• Title/Summary/Keyword: outlook

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Development of Drought Monitoring System: II. Quantitative Drought Monitoring and Drought Outlook Methodology (가뭄모니터링 시스템 구축: II. 정량적 가뭄 모니터링 및 가뭄전망기법 개발)

  • Lee Joo-Heon;Jeong Sang-Man;Kim Jea-Han;Ko Yang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.9 s.170
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    • pp.801-812
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    • 2006
  • In this study, Combined Drought Index which can monitor the drought severity and intensity has been developed using PDSI, SPI and MSWSI. To verify the accuracy and applicability of combined drought index, Drought map of Korea using the combined drought index has compared with past drought event. Drought map using the combined drought index shows good accordance with past drought event and accurate quantitative drought monitoring results. Also the drought outlook technique has been developed using the weather forecast data of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Drought outlook technique of this study can be used effectively as a primitive stage tool for real time drought forecast. As a result of this study, Integrated drought monitoring system has been developed which has capabilities of producing and generating the drought monitoring map and drought outlook map as well as various kinds of drought related information.

Construction & Evaluation of GloSea5-Based Hydrological Drought Outlook System (수문학적 가뭄전망을 위한 GloSea5의 활용체계 구축 및 예측성 평가)

  • Son, Kyung-Hwan;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Cheong, Hyun-Sook
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.271-281
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    • 2015
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a hydrological drought outlook system using GloSea5 (Global Seasonal forecasting system 5) which has recently been used by KMA (Korea Meteorological Association) and to evaluate the forecasting capability. For drought analysis, the bilinear interpolation method was applied to spatially downscale the low-resolution outputs of GloSea5 and PR (Predicted Runoff) was produced for different lead times (i.e., 1-, 2-, 3-month) running LSM (Land Surface Model). The behavior of PR anomaly was similar to that of HR (Historical Runoff) and the estimated values were negative up to lead times of 1- and 2-month. For the evaluation of drought outlook, SRI (Standardized Runoff Index) was selected and PR_SRI estimated using PR. ROC score was 0.83, 0.71, 0.60 for 1-, 2- and 3-month lead times, respectively. It also showed the hit rate is high and false alarm rate is low as shorter lead time. The temporal Correlation Coefficient (CC) was 0.82, 0.60, 0.31 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was 0.52, 0.86, 1.20 for 1-, 2-, 3-month lead time, respectively. The accuracy of PR_SRI was high up to 1- and 2-month lead time on local regions except the Gyeonggi and Gangwon province. It can be concluded that GloSea5 has high applicability for hydrological drought outlook.

An Estimation on the Market Size of Aqua-cultured Flatfish in Korea (양식 넙치 중장기 시장 규모 추정)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung;Kim, Chung-Hyeon;Cho, Jae-Hwan;Lee, Nam-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.7781-7787
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of This paper is to address the development on supply-demand outlook model of aqua-cultured korean Flatfish and introduces a projection of supply-demand and market prices during 2015-2017 using developed model. The supply-demand outlook model is composed as a partial equilibrium model of Korean Flat fish. Each equation in the model is estimated by the econometric techniques. A reviews of the demand-outlook model stability is also carried out by the references based on RMSPE. MAPE, and Theil's inequality coefficients. According to the reference of RMSPE, the error rates of the forecasting values of the aqua culture area, culturing quantity, production quantity, market price show less than 4%, The production quantity and farm price are predicted respectively to be 42,561MT and 10,191KW per kg in 2017.

Estimation of ESP Probability considering Weather Outlook (기상예보를 고려한 ESP 유출 확률 산정)

  • Ahn, Jung Min;Lee, Sang Jin;Kim, Jeong Kon;Kim, Joo Cheol;Maeng, Seung Jin;Woo, Dong Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.264-272
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to develop a model for predicting long-term runoff in a basin using the ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) technique and review its reliability. To achieve the objective, this study improved not only the ESP technique based on the ensemble scenario analysis of historical rainfall data but also conventional ESP techniques used in conjunction with qualitative climate forecasting information, and analyzed and assessed their improvement effects. The model was applied to the Geum River basin. To undertake runoff forecasting, this study tried three cases (case 1: Climate Outlook + ESP, case 2: ESP probability through monthly measured discharge, case 3: Season ESP probability of case 2) according to techniques used to calculate ESP probabilities. As a result, the mean absolute error of runoff forecasts for case 1 proposed by this study was calculated as 295.8 MCM. This suggests that case 1 showed higher reliability in runoff forecasting than case 2 (324 MCM) and case 3 (473.1 MCM). In a discrepancy-ratio accuracy analysis, the Climate Outlook + ESP technique displayed 50.0%. This suggests that runoff forecasting using the Climate Outlook +ESP technique with the lowest absolute error was more reliable than other two cases.

