• 제목/요약/키워드: power prediction

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Comparison of Intraocular Lens Power Calculation Methods Following Myopic Laser Refractive Surgery: New Options Using a Rotating Scheimpflug Camera

  • Cho, Kyuyeon;Lim, Dong Hui;Yang, Chan-min;Chung, Eui-Sang;Chung, Tae-Young
    • Korean Journal of Ophthalmology
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.497-505
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: To evaluate and compare published methods of calculating intraocular lens (IOL) power following myopic laser refractive surgery. Methods: We performed a retrospective review of the medical records of 69 patients (69 eyes) who had undergone myopic laser refractive surgery previously and subsequently underwent cataract surgery at Samsung Medical Center in Seoul, South Korea from January 2010 to June 2016. None of the patients had pre-refractive surgery biometric data available. The Haigis-L, Shammas, Barrett True-K (no history), Wang-Koch-Maloney, Scheimpflug total corneal refractive power (TCRP) 3 and 4 mm (SRK-T and Haigis), Scheimpflug true net power, and Scheimpflug true refractive power (TRP) 3 mm, 4 mm, and 5 mm (SRK-T and Haigis) methods were employed. IOL power required for target refraction was back-calculated using stable post-cataract surgery manifest refraction, and implanted IOL power and formula accuracy were subsequently compared among calculation methods. Results: Haigis-L, Shammas, Barrett True-K (no history), Wang-Koch-Maloney, Scheimpflug TCRP 4 mm (Haigis), Scheimpflug true net power 4 mm (Haigis), and Scheimpflug TRP 4 mm (Haigis) formulae showed high predictability, with mean arithmetic prediction errors and standard deviations of $-0.25{\pm}0.59$, $-0.05{\pm}1.19$, $0.00{\pm}0.88$, $-0.26{\pm}1.17$, $0.00{\pm}1.09$, $-0.71{\pm}1.20$, and $0.03{\pm}1.25$ diopters, respectively. Conclusions: Visual outcomes within 1.0 diopter of target refraction were achieved in 85% of eyes using the calculation methods listed above. Haigis-L, Barrett True-K (no history), and Scheimpflug TCRP 4 mm (Haigis) and TRP 4 mm (Haigis) methods showed comparably low prediction errors, despite the absence of historical patient information.

조건적 제한된 볼츠만머신을 이용한 중기 전력 수요 예측 (Mid-Term Energy Demand Forecasting Using Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine)

  • 김수현;선영규;이동구;심이삭;황유민;김현수;김형석;김진영
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2019
  • 미래에 스마트 그리드 도입을 위해 전력수요예측은 중요한 연구 분야 중 하나이다. 하지만 전력데이터는 많은 외부적 요소들에 영향을 받기 때문에 예측하기 어렵다. 기존의 전력수요예측 방법들은 가공되지 않은 전력데이터를 그대로 이용하기 때문에 정확도 높은 예측을 하는데 한계가 있어왔다. 본 논문에서는 가공되지 않은 전력데이터를 이용하는 전력수요예측의 문제를 해결하기 위해 확률기반 학습알고리즘을 제안한다. 확률 모델은 전력데이터의 확률적 특성을 분석하기에 적합하다. 제안한 모델의 중기 전력수요예측 성능을 비교하기 위해 신경망 네트워크 중 하나인 순환신경망과 성능 비교를 해보았다. 매사추세츠 대학에서 제공한 전력데이터를 이용하여 성능 비교를 한 결과 본 논문에서 제안한 확률기반 학습알고리즘이 중기 수요예측에 더 좋은 성능을 나타냄을 확인하였다.

고주파 가열 장비를 활용한 터빈로터 휨 교정수식모델 개발 (Development of Turbine Rotor Bending Straightening Numerical Model using the High Frequency Heating Equipment)

