• 제목/요약/키워드: piecewise linear regression

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Introduction of TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting including Temperature Variable (온도를 변수로 갖는 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델 도입)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hun;Lee, Yun-Ho;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.184-186
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes the introduction of TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily maximum or minimum temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in lower regime and a positive slope in upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. In this paper, daily peak load was forecasted by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

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TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Nonlinearity of Temperature and Load (온도와 부하의 비선형성을 이용한 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델)

  • Lee, Gyeong Hun;Lee, Yun Ho;Kim, Jin O
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.399-399
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily high or low temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in the lower regime and a positive slope in the upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. TAR model is adequate for analyzing these phenomena since TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In this paper, we estimated and forecasted one day-ahead daily peak load by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Nonlinearity of Temperature and Load (온도와 부하의 비선형성을 이용한 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Hun;Lee, Yun-Ho;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.309-405
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily high or low temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in the lower regime and a positive slope in the upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. TAR model is adequate for analyzing these phenomena since TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In this paper, we estimated and forecasted one day-ahead daily peak load by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

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Implementation of Look-Up Table for Quasi-Bi-Quadratic Interpolation Based on Least Square Approximation for LCD Displays (LCD 디스플레이 구동을 위한 최소 자승 근사에 의한 Quasi-Bi-Quadratic 보간법의 LUT 구현)

  • Park, Hee-Bum;Lee, Chul-Hee
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.425-426
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    • 2006
  • Overdriving schemes are used to improve the response time of liquid crystal display. Typically they are implemented by using LUTs (look-up table) within an image processor. However, the size of LUT is limited by the physical memory size and system cost. In this paper, we present an improved method for LUT implementation using linear interpolation and piecewise least-square polynomial regression. Using the proposed method, the performance of LUT can be improved and memory size of that can be reduced.

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Analysis of Tourism Demand Elasticities by Travel Time Distance in Korea (국민국내관광객의 이동시간거리에 대한 수요탄력성 분석)

  • Kwon, J. Younghyun;Kim, Euijune
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.65-81
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the tourism demand elasticity of travel time distance on domestic destinations in Korea. Piecewise Linear Regression Model was applied to estimate the elasticities based on the Korea National Tourism Survey. It is found that the tourism demand elasticities by tourist distances decrease by 0.005% if time distance increase by 1 minute. In the first section, the most nearest distance is less than 11.6 minutes from the origin, elasticities increases by 0.206% of tourism demand, whereas in second section (from 11.7 to 75.1 minutes) and third section (more than 75.2 minutes) it decreases by 0.106% and 0.021%, respectively. The third section with sharply rising distance decay rate can be interpreted as the Effective Tourism Exclusion Zone of domestic tourists in Korea. Additionally, the more tourism demand is appeared at the younger age group than older age group, single travellers than group travellers, and people in Metropolitan Areas than in smaller cities.

Optimization of Data Recovery using Non-Linear Equalizer in Cellular Mobile Channel (셀룰라 이동통신 채널에서 비선형 등화기를 이용한 최적의 데이터 복원)

  • Choi, Sang-Ho;Ho, Kwang-Chun;Kim, Yung-Kwon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.5 no.1 s.8
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we have investigated the CDMA(Code Division Multiple Access) Cellular System with non-linear equalizer in reverse link channel. In general, due to unknown characteristics of channel in the wireless communication, the distribution of the observables cannot be specified by a finite set of parameters; instead, we partitioned the m-dimensional sample space Into a finite number of disjointed regions by using quantiles and a vector quantizer based on training samples. The algorithm proposed is based on a piecewise approximation to regression function based on quantiles and conditional partition moments which are estimated by Robbins Monro Stochastic Approximation (RMSA) algorithm. The resulting equalizers and detectors are robust in the sense that they are insensitive to variations in noise distributions. The main idea is that the robust equalizers and robust partition detectors yield better performance in equiprobably partitioned subspace of observations than the conventional equalizer in unpartitioned observation space under any condition. And also, we apply this idea to the CDMA system and analyze the BER performance.

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Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is prognostic for early recurrence after curative intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma resection

  • Woo Jin Choi;Fiorella Murillo Perez;Annabel Gravely;Tommy Ivanics;Marco P. A. W. Claasen;Liza Abraham;Phillipe Abreu;Robin Visser;Steven Gallinger;Bettina E. Hansen;Gonzalo Sapisochin
    • Annals of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.158-165
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    • 2023
  • Backgrounds/Aims: Within two years of surgery, 70% of resected intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) recur. Better biomarkers are needed to identify those at risk of "early recurrence" (ER). In this study, we defined ER and investigated whether preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic-inflammatory index were prognostic of both overall relapse and ER after curative hepatectomy for iCCA. Methods: A retrospective cohort of patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for iCCA between 2005 and 2017 were created. The cut-off timepoint for the ER of iCCA was estimated using a piecewise linear regression model. Univariable analyses of recurrence were conducted for the overall, early, and late recurrence periods. For the early and late recurrence periods, multivariable Cox regression with time-varying regression coefficient analysis was used. Results: A total of 113 patients were included in this study. ER was defined as recurrence within 12 months of a curative resection. Among the included patients, 38.1% experienced ER. In the univariable model, a higher preoperative NLR (> 4.3) was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrence overall and in the first 12 months after curative surgery. In the multivariable model, a higher NLR was associated with a higher recurrence rate overall and in the ER period (≤ 12 months), but not in the late recurrence period. Conclusions: Preoperative NLR was prognostic of both overall recurrence and ER after curative iCCA resection. NLR is easily obtained before and after surgery and should be integrated into ER prediction tools to guide preoperative treatments and intensify postoperative follow-up.

