• Title/Summary/Keyword: power estimates

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Scenario Analysis of Low-Carbon Generation Mix Considering Social Costs (사회적 비용을 고려한 저탄소 전원구성의 시나리오 분석)

  • Park, Jong-Bae;Cho, Young-Tak;Roh, Jae Hyung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2018
  • This study organizes scenarios on the power supply and demand plans considering the uncertainties and the portion of distributed energy resources. In analysing the scenarios, it estimates total electricity supply cost in the social aspect, natural gas demand and air pollutants emission including carbon dioxide. Also the analysis is performed to estimate the marginal cost of carbon dioxide reduction for the fuel switching from coal to liquified natural gas. In result, the social cost could be decreased by replacing some portion of renewable energy by LNG-based combined heat and power and delaying the construction of large base-load generators such as coal and nuclear plants. The marginal carbon dioxide reduction cost by fuel switching is in plausible range for fuel switching to be an option for carbon dioxide emission reduction when the social cost is considered.

Receive Diversity for OFDM Systems with Cochannel Interference (동일 채널 간섭을 고려한 OFDM 시스템의 수신 다이버시티 기법)

  • Seo Bo-Seok
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2 s.31
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose a receive diversity method for orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) systems with cochannel interference. In the method, combining is done in the frequency domain by using the subcarrier based maximum ratio combining (MRC) method. For MRC, we exploit the power of cochannel interference as well as the power of channel noise. The accuracy of the power estimate of interference plus noise is enhanced by averaging the initial estimates over the correlated subchannels where the coherency between the subchannel gains comes from the limited delay spread of the channel. Simulation results show that the proposed method yields 2-3.5dB gain of signal to noise ratio compared to the conventional MRC method and less than 1 dB difference to the ideal case.

An Iterative Technique for Real-Time Tracking of Power System Harmonics

  • Sidhu, T.S.;Zadeh, M.R.D.;Pooranalingam, P.J.;Oh, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.319-327
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    • 2011
  • An iterative technique based on orthogonal filters and frequency tracking is proposed to estimate harmonic components in power systems. The technique uses frequency interpolation to estimate fundamental frequency and harmonics when the nominal frequency of the signal is a non-integer value. Due to the number of computations involved during the generation of filter coefficients, an offline computation is suggested. Beneficial features of the proposed technique include fixed sampling rate and fixed data window size. The performance of the proposed technique is examined by simulating different power system operating conditions and evaluating the data from these simulations. A technique based on Fast Fourier Transform is also used to estimate the harmonic components for all the simulated signals. These estimates are compared with those obtained from the proposed technique. Results show that the proposed technique can converge to the accurate fundamental frequency and therefore, provide accurate harmonic components even when the fundamental frequency is not equal to the nominal frequency.

Scenario Analysis of Natural Gas Demand for Electricity Generation in Korea (전력수급기본계획의 불확실성과 CO2 배출 목표를 고려한 발전용 천연가스 장기전망과 대책)

  • Park, Jong-Bae;Roh, Jea Hyung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.63 no.11
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    • pp.1503-1510
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    • 2014
  • This study organizes scenarios on the power supply plans and electricity load forecasts considering their uncertainties and estimates natural gas quantity for electricity generation, total electricity supply cost and air pollutant emission of each scenario. Also the analysis is performed to check the properness of government's natural gas demand forecast and the possibility of achieving the government's CO2 emission target with the current plan and other scenarios. In result, no scenario satisfies the government's CO2 emission target and the natural gas demand could be doubled to the government's forecast. As under-forecast of natural gas demand has caused the increased natural gas procurement cost, it is required to consider uncertainties of power plant construction plan and electricity demand forecast in forecasting the natural gas demand. In addition, it is found that CO2 emission target could be achieved by enlarging natural gas use and demand-side management without big increase of total costs.

Effect of Outdated Channel Estimates on Multiple Antennas Multiple Relaying Networks

  • Wang, Lei;Cai, Yueming;Yang, Weiwei;Yan, Wei;Song, Jialei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1682-1701
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose an intergraded unified imperfect CSI model and investigate the joined effects of feedback delay and channel estimation errors (CEE) for two-hop relaying systems with transmit beamforming and relay selection. We derived closed-form expressions for important performance measures including the exact analysis and lower bounds of outage probability as well as error performance. The ergodic capacity is also included with closed-form results. Furthermore, diversity and coding gains based on the asymptotic analysis at high SNRs are also presented, which are simple and concise and provide new analytical insights into the corresponding power allocation scheme. The analysis indicates that delay effect results in the coding gain loss and the diversity order loss, while CEE will merely cause the coding gain loss. Numerical results verify the theoretical analysis and illustrate the system is more sensitive to transmit beamforming delay compared with relay selection delay and also verify the superiority of optimum power allocation. We further investigate the outage loss due to the CEE and feedback delays, which indicates that the effect of the CEE is more influential at low-to-medium SNR, and then it will hand over the dominate role to the feedback delay.

