• 제목/요약/키워드: performance based logistic

검색결과 309건 처리시간 0.024초

PRT 차량용 수직이송장치의 개발을 위한 구조강도 평가 (Structural Strength Evaluation for Development of a Vertical Transfer Device for a Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) Vehicle)

  • 강석원;엄주환;정락교;송준현
    • 대한기계학회논문집 C: 기술과 교육
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 PRT(Personal Rapid Transit) 차량의 수직이송을 위한 장치를 개발하는 과정에서 수행된 주요 구조물의 정적 구조적 안전성 평가 결과를 다룬다. 지금까지 노선상에서 승객이 탑승한 상태에서 운영중인 차량의 수직이송에 대한 연구는 전무하며, 이는 기존의 2 차원 적인 교통운영 체계의 한계를 극복하는데 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 특히, 본 연구에서 제안된 수직이송장치는 순환컨베이어 방식으로 연속 이송이 가능해서 통행량이 많은 지역에도 적용이 가능하다. 본 시스템이 물류분야에서 많이 사용되어 왔지만, 수직이동 시 차량의 무게에 의한 하중은 일반적인 물류의 수송과는 다르게 집중하중 형태로 컨베이어에 가해지기 때문에 이에 대한 구조적 안정성 평가는 필수적이다. 본 논문에서는 상용 유한요소 해석 프로그램인 $Ansys^{(R)}$를 이용해서 수직이송 장치의 기본 설계(안)의 구조적 안정성을 수치해석적 방법에 의해 평가하고자 한다.

Improving the Accuracy of Early Diagnosis of Thyroid Nodule Type Based on the SCAD Method

  • Shahraki, Hadi Raeisi;Pourahmad, Saeedeh;Paydar, Shahram;Azad, Mohsen
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1861-1864
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    • 2016
  • Although early diagnosis of thyroid nodule type is very important, the diagnostic accuracy of standard tests is a challenging issue. We here aimed to find an optimal combination of factors to improve diagnostic accuracy for distinguishing malignant from benign thyroid nodules before surgery. In a prospective study from 2008 to 2012, 345 patients referred for thyroidectomy were enrolled. The sample size was split into a training set and testing set as a ratio of 7:3. The former was used for estimation and variable selection and obtaining a linear combination of factors. We utilized smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) logistic regression to achieve the sparse optimal combination of factors. To evaluate the performance of the estimated model in the testing set, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was utilized. The mean age of the examined patients (66 male and 279 female) was $40.9{\pm}13.4years$ (range 15- 90 years). Some 54.8% of the patients (24.3% male and 75.7% female) had benign and 45.2% (14% male and 86% female) malignant thyroid nodules. In addition to maximum diameters of nodules and lobes, their volumes were considered as related factors for malignancy prediction (a total of 16 factors). However, the SCAD method estimated the coefficients of 8 factors to be zero and eliminated them from the model. Hence a sparse model which combined the effects of 8 factors to distinguish malignant from benign thyroid nodules was generated. An optimal cut off point of the ROC curve for our estimated model was obtained (p=0.44) and the area under the curve (AUC) was equal to 77% (95% CI: 68%-85%). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive values for this model were 70%, 72%, 71% and 76%, respectively. An increase of 10 percent and a greater accuracy rate in early diagnosis of thyroid nodule type by statistical methods (SCAD and ANN methods) compared with the results of FNA testing revealed that the statistical modeling methods are helpful in disease diagnosis. In addition, the factor ranking offered by these methods is valuable in the clinical context.

