• Title/Summary/Keyword: predicting method

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A Study on the Total Drag Estimation for the Aircraft Conceptual Design (항공기 개념설계를 위한 전체항력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김상진;전권수;이재우
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 1999
  • During the aircraft conceptual design stage, rapid aerodynamic analyses over various configurations are required. Hence, empirical and analytical methods play important roles in predicting the aero-dynamic characteristics. In this study, total drag estimation method based on empirical and analytical approaches is developed. By comparing with the results of the wind tunnel experiment and existing prediction methods, it is demonstrated that the developed method is accurate and useful in predicting total drag for the whole Mach number range.

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Methodology for predicting optimal friction support location to attenuate vibrational energy in piping systems

  • Minseok Lee;Yong Hoon Jang;Seunghun Baek
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.1627-1637
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    • 2024
  • This research paper proposes a novel methodology for predicting the optimal location of friction supports to effectively mitigate vibrational energy in piping systems. The incorporation of friction forces in the dynamic characteristics of the system introduces inherent nonlinearity, making its analysis challenging. Typically, numerical solutions in the time domain are employed to circumvent the complexities associated with finding analytic solutions for nonlinear systems. However, time domain analysis (TDA) can be computationally intensive and demand significant computational resources due to the intricate calculations stemming from nonlinearity. To address this computational burden, this study presents an efficient approach based on linear analysis to predict the ideal position for installing friction supports as a replacement for fixed supports. Furthermore, we investigate the relationship between the installation positions of friction supports and their effectiveness in absorbing vibrations using the harmonic balanced method (HBM). Both methodologies are validated by comparing the obtained results with those obtained through time domain analysis (TDA) using the finite element method (FEM).

Predicting Scour at Bridge Piers

  • Briaud, Jean-Louis
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.3-46
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    • 1999
  • A new method called SRICOS is proposed to predict the scour depth z versus time t around a cylindrical bridge pier of diameter D founded in clay. The steps involved are ; 1. taking samples at the bridge pier site, 2. testing them in an Erosion Function Apparatus called the EFA to obtain the scour rate z versus the hydraulic shear stress applied $\tau$, 3. predicting the maximum shear stress r max which will be induced around the pier by the water flowing at ν Ο before the scour hole starts to develop, 4. using the measured z versus r curve to obtain the initial scour rate zi corresponding to r max , 5. predicting the maximum depth of scour zmax for the pier, 6. using zi and zmarx to develop the hyperbolic function describing the scour depth z versus time t curve, and 7. reading the z vs. t curve at a time corresponding to the duration of the flood to find the scour depth which will develop around the pier. A new apparatus is developed to measure the z vs t curve of step 2, a series of advanced numerical simulations are performed to develop an equation for the $\tau$ max value of step 3, and a series of flume tests are performed to develop an equation for the zmax value of step 5. The method is evaluated by comparing predictions and measurements in 42 flume experiments.

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The statistical two-order and two-scale method for predicting the mechanics parameters of core-shell particle-filled polymer composites

  • Han, Fei;Cui, Junzhi;Yu, Yan
    • Interaction and multiscale mechanics
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.231-250
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    • 2008
  • The statistical two-order and two-scale method is developed for predicting the mechanics parameters, such as stiffness and strength of core-shell particle-filled polymer composites. The representation and simulation on meso-configuration of random particle-filled polymers are stated. And the major statistical two-order and two-scale analysis formulation is briefly given. The two-order and two-scale expressions for the strains and stresses of conventionally strength experimental components, including the tensional or compressive column, the twist bar and the bending beam, are developed by means of their classical solutions with orthogonal-anisotropic coefficients. Then a new effective mesh generation algorithm is presented. The mechanics parameters of core-shell particle-filled polymer composites, including the expected stiffness parameters, minimum stiffness parameters, and the expected elasticity limit strength and the minimum elasticity limit strength, are defined by means of the stiffness coefficients and elasticity strength criterions for core, shell and matrix. Finally, the numerical results for predicting both stiffness and elasticity limit strength parameters are compared with the experimental data.

Current Dynamically Predicting Control of PMSM Targeting the Current Vectors

  • Sun, Hexu;Jing, Kai;Dong, Yan;Zheng, Yi
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1058-1065
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    • 2015
  • This paper present a current predicting control method for PMSM (permanent magnet synchronous motor) to improve the tracking performance of stator current, which regards the current vector as the control target. Solving the model state equation in the static frame (α-β frame), the dynamic change of current vector will be gained as three independent terms. These change terms, which contain the prediction of current vector, are discretized and simplified by Taylor series expansion and used to get the voltage vector as the predictive control quantity. SVPWM will transform the control voltage to the switching signal of inverter, which is newly deduced for the current vector. Simulation and experiment results are given to testy and verify the performance of this method.

