• Title/Summary/Keyword: parameter estimation methods

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Accurate Voltage Parameter Estimation for Grid Synchronization in Single-Phase Power Systems

  • Dai, Zhiyong;Lin, Hui;Tian, Yanjun;Yao, Wenli;Yin, Hang
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.1067-1075
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents an adaptive observer-based approach to estimate voltage parameters, including frequency, amplitude, and phase angle, for single-phase power systems. In contrast to most existing estimation methods of grid voltage parameters, in this study, grid voltage is treated as a dynamic system related to an unknown grid frequency. Based on adaptive observer theory, a full-order adaptive observer is proposed to estimate voltage parameters. A Lyapunov function-based argument is employed to ensure that the proposed estimation method of voltage parameters has zero steady-state error, even when frequency varies or phase angle jumps significantly. Meanwhile, a reduced-order adaptive observer is designed as the simplified version of the proposed full-order observer. Compared with the frequency-adaptive virtual flux estimation, the proposed adaptive observers exhibit better dynamic response to track the actual grid voltage frequency, amplitude, and phase angle. Simulations and experiments have been conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed observers.

A data-adaptive maximum penalized likelihood estimation for the generalized extreme value distribution

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Shin, Yonggwan;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2017
  • Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is known to sometimes over-estimate the positive value of the shape parameter for the small sample size. The maximum penalized likelihood estimation (MPLE) with Beta penalty function was proposed by some researchers to overcome this problem. But the determination of the hyperparameters (HP) in Beta penalty function is still an issue. This paper presents some data adaptive methods to select the HP of Beta penalty function in the MPLE framework. The idea is to let the data tell us what HP to use. For given data, the optimal HP is obtained from the minimum distance between the MLE and MPLE. A bootstrap-based method is also proposed. These methods are compared with existing approaches. The performance evaluation experiments for GEVD by Monte Carlo simulation show that the proposed methods work well for bias and mean squared error. The methods are applied to Blackstone river data and Korean heavy rainfall data to show better performance over MLE, the method of L-moments estimator, and existing MPLEs.

Parameter Estimation and Confidence Limits for the Log-Gumbel Distribution (대수(對數)-Gumbel 확률분포함수(確率分布函數)의 매개변수(媒介變數) 추정(推定)과 신뢰한계(信賴限界) 유도(誘導))

  • Heo, Jun Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1993
  • The log-Gumbel distribution in real space is defined by transforming the conventional log-Gumbel distribution in log space. For this model, the parameter estimation techniques are applied based on the methods of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments. The asymptotic variances of estimator of the quantiles for each estimation method are derived to find the confidence limits for a given return period. Finally, the log-Gumbel model is applied to actual flood data to estimate the parameters, quantiles and confidence limits.

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Maximum product of spacings under a generalized Type-II progressive hybrid censoring scheme

  • Young Eun, Jeon;Suk-Bok, Kang;Jung-In, Seo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.665-677
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a new estimation method based on the maximum product of spacings for estimating unknown parameters of the three-parameter Weibull distribution under a generalized Type-II progressive hybrid censoring scheme which guarantees a constant number of observations and an appropriate experiment duration. The proposed approach is appropriate for a situation where the maximum likelihood estimation is invalid, especially, when the shape parameter is less than unity. Furthermore, it presents the enhanced performance in terms of the bias through the Monte Carlo simulation. In particular, the superiority of this approach is revealed even under the condition where the maximum likelihood estimation satisfies the classical asymptotic properties. Finally, to illustrate the practical application of the proposed approach, the real data analysis is conducted, and the superiority of the proposed method is demonstrated through a simple goodness-of-fit test.

A Comparative Study Of Maximum Likelihood Method With Bayesian Approach In Statistical Parameter Estimation Of Static Systems (정적계통의 통계적 퍼래미터 추정에 있어 최우도법과 Bayes식방법과의 비교연구)

  • 한만춘;최경삼
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 1973
  • The comparative study of maximum likelihood estimation with Bayesian approach was made by statistical & computational methods in center of a priori information of static systems and the effect of a priori information on the accuracy of the estimatiion was also analyzed. Through the numerical computations of some examples by digital computer, we concluded that maximum likelihood method is better than Bayesian estimation except for almost certain a priori informations. The study may therefore contribute in identification problems of dynamical systems connected with a priori informations.