Neural-based Blind Modeling of Mini-mill ASC Crown

  • Lee, Gang-Hwa;Lee, Dong-Il;Lee, Seung-Joon;Lee, Suk-Gyu;Kim, Shin-Il;Park, Hae-Doo;Park, Seung-Gap
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.577-582
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    • 2002
  • Neural network can be trained to approximate an arbitrary nonlinear function of multivariate data like the mini-mill crown values in Automatic Shape Control. The trained weights of neural network can evaluate or generalize the process data outside the training vectors. Sometimes, the blind modeling of the process data is necessary to compare with the scattered analytical model of mini-mill process in isolated electro-mechanical forms. To come up with a viable model, we propose the blind neural-based range-division domain-clustering piecewise-linear modeling scheme. The basic ideas are: 1) dividing the range of target data, 2) clustering the corresponding input space vectors, 3)training the neural network with clustered prototypes to smooth out the convergence and 4) solving the resulting matrix equations with a pseudo-inverse to alleviate the ill-conditioning problem. The simulation results support the effectiveness of the proposed scheme and it opens a new way to the data analysis technique. By the comparison with the statistical regression, it is evident that the proposed scheme obtains better modeling error uniformity and reduces the magnitudes of errors considerably. Approximatly 10-fold better performance results.

A study on optimization of welding parameters and process monitoring using a vision sensor in pipe welding (파이프 용접에서 최적조건 도출 및 시각 센서를 이용한 비드 형상 모니터링)

  • Cho, Dae-Won;Na, Suck-Joo;Lee, Mok-Young
    • Proceedings of the KWS Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.10-10
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    • 2009
  • 파이프 용접은 중력의 영향으로 인하여 위치에 따라 같은 용접변수라도 비드 형상이 매우 달라 지게 된다. 또한 지금까지 많은 용접 기술자들이 위험하고 까다로운 환경에서 수작업으로 용접을 실행하였다. 따라서 이러한 이유로 용접 자동화 공정이 반드시 필요하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 FCAW를 사용하여 파이프 모재 대신 필릿 평판을 아래보기, 위보기 자세를 포함하여 9개 자세에서 실행하였다. 용접 자세를 비롯한 용접 변수와 비드 형상 변수간의 관계를 비선형 회귀 분석과 구간적 3차 에르미트 보간법을 이용하여 주어진 용접 변수에서의 비드 단면의 형상을 예측하고, 비드의 결함 유무를 파악하였다. 이러한 방법을 통하여 자세에 따라서 용접 결함이 없는 용접 변수를 구할 수 있었다. 시각센서를 이용하여 용접 후 비드 형상에 대해 모니터링을 실시하였다. 모니터링의 알고리즘은 영상획득, 이진화, 세선화, 적응형 미디언 필터링, 적응형 허프 변환, 용접 결함 검출의 순서로 구성되어 있으며, 본 연구에서는 보다 빠른 영상처리를 위하여 적응형 미디언 필터링을 제시하였다. 모니터링을 통하여 2차원 비드 단면뿐만 아니라, 디루니 삼각법을 적용하여 3차원으로 비드 표면을 표현할 수 있다. 보간법을 사용하여 얻은 비드 형상과 시각 센서를 통하여 얻은 비드 형상간의 비교를 통하여 본 연구의 적합성 여부를 확인하였다.

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Structural health monitoring for pinching structures via hysteretic mechanics models

  • Rabiepour, Mohammad;Zhou, Cong;Chase, James G.;Rodgers, Geoffrey W.;Xu, Chao
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.82 no.2
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    • pp.245-258
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    • 2022
  • Many Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) methods have been proposed for structural damage diagnosis and prognosis. However, SHM for pinched hysteretic structures can be problematic due to the high level of nonlinearity. The model-free hysteresis loop analysis (HLA) has displayed notable robustness and accuracy in identifying damage for full-scaled and scaled test buildings. In this paper, the performance of HLA is compared with seven other SHM methods in identifying lateral elastic stiffness for a six-story numerical building with highly nonlinear pinching behavior. Two successive earthquakes are employed to compare the accuracy and consistency of methods within and between events. Robustness is assessed across sampling rates 50-1000 Hz in noise-free condition and then assessed with 10% root mean square (RMS) noise added to responses at 250 Hz sampling rate. Results confirm HLA is the most robust method to sampling rate and noise. HLA preserves high accuracy even when the sampling rate drops to 50 Hz, where the performance of other methods deteriorates considerably. In noisy conditions, the maximum absolute estimation error is less than 4% for HLA. The overall results show HLA has high robustness and accuracy for an extremely nonlinear, but realistic case compared to a range of leading and recent model-based and model-free methods.