• Title/Summary/Keyword: payoff

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Uncertainty, View, and Hedging: Optimal Choice of Instrument and Strike for Value Maximization

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.99-129
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    • 2011
  • This paper analytically studies how to choose hedging instrument for firms with steady operating cash flows from value maximization perspective. I derive a formula to determine option's optimal strike that makes hedged cash flow have the best monetary payoff given a hedger's view on the underlying asset. I find that not only the expected mean but also the expected standard deviation of the underlying asset in relation to the forward price and the implied volatility play a crucial role in making optimal hedging decision. Higher moments play a certain part in hedging decision but to a lesser degree.

PRICING EXTERNAL-CHAINED BARRIER OPTIONS WITH EXPONENTIAL BARRIERS

  • Jeon, Junkee;Yoon, Ji-Hun
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.1497-1530
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    • 2016
  • External barrier options are two-asset options with stochastic variables where the payoff depends on one underlying asset and the barrier depends on another state variable. The barrier state variable determines whether the option is knocked in or out when the value of the variable is above or below some prescribed barrier level. This paper derives the explicit analytic solution of the chained option with an external single or double barrier by utilizing the probabilistic methods - the reflection principle and the change of measure. Before we do this, we examine the closed-form solution of the external barrier option with a single or double-curved barrier using the methods of image and double Mellin transforms. The exact solution of the external barrier option price enables us to obtain the pricing formula of the chained option with the external barrier more easily.

A Comparative Welfare Analysis on the Trading System in an Electricity Market by Using Game Theory (게임이론을 적용한 전력시장 전력거래방식의 후생 측면 비교 연구)

  • 이광호
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.52 no.10
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    • pp.616-623
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    • 2003
  • Competition among electric generation companies is a major goal of restructuring in the electricity industry, The trading system in an electricity market has been one of the most important issues in deregulated electricity market. This paper deals with comparisons of the major two types of the trading system: compulsory pool market and bilateral contract market. The two trading systems are compared quantitatively from the viewpoint of consumer's surplus and social welfare, This paper, also, proposes a unified model of Cournot and Bertrand for analyzing the mixed trading system of pool market and bilateral contract market. Nash equilibrium of the unified model is derived by criteria for participating in bilateral contract market. Numerical results from a sample case show that a mixed trading system of pool market and price-competitive bilateral market is beneficial to consumer from the view points of consumer's surplus.

An Interdisciplinary Case Study on the Phase-Shifting Behavior of Financial Markets (자본시장의 위상전이행태에 관한 학제간 융합연구 : 사례연구)

  • Ryu, Doojin;Ju, Kangjin;Kim, Hyun Na;Yang, Heejin
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.117-131
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    • 2016
  • This study introduces the concepts on the phase-shifting phenomenon of financial markets, which was firstly used in econophysics area and explains how the phase-shifting behavior is studied in the fields of business management and finance. Specifically, we explain how the phases of financial markets are extremely changed under some external conditions, do an extensive literature review, and carry out case studies focusing on the 3 major financial crisis events including the 87 October crash, 97 Asian financial crisis, and 2007 global financial crisis. We also empirically examine the phase-shifting behavior of the Korean ELW products that has a similar payoff structure to the KOSPI200 options.

Understanding and application of the social system based on the system thinking : Focus on the cooperation model using Cellular Automata (시스템적 사고에 기반한 사회 시스템의 이해와 응용 : Cellular Automata를 이용한 협력모형을 중심으로)

  • 고길곤
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.133-157
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    • 2000
  • This paper deals with the social system from the point of system thinking consisting the fundamental construct of system dynamics. The Bertalanffy's general system theory, having been criticized because of its ambiguity, and the complex science theory, emerging system theory, are integrated by using the system thinking which is characterized with three concepts, 'feedback thinking', 'dynamic thinking', 'operational thinking'. In the integration, system thinking suggests the dynamic pattern of the social system have not only an equilibrium status but also complex status. The science of complexity gives an implication to system dynamics the important of the uncertainty and complexity if we interpret the social system as an open system. To show more concrete description, I simulate the cooperation model based on the iterated prisoner dilemma. The simulation results show the diverse patterns of cooperation and betrayal. Especially the sensitivity of initial payoff will cause the chaotic strategic landscapes as the game gose on. These results mean that we should not give the hasty prescription to control social system artificially. Because social system retains the self-organizing force in itself.

