• Title/Summary/Keyword: pre-prediction

Search Result 622, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Development of Machine Learning Prediction Models for Wastewater Treatment Plant considering Data Pre-processing (데이터 전처리를 고려한 하수처리장 머신러닝 모델 개발)

  • Kyu Dae Shim;;Chan Soo Park;Dong Kyun Kim;Shin Geol Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.495-495
    • /
    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 하수처리장 운영시스템 자료를 활용하여, 머신러닝 기반의 예측 모델을 개발하고, 모델 정확도 향상에 대하여 검토하였다. 하수처리장에 설치된 각종 센서를 통해 실시간으로 자료가 모니터링되고 있으며, 수집된 자료는 운영시스템에 저장된다. 하수처리장 시스템은 설정된 값과 센서의 측정값을 비교해 이상치가 발생하면 운영자가 즉각적으로 조치하여 문제를 해결하고 있으나, 비정상적인 상황 발생시 이를 대처할 시간이 부족하여 적절한 조치가 이루어지지 못하는 경우가 발생 되고 있다. 따라서, 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 A 하수처리장 운영자료를 활용하여 결과 예측이 신속하고 신뢰도 높은 머신러닝 기반의 예측 모델을 개발하고자 하였다. 모델의 예측 정확도 및 신뢰성을 향상하기 위하여 결과에 영향을 미치는 주요 영향 인자를 분석하고, 이를 기반으로 모델의 추가 분석 및 개선을 수행하여 모델의 예측력을 평가하였다. 금회 연구는 데이터 전처리를 과정을 통한 인사이트를 도출하고 이를 활용하여 하수처리장 운영자료 예측 정확도를 높일 수 있었으며, 이 결과를 바탕으로 다른 하수처리장의 모델 개발시에도 유용하게 활용이 가능할 것으로 검토되었다.

  • PDF

Effect of bolt preloading on rotational stiffness of stainless steel end-plate connections

  • Yuchen Song;Brian Uy
    • Steel and Composite Structures
    • /
    • v.48 no.5
    • /
    • pp.547-564
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study investigates the effect of bolt preloading on the rotational stiffness of stainless steel end-plate connections. An experimental programme incorporating 11 full-scale joint specimens are carried out comparing the behaviours of fully pre-tensioned (PT) and snug-tightened (ST) flush/extended end-plate connections, made of austenitic or lean duplex stainless steels. It is observed from the tests that the presence of bolt preloading leads to a significant increase in the rotational stiffness. A parallel finite element analysis (FEA) validated against the test results demonstrates that the geometric imperfection of end-plate has a strong influence on the moment-rotation response of preloaded end-plate connections, which is crucial to explain the observed "two-stage" behaviour of these connections. Based on the data obtained from the tests and FE parametric study, the performance of the Eurocode 3 predictive model is evaluated, which exhibits a significant deviation in predicting the rotational stiffness of stainless steel end-plate connections. A modified bi-linear model, which incorporates three key properties, is therefore proposed to enable a better prediction. Finally, the effect of bolt preloading is demonstrated at the system (structure) level considering the serviceability of semi-continuous stainless steel beams with end-plate connections.

Analysis and Prediction of Energy Consumption Using Supervised Machine Learning Techniques: A Study of Libyan Electricity Company Data

  • Ashraf Mohammed Abusida;Aybaba Hancerliogullari
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.10-16
    • /
    • 2023
  • The ever-increasing amount of data generated by various industries and systems has led to the development of data mining techniques as a means to extract valuable insights and knowledge from such data. The electrical energy industry is no exception, with the large amounts of data generated by SCADA systems. This study focuses on the analysis of historical data recorded in the SCADA database of the Libyan Electricity Company. The database, spanned from January 1st, 2013, to December 31st, 2022, contains records of daily date and hour, energy production, temperature, humidity, wind speed, and energy consumption levels. The data was pre-processed and analyzed using the WEKA tool and the Apriori algorithm, a supervised machine learning technique. The aim of the study was to extract association rules that would assist decision-makers in making informed decisions with greater efficiency and reduced costs. The results obtained from the study were evaluated in terms of accuracy and production time, and the conclusion of the study shows that the results are promising and encouraging for future use in the Libyan Electricity Company. The study highlights the importance of data mining and the benefits of utilizing machine learning technology in decision-making processes.