Analysis of Cost Estimate Method Based on Engineering 3D Model for Nuclear Power Plant Construction Project (엔지니어링 3D모델 기반 원전 건설사업비 산정방안 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.294-295
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    • 2018
  • Nowadays, the construction industry utilizes 3D models in the designing process, on which research is being conducted to establish an automated system for project cost estimation in connection with information related to construction such as material unit costs and wages, beyond the level of design interference review and construction quantity estimation. In this process, the project cost is estimated in connection with unit price data after takeoff the quantity based on the 3D model attributes and data types. A way to reduce cost and risk would be first developing prototypes of some of essential buildings and works, comparing and validating the outcomes, and then extending to the whole scope, because estimates differ on the basis of the scope and level of 3D design models as well as the data accuracy. This study analyzes case studies of project cost estimation by computing the quantity on the basis of 3D model in the construction industry and explores methodologies and management measures applicable for estimating nuclear power plant construction project costs.

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Development of Variable Duty Cycle Control Method for Air Conditioner using Artificial Neural Networks (신경회로망을 이용한 에어컨의 가변주기제어 방법론 개발)

  • Kim, Hyeong-Jung;Doo, Seog-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin;Park, Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.10
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    • pp.399-409
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a novel method for satisfying the thermal comfort of indoor environment and reducing the summer peak demand power by minimizing the power consumption for an Air-conditioner within a space. Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) use the fixed duty cycle control method regardless of the indoor thermal environment. However, this method has disadvantages that energy saving depends on the set-point value of the Air-Conditioner and direct load control (DLC) has no net effects on Air-conditioners if the appliance has a lower operating cycle than the fixed duty cycle. In this paper, the variable duty cycle control method is proposed in order to compensate the weakness of conventional fixed duty cycle control method and improve the satisfaction of residents and the reduction of peak demand. The proposed method estimates the predict mean vote (PMV) at the next step with predicted temperature and humidity using the back propagation neural network model. It is possible to reduce the energy consumption by maintaining the Air-conditioner's OFF state when the PMV lies in the thermal comfort range. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed variable duty cycle control method, the case study is performed using the historical data on Sep. 7th, 2001 acquired at a classroom in Seoul and the obtained results are compared with the fixed duty cycle control method.

Optimal Bidding Strategy of Competitive Generators under Price Based Pool (PBP(Price Based Pool) 발전경쟁시장에서의 최적입찰전략수립)

  • Kang, Dong-Joo;Moon, Young-Hwan;Oh, Tae-Kyoo;Kim, Bal-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.57-59
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    • 2001
  • The restructuring of power industry is still going on all over the world for last several decades. Many kinds of restructuring model has been studied, proposed, and applied. Among those models, power pool is more popular than others. This paper assumes the power pool market structure having competitive generation sector and a new method is presented to build bidding strategy in that market. The utilities participating in the market have the perfect information on their cost and price functions, but they don't know the strategy to be chosen by others. To define one's strategy as a vector, we make utility's cost/price function into discrete step function. An utility knows only his own strategy, so he estimates the other's strategy using stochastic methods. For considering these conditions, we introduce the Bayesian rules and noncooperative game theory concepts. Also additional assumptions are included for simplification of solving process. Each utility builds the strategy to maximize his own expected profit function using noncooperative Bayesian game. A numerical example is given in case study to show essential features of this approach.

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A new extended alpha power transformed family of distributions: properties, characterizations and an application to a data set in the insurance sciences

  • Ahmad, Zubair;Mahmoudi, Eisa;Hamedani, G.G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2021
  • Heavy tailed distributions are useful for modeling actuarial and financial risk management problems. Actuaries often search for finding distributions that provide the best fit to heavy tailed data sets. In the present work, we introduce a new class of heavy tailed distributions of a special sub-model of the proposed family, called a new extended alpha power transformed Weibull distribution, useful for modeling heavy tailed data sets. Mathematical properties along with certain characterizations of the proposed distribution are presented. Maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters are obtained. A simulation study is provided to evaluate the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators. Actuarial measures such as Value at Risk and Tail Value at Risk are also calculated. Further, a simulation study based on the actuarial measures is done. Finally, an application of the proposed model to a heavy tailed data set is presented. The proposed distribution is compared with some well-known (i) two-parameter models, (ii) three-parameter models and (iii) four-parameter models.

A Probabilistic Combination Method of Minimum Statistics and Soft Decision for Robust Noise Power Estimation in Speech Enhancement (강인한 음성향상을 위한 Minimum Statistics와 Soft Decision의 확률적 결합의 새로운 잡음전력 추정기법)

  • Park, Yun-Sik;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a new approach to noise estimation to improve speech enhancement in non-stationary noisy environments. The proposed method combines the two separate noise power estimates provided by the minimum statistics (MS) for speech presence and soft decision (SD) for speech absence in accordance with SAP (Speech Absence Probability) on a separate frequency bin. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated by the subjective test under various noise environments and yields better results compared with the conventional MS or SD-based schemes.