Predicting Human Errors in Landing Situations of Aircraft by Using SHERPA (SHERPA기법을 이용한 항공기 착륙상황에서 발생 가능한 인적오류 예측)

  • Choi, Jae-Rim;Han, Hyeok Jae;Ham, Dong-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine probable human errors when landing an airplane by the use of SHERPA(systematic human error reduction and prediction approach) and propose methods for preventing the predictive human errors. It has been reported that human errors are concerned with a lot of accidents or incidents of an airplane. It is significant to predict presumable human errors, particularly in the operation mode of human-automation interaction, and attempt to reduce the likelihood of predicted human error. By referring to task procedures and interviewing domain experts, we analyzed airplane landing task by using HTA(hierarchical task analysis) method. In total, 6 sub-tasks and 19 operations were identified from the task analysis. SHERPA method was used for predicting probable human error types for each task. As a result, we identified 31 human errors and predicted their occurrence probability and criticality. Based on them, we suggested a set of methods for minimizing the probability of the predicted human errors. From this study, it can be said that SHERPA can be effectively used for predicting probable human error types in the context of human-automation interaction needed for navigating an airplane.

The Problems and Improvements of Process to Predict Fire Risk of a Building in Performance Based Design (성능위주설계에서 화재위험성 예측 과정의 문제점 및 개선방안)

  • Lee, Se-Myeoung
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 2014
  • Performance based design(PBD) is the method to make a fire safety design against them after predicting the factors of fire risk in a building. Therefore, predicting fire risk in a building is very important process in PBD. For predicting fire risk of a building, an engineer of PBD must consider various factors such as ignition location, ignition point, ignition source, first ignited item, second ignited item, flash over, the state of door and fire suppression system. But, it is difficult to trust fire safety capacity of the design because the process in Korea' PBD is unprofessional and unreasonable. This paper had surveyed some cases of PBD that had been made in Korea to find the problems of the process to predict fire risk. And it have proposed the improvements of process to predict fire risk of a building.

Nondestructive Sugar Content Measurement in Apple by Nir Spectrum Analysis using Neural Network

  • Lee, S.H.;Noh, S.H.;Kim, W.G.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 1996.06c
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    • pp.325-333
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to develop neural networks of predicting the sugar content of fruits based on the optical densities obtained from a spectrophotometer. Pear, apple and peach were used in investigating the feasbility of the developed neural networks as a nondestructive measurement. A spectrophotometer was used to measure the optical densities of test fruits. The neural networks suggested in this study consisted of multi-layers having one hidden layer and one output layer. The correlation coefficients between the predicted and the measured sugar content for most fruits were high. The neural networks using 2nd derivatives of optical density spectrum produced a better results in predicting the sugar content of fruits. This study contributed to develop a method for nondestructively predicting the sugar content of fruits.

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Hybrid Qualitative Reasoning Approach to Predicting the Expected Performance of the Intellectual Property Rights Management System- KIPONet Case (전자정부 홍보를 위한 ARP(Academic Research Paper) 사례(특허, 조달) 소개)

  • Lee, Kun-Chang
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2007
  • In the previous e-government studies, there was no study in which the ambitious problem of assessing the expected performance of an e-government software when it is adopted in other country. This study was motivated to propose a new method to resolve this research question. With using the KIPONet (Korean Intellectual Property Office Net) as a target e-government software, which has been successfully implemented and operated by the Republic of Korea government since Jan 1999 for the purpose of managing the intellectual property rights (IPRs), we propose a Hybrid Qualitative Reasoning (HQR) approach to predicting the expected performance of the KIPONet. The main recipes of the HQR are that the HQR considers causal relationships existing among both qualitative and quantitative variables of the KIPONet, and that uncertainties embedded in some variables are handled by using Monte Carlo mechanism. The application of the proposed HQR to predicting the expected performance of the KIPONet results in statistically significant outcomes with 95% confidence level.

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Development of a Predicting Program of Vehicle Aerodynamic Drag and Optimization of Shape Parameters (자동차 공력저항 예측 프로그램 개발 및 형상인자의 최적화)

  • 한석영;맹주성;김무상;박재용
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.223-227
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    • 2002
  • Wind tunnel test or CFD is used for predicting aerodynamic drag coefficient in domestic motor companies. But, wind tunnel test requires much cost and time, and CFD has a relatively large error. In this study a predicting program of the aerodynamic drag coefficient based on empirical techniques was developed. Also GRG method was added to the program in order to decide optimal values of some parameters. The program was applied to 24 cars and the aerodynamic drag coefficients were predicted with 4.82% average error. Optimization was also accomplished to 6 cars. Some parameters to be modified were determined (1) to reduce the afterbody drag coefficient to the value established by a designer and (2) to preserve the same drag coefficient as the original automotive when some parameters have to be changed in the viewpoint of design. It was verified that the developed program can predict the aerodynamic drag coefficient appropriately and determine optimal values of some parameters.