• Title/Summary/Keyword: parameter estimation methods

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Analysis of Short-term Runoff Characteristics of CAT-PEST Connected Model using Different Infiltration Analysis Methods (CAT-PEST 연계 모형의 침투 해석 방법에 따른 단기 유출 특성 분석)

  • Choi, Shinwoo;Jang, Cheolhee;Kim, Hyeonjun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.26-41
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    • 2016
  • Catchment Hydrologic Cycle Assess Tool (CAT) is a model for hydrologic cycle assessment based on physical parameters. In this study, CAT was applied for short-term runoff simulation and connected with model-independent parameter estimation (PEST) for auto-calibrating parameters. The model performance was compared with HEC-HMS, which is widely used for short-term runoff simulation. The study area is the Pangyo Watershed ($22.9km^2$), which includes the Unjung-Cheon and Geumto-Cheon tributaries of the Tan-Cheon stream. Simulation periods were selected from six rainfall events of a two-year period (2006-2007). For the runoff simulation, CAT was applied using three types of infiltration methods (excess rainfall, Green and Ampt and Horton). Sensitivity analysis was carried out to select the parameters and then CAT was optimized using PEST. The model performance of HEC-HMS and CAT-PEST for the rainfall events were within an acceptable limit with Nash Sutcliffe efficiencies (NSE) of 0.63-0.91 and 0.42-0.93, respectively. The simulation results of HEC-HMS have high accuracy in the case of rainfall events that have a sensitive relationship between initial soil moisture conditions and runoff characteristics. The results of CAT-PEST indicated the possibility of reflecting a real runoff system using various physical parameters.

A Study on Estimation of Regularizing Parameters for Energy-Based Stereo Matching (에너지 기반 스테레오 매칭에서의 정합 파라미터 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hahn, Hee-Il;Ryu, Dae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.288-294
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we define the probability models for determining the disparity map given stereo images and derive the methods for solving the problem, which is proven to be equivalent to an energy-based stereo matching. Under the assumptions the difference between the pixel on the left image and the corresponding pixel on the right image and the difference between the disparities of the neighboring pixels are exponentially distributed, a recursive approach for estimating the MRF regularizing parameter is proposed. The proposed method alternates between estimating the parameters with the intermediate disparity map and estimating the disparity map with the estimated parameters, after computing it with random initial parameters. Our algorithm is applied to the stereo matching algorithms based on the dynamic programming and belief propagation to verify its operation and measure its performance.

Optimal design of car suspension springs by using a response surface method (반응 표면 분석법을 활용한 자동차용 현가스프링 최적화 설계)

  • Yoo, Dong-Woo;Kim, Do-Yeop;Shin, Dong-Gyu
    • Proceeding of EDISON Challenge
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    • 2016.03a
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    • pp.246-255
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    • 2016
  • When spring of the suspension is exerted by an external load, a car should be designed to prevent predictable damages and designed for a ride comfort. We used experiments design to design VON-MISES STRESS and K, a constant, of spring of suspension which is installed in a car as a goal level. We analyzed the result from Edison's Elastic - Plastic Analysis SW(CSD_EPLAST) by setting D, d, n as external diameter of coil, internal diameter of coil, the number of total coil respectively. The experiment design let the outcome be as Full-second order by using Box-Behnken which is one of response surface methods. Experimented and analyzed results based on the established experiments design, We found out design parameter which has desired VON-MISES STRESS and the constant K. Additionally, we predicted life time of when the external load was exerted by repeated load by using fatigue equation, and verification of plastic deformation has also been made. Additionally we interpreted a model, which is formed by optimized design parameter, with linear analysis and non-linear analysis, at the same time we also analyzed plastic deformation with the values from the both models. Finally, we predicted fatigue life of optimized model by using fatigue estimation theory and also evaluated a ride comfort with oscillation analysis.

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Fluid Infiltration Effect on Breakdown Pressure in Laboratory Hydraulic Fracturing Tests

  • Diaz, Melvin B.;Jung, Sung Gyu;Lee, Gyung Won;Kim, Kwang Yeom
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.389-399
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    • 2022
  • Observations on the influence of the fluid infiltration on the breakdown pressure during laboratory hydraulic fracturing tests, along with an analysis of the applicability of the breakdown pressure prediction for cylindrical samples using Quasi-static and Linear Elastic Fracture Mechanics approaches were carried out. These approaches consider fluid infiltration through the so-called radius of fluid infiltration or crack radius, a parameter that is not a material property. Two sets of tests under pressurization rate controlled and injection rate controlled tests were used to evaluate the applicability of these methods. The difficulty of the estimation of the radius of fluid infiltration was solved by back calculating this parameter from an initial set of tests, and later, the obtained relationships were used to predict breakdown pressures for a second set of tests. The results showed better predictions for the injection rate than for the pressurization rate tests, with average errors of 3.4% and 18.6%, respectively. The larger error was attributed to differences in the testing conditions for the pressurization rate tests, which had different applied vertical pressures. On the other hand, for the tests carried out under constant injection rate, the Linear Elastic Fracture Mechanics solution reported lower errors compared to the Quasi-static solution, with values of 3% and 3.8%, respectively. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis illustrated the influence of the radius of fluid penetration or crack radius and the tensile strength on the breakdown pressure, suggesting a need for a careful estimation of these values. Then, the calculation of breakdown pressure considering fluid infiltration in cylindrical samples under triaxial conditions is possible, although larger data sets are desirable to validate and derive better relations.

