• 제목/요약/키워드: pre-management of risk

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Uncertainty Factors affecting Bid Price from Pre-bid Clarification Document of Transport Construction Projects

  • Jang, YeEun;Kim, HaYoung;Yi, June-Seong;Lee, Bum-Sik
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.238-244
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    • 2022
  • Civil projects are associated with many uncertainties because they involve a long duration, many resources, a large area, and many supply chains. Therefore, the price of a civil project is not simply proportional to the quantity and unit price of the item but has a variable value, including uncertainty risk. This study investigates the influence of the uncertainty factors in the pre-bid clarification document on bid price formation during the project bidding phase. To this end, civil projects from the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) were used as research data. This study randomly selected fifty sample data from each of twelve counties from 2008-to 2020: six hundred. The authors observed that each project sample had 0 to n query cases due to uncertainty. Then, this study examined the project uncertainty cases and categorized them into the following four uncertainty factors: 'conflict' (UF1), 'impossibility' (UF2), 'lack' (UF3), and 'missing' (UF4). Under the extracting process, the cases are classified into four uncertainty factors. With the project not containing any uncertainty factors as a control group, the project containing these uncertainty factors was designated as an experimental group. After comparing the bidder's price, the experimental group's bid price was higher than the control group's. This result suggests that uncertainty factors in bid documents induce bidders to set a high bid price as a defense against uncertainty.

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재난 후 생활변화가 외상 후 스트레스 장애에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Life Changes on Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder after Disasters)

  • 임혜선;심경옥
    • 스트레스연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 2012년부터 2015년까지 자연재난 피해자 1,182명의 자료를 활용하여 재난피해자의 외상 후 스트레스 증상을 예측하기위해 수행되었다. 연구결과는 아래와 같다. 첫번째, t-test 분석결과 PTSD군과 비PTSD군은 대인관계 만족, 대인관계 신뢰, 불안, 우울, 주관적 웰빙에서 통계적으로 유의미한 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 두번째, 로지스틱 회귀분석결과 재난 PTSD발병에 영향을 미치는 요인은 재난 전 정신건강 문제, 트라우마 경험, 재난당시 인명피해 경험, 재난 후 자산감소, 경제적 어려움, 대인관계 신뢰 및 만족으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 재난피해자의 PTSD에 영향을 미치는 요인을 확인하여 PTSD예방을 위한 심리사회적 중재프로그램 개발에 기초자료로 활용할 수 있다는데 의의가 있다.

잠재계층분석을 활용한 결혼이주여성의 건강관련행동 군집유형과 영향요인 (Health related behavior patterns and associated factors among marriage immigrant women using latent class analysis)

  • 조원섭;유승현;김혜경
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: This paper aims to identify the health related behaviors patterns and its associated factors among marriage immigrant women in Korea, and discusses their application to health promotion strategies. Methods: The study participants were 7,591 immigrant wives in Gyeonggi province who participated in health examinations conducted by the Korea Association of Health Promotion in 2011-2013. The participants completed self-administered questionnaires on sociodemographics, psychological characteristics, health status and health care factors, and health related behaviors. Results: A 3-latent-class model of health behaviors was identified related to 'lack of physical activity', 'abnormal diet', and 'not experienced medical check-up': 'high risk class', 'middle risk class', and 'low risk class'. Most of the participants belong to 'middle risk class'. Country of origin, age, length of stay, number of children, work status, health insurance status, and unmet health care needs were associated with problematic health behaviors in middle risk health behavior class. Conclusions: Health promotion and intervention programs for marriage immigrant women and their family members need to consider the health behavior patterns of physical inactivity, abnormal diet and no medical check-up and develop multiple behavior intervention with pre-existing program modification.

