• Title/Summary/Keyword: predicting technique

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A Study on the Corrosion of Corrugated Steel Structures in Buried Environment (매설 환경에 따른 파형강 구조물의 부식 특성 연구)

  • Park, Yeon-Soo;Kim, Byong-Ha;Han, Sang-Ho;Park, Sun-Joon;Suh, Byoung-Chal
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2003
  • In this research, multiple corrosion factors of buried environments were measured in order to establish a formula for the corrosion character of corrugated steel structures in domestic environments. By substituting corrosion factors for each predicting formula, the durable lifetime was measured, and the measured lifetime was compared with the estimated lifetime by applying existing thickness-measuring techniques. A new usage standard was proposed with these results, in order to create the conclusion below. There are known differences in the soil factors used as variables in estimating the duration caused by the seasonal effects of rainfall and temperature. Comparing the durable lifetime estimated by each predicting formula, the findings show that the California technique is conservative. This study demonstrates that the error range of the AISI technique, which is mostly used as a duration technique, is a very narrow predicting technique as compared with many other countries. Considering that there is on average, a 13% error margin in this study, a proposed safety factor of 0.87 could be used to more accurately predict the duration. The laying time in the California technique is not longer than the whole durability, and as a result, this error margin exists. It is concluded that this study on the open area has been overdue. Based on these findings, it's proposed that this error margin should be applied to the domestic environment through periodic observation, in order to establish the predicting techniques of durable lifetime.

Predicting Personal Credit Rating with Incomplete Data Sets Using Frequency Matrix technique (Frequency Matrix 기법을 이용한 결측치 자료로부터의 개인신용예측)

  • Bae, Jae-Kwon;Kim, Jin-Hwa;Hwang, Kook-Jae
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.273-290
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    • 2006
  • This study suggests a frequency matrix technique to predict personal credit rate more efficiently using incomplete data sets. At first this study test on multiple discriminant analysis and logistic regression analysis for predicting personal credit rate with incomplete data sets. Missing values are predicted with mean imputation method and regression imputation method here. An artificial neural network and frequency matrix technique are also tested on their performance in predicting personal credit rating. A data set of 8,234 customers in 2004 on personal credit information of Bank A are collected for the test. The performance of frequency matrix technique is compared with that of other methods. The results from the experiments show that the performance of frequency matrix technique is superior to that of all other models such as MDA-mean, Logit-mean, MDA-regression, Logit-regression, and artificial neural networks.

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CORRELATION ANALYSIS METHOD OF SENSOR DATA FOR PREDICTING THE FOREST FIRE

  • Shon Ho Sun;Chi Jeong Hee;Kim Eun Hee;Ryu Keun Ho;Jung Doo Yeong;kim Kyung Ok
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.186-188
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    • 2005
  • Because forest fire changes the direction according to the environmental elements, it is difficult to predict the direction of it. Currently, though some researchers have been studied to which predict the forest fire occurrence and the direction of it, using the remote detection technique, it is not enough and efficient. And recently because of the development of the sensor technique, a lot of In-Situ sensors are being developed. These kinds of In-Situ sensor data are used to collect the environmental elements such as temperature, humidity, and the velocity of the wind. Accordingly we need the prediction technique about the environmental elements analysis and the direction of the forest fire, using the In-Situ sensor data. In this paper, as a technique for predicting the direction of the forest fire, we propose the correlation analysis technique about In-Situ sensor data such as temperature, humidity, the velocity of the wind. The proposed technique is based on the clustering method and clusters the In-Situ sensor data. And then it analyzes the correlation of the multivariate correlations among clusters. These kinds of prediction information not only helps to predict the direction of the forest fire, but also finds the solution after predicting the environmental elements of the forest fire. Accordingly, this technique is expected to reduce the damage by the forest fire which occurs frequently these days.

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A Study on Predicting Construction Cost of Educational Building Project at early stage Using Support Vector Machine Technique (서포트벡터머신을 이용한 교육시설 초기 공사비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Min;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2012
  • The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So various of techniques are developed to predict the construction cost accurately and expeditely. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has an excellent ability for generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to construct the prediction model for construction cost of educational building project using support vector machine technique. And to verify the accuracy of prediction model for construction cost. The performance data used in this study are 217 school building project cost which have been completed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do, Korea. The result shows that average error rate was 7.48% for SVM prediction model. So using SVM model on predicting construction cost of educational building project will be a considerably effective way at the early project stage.

A Fusion of Data Mining Techniques for Predicting Movement of Mobile Users

  • Duong, Thuy Van T.;Tran, Dinh Que
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.568-581
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    • 2015
  • Predicting locations of users with portable devices such as IP phones, smart-phones, iPads and iPods in public wireless local area networks (WLANs) plays a crucial role in location management and network resource allocation. Many techniques in machine learning and data mining, such as sequential pattern mining and clustering, have been widely used. However, these approaches have two deficiencies. First, because they are based on profiles of individual mobility behaviors, a sequential pattern technique may fail to predict new users or users with movement on novel paths. Second, using similar mobility behaviors in a cluster for predicting the movement of users may cause significant degradation in accuracy owing to indistinguishable regular movement and random movement. In this paper, we propose a novel fusion technique that utilizes mobility rules discovered from multiple similar users by combining clustering and sequential pattern mining. The proposed technique with two algorithms, named the clustering-based-sequential-pattern-mining (CSPM) and sequential-pattern-mining-based-clustering (SPMC), can deal with the lack of information in a personal profile and avoid some noise due to random movements by users. Experimental results show that our approach outperforms existing approaches in terms of efficiency and prediction accuracy.