A study of a flatfish outlook model using a partial equilibrium model approach based on a DEEM system

  • Sukho, Han;Sujin, Heo;Namsu, Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.815-829
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a flatfish outlook model that is consistent with the "Fisheries outlook" monthly publication of the fisheries outlook center of the Korea Maritime Institute (KMI). In particular, it was designed as a partial equilibrium model limited to flatfish items, but a model was constructed with a dynamic ecological equation model (DEEM) system, considering biological breeding and shipping times. Due to limited amounts of monthly data, the market equilibrium price was calculated using a recursive model method as the inverse demand. The main research results and implications are as follows. As a result of estimating young fish inventory levels, the coefficient of the young fish inventory in the previous period was estimated to be 0.03, which was not statistically significant. Because there is distinct seasonality, when estimating the breeding outcomes, the elasticity of breeding in the previous period was found to exceed 0.7, and it increased more as the weight of the fish increased, in addition, the shipment coefficient gradually increased as the weight increased, which means that as the fish weight increased, the shipment compared to the breeding volume increased. When estimating shipments, the elasticity of breeding in previous period was estimated to respond elastically as the weight increases. The price flexibility coefficient of the total supply was inelastically estimated to be -0.19. Finally, according to a model predictive power test, the Theil U1 was estimated to be very low for all of the predictors, indicating excellent predictive power.

A Review on Environmental Impact Assessment and Policy Utilization through the Establishment of Ecological Outlook and Evaluation System (자연생태 전망평가체계 마련을 통한 환경영향평가 및 정책 활용방안 고찰)

  • Who-Seung Lee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.363-376
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    • 2023
  • As the risk of biodiversity reduction and extinction becomes serious due to climate change and indiscriminate development, the importance of conservation of the natural environment and ecosystem is increasing. In this situation, Ireviewed that overseas cases of the ecological outlook and evaluation system aimed at providing information on natural resources and ecosystem change. As a results, other countries showed that various research institutes have been carrying on field surveys by classification group, but it was different from us that the investigated data are collected and managed in an integrated manner and repeatedly provided within a short period of time. In addition, it was analyzed that it was highly utilized in policy and environmental impact assessment by providing evaluation-based prediction and outlook information along with basic survey data. Based on this, the limitations of information use in our wildlife surveys and environmental impacts assessments were analyzed, and the estabilishment of a ecology outlook and evaluation system and policy support measures were considered. In addition, based on the proposed outlook and evaluation system preparation plan, a policy direction that can be effectively used in domestic natural ecosystem policies was proposed.

Smart Adapted Service in Ubiquitous (유비쿼터스 환경에서 사용자의 일정에 따른 지능 정보 제공 시스템)

  • Ahn, Ho-Seok;Sa, In-Kyu;Baek, Young-Min;Ahn, Youn-Seok;Choi, Jin-Young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.480-487
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose a Smart Adapted Service which can manage a schedule automatically. Smart Adapted Service gives a notice beforehand regarding information associated with the schedule, by searching the Internet. If the user has written down the name of goods or food which he wants to buy, Smart Adapted Service finds the most suitable store nearby him using the user's favorite list. The user's favorite list is created by Outlook Web Access System by analysing the schedule and habits of the user. User can access Smart Document System remotely through the Internet using Outlook Web Access System. We developed an Auto AP Roaming System for seamless communication and Smart Document System for arranging the information. We evaluated the system and verified that it is convenient to use and working well.

On the Mathematics Curriculum of Korea and Outlook on the Mathematics Education (한국의 수학 교육과정과 수학교육관)

  • 김종명
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.33-52
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    • 2004
  • The paper is analyzed the mathematics curriculum of Korea and the philosophy of the mathematics education in the history of mathematics education. We have found that the various philosophy of Western mathematics education have led us to various views of the mathematics curriculum of Korea. This change of the mathematics curriculum in Korea have important implications to the didactics of mathematics. This study tried to find out the direction of outlook on the mathematics education in the future.

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Trends for the Promising Career of Science and Engineering Workforce: Job Outlook of Korea.USA.Australia (이공계 인력의 미래 유망직업 연구동향: 한국.미국.호주의 직업전망을 중심으로)

  • Han, Jiyoung
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.140-150
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to compare and analysis researches related the promising career and job outlook and to provide the direction for job choice to engineering students. Literature review and expert council were used to achieve the objectives of study. The result of this study was analyzed that these jobs were promising, that is, environmental scientist and specialist, earth scientist and hydrologist(education and research related career), architecture and architectural engineer, civil engineer, landscape technician, land surveyor map production expert photo surveyor surveying technician(construction related career), material engineer (mechanics and material related career), mine and geology engineer(chemistry, fiber and environment related career), computer system design and analyst, system software engineer, application software engineer, web specialist, and computer support specialist (electrical and telecommunication related career) and food engineer(food related career). In addition, health silver specialist, bio biomedical engineer, renewable energy specialist etc. were promising by considering social and economic trend for demographic change like aging and green growth.

An Automatic Inspection of the Surface Outlook of High Speed Moving Plate by Using One Dimensional CCD Camera

  • Hyun, Lim-Sung;Suck, Boo-Kwang
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.118.5-118
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes an image processing method for inspecting the surface outlook of high speed moving plates. Noise free image and a new real time processing methods are required to inspect the surface outlook of the high speed moving plates in real time. It is difficult to get a noise free image due to a signal noise, a light noise and background image in typical industrial factory. Thus, pre-processing techniques should be required to get a good image and produce so many time steps to proceed the image data. The objective of this research is to get image on the surface of the moving plates with a speed of 1m/sec and to detect some defaults on the surface image. So, the pre-processing techniques ...

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