BIM 기반 위험요소 도출을 통한 정량적 위험성 평가 모델 개발 - 떨어짐 사고를 중심으로 - (Development of A Quantitative Risk Assessment Model by BIM-based Risk Factor Extraction - Focusing on Falling Accidents -)

  • 고휘재;현지훈;이주희;안요섭
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2022
  • 건설산업의 중대재해 발생률 및 사망률이 가장 높아짐에 따라 이를 감축하기 위해 국내에서도 다양한 노력을 기울이고 있다. 그 중 위험성 평가는 시공단계 위험요소를 평가하고 재해 감소대책을 위한 자료로 활용되고 있다. 그러나 기존의 위험성 평가는 수행자의 주관이 개입되며 국내 건설현장에 취약한 측면이 있다. 본 연구는 위험성 평가 분야에 BIM을 활용하여 정량적으로 위험요소를 도출함으로써 리스크를 조기 식별하고 사전제거하는 것을 목표로 위험성 평가를 위한 DB 분류체계를 구축하였으며 BIM을 활용한 위험성 평가의 방법론을 제시한다. 이를 통해 리스크의 사전 제거로 시공 작업자의 안전성을 증대시키고 안전관리 분야의 추가비용을 절감한다. 또한, 신규 공법에도 적용 가능하므로 프로젝트 참여자들의 이해도를 높이며 의사소통의 도구가 된다. 본 연구는 BIM을 기반으로 정량적인 위험도를 도출하는 프레임워크를 제안하는 연구로써, 향후 BIM을 활용한 위험성 평가 분야에 기반 기술로 활용될 것이다.

사상체질에 따른 생활습관이 대사증후군 및 위험군에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Life Style on Metabolic Syndrome Stage according to the Sasang Constitution)

  • 김지영;이시우;백영화
    • 사상체질의학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.232-241
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    • 2017
  • Objectives This study was to identify the lifestyle associated with metabolic syndrome and to suggest a personalized health management according to the constitution to prevent disease by metabolic syndrome stage. Methods This study used the data of Korean medicine Data Center (KDC). A total of 8,985 data were searched for subjects who participated in Anseong and Ansan cohorts study from 2009 to 2012. We analyzed 2,602 participants that diagnosed with metabolic syndrome among the ages of 30 to 55. We divided into three groups, none, pre-metabolic syndrome (Pre-MetS), and metabolic syndrome (MetS), according to number of metabolic syndrome elements. Results The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was highest in Taeumin (Pre-MetS: 48.2%, MetS: 41.2%). The risk factors for metabolic syndrome are dietary amount, speed of eating, and sleep quality in Taeumin, and dietary amount and sleep quality in Soyangin. Conclusions The life style affecting the metabolic syndrome were different according to the constitution. It is necessary to manage life style considering the Sasang constitution

A Study on Intention to Adopt Digital Payment Systems in India: Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic

  • Kavita Jain;Rupal Chowdhary
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.76-101
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    • 2021
  • Digitalization and digital transformations have metamorphized the face of Financial Inclusion globally, more so, in cash obsessed economies like India. The purpose of our study is to empirically analyze the users' intention to adopt digital payment systems, post Demonetisation, during the COVID-19 pandemic in India. The conceptual framework for the study is based on the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) adoption model with added operationalized constructs of Perceived Risk and Stickiness to use Cash. A total of 326 respondents were surveyed using a pre-tested questionnaire during the Nationwide Lockdown 3.0 in India. These responses were analyzed using Partial Least Squares - Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM) technique. The findings of the study revealed that performance expectancy and facilitating conditions directly influence the intention of individuals to use digital payment systems, whereas the effect of perceived ease of use on digital payment systems is mediated through the attitude towards the digital payment systems during COVID-19 pandemic situation. Implications of the proposed adoption model are discussed. This will enable the other developing economies to formulate a digital ecosystem, that is here to stay even after the pandemic.

3차원 벡터 시각화를 활용한 효과적인 위험 수준 평가 (Effective Risk Level Assessment Using Three-Dimensional Vector Visualization)

  • 이주영;조인현;이재희;이경호
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1595-1606
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    • 2015
  • 위험분석은 위험을 허용 가능한 수준으로 관리하기 위한 방안을 수립하는 데 활용된다. 이러한 위험관리 의사결정에 있어서 위험의 시각화는 중요하다. 그러나 기존의 위험 시각화 방식은 위험의 요소들을 고려하여 입체적으로 위험을 시각화하는 데 있어서 한계를 지닌다. 본 논문에서는 기밀성, 무결성, 가용성 측면에서 개별적 혹은 종합적으로 위험을 표현할 수 있는 개선된 위험도 3차원 시각화 방법을 제시한다. 제안된 방법을 기업의 위험분석 평가에 적용하여 유효성을 검증한다. 제안된 시각화 방법은 내부통제를 위한 정보보호 의사결정 과정에 효과적으로 활용될 수 있다.