창업기업 선정평가지표 유의성 검증에 관한 연구: 창업선도대학육성사업을 중심으로 (A Study on the Verification of Significance of Assessment Items for Selecting Start-ups: Focusing on Project Fostering Start-ups through Leading Universities)

  • 정경희;성창수
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 중앙정부의 창업지원사업에서 활용되고 있는 선정평가지표의 창업기업 선정여부에 대한 정확도를 검증하여 창업기업 선정평가지표의 유의성을 확인하였다. 이를 위해, 초기 창업기업을 집중 발굴 육성하는 창업선도대학육성사업에 지난 3년간 지원한 창업기업 973개의 평가점수와 선정여부 결과를 수집하여, 로지스틱회귀분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 선정여부에 있어 창업기업 특성변인에 따른 차이가 확인되었다. 둘째, 선정평가항목에 의한 선정여부의 영향은 2015년 성별(남), 창업자의 보유역량, 2016년 창업여부(기창업), 글로벌 진출 실적 및 잠재력, 2017년 창업여부(기창업) 항목만이 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미쳤다. 셋째, 최근 3년간 전체 선정의 유의성 분석결과, 매년 정확도가 낮아짐을 확인하였으며, 비 선정보다 선정에 대한 정확도가 더욱 낮음을 확인하였다. 이는 창업지원사업 선정여부 판별에 있어 활용되고 있는 선정평가지표의 유의성 검증 및 부적합한 구성항목을 확인하고 매년 창업환경변화에 따른 지표의 변경은 선정의 정확도를 더욱 낮게 하는 요인임을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 창업지원정책의 효율성 제고를 위해 우수 창업기업 선별기능에 대한 선정평가지표의 중요성을 재인식하고 환기시키는 계기를 마련하였다는 점에 의의가 있다.

제품 시장 경쟁 및 기업의 사회적 책임 활동 (Product Market Competition and Corporate Social Responsibility Activities)

  • 류혜영;채수준
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제10권11호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: Corporate social responsibility is a self-regulating business model that helps a firm be socially accountable to the public. By practicing corporate social responsibility, firms can be conscious of the kind of impact they are having on all aspects of society, including economic, social, and environmental. Corporate social responsibility activities are not directly linked to increasing corporate performance and corporate value, but rather involve spending expenses. Based on these facts, this study verifies whether the effects of corporate social responsibility activities differ depending on the firm's situation. Research design, data and methodology: This study analyzed the effect of market competition on corporate social responsibility activities using logistic regression analysis on listed companies in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ for fiscal years 2014 through 2016. In this study, market competition was measured using the Herfindahl-Herschman Index(HHI). Higher HHI value can be interpreted as a lower degree of market competition. We also measured corporate social responsibility activities using the KEJI Index published by the Korea Economic Justice Institute (KEJI). If a firm-year is included in the top 200 companies of the KEJI Index, it is classified as a good corporate social responsibility activity firm. Results: We find that companies in less competitive market were not included in the KEJI Index. This result indicates that firms in the market with lower market competition perform less corporate social responsibility activities that incur costs. An additional analysis showed that there was a significant negative relationship between the market competition and the corporate social responsibility activity scores published by the KEJI Index. These result adds robustness to the result of the hypothesis that firms that have a monopolistic place in the market practice passive corporate social responsibility activities. Conclusions: The results show that managers of a firm in the lower market competition have a lower incentive to use limited resources for projects that are not directly related to revenue. The results of this study imply that corporate social responsibility activities vary according to the position of the business. Therefore, this study suggests that market investors should consider the degree of competition in the market when they evaluate corporate social responsibility activities.

차선이탈경고장치(LDWS) 이용자 만족도 평가 연구 (Evaluating Effectiveness of Lane Departure Warning System by User Perceptions)