  • 박준수;현중섭;박현구;박광하
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.269-275
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    • 2021
  • The turbine rotor, one of the main facilities in a power plant, it generates electricity while rotating at 3600 RPM. Because it rotates at high speed, it requires careful management because high vibration occurs even if it is deformed by only 0.1mm. However, bending occurs due to various causes during turbine operating. If turbine rotor bending occurs, the power plant must be stopped and repaired. In the past, straightening was carried out using a heating torch and furnace in the field. In case of straightening in this way, it is impossible to proceed systematically, so damage to the turbine rotor may occur and take long period for maintenance. Long maintenance period causes excessive cost, so it is necessary to straighten the rotor by minimizing damage to the rotor in a short period of time. To solve this problem, we developed a turbine rotor straightening equipment using high-frequency induction heating equipment. A straightening was validated for 500MW HIP rotor, and the optimal parameters for straightening were selected. In addition, based on the experimental results, finite element analysis was performed to build a database. Using the database, a straightening amount prediction model available for rotor straightening was developed. Using the developed straightening equipment and straightening prediction model, it is possible to straightening the rotor with minimized damage to the rotor in a short period of time.

이산요소법-다물체동역학 연성해석 모델을 활용한 로타리 경운작업 시 표면 에너지에 따른 PTO 소요동력 예측 (Prediction of PTO Power Requirements according to Surface energy during Rotary Tillage using DEM-MBD Coupling Model)

  • 배보민;정대위;안장현;최세오;이상현;성시원;김연수;김용주
    • 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we predicted PTO power requirements based on torque predicted by the discrete element method and the multi-body dynamics coupling method. Six different scenarios were simulated to predict PTO power requirements in different soil conditions. The first scenario was a tillage operation on cohesionless soil, and the field was modeled using the Hertz-Mindlin contact model. In the second through sixth scenarios, tillage operations were performed on viscous soils, and the field was represented by the Hertz-Mindlin + JKR model for cohesion. To check the influence of surface energy, a parameter to reproduce cohesion, on the power requirement, a simple regression analysis was performed. The significance and appropriateness of the regression model were checked and found to be acceptable. The study findings are expected to be used in design optimization studies of agricultural machinery by predicting power requirements using the discrete element method and the multi-body dynamics coupling method and analyzing the effect of soil cohesion on the power requirement.

시계열 모형을 이용한 단기 풍력 단지 출력 지역 통합 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Centralized Wind Power Forecasting Based on Time Series Models)

  • 위영민;이재희
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제65권6호
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    • pp.918-922
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    • 2016
  • As the number of wind farms operating has increased, the interest of the central unit commitment and dispatch for wind power has increased as well. Wind power forecast is necessary for effective power system management and operation with high wind power penetrations. This paper presents the centralized wind power forecasting method, which is a forecast to combine all wind farms in the area into one, using time series models. Also, this paper proposes a prediction model modified with wind forecast error compensation. To demonstrate the improvement of wind power forecasting accuracy, the proposed method is compared with persistence model and new reference model which are commonly used as reference in wind power forecasting using Jeju Island data. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed wind power forecasting method.

센서 네트워크에서 기계학습을 사용한 잔류 전력 추정 방안 (A Residual Power Estimation Scheme Using Machine Learning in Wireless Sensor Networks)

  • 배시규
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2021
  • As IoT(Internet Of Things) devices like a smart sensor have constrained power sources, a power strategy is critical in WSN(Wireless Sensor Networks). Therefore, it is necessary to figure out the residual power of each sensor node for managing power strategies in WSN, which, however, requires additional data transmission, leading to more power consumption. In this paper, a residual power estimation method was proposed, which uses ignorantly small amount of power consumption in the resource-constrained wireless networks including WSN. A residual power prediction is possible with the least data transmission by using Machine Learning method with some training data in this proposal. The performance of the proposed scheme was evaluated by machine learning method, simulation, and analysis.

외식프랜차이즈기업 부실예측모형 예측력 평가 (Evaluating Distress Prediction Models for Food Service Franchise Industry)

