• 제목/요약/키워드: ocean climate change

검색결과 481건 처리시간 0.024초

기후변화에 따른 남극 로스해 반응에 관한 고찰: 남극 로스해 관측의 중요성 (Responses of the Ross Sea to the Climate Change: Importance of observations in the Ross Sea, Antarctica)

  • 윤승태
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2022
  • The Ross Sea, Antarctica plays an important role in the formation of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) which is the densest water mass in global thermohaline circulation. Of the AABW, 25% is formed in the Ross Sea, and sea ice formation at the polynya (ice-free area) developed in front of ice shelves of the Ross Sea is considered as a pivotal mechanism for AABW production. For this reason, monitoring the Ross Sea variations is very important to understand changes of global thermohaline circulation influenced by climate change. In addition, the Ross Sea is also regarded as a natural laboratory in investigating ice-ocean interactions owing to the development of the polynya. In this article, I introduce characteristics of the Ross Sea described in previous observational studies, and investigate variations that have occurred in the Ross Sea in the past and those taking place in the present. Furthermore, based on these observational results, I outline variations or changes that can be anticipated in the Ross Sea in the future, and make an appeal to researchers regarding the importance and necessity of continuous observations in the Ross Sea.

CORDEX-EA 지역기후모형이 모사한 한반도 주변해 기후평균 표층 바람 평가 (Evaluation of Climatological Mean Surface Winds over Korean Waters Simulated by CORDEX-EA Regional Climate Models)

  • 최원근;신호정;장찬주
    • 대기
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2019
  • Surface winds over the ocean influence not only the climate change through air-sea interactions but the coastal erosion through the changes in wave height and direction. Thus, demands on a reliable projection of future changes in surface winds have been increasing in various fields. For the future projections, climate models have been widely used and, as a priori, their simulations of surface wind are required to be evaluated. In this study, we evaluate the climatological mean surface winds over the Korean Waters simulated by five regional climate models participating in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) for East Asia (EA), an international regional climate model inter-comparison project. Compared with the ERA-interim reanalysis data, the CORDEX-EA models, except for HadGEM3-RA, produce stronger wind both in summer and winter. The HadGEM3-RA underestimates the wind speed and inadequately simulate the spatial distribution especially in summer. This summer wind error appears to be coincident with mean sea-level pressure in the North Pacific. For wind direction, all of the CORDEX-EA models simulate the well-known seasonal reversal of surface wind similar to the ERA-interim. Our results suggest that especially in summer, large-scale atmospheric circulation, downscaled by regional models with spectral nudging, significantly affect the regional surface wind on its pattern and strength.

기후변화에 따른 북극해 빙해역 변화 (Projected Sea-ice Changes in the Arctic Sea under Global Warming)

  • 권미옥;장찬주;이호진
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2010
  • This study examines changes in the Arctic sea ice associated with global warming by analyzing the climate coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) provided in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We selected nine models for better performance under 20th century climate conditions based on two different criteria, and then estimated the changes in sea ice extent under global warming conditions. Under projected 21st century climate conditions, all models, with the exception of the GISS-AOM model, project a reduction in sea ice extent in all seasons. The mean reduction in summer (-63%) is almost four times larger than that in winter (-16%), resulting an enhancement of seasonal variations in sea ice extent. The difference between the models, however, becomes larger under the 21st century climate conditions than under 20th century conditions, thus limiting the reliability of sea-ice projections derived from the current CGCMs.

기후변화에 따른 북서태평양에서의 미래 파랑 전망 (Projection of the Future Wave Climate Changes Over the Western North Pacific)

  • 박종숙;강기룡;강현석;김영화
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2013
  • HadGEM2-AO 기후모델의 기후변화 시나리오 자료와 파랑 모델을 이용하여 기후변화에 따른 북서태평양에서의 미래 파랑 기후를 전망하였다. 21세기말 북서태평양에서 연 평균 풍속이 현재보다 낮아질 것으로 전망됨에 따라 연 평균 유의파고도 낮게 전망되었다. 현재 기후에 비해서 21세기 말 연평균 유의파고는 RCP4.5 시나리오의 경우 2~7% 감소하고, RCP8.5의 경우 4~11% 정도 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 극한파랑의 경우도 유의파고 및 풍속이 현재에 비해서 감소할 것으로 전망되었다. 계절별로 분석한 결과 겨울철의 극한파랑은 연 극한 파랑과 비슷하게 감소하는 경향을 보인 반면, 여름철의 경우 북서태평양에서는 현재보다 증가할 것으로 나타나 미래에는 태풍의 강도가 강화 될 것으로 전망된다.