Manufacturing Data Preprocessing Method and Product Classification Method using FFT (FFT를 활용한 제조데이터 전처리 및 제품분류)

  • Kim, Han-sol;Jin, Kyo-hong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2021.10a
    • /
    • pp.82-84
    • /
    • 2021
  • Through the smart factory construction project, sensor data such as power, vibration, pressure, and temperature are collected from production facilities, and services such as predictive maintenance, defect prediction, and abnormality detection are developed through data analysis. In general, in the case of manufacturing data, because the imbalance between normal and abnormal data is extreme, an anomaly detection service is preferred. In this paper, FFT method is used to extract feature data of manufacturing data as a pre-stage of the anomaly detection service development. Using this method, we classified the produced products and confirmed results. In other words, after FFT of the representative pattern for each product, we verified whether product classification was possible or not, by calculating correlation coefficient.

  • PDF

Evaluation of jet breakup length with a CFD code under steam generation condition in a pre-flooded cavity

  • Jeong-Hyeon Eom;Gi-Young Tak;In-Sik Ra;Huu Tiep Nguyen;Hae-Yong Jeong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.55 no.7
    • /
    • pp.2498-2503
    • /
    • 2023
  • When the reactor vessel is penetrated in a severe accident of light water reactor, the molten fuel-coolant interaction including the jet breakup occurs and the jet breakup length becomes one of the important parameters. Most numerical studies on jet breakup process have been carried out using dedicated computer codes. Some researchers are trying to apply commercial CFD codes to their investigations on comprehensive jet breakup process. However, the complexity of the phenomena limits the CFD application only to hydrodynamic aspects. In the present study, numerical analysis of jet breakup under vapor generation is pursued using the STAR-CCM + code. The obtained CFD prediction of the MATE09 experiment shows jet breakup progression patterns consistent to the images taken in the experiment. Further, the predicted positions of leading head, which determine the jet breakup length, are in good agreement with the MATE 09 data. The investigation of hydrodynamic effects on the jet breakup with higher jet velocity results in a stronger shear force and earlier jet breakup process even though there exists the vapor pocket around the corium jet. In future studies, the effect of vapor intensity on the jet breakup length would be investigated further by changing other parameters.

Bayesian Theorem-based Prediction of Success in Building Commissioning

  • Park, Borinara
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
    • /
    • 2015.10a
    • /
    • pp.523-526
    • /
    • 2015
  • In recent years, building commissioning has often been part of a standard delivery practice in construction, particularly in the high-performance green building market, to ensure the building is designed and constructed per owner's requirements. Commissioning, therefore, intends to provide quality assurance that buildings perform as intended by the design and often helps achieve energy savings. Commissioning, however, is not as widely adopted as its potential benefits are perceived. Owners are still skeptical of the cost-effectiveness claims by energy management and commissioning professionals. One of the issues in the current commissioning practice is that not every project is guaranteed to benefit from the commissioning services. This, coupled with its added cost, the commissioning service is not acquired with great acceptance and confidence by building owners. To overcome this issue, this paper presents a unique methodology to enhance owner's predicting capability of the degree of success of commissioning service using the Bayesian theorem. The paper analyzes a situation where a future building owner wants to use a pre-commissioning in an attempt to refine the success rate of the future commissioned building performance. The author proposes the Bayesian theorem based framework to improve the current commissioning practice where building owners are not given accurate information how much successful their projects are going to be in terms of energy savings from the commissioning service. What should be provided to the building owners who consider their buildings to be commissioned is that they need some indicators how likely their projects benefit from the commissioning process. Based on this, the owners can make better informed decisions whether or not they acquire a commissioning service.