  • 김시중
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권11호
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was evaluated to compare the predictive power of distress prediction models by using discriminant analysis method and logit analysis method for food service franchise industry in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: Forty-six food service franchise industry with high sales volume in the 2017 were selected as the sample food service franchise industry for analysis. The fourteen financial ratios for analysis were calculated from the data in the 2017 statement of financial position and income statement of forty-six food service franchise industry in Korea. The fourteen financial ratios were used as sample data and analyzed by t-test. As a result seven statistically significant independent variables were chosen. The analysis method of the distress prediction model was performed by logit analysis and multiple discriminant analysis. Results: The difference between the average value of fourteen financial ratios of forty-six food service franchise industry was tested through t-test in order to extract variables that are classified as top-leveled and failure food service franchise industry among the financial ratios. As a result of the univariate test appears that the variables which differentiate the top-leveled food service franchise industry to failure food service industry are income to stockholders' equity, operating income to sales, current ratio, net income to assets, cash flows from operating activities, growth rate of operating income, and total assets turnover. The statistical significances of the seven financial ratio independent variables were also confirmed by logit analysis and discriminant analysis. Conclusions: The analysis results of the prediction accuracy of each distress prediction model in this study showed that the forecast accuracy of the prediction model by the discriminant analysis method was 84.8% and 89.1% by the logit analysis method, indicating that the logit analysis method has higher distress predictability than the discriminant analysis method. Comparing the previous distress prediction capability, which ranges from 75% to 85% by discriminant analysis and logit analysis, this study's prediction capacity, which is 84.8% in the discriminant analysis, and 89.1% in logit analysis, is found to belong to the range of previous study's prediction capacity range and is considered high number.

제어 시지연이 있는 고성능 PI 전류제어기에 대한 예측전류의 적용방법 (A Novel Utilization Method of the Predicted Current in the High Performance PI Current Controller with a Control time delay)

  • 이진우
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.426-430
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 제어 시지연을 갖는 고성능 PI 전류제어기에 대한 새로운 예측전류 적용방법을 모색한다. 먼저 선형 영구자석 동기전동기를 사용한 선형 서보 제어시스템에 존재하는 불가피한 전류예측 오차원인을 분석하고, 전류예측 오차와 제어 시지연을 고려한 전류제어 성능 개선 방법으로 수정된 동기좌표계 비간섭 PI 전류제어기를 제안한다. 그리고 시뮬레이션 및 실험 결과를 통하여 제안된 전류제어기가 서보 제어시스템에 존재하는 전류예측 오차와 제어 시지연이 있는 경우에도 개선된 전류제어응답을 보임을 검증하였다.

오차항과 러닝 기법을 활용한 예측진단 시스템 개선 방안 연구 (A Study on the Prediction Diagnosis System Improvement by Error Terms and Learning Methodologies Application)

  • 김명준;박영호;김태규;정재석
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.783-793
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to apply the machine and deep learning methodology on error terms which are continuously auto-generated on the sensors with specific time period and prove the improvement effects of power generator prediction diagnosis system by comparing detection ability. Methods: The SVM(Support Vector Machine) and MLP(Multi Layer Perception) learning procedures were applied for predicting the target values and sequentially producing the error terms for confirming the detection improvement effects of suggested application. For checking the effectiveness of suggested procedures, several detection methodologies such as Cusum and EWMA were used for the comparison. Results: The statistical analysis result shows that without noticing the sequential trivial changes on current diagnosis system, suggested approach based on the error term diagnosis is sensing the changes in the very early stages. Conclusion: Using pattern of error terms as a diagnosis tool for the safety control process with SVM and MLP learning procedure, unusual symptoms could be detected earlier than current prediction system. By combining the suggested error term management methodology with current process seems to be meaningful for sustainable safety condition by early detecting the symptoms.

신선한 쓰레기 매립지의 장기 침하 예측에 대한 분해효과 평가 (Evaluation of Decomposition Effect in Long-term Settlement Prediction of Fresh Refuse Landfill)

  • 박현일;이승래
    • 한국지반공학회지:지반
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.127-138
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    • 1998
  • 신선한 쓰레기 매립지에서는 쓰레기에 포함되어 있는 유기물의 분해로 인하여 장기간에 걸쳐 상당한 양의 침하가 유발되는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 연구에서는 여러 신선한 쓰레기 매립지들의 침하자료에 대하여 기존에 제안된 몇몇 침하모델들을 적용하였으며. 얻어진 침하예측곡선과 장기침하량을 분석함으로써 분해로 의한 침하양상이 장기침하량 예측에 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다. 사용된 모델과는 상관없이 선정된 모델변수 값들이 분해효과를 포함하지 않는 한 장기침하를 적절히 평가할 수 없었다. 몇몇 예측방법 가운데 Gibson & Lo 모델과 쌍곡선 모델은 쓰레기 매립지의 장기침하 거동특성을 비교적 타당성 있게 예측한 반면에 power creep law는 상당히 과다예측하는 것으로 나타났다.

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