  • 주신혜;오철;이재완;이은덕
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 첨단안전장치의 운전지원장치중 하나인 차선이탈경고장치(Lane Departure Warning System; LDWS)의 이용자 만족도 분석에 초점을 맞추어 연구를 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 국내 실제 화물자동차 이용자를 대상으로 차선이탈경고장치를 보급하여 사용후 차선이탈경고장치의 사용만족도 및 교통사고예방효과등을 설문조사를 수행하였다. 설문분석을 통해 차선이탈경고장치의 효과를 이용자 중심 측면에서 분석하였다. 대부분 장거리 운전자가 응답대상이 되었으며, 사고발생의 경우 장시간 운전으로 인해 졸음운전등에 위험이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 교차분석 결과, 사용만족도는 평균주행거리, 경고제공시기, 차로이탈검지정확성, 날씨에 따른 검지정확성, 곡선도로주행시 검지정확성, 경고제공방식만족도와 관련성이 높은 것으로 도출되었다. 또한, 교통사고 예방효과는 경고제공시기, 차로이탈 검지정확성, 날씨에 따른 검지정확성, 속도에 따른 검지정확성, 곡선도로주행시 검지정확성이 관련성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이항 로지스틱 회귀분석결과 사용만족도는 곡선도로에서의 경고정보시스템 정확성이 이용만족도에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구결과는 추후 LDWS와 같은 첨단장비를 장착한 차량들의 확대 보급시 교통안전 효과분석을 위한 기초자료로 활용 가능할 것이다. 또한 차로이탈경고장치의 연구 및 보완시 도출된 변수에 초점을 맞춘다면 장치의 효과를 극대화 할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 아울러 LDWS기능 및 성능 개선을 위한 평가방법 개발에도 연구결과가 효과적으로 적용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

A Comprehensive Analysis of the Association of Psoas and Masseter Muscles with Traumatic Brain Injury Using Computed Tomography Anthropometry

  • Cho, Hang Joo;Hwang, Yunsup;Yang, Seiyun;Kim, Maru
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제64권6호
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    • pp.950-956
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    • 2021
  • Objective : Psoas and masseter muscles are known markers of sarcopenia. However, the relative superiority of either muscle as a marker is unclear. Therefore, this study analyzed the two muscles in patients with a prognosis of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Methods : Patients with TBI visiting a regional trauma center between January 2017 and December 2018 were selected, and their medical records were reviewed. TBI patients with an abbreviated injury score (AIS) of 4 or 5 were selected. Patients with an AIS of 4 or 5 at the chest, abdomen, and extremity were excluded. Patients with a hospital stay of 1 to 2 days were excluded. Both muscle areas were measured based on the initial computed tomography. The psoas muscle index (PMI) and the masseter muscle index (MMI) were calculated by dividing both muscle areas by height in meters squared (cm2/m2). These muscle parameters along with other medical information were used to analyze mortality and the Glasgow outcome scale (GOS). Results : A total of 179 patients, including 147 males (82.1%), were analyzed statistically. The mean patient age was 58.0 years. The mortality rate was 16.8% (30 patients). The mean GOS score was 3.7. Analysis was performed to identify the parameters associated with mortality, which was a qualitative study outcome. The psoas muscle area (16.9 vs. 14.4 cm2, p=0.028) and PMI (5.9 vs. 5.1 cm2/m2, p=0.004) showed statistical differences between the groups. The PMI was also statistically significant as a risk factor for mortality in logistic regression analysis (p=0.023; odds ratio, 0.715; 95% confidence interval, 0.535-0.954). Quantitative analyses were performed with the GOS scores. Bivariate correlation analysis showed a statistically significant correlation between PMI and GOS scores (correlation coefficient, 0.168; p=0.003). PMI (p=0.004, variation inflation factor 1.001) was significant in multiple regression analysis. The masseter muscle area and MMI did not show significance in the study. Conclusion : Larger PMI was associated with statistically significant improved survival and GOS scores, indicating its performance as a superior prognostic marker. Further analyses involving a larger number of patients, additional parameters, and more precise settings would yield a better understanding of sarcopenia and TBI.