  • PDF

Development of a Pre-prediction Model for Elevator Maintenance Quality and Evaluation of the Influence of Detailed Quality Factors Using Logistic Regression Analysis (로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 승강기 유지관리품질 사전예측모형 개발 및 세부 품질 인자의 영향력 평가)

  • Kyung-Min Roh;Kwan-Hee Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.46 no.4
    • /
    • pp.133-141
    • /
    • 2023
  • Approximately 40,000 elevators are installed every year in Korea, and they are used as a convenient means of transportation in daily life. However, the continuous increase in elevators has a social problem of increased safety accidents behind the functional aspect of convenience. There is an emerging need to induce preemptive and active elevator safety management by elevator management entities by strengthening the management of poorly managed elevators. Therefore, this study examines domestic research cases related to the evaluation items of the elevator safety quality rating system conducted in previous studies, and develops a statistical model that can examine the effect of elevator maintenance quality as a result of the safety management of the elevator management entity. We review two types: odds ratio analysis and logistic regression analysis models.

Predicting Tree Felling Direction Using Path Distance Back Link in Geographic Information Systems (GIS)

  • Rhyma Purnamasayangsukasih Parman;Mohd Hasmadi, Ismail;Norizah Kamarudin;Nur Faziera Yaakub
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
    • /
    • v.39 no.4
    • /
    • pp.203-212
    • /
    • 2023
  • Directional felling is a felling method practised by the Forestry Department in Peninsular Malaysia as prescribed in Field Work Manual (1997) for Selective Management Systems (SMS) in forest harvesting. Determining the direction of tree felling in Peninsular Malaysia is conducted during the pre-felling inventory 1 to 2 years before the felling operation. This study aimed to predict and analyze the direction of tree felling using the vector-based path distance back link method in Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and compare it with the felling direction observed on the ground. The study area is at Balah Forest Reserve, Kelantan, Peninsular Malaysia. A Path Distance Back Link (spatial analyst) function in ArcGIS Pro 3.0 was used in predicting tree felling direction. Meanwhile, a binary classification was used to compare the felling direction estimated using GIS and the tree felling direction observed on the ground. Results revealed that 61.3% of 31 trees predicted using the vector-based projection method were similar to the felling direction observed on the ground. It is important to note that dynamic changes of natural constraints might occur in the middle of tree felling operation, such as weather problems, wind speed, and unpredicted tree falling direction.

Quantitative analysis and validation of naproxen tablets by using transmission raman spectroscopy

  • Jaejin Kim;Janghee Han;Young-Chul Lee;Young-Ah Woo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.37 no.2
    • /
    • pp.114-122
    • /
    • 2024
  • A transmission Raman spectroscopy-based quantitative model, which can analyze the content of a drug product containing naproxen sodium as its active pharmaceutical ingredient (API), was developed. Compared with the existing analytical method, i.e., high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC), Raman spectroscopy exhibits high test efficiency owing to its shorter sample pre-treatment and measurement time. Raman spectroscopy is environmentally friendly since samples can be tested rapidly via a nondestructive method without sample preparation using solvent. Through this analysis method, rapid on-site analysis was possible and it could prevent the production of defective tablets with potency problems. The developed method was applied to the assays of the naproxen sodium of coated tablets that were manufactured in commercial scale and the content of naproxen sodium was accurately predicted by Raman spectroscopy and compared with the reference analytical method such as HPLC. The method validation of the new approach was also performed. Further, the specificity, linearity, accuracy, precision, and robustness tests were conducted, and all the results were within the criteria. The standard error of cross-validation and standard error of prediction values were determined as 0.949 % and 0.724 %, respectively.

An Image-based Ship Attitude Estimation Method for Helicopter Landing (회전익 항공기의 착함을 위한 이미지 기반 함정 자세 예측)

  • Geonha Park;Sunghoon Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.677-683
    • /
    • 2024
  • Landing a helicopter on a moving ship requires accounting for the ship's attitude. However, it is not only challenging to visually assess the ship's attitude, but it also creates illusions for the pilot, increasing the risk of accidents. In this study, we propose an image-based ship attitude estimation method to assist helicopter landings. The proposed method enhances landing safety by predicting the ship's heave, pitch, and roll using only helicopter-mounted optical devices and pre-trained deep learning models, without requiring communication with the ship. To implement this approach, we generated a dataset by simulating a virtual sea environment and ship motion. Using this data, we trained deep learning models to predict the ship's attitude based solely on images. Experimental results confirm the feasibility of the proposed method, with VGG-16 demonstrating particularly effective attitude prediction under simulated conditions.