• Title/Summary/Keyword: poisson model

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Modeling clustered count data with discrete weibull regression model

  • Yoo, Hanna
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.413-420
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    • 2022
  • In this study we adapt discrete weibull regression model for clustered count data. Discrete weibull regression model has an attractive feature that it can handle both under and over dispersion data. We analyzed the eighth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES VIII) from 2019 to assess the factors influencing the 1 month outpatient stay in 17 different regions. We compared the results using clustered discrete Weibull regression model with those of Poisson, negative binomial, generalized Poisson and Conway-maxwell Poisson regression models, which are widely used in count data analyses. The results show that the clustered discrete Weibull regression model using random intercept model gives the best fit. Simulation study is also held to investigate the performance of the clustered discrete weibull model under various dispersion setting and zero inflated probabilities. In this paper it is shown that using a random effect with discrete Weibull regression can flexibly model count data with various dispersion without the risk of making wrong assumptions about the data dispersion.

The Bayesian Analysis for Software Reliability Models Based on NHPP (비동질적 포아송과정을 사용한 소프트웨어 신뢰 성장모형에 대한 베이지안 신뢰성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Sik;Kim, Hee-Cheul;Kim, Yong-Jae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.5
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    • pp.805-812
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a stochastic model for the software failure phenomenon based on a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) and performs Bayesian inference using prior information. The failure process is analyzed to develop a suitable mean value function for the NHPP; expressions are given for several performance measure. The parametric inferences of the model using Logarithmic Poisson model, Crow model and Rayleigh model is discussed. Bayesian computation and model selection using the sum of squared errors. The numerical results of this models are applied to real software failure data. Tools of parameter inference was used method of Gibbs sampling and Metropolis algorithm. The numerical example by T1 data (Musa) was illustrated.

Zero In ated Poisson Model for Spatial Data (영과잉 공간자료의 분석)

  • Han, Junhee;Kim, Changhoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2015
  • A Poisson model is the first choice for counts data. Quasi Poisson or negative binomial models are usually used in cases of over (or under) dispersed data. However, these models might be unsuitable if the data consist of excessive number of zeros (zero inflated data). For zero inflated counts data, Zero Inflated Poisson (ZIP) or Zero Inflated Negative Binomial (ZINB) models are recommended to address the issue. In this paper, we further considered a situation where zero inflated data are spatially correlated. A mixed effect model with random effects that account for spatial autocorrelation is used to fit the data.

Multiprocess Dynamic Poisson Mode1s: The Covariates Case

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Sohn, Joong-Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 1998
  • We propose a multiprocess dynamic Poisson model for the analysis of Poisson process with the covariates. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of the parameter vector modeling time-varying effects of covariates is suggested. Also the algorithm for forecasting of numbers of events at the next time point based on the information gathered until the current time is suggested.

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Correlation between frequency and Poisson's ratio: Study of durability of armchair SWCNTs

  • Muzamal Hussain;Mohamed A. Khadimallah;Abdelouahed Tounsi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.303-311
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    • 2023
  • An analysis of the Poisson's ratios influence of single walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) based on Sander's shell theory is carried out. The effect of Poisson's ratio, boundary conditions and different armchairs SWCNTs is discussed and studied. The Galerkin's method is applied to get the eigen values in matrix form. The obtained results shows that, the decrease in ratios of Poisson, the frequency increases. Poisson's ratio directly measures the deformation in the material. A high Poisson's ratio denotes that the material exhibits large elastic deformation. Due to these deformation frequencies of carbon nanotubes increases. The frequency value increases with the increase of indices of single walled carbon nanotubes. The prescribe boundary conditions used are simply supported and clamped simply supported. The Timoshenko beam model is used to compare the results. The present method should serve as bench mark results for agreeing the results of other models, with slightly different value of the natural frequencies.

