• Title/Summary/Keyword: output power prediction

검색결과 150건 처리시간 0.027초

Load Current Prediction Method for a DC-DC Converter in Plasma Display Panel

  • Chae, S.Y.;Hyun, B.C.;Kim, W.S.;Cho, B.H.
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보디스플레이학회 2007년도 7th International Meeting on Information Display 제7권1호
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    • pp.609-612
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes a new method to predict the load current of a dc-dc converter. The load current is calculated using the video information of the PDP. The output capacitance of the dc-dc converter can be reduced by utilizing the predicted load current, which results in a cost reduction of the power system in the PDP.

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A Model Predictive Controller for Nuclear Reactor Power

  • Na Man Gyun;Shin Sun Ho;Kim Whee Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.399-411
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    • 2003
  • A model predictive control method is applied to design an automatic controller for thermal power control in a reactor core. The basic concept of the model predictive control is to solve an optimization problem for a finite future at current time and to implement as the current control input only the first optimal control input among the solutions of the finite time steps. At the next time step, the second optimal control input is not implemented and the procedure to solve the optimization problem is then repeated. The objectives of the proposed model predictive controller are to minimize the difference between the output and the desired output and the variation of the control rod position. The nonlinear PWR plant model (a nonlinear point kinetics equation with six delayed neutron groups and the lumped thermal-hydraulic balance equations) is used to verify the proposed controller of reactor power. And a controller design model used for designing the model predictive controller is obtained by applying a parameter estimation algorithm at an initial stage. From results of numerical simulation to check the controllability of the proposed controller at the $5\%/min$ ramp increase or decrease of a desired load and its $10\%$ step increase or decrease which are design requirements, the performances of this controller are proved to be excellent.

태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델 분석 (Analysis of prediction model for solar power generation)

  • 송재주;정윤수;이상호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2014
  • 최근 태양광에너지는 실시간 태양의 위치를 추적하여 모듈경사각과 이루는 갓을 산정하여 일사량을 보정하는 부분에서 컴퓨팅과의 결합이 확대되고 있다. 태양광 발전은 태양의 위치에 따라 출력변동이 심하고 출력 예측이 어려워 효율적인 전력 생산을 위해서 신재생에너지를 전력계통에 안정적으로 연계할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 실증단지 내 발전단지의 실시간 기상자료 예측값을 이용하여 최종적으로 태양광 발전량 예측값을 산정하는 태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델을 분석한다. 태양광 발전량은 태양광 발전기별 모듈특성, 온도 등을 감안하여 보정계수를 입력하고 예측 지역의 위치 경사각을 분석하여 발전량 예측 계산 알고리즘을 통해 최종 발전량을 예측한다. 또한, 제안 모델에서는 실시간 기상청 관측자료와 실시간 중기 예측 자료를 입력 자료로 사용하여 단기 예측 모델을 수행한다.

LNA를 포함하는 4채널 DBF 수신기용 Low IF Resistive FET 믹서 (Low IF Resistive FET Mixer for the 4-Ch DBF Receiver with LNA)

  • 민경식;고지원;박진생
    • 한국전자파학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전자파학회 2002년도 종합학술발표회 논문집 Vol.12 No.1
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    • pp.16-20
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    • 2002
  • This paper describes the resistive FET mixer with low IF for the 4-Ch DBF(Digital Beam Forming) receiver with LNA(Low Noise Amplifier). This DBF receiver based on the direct conversion method is generally suitable for high-speed wireless mobile communications. A radio frequency(RF), a local oscillator(LO) and an intermediate frequency(IF) considered in this research are 2.09 ㎓, 2.08 ㎓ and 10㎒, respectively. The RF input power, LO input power and Vgs are used -10㏈m, 6㏈m and -0.4 V, respectively. In the 4-Ch resistive FET mixer with LNA, the measured IF and harmonic components of 10㎒, 20㎒, 2.09㎓ and 4.17㎓ are about -12.5 ㏈m, -57㏈m, -40㏈m and -54㏈m, respectively. The IF output power observed at each channel of 10㎒ is about -12.5㏈m and it is higher 27.5 ㏈m than the maximum harmonic component of 2.09㎓. Each IF output spectrum of the 4-Ch is observed almost same value and it shows a good agreement with the prediction.

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System dynamic modeling and scenario simulation on Beijing industrial carbon emissions

  • Wen, Lei;Bai, Lu;Zhang, Ernv
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.355-364
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    • 2016
  • Beijing, as a cradle of modern industry and the third largest metropolitan area in China, faces more responsibilities to adjust industrial structure and mitigate carbon emissions. The purpose of this study is aimed at predicting and comparing industrial carbon emissions of Beijing in ten scenarios under different policy focus, and then providing emission-cutting recommendations. In views of various scenarios issues, system dynamics has been applied to predict and simulate. To begin with, the model has been established following the step of causal loop diagram and stock flow diagram. This paper decomposes scenarios factors into energy structure, high energy consumption enterprises and growth rate of industrial output. The prediction and scenario simulation results shows that energy structure, carbon intensity and heavy energy consumption enterprises are key factors, and multiple factors has more significant impact on industrial carbon emissions. Hence, some recommendations about low-carbon mode of Beijing industrial carbon emission have been proposed according to simulation results.

