• Title/Summary/Keyword: poisson model

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Resistant Poisson Regression and Its Application (저항적 포아송 회귀와 활용)

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe;Sung, Nae-Kyung;Lim, Yong-Bin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.83-87
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    • 2005
  • For the count response we normally consider Poisson regression model. However, the conventional fitting algorithm for Poisson regression model is not reliable at all when the response variable is measured with sizable contamination. In this study, we propose an alternative fitting algorithm that is resistant to outlying values in response and report a case study in semiconductor industry.

Estimating the Economic Value of Recreation Sea Fishing in the Yellow Sea: An Application of Count Data Model (가산자료모형을 이용한 서해 태안군 유어객의 편익추정)

  • Choi, Jong Du
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.331-347
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the recreational sea fishing in the Yellow Sea using count data model. For estimating consumer surplus, we used several count data model of travel cost recreation demand such as a poisson model(PM), a negative binomial model(NBM), a truncated poisson model(TPM), and a truncated negative binomial model(TNBM). Model results show that there is no exist the over-dispersion problem and a NBM was statistically more suitable than the other models. All parameters estimated are statistically significant and theoretically valid. The NBM was applied to estimate the travel demand and consumer surplus. The consumer surplus pre trip was estimated to be 254,453won, total consumer surplus per person and per year 1,536,896won.

A Dynamic Discount Approach to the Poisson Process

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 1997
  • A dynamic discount approach is proposed for the estimation of the Poisson parameter and the forecasting of the Poisson random variable, where the parameter of the Poisson distribution varies over time intervals. The recursive estimation procedure of the Poisson parameter is provided. Also the forecasted distribution of the Poisson random variable in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the current time interval is provided.

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Optimal designs for small Poisson regression experiments using second-order asymptotic

  • Mansour, S. Mehr;Niaparast, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.527-538
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    • 2019
  • This paper considers the issue of obtaining the optimal design in Poisson regression model when the sample size is small. Poisson regression model is widely used for the analysis of count data. Asymptotic theory provides the basis for making inference on the parameters in this model. However, for small size experiments, asymptotic approximations, such as unbiasedness, may not be valid. Therefore, first, we employ the second order expansion of the bias of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and derive the mean square error (MSE) of MLE to measure the quality of an estimator. We then define DM-optimality criterion, which is based on a function of the MSE. This criterion is applied to obtain locally optimal designs for small size experiments. The effect of sample size on the obtained designs are shown. We also obtain locally DM-optimal designs for some special cases of the model.

Prediction of K-league soccer scores using bivariate Poisson distributions (이변량 포아송분포를 이용한 K-리그 골 점수의 예측)

  • Lee, Jang Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1221-1229
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we choose the best model among several bivariate Poisson models on Korean soccer data. The models considered allow for correlation between the number of goals of two competing teams. We use an R package called bivpois for bivariate Poisson regression models and the data of K-league for season 1983-2012. Finally we conclude that the best fitted model supported by the AIC and BIC is the bivariate Poisson model with constant covariance. The zero and diagonal inflated models did not improve the model fit. The model can be used to examine home-away effect, goodness of fit, attack and defense parameters.

Subthreshold Current Model of FinFET Using Three Dimensional Poisson's Equation

  • Jung, Hak-Kee
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.57-61
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    • 2009
  • This paper has presented the subthreshold current model of FinFET using the potential variation in the doped channel based on the analytical solution of three dimensional Poisson's equation. The model has been verified by the comparison with the data from 3D numerical device simulator. The variation of subthreshold current with front and back gate bias has been studied. The variation of subthreshold swing and threshold voltage with front and back gate bias has been investigated.

A compound Poisson risk model with variable premium rate

  • Song, Mi Jung;Kim, Jongwoo;Lee, Jiyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1289-1297
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    • 2012
  • We consider a general compound Poisson risk model in which the premium rate is surplus dependent. We analyze the joint distribution of the surplus immediately before ruin, the deffcit at ruin and the time of ruin by solving the integro-differential equation for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function.

Subset Selection in the Poisson Models - A Normal Predictors case - (포아송 모형에서의 설명변수 선택문제 - 정규분포 설명변수하에서 -)

  • 박종선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, a new subset selection problem in the Poisson model is considered under the normal predictors. It turns out that the subset model has bigger valiance than that of the Poisson model with random predictors and this has been used to derive new subset selection method similar to Mallows'$C_p$.

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ML estimation using Poisson HGLM approach in semi-parametric frailty models

  • Ha, Il Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1389-1397
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    • 2016
  • Semi-parametric frailty model with nonparametric baseline hazards has been widely used for the analyses of clustered survival-time data. The frailty models can be fitted via an auxiliary Poisson hierarchical generalized linear model (HGLM). For the inferences of the frailty model marginal likelihood, which gives MLE, is often used. The marginal likelihood is usually obtained by integrating out random effects, but it often requires an intractable integration. In this paper, we propose to obtain the MLE via Laplace approximation using a Poisson HGLM approach for semi-parametric frailty model. The proposed HGLM approach uses hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood), which avoids integration itself. The proposed method is illustrated using a numerical study.

Zero-Inflated Poisson Model with a Change-point (변화시점이 있는 영과잉-포아송모형)

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1998
  • In case of Zero-Inflated Poisson model with a change-point, likelihood ratio test statistic was used for testing hypothesis for a change-point. A change-point and several interesting parameters were estimated by using the method of moments and maximum likelihood. In order to compare the estimators, empirical mean-square-error was used. Real data for the Zero-Inflated Poisson model with a change-point and Poisson model without a change-point were examined.

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