• Title/Summary/Keyword: observation model

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A Method of Tracking Object using Particle Filter and Adaptive Observation Model

  • Kim, Hyoyeon;Kim, Kisang;Choi, Hyung-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose an efficient method that is tracking an object in real time using particle filter and adaptive observation model. When tracking object, it happens object shape variation by camera or object movement in variety environments. The traditional method has an error of tracking from these variation, because it has fixed observation model about the selected object by the user in the initial frame. In order to overcome these problems, we propose a method that updates the observation model by calculating the similarity between the used observation model and the eight-way of edge model from the current position. If the similarity is higher than the threshold value, tracking the object using updated observation model to reset observation model. On the contrary to this, the algorithm which consists of a process is to maintain the used observation model. Finally, this paper demonstrates the performance of the stable tracking through comparison with the traditional method by using a number of experimental data.

Assessment of Observation Environment for Surface Wind in Urban Areas Using a CFD model (CFD 모델을 이용한 도시지역 지상바람 관측환경 평가)

  • Yang, Ho-Jin;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.449-459
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    • 2015
  • Effects of buildings and topography on observation environment of surface wind in central regions of urban areas are investigated using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model. In order to reflect the characteristics of buildings and topography in urban areas, geographic information system (GIS) data are used to construct surface boundary input data. For each observation station, 16 cases with different inflow directions are considered to evaluate effects of buildings and topography on wind speed and direction around the observation station. The results show that flow patterns are very complicated due to the buildings and topography. The simulated wind speed and direction at the location of each observation station are compared with those of inflow. As a whole, wind speed at observation stations decreases due to the drag effect of buildings. The decrease rate of wind speed is strongly related with total volume of buildings which are located in the upwind direction. It is concluded that the CFD model is a very useful tool to evaluate location of observation station suitability. And it is expected to help produce wind observation data that represent local scale excluding the effects of buildings and topography in urban areas.

Diagnostics of Observation Error of Satellite Radiance Data in Korean Integrated Model (KIM) Data Assimilation System (한국형수치예보모델 자료동화에서 위성 복사자료 관측오차 진단 및 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Hyeyoung;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Kwon, In-Hyuk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2022
  • The observation error of satellite radiation data that assimilated into the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) was diagnosed by applying the Hollingsworth and Lönnberg and Desrozier techniques commonly used. The magnitude and correlation of the observation error, and the degree of contribution for the satellite radiance data were calculated. The observation errors of the similar device, such as Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A shows different characteristics. The model resolution accounts for only 1% of the observation error, and seasonal variation is not significant factor, either. The observation error used in the KIM is amplified by 3-8 times compared to the diagnosed value or standard deviation of first-guess departures. The new inflation value was calculated based on the correlation between channels and the ratio of background error and observation error. As a result of performing the model sensitivity evaluation by applying the newly inflated observation error of ATMS, the error of temperature and water vapor analysis field were decreased. And temperature and water vapor forecast field have been significantly improved, so the accuracy of precipitation prediction has also been increased by 1.7% on average in Asia especially.

Development of a mid-term preceding observation model for radish (무의 중기 선행관측모형 개발)

  • Cho, Jae-Hwan;Lee, Han-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.571-581
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    • 2011
  • This study develops a mid-term preceding observation model of radish to complement an existing short-term agricultural observation model. The first purpose of the study is to extend a three seasonal classification(spring, summer, fall) of fruit-vegetables to a four seasonal classification that involves the winter additionally. This allows us to verify the reason for demand and supply unbalance and unstable price of radish. The second purpose is to construct a mid-term preceding observation model that would be used to forecast planted areas, output, monthly shipment and price. To achieve these purposes, several multiple regression models are estimated. A system is consisted of a planted areas equation, a yield equation, monthly shipment distribution equation, and monthly price equation. To calculate output an auxiliary equation is involved in the system and the consumer price index etc are considered as exogenous variables.

Verification of the Global Numerical Weather Prediction Using SYNOP Surface Observation Data (SYNOP 지상관측자료를 활용한 수치모델 전구 예측성 검증)

  • Lee, Eun-Hee;Choi, In-Jin;Kim, Ki-Byung;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Lee, Juwon;Lee, Eunjeong;Seol, Kyung-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.235-249
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes methodology verifying near-surface predictability of numerical weather prediction models against the surface synoptic weather station network (SYNOP) observation. As verification variables, temperature, wind, humidity-related variables, total cloud cover, and surface pressure are included in this tool. Quality controlled SYNOP observation through the pre-processing for data assimilation is used. To consider the difference of topographic height between observation and model grid points, vertical inter/extrapolation is applied for temperature, humidity, and surface pressure verification. This verification algorithm is applied for verifying medium-range forecasts by a global forecasting model developed by Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems to measure the near-surface predictability of the model and to evaluate the capability of the developed verification tool. It is found that the verification of near-surface prediction against SYNOP observation shows consistency with verification of upper atmosphere against global radiosonde observation, suggesting reliability of those data and demonstrating importance of verification against in-situ measurement as well. Although verifying modeled total cloud cover with observation might have limitation due to the different definition between the model and observation, it is also capable to diagnose the relative bias of model predictability such as a regional reliability and diurnal evolution of the bias.