새로운 개선된 적분 가변구조제어기 (A New Improved Integral Variable Structure Systems for Uncertain Systems)

  • 이정훈
    • 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 전력전자학회 2000년도 전력전자학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.253-257
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    • 2000
  • A new improved variable structure controller is designed to drive uncertain linear systems to any given point by using a sliding surface with an integral of state error for removing any reaching phases. Predetermination or prediction of output response is feasible for all the persistent disturbances. The usefulness of the proposed algorithm is verified through an illustrative example.

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Control strategies of energy storage limiting intermittent output of solar power generation: Planning and evaluation for participation in electricity market

  • Sewan Heo;Jinsoo Han;Wan-Ki Park
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.636-649
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    • 2023
  • Renewable energy generation cannot be consistently predicted or controlled. Therefore, it is currently not widely used in the electricity market, which requires dependable production. In this study, reliability- and variance-based controls of energy storage strategies are proposed to utilize renewable energy as a steady contributor to the electricity market. For reliability-based control, photovoltaic (PV) generation is assumed to be registered in the power generation plan. PV generation yields a reliable output using energy storage units to compensate for PV prediction errors. We also propose a runtime state-ofcharge management method for sustainable operations. With variance-based controls, changes in rapid power generation are limited through ramp rate control. This study introduces new reliability and variance indices as indicators for evaluating these strategies. The reliability index quantifies the degree to which the actual generation realizes the plan, and the variance index quantifies the degree of power change. The two strategies are verified based on simulations and experiments. The reliability index improved by 3.1 times on average over 21 days at a real power plant.

Does Specialization Matter for Trade Imbalance at Industry Level?

  • Song, E. Young;Zhao, Chen
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.227-247
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    • 2012
  • This paper investigates the source of bilateral trade imbalance at industry level. We build a simple model based on gravity theory and derive the prediction that the bilateral trade balance in an industry is increasing in the difference between trading partners in the output share of the industry. We test this prediction and find that the difference in industry share is highly significant in predicting both the sign and the magnitude of trade balance at industry level. We also find that FTAs tend to enlarge trade imbalance at industry level. However, the overall predictive power of the model is rather limited, suggesting that factors other than production specialization are important in determining trade balance at industry level. Another finding of the paper is that the influence of the difference in industry share on trade balance increases as we move to industries that produce more homogeneous products. This finding calls into question monopolistic competition as the main driver of gravity in international trade.

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Power peaking factor prediction using ANFIS method

  • Ali, Nur Syazwani Mohd;Hamzah, Khaidzir;Idris, Faridah;Basri, Nor Afifah;Sarkawi, Muhammad Syahir;Sazali, Muhammad Arif;Rabir, Hairie;Minhat, Mohamad Sabri;Zainal, Jasman
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.608-616
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    • 2022
  • Power peaking factors (PPF) is an important parameter for safe and efficient reactor operation. There are several methods to calculate the PPF at TRIGA research reactors such as MCNP and TRIGLAV codes. However, these methods are time-consuming and required high specifications of a computer system. To overcome these limitations, artificial intelligence was introduced for parameter prediction. Previous studies applied the neural network method to predict the PPF, but the publications using the ANFIS method are not well developed yet. In this paper, the prediction of PPF using the ANFIS was conducted. Two input variables, control rod position, and neutron flux were collected while the PPF was calculated using TRIGLAV code as the data output. These input-output datasets were used for ANFIS model generation, training, and testing. In this study, four ANFIS model with two types of input space partitioning methods shows good predictive performances with R2 values in the range of 96%-97%, reveals the strong relationship between the predicted and actual PPF values. The RMSE calculated also near zero. From this statistical analysis, it is proven that the ANFIS could predict the PPF accurately and can be used as an alternative method to develop a real-time monitoring system at TRIGA research reactors.

영농형 태양광 발전소에서 순환신경망 기반 발전량 예측 시스템 (Recurrent Neural Network based Prediction System of Agricultural Photovoltaic Power Generation)

  • 정설령;고진광;이성근
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.825-832
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문은 영농형 태양광 발전 시스템의 전력 생산량을 수집·저장하여 지능적인 예측 모델을 구현하기 위한 예측 및 진단 모델의 설계와 구현에 대해 논한다. 제안된 모델은 시계열 데이터에 특화된 순환신경망 기법인 RNN, LSTM, GRU 모델을 이용하여 태양광 발전량을 예측하고 각 모델의 하이퍼 파라미터를 다르게 주어 비교 분석하고, 성능을 평가했다. 그 결과 세 모델 모두 MSE, RMSE 지표는 0에 매우 가까우며, R2 지표는 1에 가까운 성능을 보였다. 이를 통해 제안하는 예측 모델은 태양광 발전량을 예측하기에 적합한 모델임을 알 수 있고, 이러한 예측을 이용하여 영농형 태양광 시스템에서 지능적인 운영관리 기능에 적용될 수 있음을 보였다.