비만관리 영양교육 프로그램의 비만도와 건강위험 감소 효과 (Effect of obesity management nutritional education program on weight control & health risk reduction in pre-menopausal women)

  • 구선영;김상연;김인혜;박민정;장유경
    • 대한지역사회영양학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한지역사회영양학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 및 비만ㆍ다이어트 박람회
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    • pp.119-119
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    • 2003
  • 최근 체형에 대한 인식의 변화로 국내에서는 체중조절이 사회적인 문제로 다루어질 만큼 커다란 관심의 대상이 되고 있으며, 체중조절을 시도하는 사람들도 급속히 증가하고 있다. 이에 저열량식단과 특수영양식품 등을 이용한 다양한 형태의 비만관리프로그램과 영양교육프로그램이 등장하면서 이들 프로그램의 체중감량효과에 대한 연구가 활발하게 진행되어져 오고 있다. (중략)

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Characteristics of Women Who Have Had Cosmetic Breast Implants That Could Be Associated with Increased Suicide Risk: A Systematic Review, Proposing a Suicide Prevention Model

  • Manoloudakis, Nikolaos;Labiris, Georgios;Karakitsou, Nefeli;Kim, Jong B.;Sheena, Yezen;Niakas, Dimitrios
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2015
  • Literature indicates an increased risk of suicide among women who have had cosmetic breast implants. An explanatory model for this association has not been established. Some studies conclude that women with cosmetic breast implants demonstrate some characteristics that are associated with increased suicide risk while others support that the breast augmentation protects from suicide. A systematic review including data collection from January 1961 up to February 2014 was conducted. The results were incorporated to pre-existing suicide risk models of the general population. A modified suicide risk model was created for the female cosmetic augmentation mammaplasty candidate. A 2-3 times increased suicide risk among women that undergo cosmetic breast augmentation has been identified. Breast augmentation patients show some characteristics that are associated with increased suicide risk. The majority of women reported high postoperative satisfaction. Recent research indicates that the Autoimmune syndrome induced by adjuvants and fibromyalgia syndrome are associated with silicone implantation. A thorough surgical, medical and psycho-social (psychiatric, family, reproductive, and occupational) history should be included in the preoperative assessment of women seeking to undergo cosmetic breast augmentation. Breast augmentation surgery can stimulate a systematic stress response and increase the risk of suicide. Each risk factor of suicide has poor predictive value when considered independently and can result in prediction errors. A clinical management model has been proposed considering the overlapping risk factors of women that undergo cosmetic breast augmentation with suicide.

Utilization of deep learning-based metamodel for probabilistic seismic damage analysis of railway bridges considering the geometric variation

  • Xi Song;Chunhee Cho;Joonam Park
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.469-479
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    • 2023
  • A probabilistic seismic damage analysis is an essential procedure to identify seismically vulnerable structures, prioritize the seismic retrofit, and ultimately minimize the overall seismic risk. To assess the seismic risk of multiple structures within a region, a large number of nonlinear time-history structural analyses must be conducted and studied. As a result, each assessment requires high computing resources. To overcome this limitation, we explore a deep learning-based metamodel to enable the prediction of the mean and the standard deviation of the seismic damage distribution of track-on steel-plate girder railway bridges in Korea considering the geometric variation. For machine learning training, nonlinear dynamic time-history analyses are performed to generate 800 high-fidelity datasets on the seismic response. Through intensive trial and error, the study is concentrated on developing an optimal machine learning architecture with the pre-identified variables of the physical configuration of the bridge. Additionally, the prediction performance of the proposed method is compared with a previous, well-defined, response surface model. Finally, the statistical testing results indicate that the overall performance of the deep-learning model is improved compared to the response surface model, as its errors are reduced by as much as 61%. In conclusion, the model proposed in this study can be effectively deployed for the seismic fragility and risk assessment of a region with a large number of structures.