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A PRICING METHOD OF HYBRID DLS WITH GPGPU

  • YOON, YEOCHANG;KIM, YONSIK;BAE, HYEONG-OHK
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.277-293
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    • 2016
  • We develop an efficient numerical method for pricing the Derivative Linked Securities (DLS). The payoff structure of the hybrid DLS consists with a standard 2-Star step-down type ELS and the range accrual product which depends on the number of days in the coupon period that the index stay within the pre-determined range. We assume that the 2-dimensional Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) as the model of two equities and a no-arbitrage interest model (One-factor Hull and White interest rate model) as a model for the interest rate. In this study, we employ the Monte Carlo simulation method with the Compute Unified Device Architecture (CUDA) parallel computing as the General Purpose computing on Graphic Processing Unit (GPGPU) technology for fast and efficient numerical valuation of DLS. Comparing the Monte Carlo method with single CPU computation or MPI implementation, the result of Monte Carlo simulation with CUDA parallel computing produces higher performance.

Business Model for B2E Promotion (B2E촉진을 위한 비즈니스 모델)

  • 장덕성
    • KSCI Review
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2002
  • To establish and operate adequate business model is core procedure to survive from severe competitive environment and can create payoff through BM. Whether company have or maintain competitive advantage. It depends on how to position company in the value system. In this study. like to achieve integration and rebuilding of value chain through B2E relationship and affiliation which could not achieved because of limit of manpower, cost, time. After analysis of B2E model. affiliated program, propose Affiliated B2E model. Proposed model has mutual supplemented function module which compensate mutual profit between parent company and employee company.

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A Study of Supplier's Bidding Strategies by Piecewise Demand Function (전력 수요함수에 따른 공급자의 입찰전략 연구)

  • Cho, Cheol-Hee;Choi, Seok-Keun;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.615-617
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    • 2003
  • In electricity market with a imperfect competition, participants make plans of biddings and transaction strategies to maximize their own profits. The market price and the quantity are determined by bidding systems and market demands. Practically the characteristics of power demand have rather two forms; elastic region and inelastic region, than constant slope elasticity. Furthermore the price cap in the market can be modelled as a region of perfect elasticity in the demand function. This paper analyses supplier's bidding strategies which are reflected the characteristics of practical demand. Equilibrium strategies are solved by using the Bertrand model and payoff matrices.

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An Automated Negotiation System Using Intelligent Agents (지능형 에이전트를 이용한 자동협상전략 수립 시스템)

  • Park, Se-Jin;Kwon, Ick-Hyun;Shin, Hyun-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.20-30
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    • 2006
  • Due to recent growing interest in autonomous software agents and their potential application in areas such as electronic commerce, the autonomous negotiation become more important. Evidence from both theoretical analysis and observations of human interactions suggests that if decision makers have prior information on opponents and furthermore learn the behaviors of other agents from interaction, the overall payoff would increase. We propose a new methodology for a strategy finding process using data mining in autonomous negotiation system; ANSIA(Autonomous Negotiation System using Intelligent Agent). ANSIA is a strategy based negotiation system. The framework of ANSIA consists of three component layers; 1) search agent layer, 2) data mining agent layer and 3) negotiation agent layer. ANSIA is motivated by providing a computational framework for negotiation and by defining a strategy finding model with an autonomous negotiation process.

Analysis of Cournot Model of Electricity Market with Demand Response (수요반응자원이 포함된 전력시장의 쿠르노 경쟁모형 해석)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2017
  • In order to reduce costs of electricity energy at periods of peak demand, there has been an exponential interest in Demand Response (DR). This paper discusses the effect on the participants' behavior in response to DR. Under the assumption of perfect competition, the equilibrium point of the electricity market with DR is derived by modeling a DR curve, which is suitable for microeconomic analysis. Cournot model is used to analyze the electricity market of imperfect competition that includes strategic behavior of the generation companies. Strategic behavior with DR makes it harder to compute equilibrium point due to the non-differential function of payoff distribution. This paper presents a solution method for achieving the equilibrium point using the best response function of the strategic players. The effect of DR on the electricity market is illustrated using a test system.