Development of Ground-based GNSS Data Assimilation System for KIM and their Impacts (KIM을 위한 지상 기반 GNSS 자료 동화 체계 개발 및 효과)

  • Han, Hyun-Jun;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Kwon, In-Hyuk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.191-206
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    • 2022
  • Assimilation trials were performed using the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS) Korea Integrated Model (KIM) semi-operational forecast system to assess the impact of ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Zenith Total Delay (ZTD) on forecast. To use the optimal observation in data assimilation of KIM forecast system, in this study, the ZTD observation were pre-processed. It involves the bias correction using long term background of KIM, the quality control based on background and the thinning of ZTD data. Also, to give the effect of observation directly to data assimilation, the observation operator which include non-linear model, tangent linear model, adjoint model, and jacobian code was developed and verified. As a result, impact of ZTD observation in both analysis and forecast was neutral or slightly positive on most meteorological variables, but positive on geopotential height. In addition, ZTD observations contributed to the improvement on precipitation of KIM forecast, specially over 5 mm/day precipitation intensity.

A Monitoring System of Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation Based on the LETKF Framework Implemented to a Global NWP Model (앙상블 기반 관측 자료에 따른 예측 민감도 모니터링 시스템 구축 및 평가)

  • Lee, Youngsu;Shin, Seoleun;Kim, Junghan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we analyzed and developed the monitoring system in order to confirm the effect of observations on forecast sensitivity on ensemble-based data assimilation. For this purpose, we developed the Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to observation (EFSO) monitoring system based on Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) system coupled with Korean Integrated Model (KIM). We calculated 24 h error variance of each of observations and then classified as beneficial or detrimental effects. In details, the relative rankings were according to their magnitude and analyzed the forecast sensitivity by region for north, south hemisphere and tropics. We performed cycle experiment in order to confirm the EFSO result whether reliable or not. According to the evaluation of the EFSO monitoring, GPSRO was classified as detrimental observation during the specified period and reanalyzed by data-denial experiment. Data-denial experiment means that we detect detrimental observation using the EFSO and then repeat the analysis and forecast without using the detrimental observations. The accuracy of forecast in the denial of detrimental GPSRO observation is better than that in the default experiment using all of the GPSRO observation. It means that forecast skill score can be improved by not assimilating observation classified as detrimental one by the EFSO monitoring system.

A Study of the Optimal Deployment of Tsunami Observation Instruments in Korea (지진해일 조기탐지를 위한 한국의 지진해일 관측장비 최적 위치 제안 연구)

  • Lee, Eunju;Jung, Taehwa;Kim, Ji-Chang;Shin, Sungwon
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.607-614
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    • 2019
  • It has been an issue among researchers that the tsunamis that occurred on the west coast of Japan in 1983 and 1993 damaged the coastal cities on the east coast of Korea. In order to predict and reduce the damage to the Korean Peninsula effectively, it is necessary to install offshore tsunami observation instruments as part of the system for the early detection of tsunamis. The purpose of this study is to recommend the optimal deployment of tsunami observation instruments in terms of the higher probability of tsunami detection with the minimum equipment and the maximum evacuation and warning time according to the current situation in Korea. In order to propose the optimal location of the tsunami observation equipment, this study will analyze the tsunami propagation phenomena on the east sea by considering the potential tsunami scenario on the west coast of Japan through numerical modeling using the COrnell Multi-grid COupled Tsunami (COMCOT) model. Based on the results of the numerical model, this study suggested the optimal deployment of Korea's offshore tsunami observation instruments on the northeast side of Ulleung Island.

Analysis of Forecast Performance by Altered Conventional Observation Set (종관 관측 자료 변화에 따른 예보 성능 분석)

  • Han, Hyun-Jun;Kwon, In-Hyuk;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Chun, Hyoung-Wook;Lee, Sihye;Lim, Sujeong;Kim, Taehun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.21-39
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    • 2019
  • The conventional observations of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) are compared in the numerical weather forecast system at the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS). The weather forecasting system used in this study is consists of Korea Integrated Model (KIM) as a global numerical weather prediction model, three-dimensional variational method as a data assimilation system, and KIAPS Package for Observation Processing (KPOP) as an observation pre-processing system. As a result, the forecast performance of NCEP observation was better while the number of observation is similar to the KMA observation. In addition, the sensitivity of forecast performance was investigated for each SONDE, SURFACE and AIRCRAFT observations. The differences in AIRCRAFT observation were not sensitive to forecast, but the use of NCEP SONDE and SURFACE observations have shown better forecast performance. It is found that the NCEP observations have more wind observations of the SONDE in the upper atmosphere and more surface pressure observations of the SURFACE in the ocean. The results suggest that evenly distributed observations can lead to improved forecast performance.

Numerical Analysis of Wintertime Air Pollution in East Asia Region Using Long-Range Transport Model

  • Jang, Eun-Suk
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2000
  • In order to understand the wintertime intermittent characteristics of the trans-boundary air pollutant transport observed in East Asia, a numerical simulation of the long-range transport of pollutants was applied using an atmospheric transport model(STEM-II). The numerical simulation was carried out for the entire month of January 1997 and specific atmospheric aerosol (including sulfate, nitrate, and other ion compounds0 observation data were compared from four observation sites(Cheju Island, Kanghwa Island, Dazaifu, and Fukue Island). The observation data revealed that concentration peaks were intermittently observed at 3 to 4-day intervals plus the four observation sites exhibited a very similar spatial variation. The horizontal and spatial scale of the heavily polluted air masses was analyzed based on numerical results. The mechanism of the intermittent transport of air pollutants was clearly explained by a comparison of the observed data with the numerical output. It was found that the wind pattern variations associated with the synoptic scale pressure system changes play an extremely important role in the transport of pollutants in this region.

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