기후변화가 대형선망 고등어 어업의 최적탄소배출량에 미치는 영향분석 (A Study on the Optimal Emission of CO2 due to Climate Change : An Application for Large Purse Seine)

  • 최종두
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate the optimal $CO_2$ emission in the maximum economic yield (MEY), maximum sustainable yield (MSY), and open access (OA) using a bioeconomic model. The results are as follows; in the case of $E_{MEY}$, $E_{MSY}$, and $E_{OA}$ levels, $CO_2$ emissions are estimated at $150,704,746CO_2/kg$, $352,211,193CO_2/kg$, and $301,409,492CO_2/kg$ respectively. We show that the $E_{MEY}$ is more efficient than the other levels. That is, the level of $E_{MEY}$ signifies the optimal economic fishing usage as the most economically efficient usage for large purse seine fishery catching mackerel species. The emission of $CO_2$ in $E_{MEY}$ is the lowest level. Also, the impacts of climate changes such as ocean temperature increase, ocean acidification, and the combined impact thereof show that the biomass of mackerel decreases.

열대 및 북태평양에서 ENSO와 관련된 표층수온과 해면고도의 경년 변동성 (Interannual Variabilities of Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Level Anomaly related to ENSO in the Tropical and North Pacific Ocean System)

  • 김응;전동철
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.313-324
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    • 2008
  • In order to understand the variation of ENSO-related oceanic environments in the tropical and North Pacific Ocean, spatio-temporal variations of sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) and sea surface height anomaly (SSHA) are analyzed from distributions of complex empirical orthogonal functions (CEOF). Correlations among warm pool variation, southern oscillation index, and ocean surface currents were also examined with respect to interannual variability of the warm pool in western tropical Pacific. Spatio-temporal distributions of the first CEOF modes for SSTA and SSHA indicate that their variabilities are associated with ENSO events, which have a variance over 30% in the North Pacific. The primary reasons for their variabilities are different; SST is predominantly influenced by the change of barrier layer thickness, while SSH fluctuates with the same phase as propagation of an ENSO episode in the zonal direction. Horizontal boundary of warm pool area, which normally centered around $149^{\circ}E$ in the tropics, seemed to be expanded to the middle and eastern tropical regions by strong zonal currents through the mature phase of an ENSO episode.

HYCOM 재분석 자료가 재현한 동해 수온 및 염분 평가 (Evaluation of Temperature and Salinity Fields of HYCOM Reanalysis Data in the East Sea)

  • 홍진실;서성봉;전찬형;박재훈;박영규;민홍식
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.271-286
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    • 2016
  • We evaluate the temperature and salinity fields in the East Sea reproduced by the global ocean reanalysis data using HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM for short). Temporal correlation of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) change between HYCOM and the Group for High Resolution Sea Surface Temperature (GHRSST) are higher in summer than winter. Though distributions of temperature and salinity in the HYCOM are similar to those from historical data (World Ocean Atlas 2013 V2), salinity in the HYCOM is lower (highter) in the region where the salinity is high (low). Temperature fields in the Ulleung basin of HYCOM are quite similar to those derived from Pressure-recording Inverted Echo Sounder (PIES), such as the correlation coefficient is higher than 0.7. This indicates that the HYCOM represents well the circulation and meso-scale phenomena in the Ulleung basin.

지상 LiDAR를 이용한 만리포 해변 정밀 지형측량 및 지형 변화 분석 (Terrestrial LiDAR Measurements and Analysis of Topographical Changes on Malipo Beach)

  • 심재설;김진아;박한산;김선정
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2010
  • A terrestrial LiDAR was used to acquire precise and high-resolution topographical information of Malipo beach, Korea. Terrestrial LiDAR and RTK-DGPS (VRS) were mounted on top of a survey vehicle and used to scan 20 times stop-and-go method with 250 m spacing intervals at ebb tides. In total, 7 measurements were made periodically from 2008 to 2009 and after each beach replenishment event. We carried out GIS-based 3D spatial analysis such as slope and volume calculations in order to assess topographical changes over time. In relation to beach replenishment, comparative analysis of each volume change revealed them to be similar. This result indicates that the terrestrial LiDAR measurements are accurate and can be used to analyze temporal topographical changes. In conclusion, the methodology employed in this study can be used efficiently to exercise coastal management through monitoring and analyzing beach process such as erosion and deposition.

High Frequency Variation of Low Water Temperature due to Arctic Oscillation Around the Western and Southern Coast of Korea During Winter 2017/2018

  • Han, In-Seong;Lee, Joon-Soo;Kim, Ju-Yeon;Hong, Ji-Yeon
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.328-333
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    • 2019
  • During the winter of 2017/2018, significantly low water temperatures were detected around the western and southern coasts of Korea (WSCK). In this period, sea surface temperature (SST) in the Korea Waters was about $2^{\circ}C$ lower than mean temperature. Using the real-time observation system, we analyzed the temporal variation of SST during this period around the western and southern coasts. Low water temperature usually manifested over a period of about 10 ~ 20 days. The daily Arctic oscillation index was also similarly detectable with the variation of SST. From the cross-correlation function, we compared two periodic variations, which were SST around the WSCK and the Arctic oscillation index. The cross correlation coefficients between both variations were approximately 0.3 ~ 0.4. The time lag of the two time series was about 6 to 7 days. Therefore, significantly low water temperatures during winter in the Korean coastal areas usually became detectable 6 to 7 days after the negative peak of Arctic oscillation.