Evaluation of Skin Friction to Large Size Pneumatic Caissons (대형 뉴매틱케이슨의 주면마찰력 산정)

  • 홍원표;여규권;김태형
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2004
  • In this study, skin friction evaluation methods developed f3r deep foundation system were investigated and a method that can properly evaluate the skin friction of large size pneumatic caisson was proposed. Especially, based on Hong Won-Pyo's method, new technique (Kn parameter method) was suggested for estimation of the skin friction. The $\lambda$ method used widely to pile foundation was also investigated fur the applicability of estimation of the skin friction of large size pneumatic caisson. To do this, the data measured from the pneumatic caissons installed as a substructure of main tower in the suspension bridge part of Youngjong Grand Bridge were utilized. The data show that the skin friction is proportional to the rate of sinking, and the skin friction distribution with depth is similar to parabolic type rather straight line, which is a type generally observed in pile foundation. The skin frictions predicted by the Kn and $\lambda$ methods were plotted with the measured data for comparisons. It is cleary shown that the skin frictions estimated by the proposed Kn parameter method are well matched with the measured data. That is, for the large size pneumatic caisson having wide base, the new technique developed from Hong Won-Pyo's method is more suitable for estimation of the skin friction rather than the $\lambda$ method.

Analysis of Global Oscillation via Sync Search in Power Systems (전력계통에서 동조탐색과 광역진동해석)

  • Shim, Kwan-Shik;Nam, Hae-Kon;Kim, Yong-Gu;Moon, Young-Hoan;Kim, Sang-Tae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.7
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    • pp.1255-1262
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    • 2009
  • The present study explained the phenomenon that low frequency oscillation is synchronized with discrete data obtained from a wide area system, and a sync search method. When a disturbance occurs in an power system, various controllers operate in order to maintain synchronization. If the system's damping is poor, low frequency oscillations continue for a long time and the oscillations are synchronized with one another at specific frequency. The present study estimated dominant modes, magnitude and phase of signals by applying parameter estimation methods to discrete signals obtained from an power system, and performed sync search among wide area signals by comparing the estimated data. Sync search was performed by selecting those with the same frequency and damping constant from dominant oscillation modes included in a large number of signals, and comparing their magnitude and phase. In addition, we defined sync indexes in order to indicate the degree of sync between areas in a wide area system. Furthermore, we proposed a wide area sync search method by normalizing mode magnitude in discrete data obtained from critical generator of the wide area. By applying the sync search method and sync indexes proposed in this study to two area systems, we demonstrated that sync scanning can be performed for discrete signals obtained from power systems.

Single-Channel Non-Causal Speech Enhancement to Suppress Reverberation and Background Noise

  • Song, Myung-Suk;Kang, Hong-Goo
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.31 no.8
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    • pp.487-506
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a speech enhancement algorithm to improve the speech intelligibility by suppressing both reverberation and background noise. The algorithm adopts a non-causal single-channel minimum variance distortionless response (MVDR) filter to exploit an additional information that is included in the noisy-reverberant signals in subsequent frames. The noisy-reverberant signals are decomposed into the parts of the desired signal and the interference that is not correlated to the desired signal. Then, the filter equation is derived based on the MVDR criterion to minimize the residual interference without bringing speech distortion. The estimation of the correlation parameter, which plays an important role to determine the overall performance of the system, is mathematically derived based on the general statistical reverberation model. Furthermore, the practical implementation methods to estimate sub-parameters required to estimate the correlation parameter are developed. The efficiency of the proposed enhancement algorithm is verified by performance evaluation. From the results, the proposed algorithm achieves significant performance improvement in all studied conditions and shows the superiority especially for the severely noisy and strongly reverberant environment.

Uncertainty Analysis of Parameters of Spatial Statistical Model Using Bayesian Method for Estimating Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall (확률강우량의 공간분포추정에 있어서 Bayesian 기법을 이용한 공간통계모델의 매개변수 불확실성 해석)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Park, Ki-Bum;Kim, Sung-Won
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.1541-1551
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    • 2011
  • This study applied the Bayesian method for the quantification of the parameter uncertainty of spatial linear mixed model in the estimation of the spatial distribution of probability rainfall. In the application of Bayesian method, the prior sensitivity analysis was implemented by using the priors normally selected in the existing studies which applied the Bayesian method for the puppose of assessing the influence which the selection of the priors of model parameters had on posteriors. As a result, the posteriors of parameters were differently estimated which priors were selected, and then in the case of the prior combination, F-S-E, the sizes of uncertainty intervals were minimum and the modes, means and medians of the posteriors were similar to the estimates using the existing classical methods. From the comparitive analysis between Bayesian and plug-in spatial predictions, we could find that the uncertainty of plug-in prediction could be slightly underestimated than that of Bayesian prediction.

Methodology for Determining Functional Forms in Developing Statistical Collision Models (교통사고모형 개발에서의 함수식 도출 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Baek, Jong-Dae;Hummer, Joseph
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: The purpose of this study is to propose a new methodology for developing statistical collision models and to show the validation results of the methodology. METHODS: A new modeling method of introducing variables into the model one by one in a multiplicative form is suggested. A method for choosing explanatory variables to be introduced into the model is explained. A method for determining functional forms for each explanatory variable is introduced as well as a parameter estimating procedure. A model selection method is also dealt with. Finally, the validation results is provided to demonstrate the efficacy of the final models developed using the method suggested in this study. RESULTS: According to the results of the validation for the total and injury collisions, the predictive powers of the models developed using the method suggested in this study were better than those of generalized linear models for the same data. CONCLUSIONS: Using the methodology suggested in this study, we could develop better statistical collision models having better predictive powers. This was because the methodology enabled us to find the relationships between dependant variable and each explanatory variable individually and to find the functional forms for the relationships which can be more likely non-linear.

Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.325-337
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.