거래비용관점에서 본 영화 소비행위 분석 (An Analysis of Movie Consumption Behavior from Transaction Cost Perspectives)

  • 박혜윤;김재범;이창진
    • 문화경제연구
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.3-33
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    • 2017
  • 영화 관객들은 영화를 선택하기 위해 정보를 수집하는 등의 과정에서 추가적인 비용을 지불할 수 있다. 본 논문은 이러한 비용을 거래비용의 관점에서 접근하여 영화 소비행위를 분석하였다. 분석을 위해 '2015 영화소비자조사'를 사용하여 영화 정보와 개인의 인구사회학적 특성을 독립변수로, 관람편수와 관람빈도를 종속변수로 삼아 회귀분석과 다항 로지스틱 회귀 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과, '감독', '온라인 평가' 등의 요소를 고려하는 소비자일수록 영화 소비가 활발한 것으로 나타났고, 관람 빈도별 분석에서는 저 고 관람자별로 영화를 선택할 때 고려하는 유의미한 정보가 다르게 나타났다. 이를 통해 개인이 보유한 문화자본과 취향 그리고 영화 정보를 인식하는 정도에 따라 영화 소비가 달라질 수도 있음을 알 수 있었다. 기존 연구들이 주로 영화의 흥행 결정 요인을 분석했다면 본 연구는 소비자의 입장에서 개별 영화 정보를 이용하는 것을 거래비용 관점에서 개인의 취향의 유무, 형성의 정도에 따라 차이가 있다는 것을 실증적으로 분석했다는데 의의가 있다. 상기의 결과를 바탕으로 거래비용이 영화소비에 영향을 미치고 일정 정도의 소비를 통해 취향이 형성되면 거래비용이 낮아져 소비가 늘어나는 순환적 구조라는 것을 추정할 수 있었다. 따라서 제작사는 소비자가 영화 관람에 필요한 거래비용을 낮출 수 있도록 영화 정보를 적절하게 활용하는 마케팅 전략을 수립하고 집행할 필요가 있다.

머신러닝과 샘플링을 이용한 강원도 지역 산불발생예측모형 개발 (Development of a Gangwon Province Forest Fire Prediction Model using Machine Learning and Sampling)

  • 채경재;이유리;조용주;박지현
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 산불 발생 예측 모형의 정확도를 높이기 위해 머신러닝 기법을 적용한 연구이다. 산불 피해면적이 가장 큰 강원도를 중심으로 2003년부터 2016년까지 총 14년의 산불 자료를 이용하였다. 기상자료의 오차를 줄이기 위해 강원도를 9개의 구역으로 나누어 각 구역 관측소의 기상자료를 이용하였다. 9개의 구역으로 나누어 각 구역의 산불 예측 모형을 만들게 되면 산불이 발생한 날(majority)과 산불이 발생하지 않은 날(minority)의 비율 차이가 큰 불균형 문제가 발생한다. 불균형 문제에서는 모델의 성능이 떨어지는 현상이 발생할 수 있다. 이를 해결하기 위해 여러 샘플링 방법을 적용하였다. 또한 모델의 정확도를 높이기 위해 캐나다 산불 기상 지수(FWI)의 5가지 지수를 파생변수로 사용하였다. 모델링 방법은 통계적 방법인 로지스틱 회귀분석 방법과 머신러닝 방법인 random forest와 xgboost 방법을 사용하였다. 각 구역의 최종모델의 선택기준을 정확도, 민감도, 특이도를 고려하여 정했으며, 9개 구역의 예측 결과는 산불이 발생한 104건 중 80건의 발생 예측에 성공하였으며 산불이 발생하지 않은 9758건 중 7426건의 발생하지 않음을 예측했다. 전체의 정확도는 76.1%였다.

