Joon-Sik;Sung, Back-Sub;Lee, Chang-Woo;Cha, Yong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.208-213
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    • 2001
  • Objective of this paper is to develop a new approach involving the use of an Artificial Neural Network(ANN) and multiple regression methods in the prediction of process parameters on bead height for GMA welding process. Using a series of robotic are welding, multi-pass butt welds carried out in order to verify the performance of the neural network estimator and multiple regression methods. To verify the developed system, the design parameters of the neural network estimator are selected from an estimation error analysis. The experimental results show that the proposed models can predict the bead height with reasonable accuracy and guarantee the uniform weld quality.

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Precise Velocity Control at Low Speed with a Low Resolution Encoder (저 분해능 엔코더를 사용한 정밀 속도 제어)

  • Seo, Ki-Won;Kang, Hyun-Jae;Lee, Choong-Woo;Chung, Chung-Choo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.140-142
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents an effective method of precise velocity control at low speed with a low resolution encoder. Multirate observer to estimate the velocity at every DSP control period is used except a constant velocity mode. The observer corrects the estimation error when detects pulse signal. Unlike the conventional methods, the multirate estimator is stable at a low speed. However, the multirate estimator shows ripples at a constant velocity. Thus, in this paper we use a velocity prediction method which uses the present velocity from the previous average velocity to reject the ripple. In a summary, at a constant speed mode, the predicted velocity is used. Otherwise, the estimated velocity by the multirate obvserver is used. The effectiveness of the multirate observer and ripple rejection at low speed is verified through various simulations.

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