A study on the prediction of tunnel crown and surface settlement in tunneling as a function of deformation modulus and overburden

  • Kim Seon-Hong;Moon Hyun-Koo
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.129-141
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    • 2003
  • The precise prediction of ground displacement plays an important role in planning and constructing tunnels. In this study, an equation for predicting the surface and crown settlement is suggested by examining the theories of ground movement caused by tunnel excavation. From the 3D numerical modeling, the reinforcement effect of UAM (Umbrella Arch Method) is quantitatively analyzed with respect to deformation modulus and overburden. By using a regression technique for the numerical results, an equation for predicting the settlement is suggested.

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Estimation of Displacement Responses from the Measured Dynamic Strain Signals Using Mode Decomposition Technique (모드분해기법을 이용한 동적 변형률신호로부터 변위응답추정)

  • Kim, Sung-Wan;Chang, Sung-Jin;Kim, Nam-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2008
  • In this study, a method predicting the displacement responseof structures from the measured dynamic strain signal is proposed by using a mode decomposition technique. Dynamic loadings including wind and seismic loadings could be exerted to the bridge. In order to examine the bridge stability against these dynamic loadings, the prediction of displacement response is very important to evaluate bridge stability. Because it may be not easy for the displacement response to be acquired directly on site, an indirect method to predict the displacement response is needed. Thus, as an alternative for predicting the displacement response indirectly, the conversion of the measured strain signal into the displacement response is suggested, while the measured strain signal can be obtained using fiber optic Bragg-grating (FBG) sensors. To overcome such a problem, a mode decomposition technique was used in this study. The measured strain signal is decomposed into each modal component by using the empirical mode decomposition(EMD) as one of mode decomposition techniques. Then, the decomposed strain signals on each modal component are transformed into the modal displacement components. And the corresponding mode shapes can be also estimated by using the proper orthogonal decomposition(POD) from the measured strain signal. Thus, total displacement response could be predicted from combining the modal displacement components.

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Estimation of Displacement Response from the Measured Dynamic Strain Signals Using Mode Decomposition Technique (모드분해기법을 이용한 동적 변형률신호로부터 변위응답추정)

  • Chang, Sung-Jin;Kim, Nam-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4A
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    • pp.507-515
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    • 2008
  • In this study, a method predicting the displacement response of structures from the measured dynamic strain signal is proposed by using mode decomposition technique. Evaluation of bridge stability is normally focused on the bridge completed. However, dynamic loadings including wind and seismic loadings could be exerted to the bridge under construction. In order to examine the bridge stability against these dynamic loadings, the prediction of displacement response is very important to evaluate bridge stability. Because it may be not easy for the displacement response to be acquired directly on site, an indirect method to predict the displacement response is needed. Thus, as an alternative for predicting the displacement response indirectly, the conversion of the measured strain signal into the displacement response is suggested, while the measured strain signal can be obtained using fiber optic Bragg-grating (FBG) sensors. As previous studies on the prediction of displacement response by using the FBG sensors, the static displacement has been mainly predicted. For predicting the dynamic displacement, it has been known that the measured strain signal includes higher modes and then the predicted dynamic displacement can be inherently contaminated by broad-band noises. To overcome such problem, a mode decomposition technique was used. Mode decomposition technique estimates the displacement response of each mode with mode shape estimated to use POD from strain signal and with the measured strain signal decomposed into mode by EMD. This is a method estimating the total displacement response combined with the each displacement response about the major mode of the structure. In order to examine the mode decomposition technique suggested in this study model experiment was performed.

PREDICTING MALTING QUALITY IN WHOLE GRAIN MALT COMPARED TO WHOLE GRAIN BARLEY BY NEAR INFRARED SPECTROSCOPY

  • Black, Cassandra K.;Panozzo, Joseph F.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.1618-1618
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    • 2001
  • Predicting quality traits using near infrared (NIR) spectroscopy on whole grain samples has gained wide acceptance as a non-destructive, rapid and cost effective technique. Barley breeding programs throughout southern Australia currently use this technology as a tool for selecting malting quality lines. For the past 3 years whole grain barley calibrations have been developed at VIDA to predict malting quality traits in the early generation selections of the breeding program. More recently calibrations for whole grain malt have been developed and introduced to aid in selecting malted samples at the mid-generation stage for more complex malting quality traits. Using the same population set, barley and malt calibrations were developed to predict hot water extracts (EBC and IoB), diastatic power, free $\alpha$-amino nitrogen, soluble protein, wort $\beta$-glucan and $\beta$-glucanase. The correlation coefficients between NIR predicted values and laboratory methods for malt were all highly significant ($R^2$ > 0.84), whereas the correlation coefficients for the barley calibrations were lower ($R^2$ > 0.57) but still significant. The magnitude of the error in predicting hot water extract, diastatic power and wort $\beta$-glucan using whole grain malt was reduced by 50% when compared with predicting the same trait using whole grain barley. This can be explained by the complex nature of attempting to develop calibrations on whole grain barley utilizing malt data. During malting, the composition of barley is modified by the action of enzymes throughout the steeping and germination stages and by heating during the kilning stage. Predicting malting quality on whole grain malt is a more reliable alternative to predicting whole grain barley, although there is the added expense of micro-malting the samples. The ability to apply barley and malt calibrations to different generations is an advantage to a barley breeding program that requires thousands of samples to be assessed each year.

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Cognitive Radio Based Spectrum Sharing: Evaluating Channel Availability via Traffic Pattern Prediction

  • Li, Xiukui;Zekavat, Seyed A. (Reza)
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.104-114
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a technique is proposed that enables secondary users to evaluate channel availability in cognitive radio networks. Here, secondary users estimate the utilization of channels via predicting the traffic pattern of primary user, and select a proper channel for radio transmission. The proposed technique reduces the channel switching rate of secondary users (the rate of switching from one channel to another) and the interference on primary users, while maintaining a reasonable call blocking rate of secondary users.