Risk-Scoring System for Prediction of Non-Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection Requiring Additional Gastrectomy in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer

  • Kim, Tae-Se;Min, Byung-Hoon;Kim, Kyoung-Mee;Yoo, Heejin;Kim, Kyunga;Min, Yang Won;Lee, Hyuk;Rhee, Poong-Lyul;Kim, Jae J.;Lee, Jun Haeng
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.368-378
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: When patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) undergo non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection requiring gastrectomy (NC-ESD-RG), additional medical resources and expenses are required for surgery. To reduce this burden, predictive model for NC-ESD-RG is required. Materials and Methods: Data from 2,997 patients undergoing ESD for 3,127 forceps biopsy-proven differentiated-type EGCs (2,345 and 782 in training and validation sets, respectively) were reviewed. Using the training set, the logistic stepwise regression analysis determined the independent predictors of NC-ESD-RG (NC-ESD other than cases with lateral resection margin involvement or piecemeal resection as the only non-curative factor). Using these predictors, a risk-scoring system for predicting NC-ESD-RG was developed. Performance of the predictive model was examined internally with the validation set. Results: Rate of NC-ESD-RG was 17.3%. Independent pre-ESD predictors for NC-ESD-RG included moderately differentiated or papillary EGC, large tumor size, proximal tumor location, lesion at greater curvature, elevated or depressed morphology, and presence of ulcers. A risk-score was assigned to each predictor of NC-ESD-RG. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting NC-ESD-RG was 0.672 in both training and validation sets. A risk-score of 5 points was the optimal cut-off value for predicting NC-ESD-RG, and the overall accuracy was 72.7%. As the total risk score increased, the predicted risk for NC-ESD-RG increased from 3.8% to 72.6%. Conclusions: We developed and validated a risk-scoring system for predicting NC-ESD-RG based on pre-ESD variables. Our risk-scoring system can facilitate informed consent and decision-making for preoperative treatment selection between ESD and surgery in patients with EGC.

Development and Validation of 18F-FDG PET/CT-Based Multivariable Clinical Prediction Models for the Identification of Malignancy-Associated Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis

  • Xu Yang;Xia Lu;Jun Liu;Ying Kan;Wei Wang;Shuxin Zhang;Lei Liu;Jixia Li;Jigang Yang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.466-478
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    • 2022
  • Objective: 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT is often used for detecting malignancy in patients with newly diagnosed hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH), with acceptable sensitivity but relatively low specificity. The aim of this study was to improve the diagnostic ability of 18F-FDG PET/CT in identifying malignancy in patients with HLH by combining 18F-FDG PET/CT and clinical parameters. Materials and Methods: Ninety-seven patients (age ≥ 14 years) with secondary HLH were retrospectively reviewed and divided into the derivation (n = 71) and validation (n = 26) cohorts according to admission time. In the derivation cohort, 22 patients had malignancy-associated HLH (M-HLH) and 49 patients had non-malignancy-associated HLH (NM-HLH). Data on pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT and laboratory results were collected. The variables were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test or Pearson's chi-square test, and a nomogram for predicting M-HLH was constructed using multivariable binary logistic regression. The predictors were also ranked using decision-tree analysis. The nomogram and decision tree were validated in the validation cohort (10 patients with M-HLH and 16 patients with NM-HLH). Results: The ratio of the maximal standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of the lymph nodes to that of the mediastinum, the ratio of the SUVmax of bone lesions or bone marrow to that of the mediastinum, and age were selected for constructing the model. The nomogram showed good performance in predicting M-HLH in the validation cohort, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.875 (95% confidence interval, 0.686-0.971). At an appropriate cutoff value, the sensitivity and specificity for identifying M-HLH were 90% (9/10) and 68.8% (11/16), respectively. The decision tree integrating the same variables showed 70% (7/10) sensitivity and 93.8% (15/16) specificity for identifying M-HLH. In comparison, visual analysis of 18F-FDG PET/CT images demonstrated 100% (10/10) sensitivity and 12.5% (2/16) specificity. Conclusion: 18F-FDG PET/CT may be a practical technique for identifying M-HLH. The model constructed using 18F-FDG PET/CT features and age was able to detect malignancy with better accuracy than visual analysis of 18F-FDG PET/CT images.