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Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Binomial and Normal Parameters

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Inha Jung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2001
  • We consider the empirical Bayes estimation problems with the binomial and normal components when the prior distributions are unknown but are assumed to be in certain families. There may be the families of all distributions on the parameter space or subfamilies such as the parametric families of conjugate priors. We treat both cases and establish the asymptotic optimality for the corresponding decision procedures.

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Admissible Estimation for Parameters in a Family of Non-regular Densities

  • Byung Hwee Kim;In Hong Chang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.52-62
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    • 1995
  • Consider an estimation problem under squared error loss in a family of non-regular densities with both terminals of the support being decreasing functions of an unknown parameter. Using Karlin's(1958) technique, sufficient conditions are given for generalized Bayes estimators to be admissible for estimating an arbitrarily positive, monotone parametric function and then treat some examples which illustrate our results.

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Bayesian Estimation via the Griddy Gibbs Sampling for the Laplacian Autoregressive Time Series Model

  • Young Sook Son;Sinsup Cho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 1995
  • This paper deals with the Bayesian estimation for the NLAR(1) model with Laplacian marginals. Assuming the independent uniform priors for two parameters of the NLAT(1) model, the griddy Gbbs sampler by Ritter and Tanner(1992) is used to obtain the Bayesian estimates. Random numbers generated form the uniform priors ate used as the grids for each parameter. Some simulations are conducted and compared with the maximum likelihood estimation result.

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Estimation of geomechanical parameters of tunnel route using geostatistical methods

  • Aalianvari, Ali;Soltani-Mohammadi, Saeed;Rahemi, Zeynab
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.453-458
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    • 2018
  • Geomechanical parameters are important factors for engineering projects during design, construction and support stages of tunnel and dam projects. Geostatistical estimation methods are known as one of the most significant approach at estimation of Geomechanical parameters. In this study, Azad dam headrace tunnel is chosen to estimate Geomechanical parameters such as Rock Quality Designation (RQD) and uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) by ordinary kriging as a geostatistical method. Also Rock Mass Rating (RMR) distribution is presented along the tunnel. Main aim in employment of geostatistical methods is estimation of points that unsampled by sampled points.To estimation of parameters, initially data are transformed to Gaussian distribution, next structural data analysis is completed, and then ordinary kriging is applied. At end, specified distribution maps for each parameter are presented. Results from the geostatistical estimation method and actual data have been compared. Results show that, the estimated parameters with this method are very close to the actual parameters. Regarding to the reduction of costs and time consuming, this method can use to geomechanical estimation.

Prediction of Extreme Sloshing Pressure Using Different Statistical Models

  • Cetin, Ekin Ceyda;Lee, Jeoungkyu;Kim, Sangyeob;Kim, Yonghwan
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the extreme sloshing pressure was predicted using various statistical models: three-parameter Weibull distribution, generalized Pareto distribution, generalized extreme value distribution, and three-parameter log-logistic distribution. The estimation of sloshing impact pressure is important in design of liquid cargo tank in severe sea state. In order to get the extreme values of local impact pressures, a lot of model tests have been carried out and statistical analysis has been performed. Three-parameter Weibull distribution and generalized Pareto distribution are widely used as the statistical analysis method in sloshing phenomenon, but generalized extreme value distribution and three-parameter log-logistic distribution are added in this study. Additionally, statistical distributions are fitted to peak pressure data using three different parameter estimation methods. The data were obtained from a three-dimensional sloshing model text conducted at Seoul National University. The loading conditions were 20%, 50%, and 95% of tank height, and the analysis was performed based on the measured impact pressure on four significant panels with large sloshing impacts. These fittings were compared by observing probability of exceedance diagrams and probability plot correlation coefficient test for goodness-of-fit.