Prediction of Poisson's ratio degradation in hygrothermal aged and cracked [θm/90n]s composite laminates

  • Khodjet-Kesb, M.;Adda bedia, E.A.;Benkhedda, A.;Boukert, B.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 2016
  • The Poisson ratio reduction of symmetric hygrothermal aged $[{\theta}_m/90_n]_s$ composite laminates containing a transverse cracking in mid-layer is predicted by using a modified shear-lag model. Good agreement is obtained by comparing the prediction models and experimental data published by Joffe et al. (2001). The material properties of the composite are affected by the variation of temperature and transient moisture concentration distribution in desorption case, and are based on a micro-mechanical model of laminates. The transient and non-uniform moisture concentration distribution give rise to the transient Poisson ratio reduction. The obtained results represent well the dependence of the Poisson ratio degradation on the cracks density, fibre orientation angle of the outer layers and transient environmental conditions. Through the presented study, we hope to contribute to the understanding of the hygrothermal behaviour of cracked composite laminate.

Claims Reserving via Kernel Machine

  • Kim, Mal-Suk;Park, He-Jung;Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1419-1427
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    • 2008
  • This paper shows the kernel Poisson regression which can be applied in the claims reserving, where the row effect is assumed to be a nonlinear function of the row index. The paper concentrates on the chain-ladder technique, within the framework of the chain-ladder linear model. It is shown that the proposed method can provide better reserve estimates than the Poisson model. The cross validation function is introduced to choose optimal hyper-parameters in the procedure. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of the proposed model.

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Image Reconstruction Using Poisson Model Screened from Image Gradient (이미지 기울기에서 선별된 포아송 모델을 이용한 이미지 재구성)

  • Kim, Yong-Gil
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we suggest a fast image reconstruction scheme using Poisson equation from image gradient domain. In this approach, using the Poisson equation, a guided vector field is created by employing source and target images within a selected region at the first step. Next, the guided vector is used in generating the result image. We analyze the problem of reconstructing a two-dimensional function that approximates a set of desired gradients and a data term. The joined data and gradients are able to work like modifying the image gradients while staying close to the original image. Starting with this formulation, we have a screened Poisson equation known in physics. This equation leads to an efficient solution to the problem in FFT domain. It represents the spatial filters that solve the two-dimensional screened Poisson model and shows gradient scaling to be a well-defined sharpen filter that generalizes Laplace sharpening. We demonstrate the results using a discrete cosine transformation based this Poisson model.

Developing Accident Models of Rotary by Accident Occurrence Location (로터리 사고발생 위치별 사고모형 개발)

  • Na, Hee;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with Rotary by Accident Occurrence Location. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident models of rotary by location. METHODS : In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the appropriate models using multiple linear, Poisson and negative binomial regression models and statistical analysis tools. RESULTS : First, four multiple linear regression models which are statistically significant(their $R^2$ values are 0.781, 0.300, 0.784 and 0.644 respectively) are developed, and four Poisson regression models which are statistically significant(their ${\rho}^2$ values are 0.407, 0.306, 0.378 and 0.366 respectively) are developed. Second, the test results of fitness using RMSE, %RMSE, MPB and MAD show that Poisson regression model in the case of circulatory roadway, pedestrian crossing and others and multiple linear regression model in the case of entry/exit sections are appropriate to the given data. Finally, the common variable that affects to the accident is adopted to be traffic volume. CONCLUSIONS : 8 models which are all statistically significant are developed, and the common and specific variables that are related to the models are derived.

Improved Estimation of Poisson Menas under Balanced Loss Function

  • Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.767-772
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    • 2000
  • Zellner(1994) introduced the notion of a balanced loss function in the context of a general liner model to reflect both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. We study the perspective of unifying a variety of results both frequentist and Bayesian from Poisson distributions. We show that frequentist and Bayesian results for balanced loss follow from and also imply related results for quadratic loss functions reflecting only precision of estimation. Several examples are given for Poisson distribution.

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